Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:22 :443       :51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADIGAN SQUEEZE 6 1 1     18 1 (belvoir vann)MAWING A 122 3.00 15% 5.60 0.30 W
STELLAR WAY 5 3 4     4 2 (hudson jeff)CIVACI SAHIN 122 20.00 35.40  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 2 5 2     38 3 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 22% 3.50 3.00 S
LAURA BELLE 1 2 3     28 410½ (dennison dan)RODRIGUEZ H 122 5.00 7.90  
TOP LADY MARGIE 3 6 611     613½ 513 (salinas linda)LINDSAY CHAD 122 15.00 71.00  
HOT AUGUST STORM 4 4 56     511½ 616¼ (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30 9.10  
SCR  OYE COMO VA               (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 4.00 9% 10.20    
 
TUP-2   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:112 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) 1 5 2nk 3½ 3.2 1 1hd (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 18% 4.70 4.00 W
MISS YOU MOM 2 7 7 77 7 76 2hd (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 6.00 6.00  
CONVINCE 3 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 2 3¼ (mitchell chr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 7.30  
PIPER ROSE 4 6 6 63 5 33 4½ (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 6.30  
SHOE GAME 6 3 41 41 4 5 5½ (ortiz s)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 5.30  
STARS OF BLUEGRASS 7 4 5 52 6 45 6 (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 124 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70  
AROUSE N GO 5 2 3½ 2½ 2nk 66 74 (asprino alf)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.50 11% 8.40 5.70  
 
TUP-3   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
1:37         1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREIBURG 2 2 1½ 2nk 2½ 12 1 (evans justin)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 0.60  
PRICE TO PAY 5 3 34 4 33 35 2 (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 124 5.00 24% 3.10 14.60 P
WICKED FORTITUDE 6 4 4 3½ 1½ 22 3 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 13% 6.80 2.20 S
JOHNNY 4 5 66 53 56 68 4 (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 4.00 21% 3.70 5.30  
POPPY'S C NOTE 3 6 5 6 66 57 59 (madrigal el)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 6% 16.20 12.30  
CRACK A COLD ONE 1 1 2½ 1nk 4 4 610¾ (moreno edgar)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 8% 11.10 13.70  
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR)               (pierce michael)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.50    
 
TUP-4   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
1:382         1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARMEL 6 2 33 23 2 1½ 1 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 35% 1.90 1.20 W
NOUMEA 8 7 8 79 67 43 2 (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.50 3.50 P
TRANS MISSISSIPPI 9 5 56 47 3 2½ 3 (vitali j)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 20.90  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 7 8 78 8 79 5 4 (van debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 10.60  
CARMON'S DANCE 3 1 2 3 4 33 5 (valdez-cabral mar)CRUZ M 124 5.00 6.70  
MONGOLIAN WINDOW 5 6 6 6 57 6 65 (lavanway dayso)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 30% 2.30 5.10  
FICTIONAL 4 9 916½ 913½ 8 7 7 (wheeler travis)CIVACI SAHIN 124 20.00 13.60  
THUNDER WOMAN 1 3 1 13 1 810¼ 812 (bullene mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 20.40  
MONGOLIAN EMPIRE 2 4 4 58 910½ 912¾ 914 (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 12% 7.50 17.80  
 
TUP-5   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONA COAST 3 1 1nk 1 1½ 1½ 1hd (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 6.00 21.50  
ANGELO'S PRIDE 5 7 57 4 32 3 2hd (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 1.30 P
CONQUEST COBRA 8 5 35 3 2½ 2½ 3¼ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 1.70 S
PERFECT COME BACK 2 8 710½ 7 44 44 4½ (moreno edgar)MAWING A 122 5.00 8% 11.80 4.10  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 6 4 6 6 712 611 5 (elston brent)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 40.20  
DEWEY 4 6 4 5 5 58 611 (gutierrez qu)VERGARA P 122 4.50 69% 0.40 14.30  
GORDY'S RULES 7 3 811 8 610½ 711½ 711¼ (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 122 5.00 9.60  
SMOOTH PAPA 1 2 2nk 2 813 815½ 817 (jimenez a)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00 16.80  
SCR  SHIFTY DANCER               (birdwell tena)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND RIVER 4 4 1 1   1 14 (gleason m)MAWING A 121 5.00 5% 19.00 1.10 W
11  CRYSTAL BANDIT 10 1 8 8   4 24 (simp)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00 19.90  
MR FREEBIE 1 5 3 33   2 3 (dillenbeck bruce)ZUNINO L 121 20.00 14.80  
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT 5 10 9 6   3 46 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 27% 2.70 4.60  
STORMY SUMMIT 7 6 4 4   5 5 (brinson clay)CRUZ M 121 3.00 15% 5.50 5.20  
GENERAL THAYER 2 9 6 55   6 6 (person a)CORBETT W 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
10  DAREABIGDREAM 9 3 77 7   8 711 (chambers mi)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 6.00 4.10  
AG MINISTER 3 7 2 2   7 811¼ (eikleberry )VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 29% 2.40 25.70  
MR LOVE MUFFIN 8 2 55 9   913¼ 918½ (mccartney jack)LULL E 121 20.00 29.70  
O G GULFSTREAM GUS 6 8 10 1013½   1017¼ 1027¾ (hartman phil)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 64.00  
SCR  TOLUI               (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRRESISTIBLY SEXY 7 5 3.2 44   3 12 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.20 0.50  
MR. ARTISTIC 1 6 4 33   2nk 22 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 2.40 P
BIG TONY 6 1 1nk 1   1nk 3 (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 10% 8.70 11.90 S
FISHIN THE RIVER 2 8 7 610   7 4 (kenney )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 20.00 45.00  
11  KEEN JAMES 9 10 9 811   6 5 (gale sandy)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 70.00  
RISE UP MOSCOW 5 9 1010¼ 912½   8 6 (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 4.00 9.00  
10  AGUA DORADO 8 7 8 1013   9 75 (george cynthia)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 6% 16.40 41.30  
SNIGGLE 4 4 5 5   5 8 (buechler j)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00 48.30  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 3 2nk 2   43 9 (nelson amy)LULL E 124 20.00 19.90  
12  FRED 10 2 6 710½   1014¼ 1016¼ (dennison dan)RODRIGUEZ H 124 20.00 45.20  
SCR  MONTANA JACK               (macdonald jac)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  TEST DRIVE               (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   02/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:11 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY 6 1 1 1 11 12 11 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 28% 2.50 5.70 W
LADY COMMISSIONER 2 6 6 54 44 4 21 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 22% 3.50 1.20 P
YES PLEASE 1 2 32 3 3 22 3 (o'brien debbie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00 14% 6.10 10.90 S
BARONESS VONTRAPPE 8 3 43 2 21 32 4 (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 15% 5.80 3.20  
MS SALLY 3 7 78 67 6 57 59 (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 12.00 6.60  
SABINOS PRIDE 5 5 2 4 57 611 616½ (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 10.10  
LEXOPHILIA 7 8 88 7 712 715 719¾ (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 13.40  
I'LL DO IT FOR YOU 4 4 56 810½ 816 820 825¼ (miller quen)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00 14.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.