The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Colonial Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022

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CNL-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
:214 :443 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO PHIL'S 3 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1(rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 1.40  
FREE SOUL 1 2 4 4¾   2½ 2(munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 119 12.00 12% 7.50 15.10 P
INSTINCTUAL 6 3 3½ 2nk   3½ 34 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 32% 2.10 0.90 S
CRAVENS 2 4 2nk 3.2   4414¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 3.50 18% 4.60 7.50  
CHI TOWN HUSTLER 4 5 5 5   5518½ (rivelli larry)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 19.80  
OCCASIONAL MOON 5 6 6 6   6619¼ (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 13.10  
 
CNL-2   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:231 :464 1:112 1:24   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY KATER 7 7 7 711 55 11(aguirre jr)AVILES YAN 116 4.50 9% 10.30 3.20 W
WISH ME HOME 5 4 45 4 4 22(schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 118 3.00 15% 5.60 1.10 P
VOTETHEMALLOUT 4 5 5 510 76 45 37 (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 120 4.00 22% 3.50 3.60 S
BOONDOGGLE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 34(magee kieron)ALVELO C 123 5.00 7.20  
WHAT DOES IT TAKE 6 8 6 610½ 6 55(magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 34% 2.00 7.50  
SLEW THE TURN 8 6 810½ 812½ 89 810½ 614¼ (carlisle c)ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 43.20  
HARDLY EVER BETTER 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 6716 (carlisle c)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 29.80  
TIZ AUCTION TIME 2 1 3 3 3 710 816¾ (schottroffe t)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 20.00 64.70  
 
CNL-3   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
:23 :462 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVENLY DIVIDED 3 7 2½ 22   2nk 1¼ (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 1.90  
SENDERO 1 3 4 7   32 2¼ (pletcher a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.60 40% 1.50 1.20 P
KAMIKAZE FOX 6 6 1½ 12   1nk 33 (morgan carla)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 17.70 S
THEOLOVESAWINNER 4 5 32 54   45 4(cooney s)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 28.40  
GIGANTE 5 1 7 6   5510¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.80 19% 4.20 3.20  
THANK YA PETE 2 4 5 33   6611 (cooney s)ENRIQUEZ JR 112 10.00 7% 12.90 33.10  
GABRIEL'S WING 7 2 6 43   7714½ (figgins l)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00 7% 12.90 10.30  
 
CNL-4   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:09
:221 :451 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICCIO 4 2 33 33   22 1½ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00 17% 4.90 2.20 W
FIT TO FLY 3 1 1nk 1nk   12 2½ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 36% 1.80 0.90 P
POMPOUS PRINCE 6 3 2nk 2nk   32 33 (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 26% 2.80 3.20 S
MY MAMBA 2 6 5 5   45 4(lawrence lee)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 18.10  
TIZ NO CLOWN 1 4 4 44   55(atkins earl)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00 19.30  
SPURS UP 5 5 6 6   627¼ 632¼ (mccutchen jason)ROCCO S 120 6.00 16.50  
SCR  PROVE RIGHT               (chapman k)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 
CNL-5   07/18/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:24 :482 1:12 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT BLOODED 1 1 4 31 3 1nk 1(david a)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00 19% 4.10 4.00 W
KING VEGA (GB) 4 6 7 7 7 43 2(motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 8.00 3.30  
11  SEVEN CHANNELS 7 5 53 52 5 53(lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 123 15.00 11.70  
12  BUY ME CANDY 8 7 2 2½ 21 32 4(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00 3.50  
MAX K. O. 5 2 1 1½ 11 2nk 5(joseph a)ZAYAS J 123 6.00 19% 4.30 4.20  
JIMMY DAN 3 8 8 8 85 87 6(stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 12.30  
HANALEI'S HOUDINI 2 3 6 63 63 76 711 (lovell michelle)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 7.00  
10  LAND MARK DEAL 6 4 32 4 4 6811¼ (block chris)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 8.40  
SCR  EPIC LUCK               (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  FAN CLUB               (romans dale)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
SCR  MO HAWK               (sanchez merei)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
SCR  POINT ME BY               (kenneally eddie)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  RICHIESGOTGAME               (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
CNL-6   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:223 :453 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT RUN THE FED 5 5 6 6   22 1nk (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 13% 7.00 3.60 W
GRATEFUL BRED 4 2 3 2nk   12 2nk (meyers f)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00 11% 8.40 7.60 P
MATTA 8 4 53 3½   32 3(trombetta j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 10% 8.60 8.10 S
JUST MIGHT 3 6 42 5   43 4(lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 126 1.60 36% 1.70 1.00  
PYRON 7 8 86 7   54 5(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 24.60  
SMOKIN' JAY 6 7 7 8   66(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 4.30  
DISCREET TUNE 1 1 1nk 4   87(david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 8.00 15.50  
ANY SUGAR HONEY 2 3 2nk 1nk   789 (moreno-barban leandro)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00 72.50  
 
