Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S FRANKIE 2 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 1.20  
CARRIE'S SUCCESS 5 5 5 4   2½ 2 (rumsey cory)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 14% 6.00 4.70 P
DOZO 1 1 1½ 2nk   3½ 3 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 122 3.50 25% 3.10 2.00 S
SWEET HONOR 3 4 44 58   5 4 (villamar can)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 9.80  
BULLY BABY 4 3 3 3   44 510½ (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 122 1.80 38% 1.60 3.30  
SCR  KID CAT               (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 12.00    
 
TUP-2   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12.32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:224 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER ROOM 3 5 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (ferguson cur)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 2.40  
WICKED FORTITUDE 4 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (hodgson barry)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 12.50 P
MAD LUTHER 2 3 5 56   46 3 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 11.40  
GEORGIAN ROAD 1 2 4¼ 3   3 4 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 6.80  
GOLDEN TIGER 5 1 3.2 44   5 5 (olivas-valenzuela)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.10 2.00  
TIZ MANNY 6 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (kubinova eli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 1.70  
SCR  HERMANO               (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
TUP-3   03/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT ULYSSES 3 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 1 (jime)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 2.10  
OUTLAW 1 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (belvoir vann)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 1.30 P
BLOW MY MIND 4 2 3 33   46 3 (barraza rami)VERGARA P 122 4.50 30% 2.30 1.40 S
GOLDENEYED 2 3 4 45   3 4 (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 8.00 7.40  
SCR  CROOKED FINGER RAY               (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  LOVER BOY BOB               (hudson jeff)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00    
SCR  SNAZZY DRESSER               (ferguson cur)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
TUP-4   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARFRONT FIGHTER 5 5 4 42   1nk 1 (simpson shan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 18% 4.50 0.80 W
MR. ARTISTIC 2 3 31 1nk   2nk 2 (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00 8.50 P
MANCUSO AT THE MIC 1 7 7 6   4 3 (essex c)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 4.00 17% 5.00 17.30 S
M G M'S LUCKY 4 1 1½ 2nk   33 45 (hudson jeff)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00 11.10  
BEAR BRIAN 7 6 6 31   6 5 (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 2.50 3.50  
REDDISH 6 2 5 5   5 66 (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 38% 1.60 3.20  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 3 4 2½ 7   710¼ 716½ (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 42.00  
 
TUP-5   03/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($29.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:101     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEST CANDY 4 7 5 3   2nk 1 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 1.70  
THEGLORYISALLMINE 5 2 12 1   1nk 2 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50 6% 15.40 3.30 P
RAIL HUGGER 3 5 7 55   33 3 (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 12.00 20.20  
HARD TO DENY 2 3 33 43   4 4 (troiani nic)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.80  
DYNAMIC RULER 1 1 22 2   5 511½ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5.10  
NO SUPAH FOR YOU 7 6 4 6   6 613 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 18.60 26.00  
YHA YHA 6 4 65 78   723¼ 729 (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 13.30  
SCR  AX MAN               (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  HOUSE LIMIT               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-6   03/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 ALL PT- 6:40
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 2 1 11 1   14 1 (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 28% 2.60 1.40 W
CREATIVE ONE 5 6 6 55   56 2 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 4.40 P
KEARNEY 3 5 42 32   3 3 (jime)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00 14.00  
HANNIGAN 4 4 21 2   46 4 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 32% 2.10 3.00  
RIVER KAT 1 7 32 4   24 5 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 19.80  
MR BUG Z 7 3 7 6   67 611 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 121 6.00 6.70  
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT 6 2 54 79   712 715½ (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 12% 7.30 4.30  
SCR  SHADYFIED               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
 
TUP-7   03/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE ROAR 7 1 1nk 11   13 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 7.40  
WINNING MAGIC 1 4 5 42   23 2 (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 29% 2.40 4.10 P
TRUTH TO POWER 6 6 6 65   5 3 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 11.70  
SON OF SMALLS 5 2 2nk 53   4 4 (wong jonatha)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 23% 3.40 0.30  
PATH TO PARADISE 2 3 3.2 31   3 514 (rollins scott)VERGARA P 124 12.00 28.10  
LUCKY CHAMP 3 7 8 7   610¼ 615½ (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 40.80  
GURKHA RIFLES 9 8 7 812   814¾ 720 (baze robert)CRUZ M 118 15.00 42.60  
MY FRIEND JOHNNY 4 5 4 21   711¾ 821½ (kubinova eli)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 16.60  
KINSALE WARRIOR 8 9 9 912½   917¾ 922 (hop mike)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 22% 3.50 95.20  
 
TUP-8   03/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:34
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:112 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 8 9 810½ 810½ 710 5 1¾ (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 44% 1.30 2.20 W
NOUMEA 1 4 56 4 55 42 2¾ (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 10.00 29.40  
JUST GRACE 4 3 44 33 32 3½ 3 (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 3.60  
STARLIGHT TWIST 7 8 911½ 912 6 1nk 4 (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 7% 13.00 13.70  
CALLMEJESSIEJAMES 6 1 2 22 1 2nk 5 (silva l)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 31.20  
A DIME FOR ME 5 7 78 6 4 63 6 (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 26% 2.80 1.20  
WILLING TO BURN 2 10 1015 1016 918 811½ 711½ (kereluk edward)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 13.20  
IKNOWYOURFACE 3 2 1 12 2 79 812½ (bullene)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00 31.80  
11  PERFECT EDITION 10 6 6 56 812 913 913¾ (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 29.70  
10  KEEPINMYPROMISE 9 5 33 77 1028 10100 10100 (hjort donna)MAWING A 124 12.00 46.30  
SCR  AMERICAN ROYALTY               (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.