Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO PHIL'S   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 1.40  
FREE SOUL   (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 119 12.00 12% 7.50 15.10 P
INSTINCTUAL   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 32% 2.10 0.90 S
CRAVENS   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 3.50 18% 4.60 7.50  
CHI TOWN HUSTLER   (rivelli larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 19.80  
OCCASIONAL MOON   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 13.10  
 
CNL-2   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY KATER   (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 116 4.50 9% 10.30 3.20 W
WISH ME HOME   (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 118 3.00 15% 5.60 1.10 P
VOTETHEMALLOUT   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 4.00 22% 3.50 3.60 S
BOONDOGGLE   (magee kieron)ALVELO C 123 5.00 7.20  
WHAT DOES IT TAKE   (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 34% 2.00 7.50  
SLEW THE TURN   (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 43.20  
HARDLY EVER BETTER   (carlisle j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 29.80  
TIZ AUCTION TIME   (schottroffe e)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 20.00 64.70  
 
CNL-3   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVENLY DIVIDED   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 1.90  
SENDERO   (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.60 40% 1.50 1.20 P
KAMIKAZE FOX   (morgan carla)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 17.70 S
THEOLOVESAWINNER   (cooney susa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 28.40  
GIGANTE   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.80 19% 4.20 3.20  
THANK YA PETE   (cooney)ENRIQUEZ JR 112 10.00 7% 12.90 33.10  
GABRIEL'S WING   (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00 7% 12.90 10.30  
 
CNL-4   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICCIO   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00 17% 4.90 2.20 W
FIT TO FLY   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 36% 1.80 0.90 P
POMPOUS PRINCE   (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 26% 2.80 3.20 S
MY MAMBA   (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 18.10  
TIZ NO CLOWN   (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00 19.30  
SPURS UP   (mccutchen jaso)ROCCO S 120 6.00 16.50  
SCR  PROVE RIGHT   (chapman james)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 
CNL-5   07/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT BLOODED   (david a)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00 19% 4.10 4.00 W
KING VEGA (GB)   (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 8.00 3.30  
11  SEVEN CHANNELS   (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 123 15.00 11.70  
12  BUY ME CANDY   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00 3.50  
MAX K. O.   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 6.00 19% 4.30 4.20  
JIMMY DAN   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 12.30  
HANALEI'S HOUDINI   (lovell michel)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 7.00  
10  LAND MARK DEAL   (block chris)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 8.40  
SCR  EPIC LUCK   (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  FAN CLUB   (romans da)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
SCR  MO HAWK   (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
SCR  POINT ME BY   (kenneally edd)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  RICHIESGOTGAME   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
CNL-6   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT RUN THE FED   (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 13% 7.00 3.60 W
GRATEFUL BRED   (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00 11% 8.40 7.60 P
MATTA   (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 10% 8.60 8.10 S
JUST MIGHT   (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 126 1.60 36% 1.70 1.00  
PYRON   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 24.60  
SMOKIN' JAY   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 4.30  
DISCREET TUNE   (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 8.00 15.50  
ANY SUGAR HONEY   (moreno-barban )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00 72.50  
 
CNL-7   07/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIDIA (ARG)   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.00 33% 2.00 3.60 W
GOGO SHOES   (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00 12.10  
KEEPER OF TIME (IRE)   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 18% 4.50 0.70 S
UNRULY JULIE   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 20.00 64.60  
NO MO LADY   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 12% 7.40 7.90  
PYTHONESS   (campbell mich)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 15.20  
FATE FACTOR   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 6.80  
OUT OF SORTS   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00 7% 14.10 24.10  
LADY MACHO   (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00 6% 16.90 ######  
 
CNL-8   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGE OF CONTROL   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
JEANIE B (GB)   (gambolati c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 8% 10.90 11.90 P
11  SOCIAL CHATTER   (oliver victor)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 12.00 24.40  
VIOLENZA   (wilkes ian )RUSSELL SHELDON 122 15.00 29.80  
GOIN' GOOD   (cox h)ROCCO S 122 4.00 29% 2.40 2.90  
10  MINAUN (IRE)   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 3.70  
RICHIES GREAT GIRL   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9% 10.00 5.70  
RAKASSAH (IRE)   (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 17.70  
SCR  ALBERTA SUN   (romans dale)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 15.00    
SCR  SPUN GLASS   (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 10.00    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB)   (west w)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
 
CNL-9   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO'S COUNTING   (mcdermott )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.50 21% 3.90 3.20 W
TOLAGA BAY   (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 5.40 P
CARLOUN (IRE)   (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 11.10 S
CHINA BEACH   (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 123 10.00 16.60  
SIMPLE LOGIC   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 47% 1.10 2.70  
10  LEFT BLANK   (wyatt j)BOYCE FOREST 125 6.00 15.00  
12  MOON MISCHIEF   (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 125 12.00 9% 10.30 3.30  
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE   (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00 34.40  
TAPIT BRIO   (kurtinecz lilli)ACOSTA D 118 8.00 26.50  
11  MY BOY BLUE   (kurtinecz l)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00 18.50  
WASPIRANT   (bourke dav)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00 ######  
SCR  JOHNNY SACK   (riviezzo ral)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00    
 
CNL-10   07/18/2022 10560ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4 ALL PT-12:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURTGEN FOREST   (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 150   63% 0.60   W
12  KING OF TSAVO (GB)   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150   17% 4.80   P
PACIFIST   (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 150     S
11  ROMP (ARG)   (fisher john )MCDERMOTT SEAN 150      
SA'AD (FR)   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
10  CONNAGH'S QUAY   (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 150      
PENICILLIN SUCCESS   (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150      
MACHENBANK (GER)   (brion keri)HARVEY ALEX 140      
LOWCOUNTRY   (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 143      
DANCE PANTS   (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 150      
SCR  BEOWULF (IRE)   (dowling willi)GARNER THOMAS 150      
SCR  HARD GAME   (neilson kathy)TBA 150      
SCR  KELMSCOTT (IRE)   (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
 
CNL-11   07/18/2022 11880ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEOCRAT (IRE)   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156      
BET THE POT   (morris r)GERAGHTY ROSS 156   21% 3.80   P
CIRCUS   (voss elizabet)BARGARY JAMIE 149      
JUMP SHIP   (thompson ted)BOUCHER MELL 148   40% 1.50    
DON'T SHOUT (IRE)   (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 152   17% 4.90    
STEP TO THE BAR   (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158      
TWENTY YEARS ON (GB)   (fisher r)DAVIES TEDDY 153      
ERYX   (meyers madison )FOLEY BARRY 157      
SCR  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE)   (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 154      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.