Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIGHT MAN 4 1 1½ 1nk   12 13¾ (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★ 7.60  
5  CURLY LARRY AND MO 5 3 2½ 2nk   22 23¾ (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 19.10  
9  PETE N BILLY 8 2 32 32   36 39 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 8.50  
8  MIRACLE MIKE 7 5 69½ 614½   514 412¼ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.00 41% 1.50 0.90  
7  CONMAN 6 6 45½ 47½   412 515 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 3.00  
1  SORPRESO 1 7 711½ 716   616 618 (vazquez )DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.50  
2  BURN JAKEY BURN 2 8 812 817½   822½ 729¾ (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 17.00  
3  BARRY THE BUILDER 3 4 57 512   722 830¾ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 ★ 12.20  
SCR  N Y RIESLING               (dixon li)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
 
SAR-2   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRINITY TITOLI 2 2 31 21   1½ 15 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.10 W
6  MOMMASGOTTARUN 6 3 2½ 11   2½ 25 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 32% 2.20 1.75 P
5  WATERS OF MEROM 5 6 42½ 43½   34½ 38¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 ★ 2.20 S
1  GRIS TORMENTA 1 5 53 56½   57½ 410¾ (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 15% 5.60 10.20  
3  LEVIOSA 3 1 1½ 31   45½ 516¼ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 ★ 4.70  
4  AMORE FIRE 4 4 65 610½   616 632¾ (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 15.00  
 
SAR-3   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CROSSTALK 10 1 11 12   13 1nk (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 33% 2.10 1.35 W
3  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE 3 3 73¼ 33   23 2nk (grossman r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 3.90 P
4  ROZ 4 4 41½ 46   49½ 38¼ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 17% 5.00 7.50 S
9  TO THE TUNE 9 8 86¼ 67½   511 48½ (margotta)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 10.90  
8  SHANE'S RISK 8 5 21 22   36½ 58½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.80  
6  MY DADDY'S TRAINER 6 9 98¼ 811   616 618½ (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 47.75  
7  ESCAPEWITHFRIENDS 7 10 1013¾ 1016   821 719½ (dini mike)CARDENAS LUIS 124 8.00 28% 2.50 20.90  
5  SECRET HIDEOUT 5 6 62¾ 911½   1024 832½ (davis ed)DAVIS A 119 15.00 40.25  
2  HALOFIED 2 2 31½ 57   720 933 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 15.70  
1  CARLANN 1 7 52½ 710   923½ 1037¾ (o'connor m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 ★ 13.00  
 
SAR-4   07/17/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:122 1:372   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZOOMER 4 1 2½ 2½ 11 14 17 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 38% 1.60 2.80 W
6  TWO THIRTY FIVE 5 6 54 42½ 41½ 24 27 (kantarmaci mer)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 ★ 2.20 P
1  WAR STOPPER 1 3 32½ 32½ 21 34½ 37¾ (falcone )SANTANA JR 123 4.00 5.10  
2  LOCALLY OWNED 2 4 64¼ 63¾ 53 410 420¼ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 ★ 4.90  
3  INDIMAAJ 3 2 1½ 1½ 31 521 545 (diodoro robert)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6% 16.10 10.20  
7  CRAFTY DADDY 6 5 42½ 52¾ 611 635 668¼ (barkley ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 27% 2.60 3.95  
SCR  TRUCULENT               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:214 :444 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YARROW 4 3 73¼ 73½   52 1¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 W
8  NEURO 7 8 83¾ 85   73¼ 2¼ (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 3.90  
7  SHERIFF BIANCO 6 6 21 2½   1nk 3¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 12% 7.50 3.10 S
10  ATHENRY 9 1 41½ 31   2nk 4¾ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 5.90  
2  VETERANS BEACH 1 5 31 42   41½ 51 (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 15.20 8.70  
6  TWO DOWN 5 9 95¾ 95¼   93¾ 63¼ (englehart jeffr)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 17.40  
4  DISCO DEANO 3 2 11 1½   3½ 73½ (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00 6% 15.80 10.30  
3  BE THE BOSS 2 4 52½ 53   63 83¾ (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 20.20  
9  SARATOGA PROMISE 8 7 63 63   83¾ 912½ (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00 47.00  
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 1.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 1.00 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-6   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  O'TROUBLE 6 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 7% 13.20 1.55 W
9  VICTORY BUILT 9 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 7.20  
3  MAJESTIC TIGER 3 10 106¾ 97½   45½ 3¼ (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6% 15.10 9.30 S
2  FORESTWOOD LANE 2 8 74 65¾   35 43¼ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 12.10  
5  SCORPION DYNASTY 5 11 117¾ 1010½   79¾ 59½ (clarke dylan)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00 51.50  
1  TRUEBELIEVE 1 7 32½ 33½   57½ 611 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 71.00  
4  ROAD TO SUCCESS 4 9 53½ 45½   69½ 715 (englehart jef)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 56% 0.80 3.35  
8  JUMPSTER 8 1 96¼ 1111   1015¾ 816 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 20.00 14.90  
11  REVENIO 11 6 64 76¾   813¾ 916¾ (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 25.75  
10  BRUNATE 10 5 43 87   914¼ 1021½ (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 5% 18.30 6.50  
7  QUINTARELLI 7 4 84¼ 55¾   1116¼ 1128¼ (henry ne)DAVIS A 122 50.00 62.00  
 
