Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORPRESO         (vazquez )SANTANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  BURN JAKEY BURN         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
3  BARRY THE BUILDER         (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 ★    
4  LIGHT MAN         (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★    
5  CURLY LARRY AND MO         (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  N Y RIESLING Jun03         (dixon li)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
7  CONMAN         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  MIRACLE MIKE Jun03         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.00 41% 1.50    
9  PETE N BILLY         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIS TORMENTA Jun23 Jun05 May22 Mar27   (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 15% 5.60    
2  TRINITY TITOLI Jul04 Jun05 May21 Mar19 Feb12 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  LEVIOSA Jun28 May15 Mar19 Jan26   (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 ★    
4  AMORE FIRE Jul04 May30 Apr21 Mar19   (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
5  WATERS OF MEROM Jun12 May22 May07 Apr07 Apr01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 ★    
6  MOMMASGOTTARUN Jun11 May12 Apr16 Mar04 Jan19 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 32% 2.20    
 
SAR-3   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLANN         (o'connor m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 ★    
2  HALOFIED Jun17         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
3  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Jun02 May07 Apr22 Mar25 Feb26 (grossman r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
4  ROZ Jul01 May08 Apr21 Mar18 Jan08 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
5  SECRET HIDEOUT May30 May08 Apr23     (davis ed)DAVIS A 119 15.00    
6  MY DADDY'S TRAINER Jun15 Jun03 May04 Apr15 Feb25 (zito p)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
7  ESCAPEWITHFRIENDS         (dini mike)CARDENAS LUIS 124 8.00 28% 2.50    
8  SHANE'S RISK May21         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
9  TO THE TUNE Jun12         (margotta)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
10  CROSSTALK Jun17 May30 Apr14 Mar12   (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
SAR-4   07/17/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR STOPPER Apr15 Mar13 Feb05     (falcone )SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
2  LOCALLY OWNED Jun11 May06       (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 ★    
3  INDIMAAJ Mar04 Jan29 Jan01     (diodoro robert)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  TRUCULENT Jun04 May08 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
5  ZOOMER May22 May07 Mar26 Feb26 Jan23 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  TWO THIRTY FIVE Jun18 May07 Apr08 Mar20 Feb10 (kantarmaci mer)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 ★    
7  CRAFTY DADDY Jun04         (barkley ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 27% 2.60    
 
SAR-5   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Jul04 May05 Apr16 Mar19 Feb05 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 1.00    
SCR  STORM SHOOTER May27 May21 May05 Mar13 Feb13 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 1.00 30% 2.30    
2  VETERANS BEACH Jun18 May21       (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6% 15.20    
3  BE THE BOSS Jun21 Jun06 May13 Jan31 Jan12 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
4  DISCO DEANO Jun01 May16       (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00 6% 15.80    
5  YARROW Jun10 Apr28       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  TWO DOWN May28 May13       (englehart jeffr)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
7  SHERIFF BIANCO Jul09 May21       (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
8  NEURO         (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
9  SARATOGA PROMISE         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00    
10  ATHENRY Jun17 Apr24       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
 
