The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Saturday - July 23, 2022

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SAR-1   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:234 :48 1:132 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALLY GOOD 1 4 56 4 4 2nk 1(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6.10  
COACH PETRO 5 1 34 3 3 1nk 2(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 2.40  
PLEASE BABY 3 7 1010¼ 812½ 97 73(rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 7% 13.70 23.30  
RECKONING FORCE 10 10 66 58 53 54(o'brien patrick)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 5.90  
ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 7 2 9 914½ 6 65(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 28% 2.50 1.90  
TWO MINUTES APART 6 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 32 6(weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
WIDERIGHT 4 5 8 1017½ 10 87(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
MO'S TREASURE 9 9 1½ 1½ 2½ 4816¼ (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 10.60  
1A  I LIKE BOSTON 8 8 4 68 86 9919¾ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 23.30  
COUTH 2 6 7 710 7 1010¼ 1023½ (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 20.50  
 
SAR-2   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
:213 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAZILLIONAIRE 6 1 31 31   2nk 1hd (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 1.60 6% 16.20 0.50 W
ME 'N SAP 2 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2hd (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 124 10.00 7.10  
FORE HARP 1 5 4 42   4¾ 3¾ (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 6.80 S
STEELERSFANFORLIFE 4 6 5 5   543 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 12.00 14.10  
STANHOPE 5 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 5(lucas bonnie)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 6.60  
LOADED JOE 3 3 6 6   6615 (diprima gregory)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 11.50  
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds j)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
SCR  PIRATE LIFE               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
SCR  RISK PROFILE               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 1.20 12% 7.00    
 
SAR-3   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION LAKE 7 4 2½ 2½   1½ 1(terranova p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 6.90  
JANE GREY 3 1 52 3   32(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 2.25 P
REPEALING 6 2 1½ 1½   2½ 3(stall m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 33% 2.10 1.90 S
ROOKERY 5 7 7 5   44 46 (catalano m)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 28.75  
BANK ON ANNA 1 6 6 7   556 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.40  
AWESOME INDRA 2 3 31 4   66(morey e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 19% 4.40 15.70  
BREAKFASTATBONNIES 4 5 4 6   7718¾ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 24% 3.10 3.65  
 
SAR-4   07/23/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
:24 :492 1:133     1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANE MAST 4 2 23 22 2½ 11 1¼ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 9% 9.70 3.50 W
VERONICA GREENE 6 5 56 4 42 32¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 5.00 P
MOZAY 1 1 46 5 6 53 3¾ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 48% 1.10 6.10 S
HERINGTON ROCKET 5 3 3 3 3 44(brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 8.70  
WINGS LIKE EAGLES 3 7 6 6 5 65(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00  
GET RESPECT 8 4 13 12 1½ 21 64 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 15.30  
BROADWAY BOOGIE 7 9 910¼ 9 84 775 (tagg barclay)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 30.75  
SIXTH STREET (FR) 9 8 78 8 74 88(walsh p)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 10.20  
BEYOND PERFECTION 2 6 810 7 96 999 (walsh p)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 21.20  
 
SAR-5   07/23/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 3:16
:241 :472 1:11 1:364   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST 3 1 2½ 1½ 1½ 1112¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 1.00 39% 1.50 0.95 W
SECRET OATH 5 3 41 3½ 2½ 2212¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 26% 2.90 1.20 P
NOSTALGIC 4 2 31 4¾ 44 38 315¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 20.30 S
SOCIETY 2 4 1½ 2½ 3 49 417¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 7.40  
BUTTERBEAN 1 5 510 514¼ 518 528 548¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 12% 7.10 14.10  
 
