Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KID CAT Feb09 Jan27       (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 12.00 ★    
2  DOZO Feb21 Jan21 Jan03     (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
3  WHERE'S FRANKIE Feb01 Jan01       (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★    
4  SWEET HONOR Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 Jan17   (villamar can)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50    
5  BULLY BABY Feb21 Jan21 Jan06     (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  CARRIE'S SUCCESS Feb15 Jan28       (rumsey cory)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-2   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12.32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGIAN ROAD Mar07 Feb11 Jan26     (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
SCR  HERMANO Feb08 Jan26 Jan11     (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
3  MAD LUTHER Feb25 Feb16 Jan25     (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
4  UPPER ROOM Mar01 Feb14 Jan31     (ferguson cur)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 ★    
5  WICKED FORTITUDE Feb22 Feb14 Jan25     (hodgson barry)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 ★    
6  GOLDEN TIGER Mar01 Jan18       (olivas-valenzuela)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
7  TIZ MANNY Mar01 Feb17 Jan20 Jan11   (kubinova eli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CROOKED FINGER RAY Feb15 Jan05       (pierce michae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  OUTLAW Feb28 Feb03       (belvoir vann)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 ★    
3  GOLDENEYED Feb15 Jan27 Jan13     (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
SCR  LOVER BOY BOB Mar01 Jan31 Jan10     (hudson jeff)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00    
5  GREAT ULYSSES Mar01 Feb10       (jime)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 ★    
6  BLOW MY MIND Mar01 Feb08       (barraza rami)VERGARA P 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SNAZZY DRESSER Feb17 Feb03       (ferguson cur)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
TUP-4   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Jan03   (essex c)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  MR. ARTISTIC Feb22 Feb01 Jan17     (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00 ★    
3  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Mar01 Feb14 Jan04     (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
4  M G M'S LUCKY Feb24 Feb07       (hudson jeff)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00    
5  WARFRONT FIGHTER Feb07 Jan24       (simpson shan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  REDDISH Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 Jan17   (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
7  BEAR BRIAN Mar02 Feb04       (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/14/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($29.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC RULER Jan01         (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
2  HARD TO DENY Jan05         (troiani nic)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  RAIL HUGGER Feb14         (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 12.00    
4  CHEST CANDY Jan19         (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
SCR  HOUSE LIMIT Feb28 Feb10 Feb01 Jan19   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  THEGLORYISALLMINE Jan09         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50 6% 15.40    
SCR  AX MAN Feb11         (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
8  YHA YHA Feb02 Jan17       (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
9  NO SUPAH FOR YOU Feb10 Jan26       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 18.60    
 
TUP-6   03/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 ALL PT- 6:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER KAT         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 ★    
2  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Jan28 Jan13       (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  KEARNEY Jan12         (jime)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00    
4  HANNIGAN Jan28         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  CREATIVE ONE Feb20 Jan23       (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 ★    
6  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Feb22         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
7  MR BUG Z Feb19 Feb05       (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 121 6.00    
SCR  SHADYFIED Mar02 Jan24 Jan09     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
 
TUP-7   03/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING MAGIC Mar02 Feb16 Feb07 Jan24 Jan10 (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  PATH TO PARADISE Mar03 Feb07 Jan07     (rollins scott)VERGARA P 124 12.00    
3  LUCKY CHAMP Feb21 Jan07       (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
4  MY FRIEND JOHNNY         (kubinova eli)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 ★    
5  SON OF SMALLS Feb01 Jan17       (wong jonatha)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  TRUTH TO POWER Feb24 Jan16 Jan07     (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
7  JUNGLE ROAR Mar03 Jan07       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 ★    
8  KINSALE WARRIOR Feb16         (hop mike)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 22% 3.50    
9  GURKHA RIFLES Feb15 Jan10       (baze robert)CRUZ M 118 15.00    
 
TUP-8   03/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOUMEA Feb22 Feb11 Jan18 Jan04   (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 10.00    
2  WILLING TO BURN Feb28 Feb11 Jan12     (kereluk edward)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 ★    
3  IKNOWYOURFACE Feb11 Jan21       (bullene)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  AMERICAN ROYALTY Feb22 Feb04 Jan23 Jan07   (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
5  JUST GRACE Feb28 Feb01 Jan21 Jan06   (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50    
6  A DIME FOR ME Feb18 Jan28       (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  CALLMEJESSIEJAMES Feb28 Jan31 Jan13 Jan04   (silva l)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00    
8  STARLIGHT TWIST Feb28 Feb11 Jan24     (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 10.00 7% 13.00    
9  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Mar03 Feb11 Jan24 Jan06   (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
10  KEEPINMYPROMISE Feb22 Feb04 Jan14     (hjort donna)MAWING A 124 12.00    
11  PERFECT EDITION Jan21 Jan07       (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.