Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - July 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZAICI 4 3 1nk 1nk   11 11¾ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 32.60  
9  CIGARETTE BOAT 9 4 62½ 52   32 21¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 26% 2.90 7.10 P
8  MO'S TREASURE 8 1 3½ 2nk   21 32¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 10.90  
6  RARIFIED FLAIR 6 7 98½ 98   66 45¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 44.50  
5  BOXSTER 5 2 2nk 3½   54 56½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 42% 1.40 1.00  
3  IRONSIDES 3 5 51½ 41½   43½ 67¼ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 32.90  
11  MR BINGO 11 8 75 76½   76½ 77½ (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 ★ 4.40  
10  SABURO'S GRACE 10 11 1010½ 108½   99 88¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 40.50  
7  SYNTACTIC 7 10 1111 118¾   109 98¾ (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 35.40  
1  HILL OF TARA 1 6 41 63½   87½ 1010¼ (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 ★ 14.20  
2  HALLOW POINT 2 9 85½ 87½   1111 1114¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 11% 8.30 6.20  
 
CD-2   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:223 :451 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HOLLIS 7 1 11 12   13 1½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 12% 7.10 2.20 W
1  NECKER ISLAND 1 3 43 44   33 2½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.00 P
6  LONG RANGE TODDY 5 2 21 22   43¼ 32½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 3.10  
5  LONG WEEKEND 4 4 53 33   23 43½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 9.60  
7  MANNY WAH 6 7 76 77½   66¼ 55 (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 14.60  
3  ROBO MAN 3 6 64 65½   55¾ 65 (pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 7% 14.20 8.40  
2  JALEN JOURNEY 2 5 31½ 55   78¼ 710½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 ★ 13.10  
SCR  SPECIAL RESERVE               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
CD-3   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:214 :452 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DAMON'S MOUND 4 9 51¾ 11½   15 112½ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 20% 4.10 4.40 W
2  EASY BIG BOY 2 3 1nk 21½   25 212½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 39% 1.60 3.50 P
3  CONFIDENCE GAME 3 8 73¼ 52½   36 313 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 8.70  
1  BLOCKED 1 6 62¼ 85½   68 413¾ (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.10  
7  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 6 5 41½ 64   57½ 516¼ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 39.40  
6  MAYFIELD STRONG 5 11 97¾ 97½   811 617½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 21.10  
10  NAK NAK BOLT 9 1 2nk 31½   47½ 719 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5.20  
8  OVERLY D'ORO 7 4 1010¾ 1012½   1014½ 820 (cook b)ROCCO S 119 12.00 25.80  
12  FROSTED DEPARTURE 11 10 85¼ 74½   79½ 922¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 19% 4.40 3.80  
11  MACHO VILLA 10 2 3½ 42   912½ 1026¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 6.00  
9  CAPACITY 8 7 1111¾ 1113½   1116½ 1126½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 119 20.00 42.70  
SCR  MABUHAY               (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 ★    
 
