Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH RITHMS Feb28 Feb09 Jan27     (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  CRIMINAL RECORD Feb24         (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.50    
3  OUTLAW DAISY Feb28 Feb14 Jan28 Jan03   (valerio raymond )ZUNINO L 118 5.00 10% 9.00    
4  CHANTAL Feb18 Jan14       (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 2.00 ★    
5  MISCHIEF MAMA Feb28 Feb11 Jan20     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
6  SPICY SOMMELIER Feb11 Jan13       (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00 8% 12.30    
 
TUP-4   03/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVOST Jan31 Jan13       (mccartney jack)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 ★    
2  TOP OF THE GAME Mar04 Feb14 Feb02 Jan19   (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
3  IN THE DEEP Feb10         (wise a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PERFECT WAGER Feb21 Jan11       (wong jonathan)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.00 ★    
5  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Mar04 Feb18 Jan11     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00    
6  GRAY ADMIRAL Feb28 Feb10       (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
TUP-5   03/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIPER ROSE Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Jan06   (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
2  IT'S ALEXUS Feb25 Jan31 Jan06     (rycroft ril)SCRIVER L 122 3.00    
3  SURE ANGEL Feb25 Feb08 Jan17     (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
4  AMERICAN BOURBON Feb08 Jan18       (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  SILLY NOTION Feb16 Jan31 Jan13     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
6  IF YOU WANT IT Feb25         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
7  LUCKY STEPPER Feb25 Jan25 Jan13     (weaver gordon)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   03/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ TENACIOUS Feb09 Jan07       (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 ★    
2  LA CAPRICHOSA Feb16 Feb08 Jan20     (silva jose)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 3.50    
3  CANDY RUNNER Feb04 Jan20       (sc)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
4  MICKEY DOBBS Mar01 Feb09       (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 ★    
5  FOUR SCORE Feb21 Jan27 Jan13     (stubblefiel)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 6% 16.80    
6  WIN LIKE COACH P Feb09 Jan21       (matt l)LARSEN S 124 12.00 6% 16.60    
7  SPECIAL LESSON Mar01 Feb10 Jan04     (stevens satchel)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
8  HAPPY AT SHADY Mar08 Feb19 Jan01     (schnell don)CRUZ M 118 4.50 55% 0.80    
 
TUP-7   03/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLY GIRL Feb08 Jan21 Jan12     (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 15.00    
2  MADIGAN SQUEEZE Feb22 Feb03 Jan12     (belvoir vann)MAWING A 124 5.00    
3  FINISHED MY P H D Mar01 Jan14       (kubinova el)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
4  FOXY CARMELA Feb28 Feb03       (belloc umbe)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 ★    
5  THUNDER WOMAN Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Jan12   (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
6  OUT OF THE SKY Feb15 Feb02 Jan17     (esquibel mar)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
7  MY LITTLE RIVER Mar01         (williams dewe)LOPEZ E 124 15.00    
8  SUNRISE IN THE BAR Mar02         (barra)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 8.00    
9  BULLICIOUS Mar01 Feb02 Jan14     (sc)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
10  SONGOFTHEDESERT Mar07 Feb03       (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  THECHAMPISFLORING Feb28 Jan24 Jan14     (bullene michael)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
TUP-8   03/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO BOB (IRE) Feb24 Jan25 Jan11     (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  OSTINI Jan19         (weaver gordon)ZUNINO L 122 20.00    
3  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Feb24 Feb16 Jan31 Jan11   (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 8% 11.40    
4  SILENT MUSKETIER Feb16 Jan10       (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 10.00 ★    
5  PAYNTER'S BOY Mar07 Feb21 Jan28     (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
6  REAL GLITTER Jan25 Jan07       (sharp j)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  DOODLE TIME Feb18 Feb03 Jan17 Jan03   (vitali marc)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 10.00    
8  ROWDYROOSTER Feb24 Jan12       (le)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
9  RIDEO Feb24 Jan31 Jan05     (wong jonathan)CIVACI SAHIN 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
10  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Mar04 Jan25 Jan05     (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
SCR  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan06   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.