Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - July 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILL OF TARA Jun19 May05       (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 ★    
2  HALLOW POINT         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 11% 8.30    
3  IRONSIDES         (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
4  ZAICI Jun09         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
5  BOXSTER Jun02         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  RARIFIED FLAIR         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
7  SYNTACTIC         (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
8  MO'S TREASURE Jun02 May04 Apr08     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
9  CIGARETTE BOAT Jun02 May04       (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
10  SABURO'S GRACE         (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
11  MR BINGO         (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 ★    
 
CD-2   07/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECKER ISLAND Jun04 May07 Apr02 Feb21 Jan15 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  JALEN JOURNEY Jun04 May08 Mar25     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 ★    
3  ROBO MAN         (pierce lacy)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  SPECIAL RESERVE         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  LONG WEEKEND May08 Mar18 Feb21 Feb03   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
6  LONG RANGE TODDY Jun04 May07 Apr09 Jan15   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
7  MANNY WAH May28 May04 Apr09 Feb21 Jan22 (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00    
8  HOLLIS May21 Mar19 Feb20 Jan29   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
CD-3   07/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOCKED         (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
2  EASY BIG BOY Jun10 May20       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 39% 1.60    
3  CONFIDENCE GAME         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
SCR  MABUHAY Jun02 Apr28       (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 ★    
5  DAMON'S MOUND         (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 20% 4.10    
6  MAYFIELD STRONG         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
7  HE'S A GOOD DANCER         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00    
8  OVERLY D'ORO May29 May12       (cook b)ROCCO S 119 12.00    
9  CAPACITY Jun10         (engler jeff)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
10  NAK NAK BOLT Jun23         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
11  MACHO VILLA Jun10         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
12  FROSTED DEPARTURE         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
CD-4   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMARYLLIS KISS         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  BAL A BAE BEE Jun11         (hill f)MILLER CHASE 119 50.00    
3  DREAMALOT         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  GUNNING Jun04         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
5  PLEASE BE KIND Jun04 Apr23 Mar23     (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
6  LIL TOWN SIS Jun04         (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00    
7  BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE May06 Apr08 Feb12 Jan22   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
8  TUBMAN         (mcgaughey i)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
9  AMERICAN PYRAMID Jun11 Apr27 Apr08     (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
10  MY LILY MAE May14 Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Jan23 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 4.50 32% 2.10    
11  ROMANCE NOVEL Jun18         (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
12  SAVO ISLAND         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
13  EXPLICATE Jun18         (bicknell wh)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
SCR  DIVINE HOPE Jun18 May26       (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  TAKE CARE         (medina r)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  ROLLESTON         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   07/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIFIED REPORT Apr30 Apr08 Mar12 Feb05 Jan22 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.30    
2  HIPPODROME Jun17 Jun08 May28 Apr14   (cash l)COURT K 122 5.00    
3  PRAYFORPEACE Jun19 May29 May14 Mar24 Feb28 (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
4  LET MY PEOPLE GO May22 Apr29 Mar27     (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
5  MENDENHALL Jun04 May07 Apr03 Mar05   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
6  SPANKSTER Jun12 Apr29 Apr02     (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
7  TEXAS RED HOT Feb26         (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 13% 6.70    
8  PATIENT CAPITAL May07 Apr01       (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  SACRED SAMURAI Jun04 Apr29       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.60    
10  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jun17 May29 May18 Apr29 Mar17 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 50.00    
11  SWING SHIFT (GB) Apr02 Mar02 Jan29     (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
CD-6   07/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTYCONSTITUTION Jun03 Apr02 Feb26 Jan23   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  PATNA Jun11 Apr28 Mar26     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  VERYLITTLECENTS May20 Mar26 Feb19     (morse l)COURT K 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
4  WICKED HALO Jun12 May06 Mar26 Feb19   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  ZAWISH May14 Apr16 Mar05 Feb12   (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY WIFE Jul01 May28 Apr30 Apr13   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  SANDSTONE Jun11 Apr02       (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
