The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
CNL-1   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
:221 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WASPIRANT 4 5 53¾ 52¼   31 1½ (bourke m)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00 9.40  
2  INDEFATIGABLE 2 3 32 31½   1½ 2½ (allen ferris)ALVELO C 122 4.00 ★ 6.40 P
3  BRACES 3 2 42¼ 41¾   2½ 32 (boniface c)AVILES YAN 113 3.50 59% 0.70 2.70 S
6  TRIPLE AMERICANO 6 6 75¼ 64¼   51½ 47¼ (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 122 20.00 11% 8.00 41.70  
5  TRIPLE TITOS 5 4 64¼ 74¼   62½ 57¼ (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 ★ 0.80  
1  BANDFROMTHEBAR 1 1 1nk 1nk   41 610¼ (smith a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 7.80  
8  BUSHIDO'S WAY 7 7 2nk 2nk   73½ 713 (calhoun amanda)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 8.00 25.40  
SCR  DUDE AND JUMPER               (hunt d)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-2   07/27/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:23 :454 1:093 1:344   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE POSER 3 5 42 42½ 42 31 12¼ (smith a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 ★ 3.00  
4  EASTSIDE COOL 4 2 31 21 2½ 1½ 22¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.50 ★ 3.00 P
1  GIGGING 1 6 64 64½ 54 53 33¼ (cash l)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 125 2.00 30% 2.40 3.30 S
2  SOROS 2 3 2½ 32 32 42½ 44 (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 10.00 21.80  
5  MEDICINE TAIL 5 1 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 54¾ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 123 5.00 18% 4.70 2.10  
6  MONEY RIDE 6 4 52½ 53 67 68 617¾ (allen ferris)ALVELO C 123 8.00 15% 5.60 6.60  
 
CNL-3   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
:22 :444 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RIDE THE PLAN 4 3 42½ 42½   42½ 11 (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 1.80 34% 2.00 0.90 W
6  CANADIAN GINGER 6 4 1nk 1½   12 21 (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.50 10% 9.10 4.10 P
1  SHANIAH 1 1 63¾ 64   32 31½ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 122 6.00 ★ 4.30 S
2  HOUSE WRECKER 2 2 32 32   22 43 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80 3.90  
3  BEDTIMEBOURBON 3 6 74¾ 75   66½ 59½ (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 20.00  
7  ALWAYS SOMETHING 7 5 2nk 2½   54½ 610¼ (testerman valora)AVILES YAN 115 15.00 25.80  
5  JOYA DEL SUR 5 7 53½ 53½   76¾ 710¾ (munoz carlos)URDANETA J 122 15.00 ★ 30.40  
 
CNL-4   07/27/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
:23 :452 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JALEN JOURNEY 6 4 44 31   21½ 1¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.00 25% 2.90 2.20 W
6  KADRI 5 2 21½ 1nk   11½ 2¼ (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 10.00 19% 4.20 2.20 P
1  FAST BOB 1 6 67½ 66½   57 33¾ (moore m)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 3.80  
5  BUBBA GRUMP 4 1 11½ 2nk   33 45¼ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
3  SPANKHURST 2 3 32 41½   45½ 55½ (vance d)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
4  BASQUIAT 3 5 54½ 54½   69 67¼ (lewis l)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00 ★ 5.10  
SCR  BREWMEISTER               (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
 