SAR-6   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUEBELIEVE Jun30 May28 May05 Apr08 Mar20 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  FORESTWOOD LANE Jun30 Apr22 Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
3  MAJESTIC TIGER Jul04 May30 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
4  ROAD TO SUCCESS Jun04 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 Jan05 (englehart jef)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  SCORPION DYNASTY Jun30 Feb19 Feb03 Jan09   (clarke dylan)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
6  O'TROUBLE Jul04 May08       (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 7% 13.20    
7  QUINTARELLI Jun30 May31 May18 May05 Jan09 (henry ne)DAVIS A 122 50.00    
8  JUMPSTER Jun16 May13 Apr24 Apr07 Mar05 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
9  VICTORY BUILT Jun05 May08 Mar05 Feb26 Feb03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
10  BRUNATE Jun04 May05 Apr01 Mar05 Jan02 (bond jam)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 5% 18.30    
11  REVENIO May28 Mar31 Mar11 Feb20 Jan30 (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M FINE Jun25 May30 Apr29 Apr02 Mar01 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
2  JUST OK IS NOT OK         (de h)SANTANA JR 125 6.00 10% 9.00    
3  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Jun12 May15 Apr28 Mar11 Feb18 (klesaris rober)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00    
4  LADY THORNHILL May06         (donk david)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 5% 18.80    
5  NEW GINYA Jun25 May30       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  FIST FULL OF DICE         (combs bentle)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
7  VALLELUJAH Jun11 May08 Apr14     (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 50.00    
8  STARSHIP BELMONT Jun14 May24 Apr15 Mar09 Feb12 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 30.00    
9  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Jun04         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
10  MASTEROF THE TUNES Jun25 May14 Apr14     (lee joseph)VELAZQUEZ R 125 10.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LYNNE         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  CARAGATE Jun24 May27 Apr09 Feb21   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  GALLINA May27 Feb04 Jan02     (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
 
SAR-8   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY AND SAND Jun05 May14 Apr13 Feb26 Jan02 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHARP FINNISH by PETIONVILLE)
2  SURPRISE BOSS Jun19 Jun04 Apr23 Apr04   (vazquez ca)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of CHIMICHURRI by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  RUN CURTIS RUN Jun05 May04       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MY MAGIC MOMENT by BRENTS NASRULLAH)
4  NOBALS Jun05 May01 Apr02 Jan08   (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  DANCE CODE May15 Mar08 Feb06     (vazquez c)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of DANCINGINTHESTREET by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  ONE TIMER May23         (rivelli larr)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
7  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Jun09 May29       (ward a)SPENCER P 124 3.50 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of BLUSH by MENIFEE)
8  BIG INVASION May29 May04 Mar26 Feb19 Jan07 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.20 20% 4.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
SCR  SENBEI May15         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET ALOHA by WESTERN CAT)
SCR  HAGLER May26 Apr08 Feb06 Jan01   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of AMBITIOUS DANCER by GATE DANCER)
 
SAR-9   07/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREMACY Jun10 Apr16 Apr02 Feb20 Jan13 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 10% 9.30    
2  NIGHT TIME Jun10 May03       (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 ★    
3  AMERICAN POWER         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
4  SOUND MONEY Jun10 May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan08 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 27% 2.80    
5  FORTIN HILL May22 Apr02 Mar04     (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 24% 3.30    
6  THREE TWO ZONE Jun17 May21 Apr20 Mar08   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
7  GUN IT Jun25 May28 May07 Apr02 Feb21 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
SAR-10   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANNIE MAE Jun17         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
2  DATS A SUPERSTAR Jun04 May07 Apr16 Feb18   (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
3  MISS MALALA Jun16 May21 Apr22 Apr03 Mar11 (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 118 50.00    
4  INKBLOT Jun16 May21 Apr24     (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
5  OUR JESSICA Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 Apr10 Feb11 (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  KAY TEE GAL Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May08 Apr24 (henry ne)DAVIS A 118 50.00    
7  OAK LOVES A FIGHT Jun26 Jun16 May30 May08 Apr14 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
8  LOLA LOLA Jun24 Apr29       (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
9  DANCE FOR BOURBON Jul01 Jun16 May08 Apr03   (ryerson james)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00    
10  SKYWARD PRINCESS Jun04         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
11  MUCHO MAMA MIA         (englehart je)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 12.00    
12  TAPPLE CIDER         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
13  I'LL GO ALL IN Jun26 Jun04 Apr28     (vazquez c)ADORNO ABNER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUIET TYPE Jun16 May21 Apr24 Mar25 Mar06 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  DULCE GIGANTE Jun12         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Jun24 May12 Feb26 Jan08   (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.