CD-4   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GUNNING 3 7 73¼ 62¾   11 15 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.00 16% 5.10 1.70 W
5  PLEASE BE KIND 4 11 1nk 1½   21 25 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 16.10  
10  MY LILY MAE 9 3 127¼ 107¾   54 36½ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 4.50 32% 2.10 18.50 S
11  ROMANCE NOVEL 10 5 3½ 3½   42½ 47¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 6.50  
12  SAVO ISLAND 11 10 41½ 2½   32½ 58¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 11.50  
8  TUBMAN 7 12 94¾ 97¼   87¾ 611¼ (mcgaughey i)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 24.90  
7  BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE 6 2 116¼ 85¼   77½ 712 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 43.00  
3  DREAMALOT 2 1 52 52½   65½ 813¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 18% 4.50 2.20  
6  LIL TOWN SIS 5 4 106¼ 118¼   911¼ 917¾ (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00 60.80  
13  EXPLICATE 12 8 83¾ 75¼   1013¼ 1023¼ (bicknell wh)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 91.90  
9  AMERICAN PYRAMID 8 6 63 1210¼   1115¼ 1126¼ (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 11% 7.90 9.60  
1  AMARYLLIS KISS 1 9 2nk 42   1218¾ 1234¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.00  
SCR  BAL A BAE BEE               (hill f)MILLER CHASE 119 50.00    
SCR  DIVINE HOPE               (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  ROLLESTON               (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  TAKE CARE               (medina r)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   07/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SWING SHIFT (GB) 10 1 3.2 1nk   11½ 11½ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.20 4.70 W
4  LET MY PEOPLE GO 4 2 62¾ 51¼   21½ 21½ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 30.50  
3  PRAYFORPEACE 3 5 4¾ 61¾   54 32¾ (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 8.90  
7  TEXAS RED HOT 7 10 108¼ 96¾   86 44 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 13% 6.70 17.70  
1  UNIFIED REPORT 1 6 84¼ 74¼   75½ 54½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.30 22.90  
2  HIPPODROME 2 7 1nk 3½   43 65 (cash l)COURT K 122 5.00 10.60  
6  SPANKSTER 6 4 52¾ 41   32½ 75½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 15% 5.70 1.70  
5  MENDENHALL 5 3 2nk 2nk   65½ 89¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 3.10  
8  PATIENT CAPITAL 8 8 73¾ 84¾   99 911½ (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 9.70  
10  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 9 9 96¼ 108¾   1011 1013½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 50.00 35.80  
SCR  SACRED SAMURAI               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
 
CD-6   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:102 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WICKED HALO 3 4 3½ 3½ 1½ 12½ 14¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 30% 2.30 0.30 W
1  HEARTYCONSTITUTION 1 2 2nk 1½ 2½ 22½ 24¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 ★ 1.90 P
5  ZAWISH 4 3 41½ 42 32 33½ 35 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 13.60  
3  VERYLITTLECENTS 2 1 1nk 2½ 45 47½ 418¾ (morse l)COURT K 118 8.00 15% 5.60 10.30  
SCR  PATNA               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY WIFE               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  SANDSTONE               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
CD-7   07/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:13 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RATTLE N ROLL 7 6 63½ 42 31 1½ 12 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.70 W
8  KUCHAR 6 5 31½ 21 11 2½ 22 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 17% 4.80 3.90 P
7  RED RUN 5 3 42½ 52½ 42½ 33 35¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 10.00  
4  KITODAN 3 8 75½ 63½ 63¼ 44 46 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 12% 7.20 10.70  
3  SEARCH ENGINE 2 1 21 31½ 53 66 57¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 10.60  
2  JR'S GIFT 1 2 52½ 74 86¼ 77½ 69½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 6% 17.00 43.90  
5  MCLAREN VALE 4 4 11 11 21 56 713¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
11  O P FIRECRACKER 8 7 86 85½ 75¾ 811 824½ (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 9.20  
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  FOWLER BLUE               (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN               (sims phil)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   07/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHEDARESTHEDEVIL 5 2 21½ 23 21½ 2nk 11¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40 W
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STARSHIP WARPSPEED by CONGRATS)
1  SUPER QUICK 1 3 11½ 13 11½ 1nk 21¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.00 12% 7.10 2.40 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of QUICK TOWN by CAPE TOWN)
4  PAULINE'S PEARL 4 4 44½ 46 44 34 35¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.40 S
  (by TAPIT out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
2  SHE'S ALL WOLFE 2 1 54½ 57 56 45 47 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 ★ 14.70  
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
3  AVA'S GRACE 3 5 33 34½ 33 57 513¾ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 ★ 22.20  
  (by LAOBAN out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
 
