Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - July 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAICI 4 3 1nk 1nk   11 1 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 32.60  
CIGARETTE BOAT 9 4 6 52   32 2 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 26% 2.90 7.10 P
MO'S TREASURE 8 1 3½ 2nk   21 3 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 10.90  
RARIFIED FLAIR 6 7 9 98   66 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 44.50  
BOXSTER 5 2 2nk 3½   54 5 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 42% 1.40 1.00  
IRONSIDES 3 5 5 4   4 6 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 32.90  
11  MR BINGO 11 8 75 7   7 7 (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 4.40  
10  SABURO'S GRACE 10 11 1010½ 10   99 8 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 40.50  
SYNTACTIC 7 10 1111 11   109 9 (o'nei)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 35.40  
HILL OF TARA 1 6 41 6   8 1010¼ (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 14.20  
HALLOW POINT 2 9 8 8   1111 1114¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 11% 8.30 6.20  
 
CD-2   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:223 :451 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLIS 7 1 11 12   13 1½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 12% 7.10 2.20 W
NECKER ISLAND 1 3 43 44   33 2½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 20% 4.10 2.00 P
LONG RANGE TODDY 5 2 21 22   4 3 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 3.10  
LONG WEEKEND 4 4 53 33   23 4 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 9.60  
MANNY WAH 6 7 76 7   6 55 (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 14.60  
ROBO MAN 3 6 64 6   5 65 (pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 7% 14.20 8.40  
JALEN JOURNEY 2 5 3 55   7 710½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 13.10  
SCR  SPECIAL RESERVE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
CD-3   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:214 :452 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMON'S MOUND 4 9 5 1   15 112½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 20% 4.10 4.40 W
EASY BIG BOY 2 3 1nk 2   25 212½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 39% 1.60 3.50 P
CONFIDENCE GAME 3 8 7 5   36 313 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 8.70  
BLOCKED 1 6 6 8   68 413¾ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.10  
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 6 5 4 64   5 516¼ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 39.40  
MAYFIELD STRONG 5 11 9 9   811 617½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 21.10  
10  NAK NAK BOLT 9 1 2nk 3   4 719 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5.20  
OVERLY D'ORO 7 4 1010¾ 1012½   1014½ 820 (cook b)ROCCO S 119 12.00 25.80  
12  FROSTED DEPARTURE 11 10 8 7   7 922¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 19% 4.40 3.80  
11  MACHO VILLA 10 2 3½ 42   912½ 1026¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6.00  
CAPACITY 8 7 1111¾ 1113½   1116½ 1126½ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 119 20.00 42.70  
SCR  MABUHAY               (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
 
CD-4   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNING 3 7 7 6   11 15 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 4.00 16% 5.10 1.70 W
PLEASE BE KIND 4 11 1nk 1½   21 25 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 16.10  
10  MY LILY MAE 9 3 12 10   54 3 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 4.50 32% 2.10 18.50 S
11  ROMANCE NOVEL 10 5 3½ 3½   4 4 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6.50  
12  SAVO ISLAND 11 10 4 2½   3 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 11.50  
TUBMAN 7 12 9 9   8 611¼ (mcgaughey iii)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 24.90  
BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE 6 2 11 8   7 712 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 43.00  
DREAMALOT 2 1 52 5   6 813¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 18% 4.50 2.20  
LIL TOWN SIS 5 4 10 11   911¼ 917¾ (lovell michell)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00 60.80  
13  EXPLICATE 12 8 8 7   1013¼ 1023¼ (bicknell whit)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 91.90  
AMERICAN PYRAMID 8 6 63 1210¼   1115¼ 1126¼ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 11% 7.90 9.60  
AMARYLLIS KISS 1 9 2nk 42   1218¾ 1234¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.00  
SCR  BAL A BAE BEE               (hill f)MILLER CHASE 119 50.00    
SCR  DIVINE HOPE               (taylor bren)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  ROLLESTON               (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  TAKE CARE               (medina rob)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   07/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SWING SHIFT (GB) 10 1 3.2 1nk   1 1 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.20 4.70 W
LET MY PEOPLE GO 4 2 6 5   2 2 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 30.50  
PRAYFORPEACE 3 5 4¾ 6   54 3 (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 8.90  
TEXAS RED HOT 7 10 10 9   86 44 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 13% 6.70 17.70  
UNIFIED REPORT 1 6 8 7   7 5 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.30 22.90  
HIPPODROME 2 7 1nk 3½   43 65 (cash l)COURT K 122 5.00 10.60  
SPANKSTER 6 4 5 41   3 7 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 15% 5.70 1.70  
MENDENHALL 5 3 2nk 2nk   6 8 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 3.10  
PATIENT CAPITAL 8 8 7 8   99 911½ (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 9.70  
10  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 9 9 9 10   1011 1013½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 50.00 35.80  
SCR  SACRED SAMURAI               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
 
