Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITHFUL AND TRUE         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  BAT FLIP         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  SAINT IN THE CITY         (mott william)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
4  BOURBON BASH         (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
5  UPGRADE         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
6  NO CONFESSION Jul02 Jun18 Jun04     (mc )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 30.00 ★    
7  WASABI BOY Jul02 May27       (falcone )SANTANA JR 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  BLAZING SEVENS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   07/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICON Jun23         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  AMPERSAND May27 May08 Apr08 Mar05 Jan08 (serpe philip )ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 59% 0.70    
3  STUD PUPPY May30 May22 Apr08 Mar20 Feb27 (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
4  ONCE A GIANT Jun04 May08 Apr08 Feb05 Jan20 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 ★    
5  MR. FIDGET May01 Apr02 Feb20 Feb11 Jan27 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 ★    
6  LORD BROWNIE May28 May13 Apr24 Mar31 Feb25 (sciacca ga)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 ★    
7  AMEDEUS MUSIC Jul15 Jun25 May20 Apr30 Apr14 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
8  ALITE Jul08 Jun19 May28 May05 Apr14 (pri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOT THE GOLD Jul08 May15 Apr16 Feb27 Jan06 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER May27 May21 May05 Mar13 Feb13 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★    
2  POWER AGENDA Jun11 May05       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 11% 7.90    
3  TACO BEAN Jun05 Apr24 Apr01 Mar13 Feb26 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 ★    
4  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Jun22 May19 Mar25 Jan16   (stewart dal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 ★    
5  RAW COURAGE Jun23 May13 Apr29 Mar18 Feb05 (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
6  MOONSHININGBRIGHT Jul03 May29       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
7  CAJUN COMMANDER Jun30 May08 Apr15 Mar18 Jan21 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-4   07/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ANGELO Jun04         (serpe m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 ★    
2  SWASHBUCKLE Jun04 Apr21       (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50    
3  BREW PUB May29 May14 Apr16 Mar20 Feb13 (arenas marcelo)MENA E 126 30.00    
SCR  DR. DUKE May28 Apr10 Mar09 Feb06 Jan09 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
5  CALL ME HARRY Jul04 Jun03       (hemingway )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
6  PHANTOM SMOKE Jun26         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
7  BATTLE STATION Jul04 Jun10 May28 Apr23 Jan08 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
8  SHIRAZ Jun26 Jun16       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH Jun11 May08 Mar20 Mar11 Feb06 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Jul04 Jun16 May14 Mar31 Mar19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 ★    
 
SAR-5   07/24/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXOTIC WEST May20 Apr10 Feb25 Jan16   (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL Jun25 Apr22 Apr02 Feb26   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of INDIAN BURN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MALATHAAT Jun11 Apr22       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 0.80 48% 1.10    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
4  CLAIRIERE Jun11 Apr23 Mar16     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CURLIN out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
 
SAR-6   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACEFUL Jul02         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 50.00    
SCR  KEY OF LIFE (IRE) Jun25         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 54% 0.80    
3  WATCH THIS MUNNY Jun25         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
4  KALING         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 ★    
5  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA         (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 ★    
6  VAHVA         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
7  RARIFY         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  RANDOMIZED         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNINGSTONE Jul08 Jun17       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
1A  TOWHEAD Jun17 May26       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  STAY LOST         (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
SCR  LOVE TANK Jun30 Jun05       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
4  SPUNK         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
5  IDEA GENERATION (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  HELLA ELLA         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BORN DAPPER Jul02 May28       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 8% 11.80    
8  RAPID MISS TAPIT Jul01 Jun17       (mc )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
10  TREASURED GEM         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
11  HOLA GATA         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL Jul04         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  BISSET Jul01         (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
SAR-8   07/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICO D'ORO Jun26 Jun08 May16     (caramori ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
2  GOOD CULTURE Jun11 Apr22 Mar20 Feb13 Jan16 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  KINETIC SKY         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  EMERALD EXPRESS Jun08 May20 Mar18 Feb21 Jan22 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 ★    
6  TOTALIZER Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Jan27 Jan05 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
7  SWIFTSURE Jun26         (brisset )SANTANA JR 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
SAR-9   07/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSIRIA May27 Apr09 Feb06     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 9% 9.80    
2  A LITTLE FAITH Jul02         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
3  NOTA BENE Jul02 May15 Apr22 Mar18 Jan01 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 ★    
4  BOXING DAY May14 Mar24 Mar04     (walsh br)SANTANA JR 120 3.50    
5  BLAZING STAR (GB) May29 May03       (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
6  CAIRONI Jun16 May14       (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
7  NEON SUMMER Jul04 May22 May01 Mar23 Mar03 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
8  TUSCAN QUEEN Jul02         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  CHASING CARA Jul09 May19 Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
SCR  BABA Jul09 Jun10 May27 Apr15 Mar18 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 0.80 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-10   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKE AND HEAT Jun24 May01 Apr01     (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 5% 17.30    
2  WHAT A DUDE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  DRAKON Jun11         (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
4  EMBOITE (IRE) Jul02 May29       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
5  GOOD MEDICINE Jun18 May20 Apr23     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
6  PIVOTAL MISSION Jun24         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.80    
7  STREET VENDOR Jul03         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
8  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Jun11 May08 Apr22     (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 29% 2.50    
9  FUNDING GAP (IRE)         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
SCR  CHEEKY TICO Jul01 Jun11 May07 Apr21 Feb03 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.