CD-9   07/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALOHA WEST 3 5 42 31   21½ 1¼ (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 62% 0.60 0.90 W
9  MILES AHEAD 7 2 32 21   32 2¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 5% 19.00 15.00 P
3  KNEEDEEPINSNOW 2 1 11 11   11½ 32¼ (shirer m)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 6.70  
5  BANGO 4 3 52½ 63¾   54 45¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 ★ 2.10  
2  HEART RHYTHM 1 6 76 76¾   77½ 58 (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 15.00 12.10  
6  BOB'S EDGE 5 4 63½ 52¼   43½ 68½ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 6.00 10% 9.40 10.80  
7  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM 6 7 21 41¼   66 78½ (ennis john)BEJARANO R 123 30.00 27.50  
SCR  A C EXPRESSWAY               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME GERRY               (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 ★    
 
CD-10   07/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:351   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OLYMPIAD 3 2 2½ 21 2½ 12½ 12¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  AMERICANREVOLUTION 2 1 53 43 43 22½ 22¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 17% 5.00 3.70 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
5  PROXY 5 5 77½ 79 711 68 35 (stidham michae)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 ★ 11.20 S
  (by TAPIT out of PANTY RAID by INCLUDE)
6  MANDALOUN 6 4 31½ 31½ 31 45½ 49 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 15% 5.60 2.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BROOCH by HALO)
4  TITLE READY 4 7 65 63½ 53½ 56 510¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 48.80  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TITLE SEEKER by MONARCHOS)
1  CADDO RIVER 1 3 1½ 11 1½ 34 611 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 ★ 4.90  
  (by HARD SPUN out of PANGBURN by CONGRATS)
7  LAST SAMURAI 7 6 42 53 67 711 716 (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 8.00 24.00  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CD-11   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMUSING ANTICS 2 1 11½ 1½   11½ 12¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 27.10  
8  ALTERED SHOT 8 4 21½ 2½   21½ 22¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 126 4.00 8% 11.80 4.80 P
9  RECODED 9 3 32½ 33   33½ 34 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 29.20  
4  REGAL RETORT 4 6 53 65   45½ 44¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 ★ 3.00  
1  BE LIKE WATER 1 11 94¾ 86½   67½ 57 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 9.50  
11  MILLEFEUILLE 11 10 84¼ 44   57 67 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 12% 7.10 2.00  
5  LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG) 5 7 116½ 108   89 77½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 16.10  
10  MALLOY 10 9 105 97   99 87¾ (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 42.70  
7  STERLING MISS 7 5 74¼ 76   109½ 911¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 36% 1.80 9.50  
3  SHE'S A DIME 3 8 43 54½   78½ 1011¾ (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 59.90  
6  HONORIFIQUE 6 2 63¼ 118½   1111½ 1115¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 19% 4.20 7.60  
 
CD-12   07/02/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:142 1:391   1:571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALEJANDRO 9 4 54 63 53 41½ 11 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 51% 0.90 1.90 W
11  TIZ RYE TIME 10 5 43½ 42½ 42½ 1½ 21 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 ★ 10.50 P
8  C FALLS 7 1 1nk 2½ 21 2½ 33¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00 19.50  
3  BOURBON THUNDER 2 3 2nk 1½ 11 3½ 43¼ (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 5.50  
5  SOUTHERN PASSAGE 4 6 76¼ 74½ 85 54½ 54½ (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 13% 6.40 5.00  
9  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 8 8 86¾ 96 63½ 64¾ 64¾ (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 15.20  
2  GREATHEART 1 2 32½ 31½ 32½ 75¼ 77¾ (ortiz john )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.50 12% 7.50 4.80  
6  ROGUE ELEMENT 5 10 1012¾ 1012 1012 87¾ 89½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 125 20.00 18.60  
4  CURBSTONE 3 7 66 53 74½ 910¼ 915¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 16.20  
7  MR. TIP 6 9 98¾ 85½ 97 1010¾ 1020 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 ★ 12.20  
SCR  FULL CHARGE               (west w)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
SCR  KEEPCALMCARRYON               (margolis ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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