The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 15, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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TUP-1   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
:233 :461 1:102 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY BIZ 4 5 5 36 35 22 1½ (breashear bill)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 7% 13.10 2.10 W
GAGE HAS A GRAY 5 4 4 5 45 32 2½ (vitali j)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 8.00 2.40  
CERNAN 3 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 3(matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 10% 9.40 3.90 S
IMPRESSION 1 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 44(mulhall kristin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 11% 8.00 1.50  
LOOKIN FOR GOLD 2 2 33 4 57 5519¾ (weissner tasha)CIVACI SAHIN 124 10.00 13.70  
SCR  UNLEASH THE BEAST               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
TUP-2   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:53
:233 :464 1:113 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOE GAME 7 5 65 55 35 13 1(ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 4.00 16% 5.40 6.70 W
MISS YOU MOM 6 7 7 79 69 46 2(lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 3.50 39% 1.60 4.40 P
AROUSE N GO 5 1 1 12 1 23 3(asprino alfredo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9% 10.00 5.00 S
GOTTA BE LUCKY 4 2 2 22 2 34(saldana reed)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 6.20  
MONGOLIAN WINDOW 1 6 5 67 712 611½ 512½ (lavanway dayson)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 65.80  
MCGOLDIE 2 3 32 3 47 511 618½ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 7.80  
PAIGE RUNNER 3 4 42 4 5 716½ 731¾ (story chad)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 11% 7.80 0.90  
 
TUP-3   03/15/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVADAN 6 3 3.2 1½   1½ 1½ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 17% 4.70 0.70 W
COUNT ALEXEI 5 1 2nk 2½   32 2½ (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.00 33% 2.00 3.00 P
SUCCESS RATE 1 6 5 67   53(ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 10% 8.80 3.20 S
OVER EZ 3 5 6 5   44(nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 12% 7.30 15.40  
AWESOME HEIGHTS 2 2 1nk 31   2½ 5(villamar candelario)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 10.90  
FORGOTABOUTME 4 4 4 45   6612¼ (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 8.00 13.60  
SCR  LODE THE GOLD               (lavanway dayson)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 6% 14.90    
 
TUP-4   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:49
:24 :472 1:113 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 6 2 31 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (person a)CRUZ M 122 3.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
LADY LANA 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (vitali j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 5% 18.50 4.30 P
SPUN LINE 4 3 55 64 3 33¾ (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 5.00 10.40 S
LA CASTIGLIONE 2 5 7 54 5 44 4(gutierrez quintana)MAWING A 122 6.00 8.90  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 3 4 65 7 68 57 5(wong jonathan)VERGARA P 122 2.50 23% 3.40 4.10  
YES PLEASE 7 7 4 32 44 612 627¼ (o'brien debbie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00 7% 12.50 11.20  
MULLIGAN 1 6 2½ 4 713 727 739¾ (villamar candelario)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 14.90  
 
TUP-5   03/15/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
:221 :46 1:104 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY CROSS 7 1 43 2 2½ 11(metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 6% 14.80 2.70 W
LUGIA 8 7 6 5 32 33 2(silva l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 41% 1.40 3.50 P
LIGHTNING STAR 2 3 32 32 42 43(simpson shannon)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 16% 5.30 8.20 S
E. Z. PAPA 1 2 1 1 1½ 24(allred jeff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 6.00  
FLYING CHARLIE 4 6 7 7 66 57 5(jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 4.00  
ATLATL 5 8 811½ 910¾ 710 610½ 611¼ (rennie k)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 74.00  
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS 3 9 912 810½ 810¼ 711 711¾ (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 21.80  
PRINCE OTTO 9 4 53 64 5 811½ 812½ (esquibel mark)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 5% 17.30 8.80  
ARDIE THE LEGEND 6 5 2 4 914¼ 926½ 937 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 9% 10.20 4.80  
 
TUP-6   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:45
:232 :472 1:123 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FICTIONAL 1 7 7 7 5 4¾ 1½ (wheeler travis)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 19.00  
MONGOLIAN EMPIRE 8 4 33 3 2 2nk 2½ (alvarez sergio)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 2.30  
BONITA RAPIDS 7 6 5 5 32 1nk 3(oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 29% 2.50 7.80 S
LA ROSA DRIVE 6 1 1nk 2nk 1 3.2 4(lavanway dayson)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 4.00 2.70  
ORATORY GLORY 3 5 6 8 7 65(ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20 10.00  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 5 8 8 6 4 56(rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 7.00  
TRANS MISSISSIPPI 4 2 2nk 1nk 69 7713¾ (vitali j)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 3.80  
MY EXPRESSION 2 3 4 4 811 8814¼ (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00 14% 6.30 7.90  
 
TUP-7   03/15/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 7:13
:231 :464 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDYDIDIT 8 1 1nk 1½   11(evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 39% 1.50 0.50 W
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 5 5 55 3½   43 2(rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 11.90  
SAVAGE LOVE 3 4 7 7   33(schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 10% 9.00 12.50 S
STOLEN HALO 1 6 4 2½   24(gleason m)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 3.40  
LIP'S OF WINE 2 7 67 6   6510 (mcdaniel l)MAWING A 121 10.00 6% 16.40 35.30  
PLUM ROSE 7 3 3 42   57 613 (rogers d)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 22% 3.50 8.10  
SHACK'S CHICA LOCA 6 2 2nk 5   714½ 721¾ (matt l)LARSEN S 121 12.00 40.90  
CAROLINA'S DESTINY 4 8 812½ 810½   817½ 823¼ (o'brien debbie)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00 9.90  
 
TUP-8   03/15/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
:222 :454 1:10     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVER VERSION 2 6 54 53   11(saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 1.50  
FLYING TO THE LINE 3 5 42 4   34 2(hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 13% 6.70 2.80 P
HURRICAIN HUNTER 4 1 76 74   46 3(jimenez a)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 40% 1.50 2.90 S
TIME FOR GOLD 1 2 1½ 2½   24(lucarelli frank)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 13.50  
RED NOON RISING 8 8 89 86   65(toye joe)MAWING A 122 12.00 26.50  
LOOPY 7 4 32 32   569 (silva pablo)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 16% 5.20 5.60  
BARONESS VONTRAPPE 6 7 6 63   78 713 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 12.00  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 5 3 2½ 1½   810½ 816¾ (kereluk edward)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 7% 13.90 36.50  
SCR  LE TUB               (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.