Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SOUL Jun18 May20 Apr22     (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 119 12.00 12% 7.50    
2  CRAVENS Jun26         (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  TWO PHIL'S Jun23         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 ★    
4  CHI TOWN HUSTLER         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
5  OCCASIONAL MOON         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 4.00 ★    
6  INSTINCTUAL         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
CNL-2   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOONDOGGLE Jul04 May29 May15 Apr28 Apr21 (magee kieron)ALVELO C 123 5.00    
2  TIZ AUCTION TIME Jul07 Jun17 May27     (schottroffe )ROCHA WLADIMIR 123 20.00    
3  HARDLY EVER BETTER Jun18 May21 Apr02     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
4  VOTETHEMALLOUT Jun25 May20 Apr29     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  WISH ME HOME Jan22 Jan02       (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Jun25 Jun04 Apr21 Apr03 Mar19 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
7  CRAZY KATER Jun15 Jan25       (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 116 4.50 9% 10.30    
8  SLEW THE TURN Jun25 May18 Apr13     (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 123 12.00 ★    
 
CNL-3   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENDERO         (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  THANK YA PETE         (cooney)ENRIQUEZ JR 112 10.00 7% 12.90    
3  EVENLY DIVIDED Jul01         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 8.00    
4  THEOLOVESAWINNER Jun25         (cooney susa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00    
5  GIGANTE         (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.80 19% 4.20    
6  KAMIKAZE FOX         (morgan carla)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 ★    
7  GABRIEL'S WING         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
CNL-4   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ NO CLOWN Jun25 May12 May01     (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00    
2  MY MAMBA Jun12 May12       (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
3  FIT TO FLY Jun11         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  RICCIO Jun16 May01       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  SPURS UP May29 Apr28       (mccutchen jaso)ROCCO S 120 6.00 ★    
6  POMPOUS PRINCE Jun03 May01       (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT Jul16 Jun26 Jun08     (chapman james)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★    
 
CNL-5   07/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POINT ME BY Jun23 May20 Apr27 Feb19   (kenneally edd)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MO HAWK Jun18 May07 Feb24 Jan14   (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00    
3  HOT BLOODED Jun12 May21 Jan15     (david a)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00 19% 4.10    
4  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Jun05 Mar19 Jan29 Jan13   (lovell michel)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 ★    
5  JIMMY DAN May20 Apr22 Mar10 Jan21 Jan03 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00    
6  KING VEGA (GB) Jun18 May20 Apr13     (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
SCR  EPIC LUCK Jun27 Jun08 May21 Mar29   (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  RICHIESGOTGAME Jun21 Jun03 May13     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 15.00 13% 6.60    
9  MAX K. O. Jun12 May05 Mar27 Mar02 Jan22 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
10  LAND MARK DEAL Jun11         (block chris)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00    
11  SEVEN CHANNELS May21 Apr23 Mar27 Feb27 Jan14 (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 123 15.00    
12  BUY ME CANDY Apr27 Mar18 Feb10     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00    
SCR  FAN CLUB Jun18 May07 Apr15 Mar18 Jan29 (romans da)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
 
CNL-6   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREET TUNE Jun17 May22 Apr07 Feb19 Feb06 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 8.00 ★    
2  ANY SUGAR HONEY Jun22         (moreno-barban leandr)CORA D 122 15.00    
3  JUST MIGHT Jun11 May06 Apr09 Feb19 Jan22 (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 126 1.60 36% 1.70    
4  GRATEFUL BRED May21 Apr23       (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
5  FRONT RUN THE FED         (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 13% 7.00    
6  SMOKIN' JAY Jun11 May21       (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00    
7  PYRON Jun04 May06 Feb19     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00    
8  MATTA May29         (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
CNL-7   07/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNRULY JULIE Jun05         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 20.00    
2  NO MO LADY Jun19 May21 Apr30     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  LADY MACHO Jun09 May20 Apr09 Mar30 Mar05 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00 6% 16.90    
4  OUT OF SORTS Jun14 May21 Apr23 Feb19 Jan22 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00 7% 14.10    
5  KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) Jun05 Apr23 Mar05 Jan28   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  FATE FACTOR Jun18 Feb26 Jan15     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00    
7  DIDIA (ARG)         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
8  GOGO SHOES Jun25 May21 May01     (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00    
9  PYTHONESS Jun07 Mar20 Feb05 Jan08   (campbell mich)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00    
 
