The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Sunday - July 17, 2022

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SAR-1   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT MAN 4 1 1½ 1nk   12 1(levine bruce)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 7.60  
CURLY LARRY AND MO 5 3 2½ 2nk   22 2(caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 19.10  
PETE N BILLY 8 2 32 32   36 39 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 8.50  
MIRACLE MIKE 7 5 6 614½   514 412¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.00 41% 1.50 0.90  
CONMAN 6 6 4 4   412 515 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 3.00  
SORPRESO 1 7 711½ 716   616 618 (vazquez carlos)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.50  
BURN JAKEY BURN 2 8 812 817½   822½ 729¾ (albertrani thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 17.00  
BARRY THE BUILDER 3 4 57 512   722 830¾ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 12.20  
SCR  N Y RIESLING               (dixon k)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
 
SAR-2   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 1:39
:23 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRINITY TITOLI 2 2 31 21   1½ 15 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.10 W
MOMMASGOTTARUN 6 3 2½ 11   2½ 25 (amoss m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 32% 2.20 1.75 P
WATERS OF MEROM 5 6 4 4   33(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 2.20 S
GRIS TORMENTA 1 5 53 5   5410¾ (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 15% 5.60 10.20  
LEVIOSA 3 1 1½ 31   4516¼ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 4.70  
AMORE FIRE 4 4 65 610½   616 632¾ (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 15.00  
 
SAR-3   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:223 :462 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CROSSTALK 10 1 11 12   13 1nk (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 33% 2.10 1.35 W
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE 3 3 7 33   23 2nk (grossman r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 3.90 P
ROZ 4 4 4 46   43(miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 17% 5.00 7.50 S
TO THE TUNE 9 8 8 6   511 4(margotta jr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 10.90  
SHANE'S RISK 8 5 21 22   35(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.80  
MY DADDY'S TRAINER 6 9 9 811   616 618½ (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 47.75  
ESCAPEWITHFRIENDS 7 10 1013¾ 1016   821 719½ (dini mike)CARDENAS LUIS 124 8.00 28% 2.50 20.90  
SECRET HIDEOUT 5 6 6 911½   1024 832½ (davis d)DAVIS A 119 15.00 40.25  
HALOFIED 2 2 3 57   720 933 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 15.70  
CARLANN 1 7 5 710   923½ 1037¾ (o'connor brice)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 13.00  
 
SAR-4   07/17/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:232 :473 1:122 1:372   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMER 4 1 2½ 2½ 11 14 17 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 38% 1.60 2.80 W
TWO THIRTY FIVE 5 6 54 4 4 24 27 (kantarmaci mertkan)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 2.20 P
WAR STOPPER 1 3 3 3 21 33(falcone n)SANTANA JR 123 4.00 5.10  
LOCALLY OWNED 2 4 6 6 53 410 420¼ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 4.90  
INDIMAAJ 3 2 1½ 1½ 31 521 545 (diodoro robertino)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6% 16.10 10.20  
CRAFTY DADDY 6 5 4 5 611 635 668¼ (barkley jason)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 27% 2.60 3.95  
SCR  TRUCULENT               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:214 :444 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YARROW 4 3 7 7   52 1¼ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 W
NEURO 7 8 8 85   72¼ (ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 3.90  
SHERIFF BIANCO 6 6 21 2½   1nk 3¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 12% 7.50 3.10 S
10  ATHENRY 9 1 4 31   2nk 4¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 5.90  
VETERANS BEACH 1 5 31 42   451 (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 15.20 8.70  
TWO DOWN 5 9 9 9   96(englehart s)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 17.40  
DISCO DEANO 3 2 11 1½   3½ 7(ferraro anthony)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00 6% 15.80 10.30  
BE THE BOSS 2 4 5 53   63 8(trombetta j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 20.20  
SARATOGA PROMISE 8 7 63 63   8912½ (barrow paul)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00 47.00  
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 1.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 1.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-6   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
:224 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O'TROUBLE 6 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 7% 13.20 1.55 W
VICTORY BUILT 9 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 7.20  
MAJESTIC TIGER 3 10 10 9   43¼ (rodriguez gustavo)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6% 15.10 9.30 S
FORESTWOOD LANE 2 8 74 6   35 4(englehart chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 12.10  
SCORPION DYNASTY 5 11 11 1010½   75(clarke dylan)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00 51.50  
TRUEBELIEVE 1 7 3 3   5611 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 71.00  
ROAD TO SUCCESS 4 9 5 4   6715 (englehart s)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 56% 0.80 3.35  
JUMPSTER 8 1 9 1111   1015¾ 816 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 20.00 14.90  
11  REVENIO 11 6 64 7   813¾ 916¾ (zito p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 25.75  
10  BRUNATE 10 5 43 87   914¼ 1021½ (bond james)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 5% 18.30 6.50  
QUINTARELLI 7 4 8 5   1116¼ 1128¼ (henry neville)DAVIS A 122 50.00 62.00  
 
