Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASE BABY May27         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 7% 13.70    
1A  I LIKE BOSTON Jun09 May12       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 ★    
2  REALLY GOOD         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
3  COUTH         (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
4  WIDERIGHT         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  COACH PETRO         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
6  TWO MINUTES APART Jul01         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
8  MO'S TREASURE Jul02 Jun02 May04 Apr08   (lukas wayn)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
9  RECKONING FORCE         (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-2   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORE HARP Jun15 Mar08 Jan17     (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★    
2  ME 'N SAP Jul14 Jun16 Feb26     (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 124 10.00    
3  LOADED JOE Jul01 May14 May05     (diprima gre)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
4  STEELERSFANFORLIFE Jul01 Jun05 May14 Jan09   (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
5  STANHOPE Jul14 Jun05 May14 Apr24 Feb13 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  PIRATE LIFE Jun02 Mar24 Feb24     (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
7  BRAZILLIONAIRE Jun25 Jun18 Apr16     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 1.60 6% 16.20    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jul03 Jun05 May19 Apr07 Mar13 (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
SCR  RISK PROFILE Mar11 Feb12 Jan08     (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 1.20 12% 7.00    
 
SAR-3   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK ON ANNA May20 Apr24 Mar18 Jan22   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 ★    
2  AWESOME INDRA Jun19 Apr23 Mar26 Feb27 Jan16 (morey wi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 19% 4.40    
3  JANE GREY Jun10         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
4  BREAKFASTATBONNIES Feb13         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  ROOKERY Jun23 May21 May05 Mar19 Feb24 (catalano wayne )CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
6  REPEALING Jun18         (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 33% 2.10    
7  UNION LAKE Jun05         (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   07/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOZAY May28 May01 Mar11 Feb10   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
2  BEYOND PERFECTION         (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
3  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Jun24 May21       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  JANE MAST Jun24         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 9% 9.70    
5  HERINGTON ROCKET Jun04         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
6  VERONICA GREENE Jun09 Apr15       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★    
7  BROADWAY BOOGIE Jun24 Apr30       (tagg barcla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
8  GET RESPECT Jun25 May28       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
9  SIXTH STREET (FR)         (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTERBEAN Jul09 Jun11 May27 May04 Apr10 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
2  SOCIETY Jun18 May06       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ETIQUETTE by TAPIT)
3  NEST Jun11 May06 Apr08 Feb12   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 1.00 39% 1.50    
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
4  NOSTALGIC May06 Apr09 Mar03 Feb05   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
5  SECRET OATH May21 May06 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.20 26% 2.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of ABSINTHE MINDED by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
SAR-6   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Jun19 May27       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  UPGRADE         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
2  FULL MOON MADNESS         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  FAITHFUL AND TRUE         (brisset rodo)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
4  BAIE LONGUE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
5  POWERFUL         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 ★    
6  BALSA         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
7  MULLINGAR         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
8  PHELPSY         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 21% 3.90    
9  WESTERN GHENT Jun19         (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 ★    
10  BRING THEBAND HOME Jun18         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  NO CONFESSION Jul02 Jun18 Jun04     (mc allen)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF LIES Jun25 May30 Apr29 Jan15   (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00 10% 8.70    
2  TOUGH STREET         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  TREAT STREET Apr29         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
4  SINFULLY SWEET May30 Apr22       (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
5  MY CARA MIA MINE Feb05         (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00    
6  QUICK POWER NAP Jun25         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  TRUE MARTINI         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
8  WRITERS ROOM Jun25         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 ★    
9  ROYAL DANCER Jun19 May12 Apr14     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  MRS. BOOMER Jun24 May21       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
11  LOLLYGAG Jun26 Jun04 Apr22 Mar06   (lauer mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
12  ADMIRE MY CROWN         (de h)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
13  ROAD TO REMEMBER Jun26 May27       (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  HONOR STAR         (ferraro jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR) May07 Mar25 Jan23     (bond james)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYAN'S CAT Jul01 Jun10 Apr28 Feb12 Jan08 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 ★    
1A  REJECTED AGAIN Jun23 May19 Apr30 Apr07   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
2  PEACEFUL WATERS Jun19 Feb19 Jan22     (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
3  PRISONER Jun10 Mar18 Feb05     (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
4  FAVORITE OUTLAW Jun25 Jan29       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  STAGE LEFT Jun19 May21 Apr21 Jan22   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 9% 9.90    
6  UNDER OATH Apr16 Mar12       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
7  HIGHLY RESPECTED Jun03 Apr09 Feb26     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
SAR-9   07/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Jun11 Apr22       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
2  THE REDS May28 Apr30 Mar25     (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
3  RISING EMPIRE Jun05 May07 Mar24 Feb13   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 10.00 7% 12.50    
4  GENTLEMAN JOE Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May21 Apr21 (cash nor)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  AIR ATTACK Jun18 Mar26 Feb10     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
6  CREED         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
7  STAGE RAIDER May28 Apr13 Mar05     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-10   07/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARAVEL Jun10 May06 Mar19     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 ★    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
2  MISS J MCKAY Jun10 May01 Mar12 Feb12   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 ★    
  (by HANGOVER KID out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
3  STAR DEVINE (IRE) Jun10 Apr16       (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 ★    
  (by FASTNET ROCK (AUS) out of STARS AT NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
4  BOUT TIME Jun25 May15 Mar24 Jan28   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHILLING EFFECT by GOLD FEVER)
5  TOBYS HEART Jun10 May05 Apr09     (lynch br)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of PICK OF THE PACK by LIL'S LAD)
6  ROBIN SPARKLES Jun25 May21       (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of MY SPARKY by DEHERE)
7  LADY EDITH Jun10 Jan29       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of LADY GRANTHAM by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
8  SOUPER SENSATIONAL Jun04         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 34% 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
9  KEPT WAITING Jun26 May14 Apr09 Feb13 Feb06 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  FOUETTE May27 Jan22 Jan02     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
SAR-11   07/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONT MAN Jul01 May29 May05     (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
2  MONTATHAM Jun17 Jun05       (lee jose)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 7% 13.10    
3  MOPED DENNIS Jun25 May31 Apr07 Mar05 Feb05 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
4  AMENDED Jul17 Jul04 Jun26 May29 May07 (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00    
5  SEAVER Jul01 May13 Apr22     (hills timothy)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00    
6  TOPIC CHANGER Jun30 May20       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
7  SHINSUN Jun17         (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
8  CATCH THAT PARTY Jul01 Mar13 Mar04 Jan30 Jan20 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
9  AIR SHOW Jul02 Jun04 May08 Apr07 Mar20 (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00 10% 8.70    
10  LORD FLINTSHIRE Jun24 May28 Apr30     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
11  F F ROCKET Jun04 May19 Apr30 Mar05 Jan22 (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  ZUZUDINI Jul01 Apr21 Mar18     (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES Jul01 Jun05 May08 Apr14   (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER Jun30 May30 May08 Apr10 Mar20 (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Jul02 Jun19 May30 May12 Apr16 (romans dale)RIDER TBA 123 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.