Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURA BELLE         (dennison d)RODRIGUEZ H 122 5.00    
2  KEEPINMYPROMISE Feb04 Jan14       (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  TOP LADY MARGIE         (salinas linda)LINDSAY CHAD 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  OYE COMO VA Feb03         (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 4.00 9% 10.20    
5  HOT AUGUST STORM Jan25 Jan13       (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  STELLAR WAY Jan25 Jan12       (hudson jeff)CIVACI SAHIN 122 20.00    
7  MADIGAN SQUEEZE Feb03 Jan12       (belvoir vann)MAWING A 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
TUP-2   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) Jan24 Jan11       (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  MISS YOU MOM Jan23         (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 6.00    
3  CONVINCE Jan04         (mitchell c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
4  PIPER ROSE Jan31 Jan06       (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
5  AROUSE N GO Feb11 Feb01 Jan20 Jan11   (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
6  SHOE GAME Jan31 Jan04       (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 ★    
7  STARS OF BLUEGRASS Feb01 Jan11       (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TUP-3   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRACK A COLD ONE Jan31 Jan18       (moreno edga)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
2  FREIBURG Feb02 Jan11       (evans justin)ZUNINO L 124 2.00    
3  POPPY'S C NOTE Jan26 Jan17       (madrigal )VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jan26 Jan12       (pierce micha)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.50    
5  JOHNNY Feb03         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  PRICE TO PAY Feb10 Jan17       (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
7  WICKED FORTITUDE Feb14 Jan25       (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-4   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER WOMAN Feb08 Jan20 Jan12     (bullene mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00    
2  MONGOLIAN EMPIRE Feb01 Jan20 Jan04     (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
3  CARMON'S DANCE Jan23         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
4  FICTIONAL Feb11 Feb01 Jan20 Jan05   (wheeler travis)CIVACI SAHIN 124 20.00    
5  MONGOLIAN WINDOW Feb01 Jan18 Jan06     (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
6  SHARMEL Feb11 Jan28 Jan05     (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
7  AMERICAN ROYALTY Feb04 Jan23 Jan07     (van debbi)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 ★    
8  NOUMEA Feb11 Jan18 Jan04     (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.50 ★    
9  TRANS MISSISSIPPI Feb08 Jan20 Jan05     (vitali marcus )LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH PAPA Feb08 Jan13       (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
2  PERFECT COME BACK Jan31 Jan11       (moreno edgar)MAWING A 122 5.00 8% 11.80    
3  KONA COAST Jan25 Jan06       (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 6.00 ★    
4  DEWEY Feb03 Jan17       (gutierrez juan )VERGARA P 122 4.50 69% 0.40    
SCR  SHIFTY DANCER Feb09         (birdwell ten)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
6  ANGELO'S PRIDE Feb09 Jan31 Jan06     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 ★    
7  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb01 Jan06       (elston bren)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00    
8  GORDY'S RULES Feb03 Jan25 Jan07     (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
9  CONQUEST COBRA Feb14 Feb01 Jan17     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR FREEBIE Jan29 Jan13       (dillenbeck bruce)ZUNINO L 121 20.00    
2  GENERAL THAYER Feb01 Jan10       (person kenneth )CORBETT W 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  AG MINISTER Feb01 Jan12       (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
4  WIND RIVER Jan20         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  O G GULFSTREAM GUS         (hartman phil)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00    
7  STORMY SUMMIT Jan24         (brinson clay)CRUZ M 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
8  MR LOVE MUFFIN Jan20         (mccartney j)SCRIVER L 121 20.00    
SCR  TOLUI Feb08         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
10  DAREABIGDREAM Jan28 Jan12       (chambers )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 6.00    
11  CRYSTAL BANDIT Feb01         (si)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00    
 
TUP-7   02/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. ARTISTIC Feb01 Jan17       (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
2  FISHIN THE RIVER Feb10 Jan28 Jan10     (kenne)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 20.00    
3  ROUGE SUNSET Feb02 Jan14       (nelson amy)LULL E 124 20.00    
SCR  TEST DRIVE Feb10 Jan26       (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SNIGGLE Jan26         (buechler simon)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
6  RISE UP MOSCOW Feb04 Jan20       (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 4.00    
7  BIG TONY Jan14         (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  MONTANA JACK Feb10 Jan19       (macdonald j)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 10% 9.50    
9  IRRESISTIBLY SEXY Jan18         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.20    
10  AGUA DORADO Jan10         (george cynth)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 6% 16.40    
11  KEEN JAMES Jan26         (gale sandy)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
12  FRED Jan14         (dennison d)RODRIGUEZ H 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   02/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES PLEASE         (o'brien debbie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  LADY COMMISSIONER Feb11 Feb02 Jan17     (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  MS SALLY Jan27 Jan11       (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
4  I'LL DO IT FOR YOU         (miller qu)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00    
5  SABINOS PRIDE Jan17         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
6  LOOPY Jan18 Jan06       (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
7  LEXOPHILIA Jan15         (gutierrez ju)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 ★    
8  BARONESS VONTRAPPE Jan17         (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.