CD-6   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:102 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED HALO 3 4 3½ 3½ 1½ 1 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 30% 2.30 0.30 W
HEARTYCONSTITUTION 1 2 2nk 1½ 2½ 2 2 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 1.90 P
ZAWISH 4 3 4 42 32 3 35 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 13.60  
VERYLITTLECENTS 2 1 1nk 2½ 45 4 418¾ (morse l)COURT K 118 8.00 15% 5.60 10.30  
SCR  PATNA               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY WIFE               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  SANDSTONE               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
CD-7   07/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:13 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLE N ROLL 7 6 6 42 31 1½ 12 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.70 W
KUCHAR 6 5 3 21 11 2½ 22 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 17% 4.80 3.90 P
RED RUN 5 3 4 5 4 33 3 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 10.00  
KITODAN 3 8 7 6 6 44 46 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 12% 7.20 10.70  
SEARCH ENGINE 2 1 21 3 53 66 5 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 10.60  
JR'S GIFT 1 2 5 74 8 7 6 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 6% 17.00 43.90  
MCLAREN VALE 4 4 11 11 21 56 713¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
11  O P FIRECRACKER 8 7 86 8 7 811 824½ (medina rob)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 9.20  
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  FOWLER BLUE               (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN               (sims philip)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   07/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEDARESTHEDEVIL 5 2 2 23 2 2nk 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40 W
SUPER QUICK 1 3 1 13 1 1nk 2 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.00 12% 7.10 2.40 P
PAULINE'S PEARL 4 4 4 46 44 34 3 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.40 S
SHE'S ALL WOLFE 2 1 5 57 56 45 47 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 14.70  
AVA'S GRACE 3 5 33 3 33 57 513¾ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 22.20  
 
CD-9   07/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOHA WEST 3 5 42 31   2 1¼ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 62% 0.60 0.90 W
MILES AHEAD 7 2 32 21   32 2¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 5% 19.00 15.00 P
KNEEDEEPINSNOW 2 1 11 11   1 3 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 6.70  
BANGO 4 3 5 6   54 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 2.10  
HEART RHYTHM 1 6 76 7   7 58 (dunca)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 15.00 12.10  
BOB'S EDGE 5 4 6 5   4 6 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 6.00 10% 9.40 10.80  
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM 6 7 21 4   66 7 (ennis john)BEJARANO R 123 30.00 27.50  
SCR  A C EXPRESSWAY               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
SCR  AWESOME GERRY               (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00    
 
CD-10   07/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:351   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLYMPIAD 3 2 2½ 21 2½ 1 1 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50 W
AMERICANREVOLUTION 2 1 53 43 43 2 2 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 17% 5.00 3.70 P
PROXY 5 5 7 79 711 68 35 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 11.20 S
MANDALOUN 6 4 3 3 31 4 49 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 15% 5.60 2.30  
TITLE READY 4 7 65 6 5 56 510¼ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 48.80  
CADDO RIVER 1 3 1½ 11 1½ 34 611 (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 4.90  
LAST SAMURAI 7 6 42 53 67 711 716 (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 8.00 24.00  
 
CD-11   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUSING ANTICS 2 1 1 1½   1 1 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 27.10  
ALTERED SHOT 8 4 2 2½   2 2 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 126 4.00 8% 11.80 4.80 P
RECODED 9 3 3 33   3 34 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 29.20  
REGAL RETORT 4 6 53 65   4 4 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 3.00  
BE LIKE WATER 1 11 9 8   6 57 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 9.50  
11  MILLEFEUILLE 11 10 8 44   57 67 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 12% 7.10 2.00  
LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG) 5 7 11 108   89 7 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 16.10  
10  MALLOY 10 9 105 97   99 8 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 42.70  
STERLING MISS 7 5 7 76   10 911¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 36% 1.80 9.50  
SHE'S A DIME 3 8 43 5   7 1011¾ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 59.90  
HONORIFIQUE 6 2 6 11   1111½ 1115¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 19% 4.20 7.60  
 
CD-12   07/02/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:142 1:391   1:571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALEJANDRO 9 4 54 63 53 4 11 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 51% 0.90 1.90 W
11  TIZ RYE TIME 10 5 4 4 4 1½ 21 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 10.50 P
C FALLS 7 1 1nk 2½ 21 2½ 3 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00 19.50  
BOURBON THUNDER 2 3 2nk 1½ 11 3½ 4 (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 5.50  
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 4 6 7 7 85 5 5 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 13% 6.40 5.00  
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 8 8 8 96 6 6 6 (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 15.20  
GREATHEART 1 2 3 3 3 7 7 (ortiz al)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.50 12% 7.50 4.80  
ROGUE ELEMENT 5 10 1012¾ 1012 1012 8 8 (hiles a)LANERIE J 125 20.00 18.60  
CURBSTONE 3 7 66 53 7 910¼ 915¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 16.20  
MR. TIP 6 9 9 8 97 1010¾ 1020 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 12.20  
SCR  FULL CHARGE               (west w)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
SCR  KEEPCALMCARRYON               (margolis steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.