Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:102 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY BIZ 4 5 5 36 35 22 1½ (brea)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 7% 13.10 2.10 W
GAGE HAS A GRAY 5 4 4 5 45 32 2½ (vitali marcus )SERRANO KEIVAN 122 8.00 2.40  
CERNAN 3 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 3 (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 10% 9.40 3.90 S
IMPRESSION 1 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 4 4 (mulhall krist)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 11% 8.00 1.50  
LOOKIN FOR GOLD 2 2 33 4 57 5 519¾ (weissner tasha)CIVACI SAHIN 124 10.00 13.70  
SCR  UNLEASH THE BEAST               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
TUP-2   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOE GAME 7 5 65 55 35 13 1 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 4.00 16% 5.40 6.70 W
MISS YOU MOM 6 7 7 79 69 46 2 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 3.50 39% 1.60 4.40 P
AROUSE N GO 5 1 1 12 1 23 3 (asprino alfre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9% 10.00 5.00 S
GOTTA BE LUCKY 4 2 2 22 2 3 4 (saldana reed)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 6.20  
MONGOLIAN WINDOW 1 6 5 67 712 611½ 512½ (lavanway dayso)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 65.80  
MCGOLDIE 2 3 32 3 47 511 618½ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 7.80  
PAIGE RUNNER 3 4 42 4 5 716½ 731¾ (story chad)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 11% 7.80 0.90  
 
TUP-3   03/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVADAN 6 3 3.2 1½   1½ 1½ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 17% 4.70 0.70 W
COUNT ALEXEI 5 1 2nk 2½   32 2½ (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.00 33% 2.00 3.00 P
SUCCESS RATE 1 6 5 67   5 3 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 10% 8.80 3.20 S
OVER EZ 3 5 6 5   4 4 (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 12% 7.30 15.40  
AWESOME HEIGHTS 2 2 1nk 31   2½ 5 (villamar ca)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 10.90  
FORGOTABOUTME 4 4 4 45   6 612¼ (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 8.00 13.60  
SCR  LODE THE GOLD               (lavanway dayso)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 6% 14.90    
 
TUP-4   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:113 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 6 2 31 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (person a)CRUZ M 122 3.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
LADY LANA 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 5% 18.50 4.30 P
SPUN LINE 4 3 55 64 3 3 3¾ (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 5.00 10.40 S
LA CASTIGLIONE 2 5 7 54 5 44 4 (gutierrez qui)MAWING A 122 6.00 8.90  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 3 4 65 7 68 57 5 (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 122 2.50 23% 3.40 4.10  
YES PLEASE 7 7 4 32 44 612 627¼ (o'brien debbie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00 7% 12.50 11.20  
MULLIGAN 1 6 2½ 4 713 727 739¾ (villamar ca)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 14.90  
 
TUP-5   03/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:104 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY CROSS 7 1 43 2 2½ 1 1 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 6% 14.80 2.70 W
LUGIA 8 7 6 5 32 33 2 (silva l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 41% 1.40 3.50 P
LIGHTNING STAR 2 3 32 32 42 4 3 (simpson shann)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 16% 5.30 8.20 S
E. Z. PAPA 1 2 1 1 1½ 2 4 (allred jeff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 6.00  
FLYING CHARLIE 4 6 7 7 66 57 5 (jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 4.00  
ATLATL 5 8 811½ 910¾ 710 610½ 611¼ (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 74.00  
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS 3 9 912 810½ 810¼ 711 711¾ (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 21.80  
PRINCE OTTO 9 4 53 64 5 811½ 812½ (esquibel mark)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 5% 17.30 8.80  
ARDIE THE LEGEND 6 5 2 4 914¼ 926½ 937 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 9% 10.20 4.80  
 
TUP-6   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FICTIONAL 1 7 7 7 5 4¾ 1½ (wheeler travi)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 19.00  
MONGOLIAN EMPIRE 8 4 33 3 2 2nk 2½ (alvarez sergi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 2.30  
BONITA RAPIDS 7 6 5 5 32 1nk 3 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 29% 2.50 7.80 S
LA ROSA DRIVE 6 1 1nk 2nk 1 3.2 4 (lavanway dayso)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 4.00 2.70  
ORATORY GLORY 3 5 6 8 7 6 5 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20 10.00  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 5 8 8 6 4 5 6 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 7.00  
TRANS MISSISSIPPI 4 2 2nk 1nk 69 7 713¾ (vitali j)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 3.80  
MY EXPRESSION 2 3 4 4 811 8 814¼ (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00 14% 6.30 7.90  
 
TUP-7   03/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDYDIDIT 8 1 1nk 1½   1 1 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 39% 1.50 0.50 W
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 5 5 55 3½   43 2 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 11.90  
SAVAGE LOVE 3 4 7 7   3 3 (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 10% 9.00 12.50 S
STOLEN HALO 1 6 4 2½   2 4 (gleason m)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 3.40  
LIP'S OF WINE 2 7 67 6   6 510 (mcdaniel l)MAWING A 121 10.00 6% 16.40 35.30  
PLUM ROSE 7 3 3 42   57 613 (rogers d)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 22% 3.50 8.10  
SHACK'S CHICA LOCA 6 2 2nk 5   714½ 721¾ (matt l)LARSEN S 121 12.00 40.90  
CAROLINA'S DESTINY 4 8 812½ 810½   817½ 823¼ (o'brien debbi)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00 9.90  
 
TUP-8   03/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:10     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVER VERSION 2 6 54 53   1 1 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 1.50  
FLYING TO THE LINE 3 5 42 4   34 2 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 13% 6.70 2.80 P
HURRICAIN HUNTER 4 1 76 74   46 3 (jimenez a)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 40% 1.50 2.90 S
TIME FOR GOLD 1 2 1½ 2½   2 4 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 13.50  
RED NOON RISING 8 8 89 86   6 5 (toye joe)MAWING A 122 12.00 26.50  
LOOPY 7 4 32 32   5 69 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 16% 5.20 5.60  
BARONESS VONTRAPPE 6 7 6 63   78 713 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 12.00  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 5 3 2½ 1½   810½ 816¾ (kere)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 7% 13.90 36.50  
SCR  LE TUB               (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.