Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/28/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:241 :504 1:164 1:412   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S KEEN 3 3 1 11 11 13 1 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 5.50  
FOREVER AFTER ALL 2 4 43 3 42 23 2 (stall al)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 6% 15.30 3.40 P
INVENTING 4 2 32 4 3 3 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 55% 0.80 1.30 S
AUNT NAUGHTY 5 1 2 21 21 44 4 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 14% 6.00 2.80  
CINQ SOUERS 6 5 65 53 65 511 514½ (medina robert)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 28.50  
AMENSET 1 6 5 6 55 617½ 638 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.30  
 
SAR-2   07/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE LINZEE 4 1 3 3   1nk 1hd (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 18.20  
SOUFFLE (GB) 3 6 7 6   4 2hd (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00 P
10  FANCYPANTS JULIANA 10 3 2 21   3.2 3 (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 9.80  
SHOWEMYOURHEELS 7 9 9 9   6 4 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
MOONAGE DAYDREAM 8 8 8 8   72 53 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.50 5.40  
SLOW DOWN SUMMER 5 2 1 11   2nk 6 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 34.50  
BAD SAMARITAN 1 10 10 10   8 75 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 35.50  
FLEETFOOTED 2 5 4 4   5 86 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6.70  
SNOWY EVENING 6 4 5 5   98 913 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 30% 2.30 3.65  
FRANKIE C 9 7 6 7   1011½ 1018 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 24.75  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  FLUTIE FLAKES               (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  LADY JASMINE               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
SCR  MAGGIE               (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPINNING COLORS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RETURN 3 1 2 2½   11 1 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 2.25  
LOST IN ROME 1 6 3 32   21 2 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 6.80  
AUBURN HILLS 2 2 1 1½   32 3 (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 18% 4.60 2.05 S
SOMEBODY 5 5 5 5   4 4 (bond harol)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 8.20  
SARATOGA PAL 4 4 44 4   5 517½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 4.50  
SICILIA MIKE 6 3 65 612   617½ 630½ (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5.90  
SCR  BOLDISH               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY               (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO FOR CHARGING 3 8 7 65   2 1 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 7.00  
OCEAN'S RESERVE 6 1 4 43   1 2 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 28% 2.60 1.20 P
CURLIN'S WISDOM 5 3 6 7   4 38 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 16% 5.40 6.00 S
SINFUL DANCER 2 4 2nk 11   34 4 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 26% 2.90 8.00  
COMPROMISER 4 5 8 8   7 513¾ (grossman r)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 15.50  
FULL COMPLEMENT 7 7 32 31   58 614 (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 15.80  
DEVIL BOY 8 2 5 5   69 714¼ (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 10% 9.00 3.05  
CAPLETON 1 6 1nk 21   815½ 831¾ (richards mar)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2022 9240ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:50 1:152 1:403 2:061   2:594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARLESS 1 3 42 32 33 3 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 0.80 26% 2.80 0.95 W
ORIGINAL INTENT 3 4 2½ 2nk 21 2 2¾ (combs bentley)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 9.80 P
LONE ROCK 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 1 3 (diodoro rober)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 51% 1.00 1.50 S
PORTOS 4 53 5 54 47 4 412½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 6.00  
SHOOGER RAY TOO 5 2½ 3½ 4 5 511½ 516¼ (servis j)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 17.30  
 
SAR-6   07/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:251 :511 1:151     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEGS A. K. GIRL 2 3 53 6 65 52 1½ (dini mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 4.60  
BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) 3 2 3 3 21 2½ 2½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 46% 1.20 3.40 P
PUBLIC SERVICE 4 4 11 1 11 1½ 3¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 3.50  
BELLESHAZZA 9 5 21 4 43 42 4 (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 10.80  
10  INVESTMENT INCOME 10 7 4 2 31 31 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 9% 10.00 3.95  
COLD CALL 1 1 10 10 109 8 6 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 12.50  
ANY PORT 5 6 6 5 5 63 7 (lerman roy )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 24.25  
RICELLE 6 10 7 7 77 76 86 (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 124 30.00 49.00  
ROUNDABOUT 8 8 9 8 8 98 912¾ (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 24.75  