SAR-7   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:124 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY THORNHILL 4 8 1010¼ 107 94¾ 4¾ 1nk (donk david)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 5% 18.80 16.20 W
5  NEW GINYA 5 6 42 42 41 1nk 2nk (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.50 P
9  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 9 10 86¾ 95 73¼ 3.2 31 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 4.00 3.25 S
10  MASTEROF THE TUNES 10 9 98¼ 53 52 62¾ 41¾ (lee joseph)VELAZQUEZ R 125 10.00 9.10  
6  FIST FULL OF DICE 6 5 32 31½ 3½ 2nk 53¾ (combs bentle)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00 22.00  
1  I'M FINE 1 1 54 73½ 63 72¾ 65½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 3.80  
2  JUST OK IS NOT OK 2 2 11 11 1½ 52¼ 76½ (de h)SANTANA JR 125 6.00 10% 9.00 8.70  
3  BELLA PRINCIPESSA 3 3 21 21 2½ 83¾ 88½ (klesaris rober)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 7.20  
8  STARSHIP BELMONT 8 7 76½ 84½ 106¾ 95¾ 98¾ (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 30.00 59.50  
7  VALLELUJAH 7 4 64½ 63½ 84¾ 109¾ 1014¼ (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 50.00 38.25  
SCR  CARAGATE               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  CLASSIC LYNNE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  GALLINA               (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
 
SAR-8   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:212 :434 :55     1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG INVASION 6 4 53½ 41¼   11 12¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.20 20% 4.00 0.85 W
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
3  RUN CURTIS RUN 3 2 2½ 2nk   31 22¾ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 18.60  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MY MAGIC MOMENT by BRENTS NASRULLAH)
2  SURPRISE BOSS 2 1 1½ 1nk   21 33¼ (vazquez ca)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 19.00  
  (by WAR DANCER out of CHIMICHURRI by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  SKY AND SAND 1 5 42½ 51¾   52½ 43½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 16.20  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHARP FINNISH by PETIONVILLE)
7  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) 5 6 65½ 63¼   42 54¼ (ward a)SPENCER P 124 3.50 ★ 2.55  
  (by UPSTART out of BLUSH by MENIFEE)
4  NOBALS 4 3 32 31   64 66¾ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 12% 7.10 3.60  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  DANCE CODE               (vazquez c)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of DANCINGINTHESTREET by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  HAGLER               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of AMBITIOUS DANCER by GATE DANCER)
SCR  ONE TIMER               (rivelli larr)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
SCR  SENBEI               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET ALOHA by WESTERN CAT)
 
SAR-9   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:094     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THREE TWO ZONE 6 2 63 41¼   2nk 11¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 11.60  
4  SOUND MONEY 4 5 41 31   3.2 21¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 27% 2.80 0.95 P
7  GUN IT 7 1 52½ 1nk   1nk 33¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 16% 5.20 6.00 S
5  FORTIN HILL 5 3 31 64¼   55¾ 48½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 24% 3.30 5.40  
2  NIGHT TIME 2 6 1½ 2nk   4¾ 59¼ (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 ★ 10.80  
1  SUPREMACY 1 7 74 75¾   78¼ 612¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 10% 9.30 4.10  
3  AMERICAN POWER 3 4 2½ 52¼   67¾ 713 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 32.25  
 
SAR-10   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUR JESSICA 5 5 44 33½ 22 11 14¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 13% 6.50 2.05 W
7  OAK LOVES A FIGHT 6 9 88 89 75¼ 43 24¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 9.30  
1  JANNIE MAE 1 7 1½ 11 12 21 34¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 18.30  
2  DATS A SUPERSTAR 2 2 56 56 53½ 33 45¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 10% 8.60 11.60  
10  SKYWARD PRINCESS 9 4 98½ 109¾ 106¼ 75½ 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 48% 1.10 4.90  
4  INKBLOT 4 3 33 43½ 42½ 53½ 66 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 7.00  
12  TAPPLE CIDER 11 8 109½ 1111¼ 116½ 64 76¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 5.10  
11  MUCHO MAMA MIA 10 12 1211½ 1212¾ 128½ 97½ 89¾ (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 12.00 21.60  
3  MISS MALALA 3 10 67 66½ 65 107¾ 911¾ (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 118 50.00 72.00  
8  LOLA LOLA 7 1 2½ 21 32½ 86 1012 (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 10.50  
13  I'LL GO ALL IN 12 11 1110 99½ 95¾ 119¼ 1112¾ (vazquez )DAVIS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 43.25  
9  DANCE FOR BOURBON 8 6 77½ 78 85¾ 1212¾ 1218¼ (ryerson james)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 53.75  
SCR  DULCE GIGANTE               (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION               (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
SCR  KAY TEE GAL               (henry ne)DAVIS A 118 50.00    
SCR  QUIET TYPE               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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