Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSION         (mulhall kri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 11% 8.00    
2  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Feb28 Feb10 Jan19     (weissner tasha)CIVACI SAHIN 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  UNLEASH THE BEAST Mar02 Feb03       (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  CERNAN Feb21 Jan28       (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
5  FAMILY BIZ Feb07 Jan07       (br)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 7% 13.10    
6  GAGE HAS A GRAY Feb28 Feb01 Jan11     (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 8.00    
 
TUP-2   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN WINDOW Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Jan06   (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MCGOLDIE Jan20         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
3  PAIGE RUNNER Jan31 Jan11       (story chad)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  GOTTA BE LUCKY Jan16 Jan07       (saldana re)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
5  AROUSE N GO Feb22 Feb11 Feb01 Jan20 Jan11 (asprino alf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9% 10.00    
6  MISS YOU MOM Feb22 Jan23       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
7  SHOE GAME Mar04 Feb22 Jan31 Jan04   (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
TUP-3   03/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LODE THE GOLD         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 6% 14.90    
2  SUCCESS RATE Mar01 Feb08 Jan18     (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
3  AWESOME HEIGHTS         (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
4  OVER EZ Feb08 Jan21 Jan13     (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 12% 7.30    
5  FORGOTABOUTME Mar01         (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 8.00    
6  COUNT ALEXEI Feb25 Jan21       (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  NEVADAN Feb15 Jan20 Jan12     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 17% 4.70    
 
TUP-4   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULLIGAN Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 Jan03   (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
2  LA CASTIGLIONE Mar03 Jan31       (gutierrez q)MAWING A 122 6.00    
3  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Jan31 Jan04       (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  SPUN LINE Jan31         (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 5.00 ★    
5  LADY LANA Jan27 Jan11       (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 5% 18.50    
6  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Feb08 Jan27 Jan18 Jan05   (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  YES PLEASE Feb22         (o'brien debbie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00 7% 12.50    
 
TUP-5   03/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E. Z. PAPA Jan24         (allred jeff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
2  LIGHTNING STAR Mar03 Jan24       (simpson sha)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
3  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Feb21 Feb01 Jan12     (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
4  FLYING CHARLIE Feb24 Jan24 Jan07     (jensen kent)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
5  ATLATL Feb14 Feb01 Jan12     (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
6  ARDIE THE LEGEND Feb20         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 9% 10.20    
7  HOLY CROSS Feb21 Feb01       (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 6% 14.80    
8  LUGIA Feb21         (silva jose)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
9  PRINCE OTTO Mar03 Jan10       (esquibel ma)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 5% 17.30    
 
TUP-6   03/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FICTIONAL Feb22 Feb11 Feb01 Jan20 Jan05 (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 124 15.00    
2  MY EXPRESSION Feb08 Jan28       (fulmer drew)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00 14% 6.30    
3  ORATORY GLORY Feb18 Jan21 Jan12     (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  TRANS MISSISSIPPI Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Jan05   (vitali marcus )LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 ★    
5  AMERICAN ROYALTY Feb22 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07   (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
6  LA ROSA DRIVE Feb18 Jan24 Jan07     (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 4.00 ★    
7  BONITA RAPIDS Feb28 Feb18 Jan05     (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
8  MONGOLIAN EMPIRE Feb22 Feb01 Jan20 Jan04   (alvarez ser)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   03/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN HALO Feb10 Jan12       (gleason m)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
2  LIP'S OF WINE Feb28 Jan31 Jan12 Jan03   (mcdaniel l)MAWING A 121 10.00 6% 16.40    
3  SAVAGE LOVE Feb11 Jan22 Jan01     (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  CAROLINA'S DESTINY         (o'brien deb)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 6.00    
5  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Feb28 Jan28 Jan13     (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00    
6  SHACK'S CHICA LOCA Feb21 Jan19 Jan07     (matt l)LARSEN S 121 12.00 ★    
7  PLUM ROSE Feb21         (rogers gary )YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  ADDYDIDIT Mar04 Feb21 Jan30 Jan08   (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
TUP-8   03/15/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR GOLD Feb15 Jan03       (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
2  COVER VERSION Feb11 Jan14       (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 ★    
3  FLYING TO THE LINE Jan27 Jan14       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  HURRICAIN HUNTER Feb11 Jan27 Jan11     (jimenez miguel)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
5  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Feb17 Jan19       (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
6  BARONESS VONTRAPPE Feb22 Jan17       (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
7  LOOPY Mar02 Feb22 Jan18 Jan06   (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
8  RED NOON RISING Feb02 Jan06       (toye joe)MAWING A 122 12.00    
SCR  LE TUB Feb08 Jan20       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.