CD-7   07/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOWLER BLUE May30 May08 Apr17 Mar27 Feb27 (o'neill doug)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
2  JR'S GIFT Jun12 May27 Apr02 Mar12 Feb23 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 6% 17.00    
3  SEARCH ENGINE May28 Apr16 Feb18     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
4  KITODAN Jun04 May15 Apr02 Mar06 Feb06 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 12% 7.20    
5  MCLAREN VALE Jun08 May07 Apr16 Jan29   (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH Apr16 Feb26       (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
7  RED RUN Jun04 May07 Apr02 Jan30   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
8  KUCHAR May22 Apr23 Mar13 Feb12   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
9  RATTLE N ROLL Jun12 May21 Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN May28 Apr29       (sims phil)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
11  O P FIRECRACKER Jun09 May17 Apr09 Mar05 Jan22 (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 
CD-8   07/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER QUICK May20 Apr22 Mar16     (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 2.00 12% 7.10    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of QUICK TOWN by CAPE TOWN)
2  SHE'S ALL WOLFE Jun04 May06 Mar12 Feb12   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 ★    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
3  AVA'S GRACE Jun04 May06 Apr08 Mar12 Feb12 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
4  PAULINE'S PEARL Jun04 May06 Mar12 Jan30   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by TAPIT out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
5  SHEDARESTHEDEVIL May06 Mar12       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STARSHIP WARPSPEED by CONGRATS)
 
CD-9   07/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME GERRY May28 Apr16 Mar05     (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 ★    
2  HEART RHYTHM Jun05 May08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan23 (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 15.00    
3  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Jun11 Apr29 Mar19 Jan30 Jan14 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
4  ALOHA WEST Jun11 May07       (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 62% 0.60    
5  BANGO Jun04 May04       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 ★    
6  BOB'S EDGE Jun04 Apr16 Mar19 Jan29   (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 6.00 10% 9.40    
7  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jun03 Apr28       (ennis john)BEJARANO R 123 30.00    
SCR  A C EXPRESSWAY May30 May07 Apr02 Feb18 Jan16 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
9  MILES AHEAD Jun04 Apr30 Feb19 Jan16   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   07/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADDO RIVER Jun05 May01 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PANGBURN by CONGRATS)
2  AMERICANREVOLUTION Jun04         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
3  OLYMPIAD May06 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  TITLE READY May06 Apr02 Jan29     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TITLE SEEKER by MONARCHOS)
5  PROXY Jun04 Apr23 Mar26 Feb25   (stidham michae)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of PANTY RAID by INCLUDE)
6  MANDALOUN Jan22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 15% 5.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BROOCH by HALO)
7  LAST SAMURAI Apr23 Apr03 Feb12     (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CD-11   07/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE LIKE WATER Jun02 Apr13 Mar13     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 10.00    
2  AMUSING ANTICS Feb25 Jan23       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
3  SHE'S A DIME May29 Apr03       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
4  REGAL RETORT May03 Apr15 Feb19 Jan29   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 ★    
5  LINDALEVESOLTA (ARG)         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
6  HONORIFIQUE May29 Apr15 Mar03 Jan15   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
7  STERLING MISS May29 Apr30 Mar12 Feb14   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
8  ALTERED SHOT Jun12 May21 Apr30 Mar19   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 126 4.00 8% 11.80    
9  RECODED May29 May03 Apr16 Mar19 Jan22 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
10  MALLOY Jun11 May14 Mar09 Jan15   (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00    
11  MILLEFEUILLE May03 Apr09 Feb12     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
CD-12   07/02/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEEPCALMCARRYON May29         (margolis ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
2  GREATHEART May12 Apr22 Mar25 Mar04   (ortiz john )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  BOURBON THUNDER May30         (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 123 10.00    
4  CURBSTONE Jun09 May03 Mar04 Jan30   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
5  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Jun19 May30 May12 Apr16   (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 13% 6.40    
6  ROGUE ELEMENT Jun09 Apr24 Feb03 Jan23   (hiles a)LANERIE J 125 20.00    
7  MR. TIP May28 May06 Apr16     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 ★    
8  C FALLS May15 Apr29 Mar19 Feb26 Jan28 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00    
9  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Jun04 Apr29 Mar13 Jan15   (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
10  ALEJANDRO Jun09 May12 Apr02 Mar04   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 51% 0.90    
11  TIZ RYE TIME Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 Feb09 Jan12 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  FULL CHARGE Jun09 May12 Apr15 Feb23 Jan13 (west w)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.