CNL-7   07/18/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:253 1:14 1:374     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIDIA (ARG) 7 6 21 2½ 4 211 (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.00 33% 2.00 3.60 W
GOGO SHOES 8 3 11 1½ 1nk 121 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 12.10  
KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) 5 2 5 5 5 43 3(walsh p)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 18% 4.50 0.70 S
UNRULY JULIE 1 5 6 62 6 542 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 20.00 64.60  
NO MO LADY 2 1 31 41 3 352 (trombetta j)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 12% 7.40 7.90  
PYTHONESS 9 8 7 73 7 763 (campbell michael)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 15.20  
FATE FACTOR 6 4 42 3½ 2nk 67(block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 6.80  
OUT OF SORTS 4 7 8 84 8 886 (russell t)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00 7% 14.10 24.10  
LADY MACHO 3 9 9 9 9 915¾ 920½ (atkins earl)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00 6% 16.90 ######  
 
CNL-8   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
:233 :454 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGE OF CONTROL 6 5 31 3.2   1nk 1(lovell michelle)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
JEANIE B (GB) 5 2 11 1nk   2nk 2(gambolati cam)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 8% 10.90 11.90 P
11  SOCIAL CHATTER 8 8 6 6   54 3(oliver victoria)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 12.00 24.40  
VIOLENZA 2 4 53 5   44(wilkes r)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 15.00 29.80  
GOIN' GOOD 3 6 21 2nk   3½ 52 (cox h)ROCCO S 122 4.00 29% 2.40 2.90  
10  MINAUN (IRE) 7 7 7 7   66 6(walsh p)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 3.70  
RICHIES GREAT GIRL 1 3 8 8   87(rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9% 10.00 5.70  
RAKASSAH (IRE) 4 1 42 4   78(lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 17.70  
SCR  ALBERTA SUN               (romans dale)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 15.00    
SCR  SPUN GLASS               (trombetta j)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 10.00    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB)               (west w)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
 
CNL-9   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
:234 :463 1:101 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO'S COUNTING 6 8 54 5 58 23 11 (mcdermott sean)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.50 21% 3.90 3.20 W
TOLAGA BAY 2 2 8 910¼ 910¼ 45 21 (kingsley j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 5.40 P
CARLOUN (IRE) 3 9 7 7 69 53(brion keri)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 11.10 S
CHINA BEACH 5 10 9 810 7 744 (brown l)ALONSO LUIS 123 10.00 16.60  
SIMPLE LOGIC 8 4 12 16 16 13 5(block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 47% 1.10 2.70  
10  LEFT BLANK 9 11 11 1113¼ 1011¼ 965 (wyatt j)BOYCE FOREST 125 6.00 15.00  
12  MOON MISCHIEF 11 6 43 3 37 87(caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 125 12.00 9% 10.30 3.30  
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE 7 7 22 26 26 35 88 (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00 34.40  
TAPIT BRIO 4 1 6 69 8 10913½ (kurtinecz lilli)ACOSTA D 118 8.00 26.50  
11  MY BOY BLUE 10 5 33 4 48 66 1014½ (kurtinecz lilli)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00 18.50  
WASPIRANT 1 3 10 1013¼ 1114¼ 1113¼ 1119 (bourke m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00 ######  
SCR  JOHNNY SACK               (riviezzo r)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00    
 
CNL-10   07/18/2022 10560ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($40K) 4 ALL PT-12:15
3:312         3:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURTGEN FOREST 4 11 12 11 11 13 1(kingsley j)WATTS MARK 150   63% 0.60   W
12  KING OF TSAVO (GB) 10 21 3 34 36 23 2(young f)GARNER THOMAS 150   17% 4.80   P
PACIFIST 2 9911 915¼ 522 510 36 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 150     S
11  ROMP 9 65 810 814¼ 421 48 4(fisher r)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150      
SA'AD (FR) 1 879 712¼ 722½ 613 518¼ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
10  CONNAGH'S QUAY 8 32 22 21 21 38 623¾ (valentine l)FOLEY BARRY 150      
PENICILLIN SUCCESS 3 53 5 412 622 723 743½ (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150      
MACHENBANK (GER) 6 43 4 612¼ 824½ 828 853¾ (brion keri)HARVEY ALEX 140      
LOWCOUNTRY 5 768 512 925 932 956½ (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 143      
DANCE PANTS 7 1010¼ 1019 1023¼ 1050 1057 1090¼ (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 150      
SCR  BEOWULF (IRE)               (dowling william)GARNER THOMAS 150      
SCR  HARD GAME               (neilson kathy)TBA 150      
SCR  KELMSCOTT (IRE)               (young f)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
 
CNL-11   07/18/2022 11880ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEOCRAT (IRE) 4 711½ 716 716 66 1½ 1(brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156      
BET THE POT 3 43 43 4 3 2½ 2(morris r)GERAGHTY ROSS 156   21% 3.80   P
CIRCUS 6 11 11 1 1 49 313 (voss elizabeth)BARGARY JAMIE 149      
JUMP SHIP 5 814½ 818 816½ 76 3413 (thompson ted)BOUCHER MELL 148   40% 1.50    
DON'T SHOUT (IRE) 7 21 21 2 45 513 519¼ (young f)GARNER THOMAS 152   17% 4.90    
STEP TO THE BAR 2 6610 68 813 718½ 622¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158      
TWENTY YEARS ON (GB) 1 55 56 55 5 613½ 722½ (fisher r)DAVIES TEDDY 153      
ERYX 8 32 31 3 2 828½ 848¾ (meyers f)FOLEY BARRY 157      
SCR  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE)               (kingsley j)WATTS MARK 154      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.