DANCING SOPHIA 7 9 8 9 98 109 1016¼ (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 8.10  
SCR  AFILADA               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BARRETT               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  BRISKY FROLIC               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  REGINA               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 6% 16.60    
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL               (arriaga anto)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
SCR  TEKILA               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:221 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVAN SING 1 8 8 87   3½ 12 (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 2.35  
THIN WHITE DUKE 6 6 7 7   5 22 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 6.10  
RING OF FIRE 3 2 32 3   1½ 34 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 4.10  
IMMORTALIZATION 2 3 1½ 2nk   2½ 47 (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 14.00  
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 5 5 5 53   6 57 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 26% 2.90 7.30  
BOSTON TEA PARTY 8 1 2½ 1nk   41 68 (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 28% 2.50 3.45  
BUSTIN SHOUT 4 4 64 65   8 711¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
BIZ BIZ BUZZ 7 7 42 4   7 812¾ (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 14.40  
SCR  MALIBU S S               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MR. PETE               (davis edmun)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
SCR  RISK PROFILE               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121 1:383   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICE DISCIPLINE 2 1 32 32 1nk 12 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.80 50% 1.00 1.10 W
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 8 4 8 86 7 46 2 (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 24.25  
RHYMES LIKE DIMES 7 3 6 75 6 3 3 (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 18.40  
DANGEROUS EDGE 6 2 44 4 3½ 22 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 14% 6.30 7.90  
GREAT WORKOUT 4 8 77 5 5 5 5 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 12% 7.40 5.20  
MR BREADWINNER 5 7 5 65 8 612½ 611½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00 6.50  
FORTY TWO ACE 3 5 21 2½ 2nk 714½ 728½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 4.20  
THRILL OF IT 1 6 11 1½ 42 821 836¾ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER               (hennig mark)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
SCR  SON OF AN EX               (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 125 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2022 7260ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:39   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLD HARD CASH 1 4 42 3 31 11 15 (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 16% 5.20 2.40 W
1A  PIONEER SPIRIT 7 3 3 42 4 4 25 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 3.05  
TIDE OF THE SEA 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 21 35 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 12.60  
OFFLEE NAUGHTY 2 78 710½ 76 63 6 4 (mccarthy micha)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 6.10  
AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM 4 52 5 5 5 52 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 3.85  
11  RODERICK 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 6 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 26% 2.80 3.20  
PARSIMONY 5 63 6 6 7 7 732½ (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 3.05  
SCR  BALTHUS (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MCLOVIN               (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 126 6.00    
SCR  MUD PIE               (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  REIGNING SPIRIT               (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED FAST               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN ANDREW 2 6 4 4   22 1½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 12% 7.30 2.70 W
10  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 7 1 1nk 1½   12 2½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 33.25  
16  STORM SHOOTER 8 4 3½ 3   32 35 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 8% 11.70 1.55 S
GINNSU WARRIOR 1 8 8 57   5 4 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 7.90  
LORD GATLING 5 2 54 7   66 5 (klesaris rob)SAMUEL L 120 10.00 3.15  
DEREGULATION (GB) 3 7 76 67   7 610 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 14.80  
FROZEN FUNDS 4 5 2nk 2½   4 713½ (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 20.00 22.30  
NATURE BOY 6 3 6 810   816½ 830¼ (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 18.80  
SCR  COOL LAOBAN               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
SCR  FOMO               (hendriks mcla)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  HEZASTONECOLDFOX               (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS               (grossman bru)SAMUEL L 122 30.00    
SCR  SANDRONE               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  ZEALIN IT               (clarke dylan)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.