SAR-7   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
:234 :482 1:124 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY THORNHILL 4 8 1010¼ 107 9 4¾ 1nk (donk david)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 5% 18.80 16.20 W
NEW GINYA 5 6 42 42 41 1nk 2nk (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.50 P
RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 9 10 8 95 7 3.2 31 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 4.00 3.25 S
10  MASTEROF THE TUNES 10 9 9 53 52 64(lee joseph)VELAZQUEZ R 125 10.00 9.10  
FIST FULL OF DICE 6 5 32 3 3½ 2nk 5(combs bentley)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00 22.00  
I'M FINE 1 1 54 7 63 76(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 3.80  
JUST OK IS NOT OK 2 2 11 11 1½ 57(de horacio)SANTANA JR 125 6.00 10% 9.00 8.70  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 3 3 21 21 2½ 88(klesaris p)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 7.20  
STARSHIP BELMONT 8 7 7 8 10 99(ferraro anthony)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 30.00 59.50  
VALLELUJAH 7 4 6 6 8 101014¼ (davis g)DAVIS A 118 50.00 38.25  
SCR  CARAGATE               (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LYNNE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  GALLINA               (bond james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
 
SAR-8   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
:212 :434 :55     1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG INVASION 6 4 5 4   11 1(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.20 20% 4.00 0.85 W
RUN CURTIS RUN 3 2 2½ 2nk   31 2(maker j)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 18.60  
SURPRISE BOSS 2 1 1½ 1nk   21 3(vazquez carlos)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 19.00  
SKY AND SAND 1 5 4 5   54(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 16.20  
ASYMMETRIC (IRE) 5 6 6 6   42 5(ward a)SPENCER P 124 3.50 2.55  
NOBALS 4 3 32 31   64 6(rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 12% 7.10 3.60  
SCR  DANCE CODE               (vazquez carlos)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
SCR  HAGLER               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  ONE TIMER               (rivelli larry)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-9   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:224 :453 1:094     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE TWO ZONE 6 2 63 4   2nk 1(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 11.60  
SOUND MONEY 4 5 41 31   3.2 2(brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 27% 2.80 0.95 P
GUN IT 7 1 5 1nk   1nk 3(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 16% 5.20 6.00 S
FORTIN HILL 5 3 31 6   54(mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 24% 3.30 5.40  
NIGHT TIME 2 6 1½ 2nk   4¾ 5(romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 10.80  
SUPREMACY 1 7 74 7   7612¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 10% 9.30 4.10  
AMERICAN POWER 3 4 2½ 5   6713 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 32.25  
 
SAR-10   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:24 :483 1:131 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR JESSICA 5 5 44 3 22 11 1(donk david)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 13% 6.50 2.05 W
OAK LOVES A FIGHT 6 9 88 89 7 43 2(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 9.30  
JANNIE MAE 1 7 1½ 11 12 21 3(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 18.30  
DATS A SUPERSTAR 2 2 56 56 5 33 4(morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 10% 8.60 11.60  
10  SKYWARD PRINCESS 9 4 9 10 10 756 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 48% 1.10 4.90  
INKBLOT 4 3 33 4 4 566 (quick j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 7.00  
12  TAPPLE CIDER 11 8 10 1111¼ 11 64 7(tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 5.10  
11  MUCHO MAMA MIA 10 12 1211½ 1212¾ 12 98(englehart c)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 12.00 21.60  
MISS MALALA 3 10 67 6 65 10911¾ (ferraro w)SAMUEL L 118 50.00 72.00  
LOLA LOLA 7 1 2½ 21 3 86 1012 (miceli michael)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 10.50  
13  I'LL GO ALL IN 12 11 1110 9 9 111112¾ (vazquez carlos)DAVIS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 43.25  
DANCE FOR BOURBON 8 6 7 78 8 1212¾ 1218¼ (ryerson t)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 53.75  
SCR  DULCE GIGANTE               (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION               (schettino a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
SCR  KAY TEE GAL               (henry neville)DAVIS A 118 50.00    
SCR  QUIET TYPE               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.