SAR-6   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:51
:221 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRING THEBAND HOME 9 1 21 1nk   12 1nk (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 22% 3.60 5.00 W
POWERFUL 3 3 3 3   32nk (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 2.15 P
FULL MOON MADNESS 1 7 5 4   22 3(nevin michelle)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 13.50  
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 7 5 6 5   44(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 36% 1.80 3.30  
PHELPSY 6 6 43 6   6512½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 21% 3.90 4.20  
MULLINGAR 5 4 9 7   714½ 613¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 25.75  
BALSA 4 2 11 2nk   5724¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8.30  
WESTERN GHENT 8 9 87 913¼   918½ 826¼ (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 23.10  
BAIE LONGUE 2 8 76 8   818½ 930 (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 28.50  
SCR  FAITHFUL AND TRUE               (brisset rodolphe)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  NO CONFESSION               (mc john)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
SCR  UPGRADE               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
:212 :444 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINFULLY SWEET 4 7 6 6   31(casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 6.00  
ROYAL DANCER 8 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 2(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 20% 4.00 3.25 P
QUICK POWER NAP 6 5 5 5   434 (clement christophe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 21% 3.80 4.20 S
MY CARA MIA MINE 5 11 117 116   74(friedman mitchell)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00 31.75  
TREAT STREET 3 10 106 10   655 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 23.80  
WRITERS ROOM 7 9 7 7   866 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 10.70  
13  ROAD TO REMEMBER 12 8 8 94   116 76 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 18.40  
11  LOLLYGAG 10 6 9 8   108(lauer michael)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 60.75  
TOUGH STREET 2 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 9(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 28% 2.50 2.85  
10  MRS. BOOMER 9 2 4 4   910(bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 12.60  
QUEEN OF LIES 1 4 3 31   511(dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00 10% 8.70 19.50  
12  ADMIRE MY CROWN 11 12 12 126   1212(de horacio)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 44.75  
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE               (bond james)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  HONOR STAR               (ferraro w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:221 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE LEFT 6 2 64 42   2nk 1(kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 9% 9.90 14.10 W
PEACEFUL WATERS 1 5 1½ 1   1nk 2(stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 12.00 P
FAVORITE OUTLAW 4 3 32 5   33(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 34% 2.00 4.00 S
PRISONER 3 6 2½ 2   42 4(baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14.00  
1A  REJECTED AGAIN 5 7 77 7   7510½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 12.90  
RYAN'S CAT 2 4 42 6   5611½ (rodriguez gustavo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 12.90  
HIGHLY RESPECTED 8 1 5 3   6711¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 34% 1.90 1.05  
UNDER OATH 7 8 8 814¼   817¾ 816½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 3.25  
 
SAR-9   07/23/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
:251 :493 1:134 1:382   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE RAIDER 5 3 2½ 21 2½ 13 1(brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00 40% 1.50 0.65 W
THE REDS 1 4 32 32 32 23 2(joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 4.40  
GENTLEMAN JOE 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 33(cash l)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 4.90 S
CREED 4 2 4 4 43 4412¾ (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8.10  
RISING EMPIRE 2 5 54 54 5 510 520 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 10.00 7% 12.50 6.80  
SCR  AIR ATTACK               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
SAR-10   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:13
:213 :441 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBIN SPARKLES 6 1 11 11   13 1nk (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 21.00  
SOUPER SENSATIONAL 8 3 6 5   42nk (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 34% 2.00 8.10 P
LADY EDITH 7 8 8 8   73½ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 15.50  
MISS J MCKAY 2 6 7 7   65 4¾ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 6.40  
STAR DEVINE (IRE) 3 4 4 4   23 5(abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 7.10  
BOUT TIME 4 5 21 31   36(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.75  
KEPT WAITING 9 2 31 21   54 7(falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 43.25  
TOBYS HEART 5 9 9 9   88(lynch a)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 7.20  
CARAVEL 1 7 5 6   99(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 2.20  
SCR  FOUETTE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
 
SAR-11   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
:251 :504 1:152 1:382   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH THAT PARTY 8 9 10 10 9 31(maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 47% 1.10 1.05 W
SEAVER 5 4 1 1 1½ 2½ 2(hills a)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 22.20  
SHINSUN 7 11 117 11 11 73 3(tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 11.60  
10  LORD FLINTSHIRE 10 7 2 2 2½ 1½ 4(abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 6.20  
MONTATHAM 2 1 3 42 4 554 (lee joseph)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 7% 13.10 8.80  
11  F F ROCKET 11 10 42 3 31 42 6(shivmangal lolita)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 40.75  
FRONT MAN 1 2 7 6 53 63 76 (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00 11.60  
AIR SHOW 9 6 9 9 10 986 (rodriguez r)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 10% 8.70 49.75  
TOPIC CHANGER 6 5 63 7 63 89(clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 6.50  
MOPED DENNIS 3 3 5 53 7 107 1010½ (englehart c)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 16.00  
AMENDED 4 8 84 8 85 118 1112¼ (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00 35.25  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00    
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN PASSAGE               (romans dale)RIDER TBA 123 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  ZUZUDINI               (barker r)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.