Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:132 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REALLY GOOD 1 4 56 47½ 42½ 2nk 11½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.10  
5  COACH PETRO 5 1 34 35½ 31½ 1nk 21½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 2.40  
1  PLEASE BABY 3 7 1010¼ 812½ 97 73¾ 33½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 7% 13.70 23.30  
9  RECKONING FORCE 10 10 66 58 53 52¾ 44½ (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 5.90  
7  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 7 2 99¾ 914½ 64½ 63¼ 54¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 28% 2.50 1.90  
6  TWO MINUTES APART 6 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 32 69½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
4  WIDERIGHT 4 5 89½ 1017½ 109½ 87¾ 79½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
8  MO'S TREASURE 9 9 1½ 1½ 2½ 42½ 816¼ (lukas wayn)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 10.60  
1A  I LIKE BOSTON 8 8 45½ 68 86 99¾ 919¾ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 ★ 23.30  
3  COUTH 2 6 78½ 710 75½ 1010¼ 1023½ (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 20.50  
 
SAR-2   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRAZILLIONAIRE 6 1 31 31   2nk 1hd (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 1.60 6% 16.20 0.50 W
2  ME 'N SAP 2 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2hd (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 124 10.00 7.10  
1  FORE HARP 1 5 41½ 42   4¾ 3¾ (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★ 6.80 S
4  STEELERSFANFORLIFE 4 6 53½ 53½   52¾ 43 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 12.00 14.10  
5  STANHOPE 5 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 53¼ (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★ 6.60  
3  LOADED JOE 3 3 63¾ 65½   69¼ 615 (diprima gre)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 11.50  
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
SCR  PIRATE LIFE               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
SCR  RISK PROFILE               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 1.20 12% 7.00    
 
SAR-3   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNION LAKE 7 4 2½ 2½   1½ 13¼ (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 6.90  
3  JANE GREY 3 1 52 31½   31½ 23¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 ★ 2.25 P
6  REPEALING 6 2 1½ 1½   2½ 33½ (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 33% 2.10 1.90 S
5  ROOKERY 5 7 74½ 52½   44 46 (catalano wayne )CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 28.75  
1  BANK ON ANNA 1 6 63½ 73¾   54½ 56 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 ★ 8.40  
2  AWESOME INDRA 2 3 31 42½   64½ 68¾ (morey wi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 19% 4.40 15.70  
4  BREAKFASTATBONNIES 4 5 41½ 63½   78½ 718¾ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 24% 3.10 3.65  
 
SAR-4   07/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:133     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JANE MAST 4 2 23 22 2½ 11 1¼ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 9% 9.70 3.50 W
6  VERONICA GREENE 6 5 56 43½ 42 31½ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★ 5.00 P
1  MOZAY 1 1 46 54½ 63½ 53 3¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 48% 1.10 6.10 S
5  HERINGTON ROCKET 5 3 34½ 33½ 31½ 41½ 41¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★ 8.70  
3  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 3 7 67½ 64¾ 52½ 63¼ 53¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00  
8  GET RESPECT 8 4 13 12 1½ 21 64 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 15.30  
7  BROADWAY BOOGIE 7 9 910¼ 96¼ 84 74¼ 75 (tagg barcla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 30.75  
9  SIXTH STREET (FR) 9 8 78 86¼ 74 85¼ 86½ (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 10.20  
2  BEYOND PERFECTION 2 6 810 75¾ 96 98¾ 99 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 21.20  
 
SAR-5   07/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:11 1:364   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEST 3 1 2½ 1½ 1½ 14½ 112¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 1.00 39% 1.50 0.95 W
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
5  SECRET OATH 5 3 41 3½ 2½ 24½ 212¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 26% 2.90 1.20 P
  (by ARROGATE out of ABSINTHE MINDED by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  NOSTALGIC 4 2 31 4¾ 44 38 315¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 ★ 20.30 S
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
2  SOCIETY 2 4 1½ 2½ 33½ 49 417¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 ★ 7.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ETIQUETTE by TAPIT)
1  BUTTERBEAN 1 5 510 514¼ 518 528 548¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 12% 7.10 14.10  
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
 