CNL-8   07/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIES GREAT GIRL May20 Apr30 Feb18 Jan12   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
2  VIOLENZA Apr16 Mar10       (wilkes ian )RUSSELL SHELDON 122 15.00    
SCR  ALBERTA SUN Jun25 Jun09 Apr16 Feb19 Jan09 (romans dale)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 15.00    
4  GOIN' GOOD May05 Apr16 Mar01     (cox h)ROCCO S 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  RAKASSAH (IRE) Apr30         (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Jun29 Apr08 Feb10     (west w)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
7  JEANIE B (GB) Jun04 Apr16 Mar10     (gambolati c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 8% 10.90    
8  CHANGE OF CONTROL Jun11 May05 Apr16 Mar01 Jan29 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SPUN GLASS Jun25 Jun05 May20     (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 10.00    
10  MINAUN (IRE) May13 Apr16       (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 ★    
11  SOCIAL CHATTER Jun19         (oliver victo)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
 
CNL-9   07/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WASPIRANT         (bourke dav)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00    
2  TOLAGA BAY         (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 ★    
3  CARLOUN (IRE) Jun29         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 ★    
SCR  JOHNNY SACK Jun14 Apr27 Mar26     (riviezzo ral)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00    
5  TAPIT BRIO May14 Mar27 Feb19 Feb06 Jan08 (kurtinecz lilli)ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
6  CHINA BEACH Apr13 Mar02 Feb13     (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 123 10.00    
7  WHO'S COUNTING Jun26         (mcdermott )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.50 21% 3.90    
8  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Jun30 Jun19       (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
9  SIMPLE LOGIC Jun25 Jun10       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
10  LEFT BLANK Jun25         (wyatt j)BOYCE FOREST 125 6.00    
11  MY BOY BLUE Jun11         (kurtinecz l)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
12  MOON MISCHIEF Jun08 May13       (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 125 12.00 9% 10.30    
 
CNL-10   07/18/2022 10560ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SA'AD (FR)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
2  PACIFIST         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 150   ★    
SCR  BEOWULF (IRE) Apr30         (dowling willi)GARNER THOMAS 150      
SCR  KELMSCOTT (IRE)         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
5  PENICILLIN SUCCESS Apr30         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 150      
6  HURTGEN FOREST May14 Apr30       (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 150   63% 0.60    
7  LOWCOUNTRY Apr30         (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 143      
8  MACHENBANK (GER) May14         (brion keri)HARVEY ALEX 140      
9  DANCE PANTS         (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 150      
10  CONNAGH'S QUAY         (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 150      
11  ROMP (ARG)         (fisher john )MCDERMOTT SEAN 150   ★    
12  KING OF TSAVO (GB) May14 Apr30       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150   17% 4.80    
SCR  HARD GAME         (neilson kathy)NO RIDER 150   ★    
 
CNL-11   07/18/2022 11880ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWENTY YEARS ON (GB)         (fisher r)DAVIES TEDDY 153      
2  STEP TO THE BAR         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158      
3  BET THE POT         (morris r)GERAGHTY ROSS 156   21% 3.80    
4  THEOCRAT (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 156      
5  JUMP SHIP May14         (thompson ted)BOUCHER MELL 148   40% 1.50    
SCR  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE) Apr30         (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 154   ★    
7  CIRCUS         (voss elizabet)BARGARY JAMIE 149      
8  DON'T SHOUT (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 152   17% 4.90    
9  ERYX         (meyers madison )FOLEY BARRY 157   ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.