The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Sunday - July 24, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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SAR-1   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:23 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLAZING SEVENS 8 3 31½ 21½   1nk 16¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★ 4.60  
4  BOURBON BASH 4 2 11 11½   2nk 26¼ (lukas wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 6.00  
5  UPGRADE 5 6 73¾ 58   47¾ 310¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5.50  
1  FAITHFUL AND TRUE 1 7 63¼ 36½   37½ 411½ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 38% 1.60 2.45  
2  BAT FLIP 2 8 85¼ 811½   710¾ 514½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 13% 6.50 3.50  
6  NO CONFESSION 6 1 21 68½   69¾ 615¾ (mc john)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 30.00 ★ 44.25  
3  SAINT IN THE CITY 3 4 41½ 47   59¼ 716¼ (mott i)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 15.50  
7  WASABI BOY 7 5 53 79   811¾ 819½ (falcone n)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 26% 2.90 6.90  
 
SAR-2   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:25 :482 1:13     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMPERSAND 2 7 43½ 2nk 12½ 14 14½ (serpe m)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 59% 0.70 1.30 W
7  AMEDEUS MUSIC 7 5 54½ 56¾ 47 35½ 24½ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 12.70  
1  ICON 1 6 65½ 33 22½ 24 35¼ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 18% 4.60 3.55 S
4  ONCE A GIANT 4 1 32 1nk 34 48 411½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 ★ 2.10  
5  MR. FIDGET 5 4 76 79¼ 514 516 519¾ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 ★ 15.00  
6  LORD BROWNIE 6 3 1½ 67¾ 718 721 626½ (sciacca gary)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 ★ 20.90  
8  ALITE 8 2 2½ 46½ 615 621 730 (pringle edmund)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00 44.00  
3  STUD PUPPY 3 8 814 824¼ 843 852 877½ (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00 39.50  
 
SAR-3   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:222 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOCTOR LOVE 3 6 45½ 41½   13 14½ (stewart dallas)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 ★ 3.95  
1A  GOT THE GOLD 7 4 610½ 59½   56 24½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.50 61% 0.60 8.80  
6  MOONSHININGBRIGHT 5 1 2½ 2½   33 37 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 9.80  
3  TACO BEAN 2 3 3½ 3½   23 47¾ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 ★ 2.55  
5  RAW COURAGE 4 7 714 712¾   710½ 512¼ (toscano t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00 21.10  
2  POWER AGENDA 1 2 1½ 1½   43½ 615 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 11% 7.90 1.35  
7  CAJUN COMMANDER 6 5 510 69¾   69½ 716½ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 122 10.00 ★ 19.30  
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★    
 
SAR-4   07/24/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:213 :441 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ANGELO 1 5 11 11   12½ 12½ (serpe m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 ★ 3.95  
7  BATTLE STATION 6 1 42 31   22½ 22½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 9% 9.80 7.70 P
6  PHANTOM SMOKE 5 3 21 41½   32½ 32¾ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 38% 1.70 1.40 S
2  SWASHBUCKLE 2 4 31 21   44½ 44½ (clement christophe)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 5.90  
3  BREW PUB 3 7 73¾ 73¼   67 56½ (arenas marcelo)MENA E 126 30.00 47.75  
5  CALL ME HARRY 4 6 52½ 52   56 67 (hemingway michelle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 25% 3.00 4.30  
8  SHIRAZ 7 2 63½ 62¼   77½ 79¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7.60  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  DR. DUKE               (antonucci m)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
 
SAR-5   07/24/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
:244 :492 1:14 1:392   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLAIRIERE 4 1 43 42 41½ 1nk 11½ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.00 23% 3.30 1.50 W
3  MALATHAAT 3 4 32½ 31½ 31 3.2 21½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 0.80 48% 1.10 0.60 P
2  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL 2 3 21 2½ 1½ 2nk 33¼ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 ★ 8.80 S
1  EXOTIC WEST 1 2 11 1½ 2½ 47¼ 418¾ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 ★ 14.60  
 
