The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Thursday - July 28, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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SAR-1   07/28/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:241 :504 1:164 1:412   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHE'S KEEN 3 3 11½ 11 11 13 11½ (arnold r)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 ★ 5.50  
2  FOREVER AFTER ALL 2 4 43 31½ 42 23 21½ (stall m)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 6% 15.30 3.40 P
4  INVENTING 4 2 32 41½ 31½ 33½ 33¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 55% 0.80 1.30 S
5  AUNT NAUGHTY 5 1 21½ 21 21 44 47¾ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 14% 6.00 2.80  
6  CINQ SOUERS 6 5 65 53 65 511 514½ (medina robert)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 28.50  
1  AMENSET 1 6 54½ 63¼ 55 617½ 638 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★ 11.30  
 
SAR-2   07/28/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:39
:22 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE LINZEE 4 1 31½ 31½   1nk 1hd (schettino a)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 18.20  
3  SOUFFLE 3 6 75¼ 63¾   41¼ 2hd (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00 P
10  FANCYPANTS JULIANA 10 3 21½ 21   3.2 31¼ (englehart c)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 9.80  
7  SHOWEMYOURHEELS 7 9 97¼ 96¼   61¾ 41¾ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
8  MOONAGE DAYDREAM 8 8 86¾ 85¼   72 53 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.50 5.40  
5  SLOW DOWN SUMMER 5 2 11½ 11   2nk 64¼ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 34.50  
1  BAD SAMARITAN 1 10 109¾ 108¾   85½ 75 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 35.50  
2  FLEETFOOTED 2 5 42½ 41½   51¼ 86 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6.70  
6  SNOWY EVENING 6 4 52¾ 53½   98 913 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 30% 2.30 3.65  
9  FRANKIE C 9 7 63¼ 74¾   1011½ 1018 (trites lands)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 24.75  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  FLUTIE FLAKES               (englehart c)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  LADY JASMINE               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
SCR  MAGGIE               (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPINNING COLORS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2022 4290ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:221 :452 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  QUICK RETURN 3 1 21½ 2½   11 12½ (shirer a)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 2.25  
1  LOST IN ROME 1 6 33½ 32   21 22½ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 6.80  
2  AUBURN HILLS 2 2 11½ 1½   32 36¼ (persaud randi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 18% 4.60 2.05 S
7  SOMEBODY 5 5 54½ 57½   47½ 49¼ (bond james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 ★ 8.20  
6  SARATOGA PAL 4 4 44 44½   58½ 517½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 4.50  
8  SICILIA MIKE 6 3 65 612   617½ 630½ (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★ 5.90  
SCR  BOLDISH               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY               (englehart s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2022 4620ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:23 :461 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TWO FOR CHARGING 3 8 75¾ 65   21½ 11½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 ★ 7.00  
6  OCEAN'S RESERVE 6 1 43½ 43   11½ 21½ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 28% 2.60 1.20 P
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM 5 3 64¾ 75¼   47½ 38 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 16% 5.40 6.00 S
2  SINFUL DANCER 2 4 2nk 11   34 48¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 26% 2.90 8.00  
4  COMPROMISER 4 5 86¼ 89¾   79½ 513¾ (grossman r)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 15.50  
7  FULL COMPLEMENT 7 7 32 31   58 614 (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 15.80  
8  DEVIL BOY 8 2 53¾ 53½   69 714¼ (englehart c)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 10% 9.00 3.05  
1  CAPLETON 1 6 1nk 21   815½ 831¾ (richards marvin)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2022 9240ft DIRT GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
:50 1:152 1:403 2:061   2:594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS 1 31½ 42 32 33 31½ 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 0.80 26% 2.80 0.95 W
3  ORIGINAL INTENT 3 42½ 2½ 2nk 21 21½ 2¾ (combs bentley)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 ★ 9.80 P
2  LONE ROCK 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 11½ 32¼ (diodoro robertino)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 51% 1.00 1.50 S
4  PORTOS 4 53 52¼ 54 47 48½ 412½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 ★ 6.00  
5  SHOOGER RAY TOO 5 2½ 3½ 43½ 59½ 511½ 516¼ (servis tyler)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 ★ 17.30  
 
SAR-6   07/28/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
:251 :511 1:151     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEGS A. K. GIRL 2 3 53 64¼ 65 52 1½ (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 4.60  
3  BIRTHDAY TIME 3 2 31½ 31½ 21 2½ 2½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 46% 1.20 3.40 P
4  PUBLIC SERVICE 4 4 11 11½ 11 1½ 3¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 3.50  
9  BELLESHAZZA 9 5 21 42½ 43 42 41½ (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 10.80  
10  INVESTMENT INCOME 10 7 41½ 21½ 31 31 51¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 9% 10.00 3.95  
1  COLD CALL 1 1 107¼ 107¾ 109 87½ 63¼ (arnold r)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 12.50  
5  ANY PORT 5 6 63½ 52¾ 53½ 63 74¼ (lerman s)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 24.25  