SAR-6   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRING THEBAND HOME 9 1 21 1nk   12 1nk (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 22% 3.60 5.00 W
5  POWERFUL 3 3 32½ 31½   32½ 2nk (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 ★ 2.15 P
2  FULL MOON MADNESS 1 7 53½ 41¾   22 32½ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 13.50  
1  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 7 5 63½ 53¼   44½ 43¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 36% 1.80 3.30  
8  PHELPSY 6 6 43 63¼   69½ 512½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 21% 3.90 4.20  
7  MULLINGAR 5 4 97½ 78¾   714½ 613¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 25.75  
6  BALSA 4 2 11 2nk   57½ 724¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8.30  
9  WESTERN GHENT 8 9 87 913¼   918½ 826¼ (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 ★ 23.10  
4  BAIE LONGUE 2 8 76 89¼   818½ 930 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 28.50  
SCR  FAITHFUL AND TRUE               (brisset rodo)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  NO CONFESSION               (mc allen)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
SCR  UPGRADE               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:212 :444 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SINFULLY SWEET 4 7 62¾ 62¾   31½ 13½ (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 6.00  
9  ROYAL DANCER 8 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 23½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 20% 4.00 3.25 P
6  QUICK POWER NAP 6 5 51¾ 51¼   41½ 34 (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 21% 3.80 4.20 S
5  MY CARA MIA MINE 5 11 117 116   73¼ 44½ (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00 31.75  
3  TREAT STREET 3 10 106 105½   63¼ 55 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 23.80  
8  WRITERS ROOM 7 9 73¼ 73¼   83¾ 66 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 ★ 10.70  
13  ROAD TO REMEMBER 12 8 83¼ 94   116 76 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 18.40  
11  LOLLYGAG 10 6 93½ 83½   104½ 86½ (lauer mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 60.75  
2  TOUGH STREET 2 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 97½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 28% 2.50 2.85  
10  MRS. BOOMER 9 2 41½ 41¼   94¼ 108½ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 12.60  
1  QUEEN OF LIES 1 4 31½ 31   51¾ 119¼ (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00 10% 8.70 19.50  
12  ADMIRE MY CROWN 11 12 127½ 126   126½ 129½ (de h)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 44.75  
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR)               (bond james)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  HONOR STAR               (ferraro jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STAGE LEFT 6 2 64 42   2nk 15¾ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 9% 9.90 14.10 W
2  PEACEFUL WATERS 1 5 1½ 11½   1nk 25¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★ 12.00 P
4  FAVORITE OUTLAW 4 3 32 52½   31½ 37¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 34% 2.00 4.00 S
3  PRISONER 3 6 2½ 21½   42 47½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14.00  
1A  REJECTED AGAIN 5 7 77 77¼   75¾ 510½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 12.90  
1  RYAN'S CAT 2 4 42 62¾   52¼ 611½ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 ★ 12.90  
7  HIGHLY RESPECTED 8 1 52½ 31½   63¼ 711¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 34% 1.90 1.05  
6  UNDER OATH 7 8 87½ 814¼   817¾ 816½ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 3.25  
 
SAR-9   07/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:134 1:382   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STAGE RAIDER 5 3 2½ 21 2½ 13 13¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00 40% 1.50 0.65 W
2  THE REDS 1 4 32 32 32 23 23¼ (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 4.40  
4  GENTLEMAN JOE 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 34½ 37¼ (cash nor)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 ★ 4.90 S
6  CREED 4 2 42½ 42½ 43 48½ 412¾ (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8.10  
3  RISING EMPIRE 2 5 54 54 54½ 510 520 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 10.00 7% 12.50 6.80  
SCR  AIR ATTACK               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
SAR-10   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:213 :441 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROBIN SPARKLES 6 1 11 11   13 1nk (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 21.00  
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of MY SPARKY by DEHERE)
8  SOUPER SENSATIONAL 8 3 62¼ 52¾   43½ 2nk (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 34% 2.00 8.10 P
  (by CURLIN out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
7  LADY EDITH 7 8 85¼ 86¼   75¼ 3½ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 15.50  
  (by STREET BOSS out of LADY GRANTHAM by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
2  MISS J MCKAY 2 6 73¼ 74¾   65 4¾ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 ★ 6.40  
  (by HANGOVER KID out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
3  STAR DEVINE (IRE) 3 4 41¼ 41¼   23 53½ (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 ★ 7.10  
  (by FASTNET ROCK (AUS) out of STARS AT NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
4  BOUT TIME 4 5 21 31   33½ 64¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.75  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHILLING EFFECT by GOLD FEVER)
9  KEPT WAITING 9 2 31 21   54 74½ (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 43.25  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
5  TOBYS HEART 5 9 98¾ 98¾   87¾ 86¾ (lynch br)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 7.20  
  (by JACK MILTON out of PICK OF THE PACK by LIL'S LAD)
1  CARAVEL 1 7 51¾ 64¾   98¼ 98½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 ★ 2.20  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
SCR  FOUETTE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
SAR-11   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:251 :504 1:152 1:382   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CATCH THAT PARTY 8 9 105½ 105¾ 95¼ 31½ 12½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 47% 1.10 1.05 W
5  SEAVER 5 4 11½ 11½ 1½ 2½ 22½ (hills timothy)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 22.20  
7  SHINSUN 7 11 117 117¾ 117¼ 73 32½ (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 11.60  
10  LORD FLINTSHIRE 10 7 21½ 21½ 2½ 1½ 42¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 6.20  
2  MONTATHAM 2 1 31½ 42 42½ 52½ 54 (lee jose)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 7% 13.10 8.80  
11  F F ROCKET 11 10 42 31½ 31 42 65¼ (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 40.75  
1  FRONT MAN 1 2 73½ 63½ 53 63 76 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00 11.60  
9  AIR SHOW 9 6 94½ 95¼ 106¾ 96½ 86 (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 10% 8.70 49.75  
6  TOPIC CHANGER 6 5 63 73¾ 63 84½ 96¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 6.50  
3  MOPED DENNIS 3 3 52½ 53 73½ 107 1010½ (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 16.00  
4  AMENDED 4 8 84 84¾ 85 118 1112¼ (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00 35.25  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN PASSAGE               (romans dale)RIDER TBA 123 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  ZUZUDINI               (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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