SAR-6   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
:22 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KALING 2 3 21 21½   1½ 12¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 ★ 3.40  
7  RARIFY 5 5 11 11½   2½ 22¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.80 1.05 P
8  RANDOMIZED 6 1 31 31½   36 36½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★ 6.50 S
5  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA 3 2 65 66½   47½ 47 (lukas wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 ★ 14.90  
6  VAHVA 4 4 54½ 45   59 514 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.60  
3  WATCH THIS MUNNY 1 6 44 56   615 627¼ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 7.90  
SCR  GRACEFUL               (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 50.00    
SCR  KEY OF LIFE               (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 54% 0.80    
 
SAR-7   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 4:29
:251 :503 1:144 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOWHEAD 9 2 11½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 1hd (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
5  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 3 7 43½ 42½ 32½ 2½ 2hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 23% 3.30   P
1  CORNINGSTONE 2 3 64½ 64½ 44½ 43½ 31¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
7  BORN DAPPER 5 1 32 2½ 2½ 32 43 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 8% 11.80    
10  TREASURED GEM 7 6 53½ 52½ 55 56 57¼ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
8  RAPID MISS TAPIT 6 5 21½ 31 68 619 622½ (mc john)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 50.00 5% 19.00    
6  HELLA ELLA 4 8 99 910 819½ 745½ 749 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPUNK 1 9 88½ 87½ 925½ 857 858 (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
11  HOLA GATA 8 4 77 75 718½ 968 991 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SCR  BISSET               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  LOVE TANK               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  STAY LOST               (o'brien patrick)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/24/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:232 :463 1:12     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SWIFTSURE 5 1 11 1½   13½ 14¼ (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 24% 3.20 1.10 W
6  TOTALIZER 4 2 21 2½   23½ 24¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 4.80  
2  GOOD CULTURE 2 5 56½ 56½   36½ 35 (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 ★ 4.60 S
1  PICO D'ORO 1 3 42 44   410 412¾ (caramori caio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 10.80  
4  EMERALD EXPRESS 3 4 32 32½   514 523½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  KINETIC SKY               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-9   07/24/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
:211 :443 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOTA BENE 3 7 76 73   4¾ 11¼ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 ★ 5.50  
8  TUSCAN QUEEN 8 3 42 21   1½ 21¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 ★ 3.65 P
2  A LITTLE FAITH 2 2 31½ 31   3½ 32¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 11% 7.90 4.40 S
1  OSIRIA 1 1 1½ 11   2½ 43 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 9% 9.80 2.35  
6  CAIRONI 6 8 810 87   73¾ 53½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 13.40  
5  BLAZING STAR (GB) 5 5 53 52   52¾ 64¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 9.10  
4  BOXING DAY 4 6 64½ 62½   63¾ 77 (walsh p)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 8.40  
7  NEON SUMMER 7 4 2½ 41½   815¾ 847¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 13.10  
SCR  BABA               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 0.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  CHASING CARA               (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
 
SAR-10   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:24 :48 1:12 1:36   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EMBOITE (IRE) 4 4 32½ 32 32 2½ 1¼ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9.00  
2  WHAT A DUDE 2 3 43½ 43 53½ 42 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 33% 2.00 5.00 P
5  GOOD MEDICINE 5 8 97½ 96 77 53 31¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 8.10  
3  DRAKON 3 2 11 1½ 11 1½ 42½ (russell t)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 18.90  
1  SMOKE AND HEAT 1 1 75½ 74½ 65½ 64 52¾ (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 5% 17.30 6.20  
9  FUNDING GAP (IRE) 9 9 87 85½ 87½ 85 64½ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 8.60  
8  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 8 7 21 2½ 21 31½ 75¾ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 29% 2.50 7.90  
6  PIVOTAL MISSION 6 5 64½ 53½ 42½ 74 85¾ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.80 4.70  
7  STREET VENDOR 7 6 54½ 64 98½ 914 922½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★ 3.15  
SCR  CHEEKY TICO               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.