6  RICELLE 6 10 74½ 74¾ 77 76 86 (legall e)SAMUEL L 124 30.00 49.00  
8  ROUNDABOUT 8 8 95¼ 85¾ 87½ 98 912¾ (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 24.75  
7  DANCING SOPHIA 7 9 84¾ 95¾ 98 109 1016¼ (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 8.10  
SCR  AFILADA               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARRETT               (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  BRISKY FROLIC               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  REGINA               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 6% 16.60    
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL               (arriaga antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
SCR  TEKILA               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/28/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:221 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVAN SING 1 8 87½ 87   3½ 12 (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 2.35  
6  THIN WHITE DUKE 6 6 76½ 75½   51¼ 22 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 6.10  
3  RING OF FIRE 3 2 32 31½   1½ 34 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 4.10  
2  IMMORTALIZATION 2 3 1½ 2nk   2½ 47 (hemingway michelle)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 14.00  
5  LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 5 5 53½ 53   62¾ 57 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 26% 2.90 7.30  
8  BOSTON TEA PARTY 8 1 2½ 1nk   41 68 (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 28% 2.50 3.45  
4  BUSTIN SHOUT 4 4 64 65   84¾ 711¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
7  BIZ BIZ BUZZ 7 7 42 42½   74¼ 812¾ (trombetta j)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 14.40  
SCR  MALIBU S S               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MR. PETE               (davis d)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
SCR  RISK PROFILE               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2022 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:231 :471 1:121 1:383   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRICE DISCIPLINE 2 1 32 32 1nk 12 12½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 50% 1.00 1.10 W
9  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 8 4 87½ 86 74¾ 46 22½ (schosberg richard)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 24.25  
8  RHYMES LIKE DIMES 7 3 65½ 75 63¼ 34½ 33¼ (joseph a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 18.40  
1  DANGEROUS EDGE 6 2 44 43½ 3½ 22 46¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 14% 6.30 7.90  
6  GREAT WORKOUT 4 8 77 54½ 52¼ 58½ 57¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 12% 7.40 5.20  
7  MR BREADWINNER 5 7 55½ 65 85¼ 612½ 611½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00 ★ 6.50  
5  FORTY TWO ACE 3 5 21 2½ 2nk 714½ 728½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 4.20  
3  THRILL OF IT 1 6 11 1½ 42 821 836¾ (terranova p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
SCR  SON OF AN EX               (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 125 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2022 7260ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:233 :474 1:123 1:39   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLD HARD CASH 1 41½ 42 31½ 31 11 15 (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 16% 5.20 2.40 W
1A  PIONEER SPIRIT 7 31½ 31½ 42 41½ 41½ 25 (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 3.05  
8  TIDE OF THE SEA 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 21 35 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 12.60  
6  OFFLEE NAUGHTY 2 78 710½ 76 63 62½ 45½ (mccarthy w)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 6.10  
9  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM 4 52 54½ 52½ 52½ 52 57½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 3.85  
11  RODERICK 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 69¼ (bauer a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 26% 2.80 3.20  
1  PARSIMONY 5 63 64½ 63½ 76½ 79½ 732½ (kantarmaci mertkan)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 3.05  
SCR  BALTHUS (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MCLOVIN               (brisset rodolphe)ROSARIO JOEL 126 6.00    
SCR  MUD PIE               (arnold r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  REIGNING SPIRIT               (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED FAST               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:221 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COUSIN ANDREW 2 6 42½ 43½   22 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 12% 7.30 2.70 W
10  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 7 1 1nk 1½   12 2½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 33.25  
16  STORM SHOOTER 8 4 3½ 31½   32 35 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 8% 11.70 1.55 S
1  GINNSU WARRIOR 1 8 86¼ 57   55½ 46¾ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 7.90  
7  LORD GATLING 5 2 54 77½   66 58½ (klesaris p)SAMUEL L 120 10.00 3.15  
3  DEREGULATION (GB) 3 7 76 67   77½ 610 (terranova p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 14.80  
4  FROZEN FUNDS 4 5 2nk 2½   44½ 713½ (hemingway michelle)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00 22.30  
9  NATURE BOY 6 3 64½ 810   816½ 830¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 18.80  
SCR  COOL LAOBAN               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
SCR  FOMO               (hendriks mclane)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  HEZASTONECOLDFOX               (brown r)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS               (grossman r)SAMUEL L 122 30.00    
SCR  SANDRONE               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  ZEALIN IT               (clarke dylan)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.