CNL-5   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:214 :451 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLESSED ARION 8 5 52 41   33 1nk (rawlings colleen)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 29.90  
5  STRIKE ME DOWN 5 9 104¼ 72¾   54 2nk (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 6.00 3.90  
3  PALIO 3 8 83¾ 104¼   84¼ 3½ (stidham michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 7.20  
10  REED KAN 10 4 62¼ 62¼   74¼ 41¼ (asmussen m)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 12.00 9% 10.10 13.90  
7  TAPE TO TAPE 7 2 2½ 2nk   21 51½ (mcgoey monica)MORELOS E 122 4.00 5.50  
1  LOVE YOU MUCH 1 11 116¾ 115¼   118 62¼ (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 14.70  
2  EQUULEUS 2 10 94¼ 93¼   106 72¾ (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 7.20  
11  LONGSHADOW 11 6 73¼ 83¼   95¾ 83 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 6.00 28% 2.60 10.30  
6  TRUST OUR JOURNEY 6 1 1½ 1nk   11 93½ (david a)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00 15% 5.50 7.80  
9  CLINT MAROON (GB) 9 3 31½ 3½   43½ 103¾ (bourke m)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00 36.20  
4  HARRY'S ONTHELOOSE 4 7 42 52   64 115½ (stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 10% 9.30 3.20  
SCR  THE CONNECTOR               (hoffman mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
CNL-6   07/27/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:252 :491 1:134 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RONSTADT 6 3 31½ 41½ 1nk 11½ 11¾ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.80 W
1  POLSAR 1 1 84½ 63 31½ 33 21¾ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 124 6.00 ★ 1.30 P
5  CIVICS CLASS 5 2 11 2½ 2nk 21½ 33¾ (lovell michelle)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 6.40  
3  SMALL FIELD 3 6 74 73 65½ 45 43¾ (huffman g)AVILES YAN 117 10.00 ★ 4.80  
8  B G LEE 8 5 21 52 54½ 55½ 57 (vance d)KARAMANOS A 118 4.50 ★ 7.00  
7  MAILMAN'S A FLYER 7 4 42 94½ 87 88½ 613½ (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 12.00 34% 1.90 51.80  
4  CANYOUHEARMENOW 4 8 52½ 1½ 42½ 67½ 715½ (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 117 15.00 31.60  
2  ITS MR POPPI TO U 2 7 96½ 84 910 98¾ 820 (calhoun amanda)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 20.00 85.90  
10  SKY STYLISH 10 10 1011½ 109½ 1012 109¾ 921 (voss elizabeth)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00 21.70  
9  DIVINAS CONNECTION 9 9 62½ 31 76 77½ 1023½ (locklear james)BATISTA A 118 20.00 ######  
 
CNL-7   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:223 :453 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OEUVRE 6 4 11 11   12 13½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00 3.00 W
10  RICHIES GREAT GIRL 7 2 21 21   22 23½ (rivelli larry)REYES LEONEL 123 4.50 5% 19.00 1.70 P
4  STOP WAR 4 1 31½ 31   32 33½ (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00 8.80  
2  MOM'S RED LIPSTICK 2 6 64 63¼   65¼ 44¼ (block chris)AVILES YAN 116 8.00 4.00  
1  TROBAIRITZ 1 5 53 43   44 54¾ (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 11.60  
3  GERRI B 3 7 74 73½   75¼ 67½ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 6.00 15% 5.80 4.70  
5  QUEENGOL 5 3 42½ 53¼   55 79 (danner kelsey)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 17.80  
SCR  FLY ME HOME               (stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  SLOT QUEEN               (proctor f)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
SCR  STONY POINT               (mcgaughey iii)BOYCE FOREST 125 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
:211 :473 1:384 2:023 2:144 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED KNIGHT 4 74½ 74 73½ 4¼ 11 11½ (maker j)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 19% 4.30 4.80 W
7  ANOTHER MYSTERY 7 63½ 63½ 52½ 3.2 21 21½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 6.00 21% 3.70 6.30 P
2  SNAP DECISION 2 52½ 53 63 51¼ 32 31½ (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 ★ 10.90 S
1  ROYNE 1 96½ 85½ 85 62¼ 42½ 42¾ (dickinson w)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 10.00 8.00  
6  BAKERS BAY 6 31½ 31 31½ 73¼ 73½ 53 (mcgaughey iii)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7.70  
11  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 11 41½ 41½ 42 84¼ 84½ 63¼ (maker j)CARRASCO R 122 12.00 27.30  
3  ALWAYS ABOVE 3 106¾ 107 96 97¼ 95½ 73½ (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 9.10 12.20  
9  THE HAPPY GIANT 9 85½ 96 107½ 108¼ 107 86¾ (fulmer allison)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 71.90  
10  LA LUNE (GB) 10 2½ 1nk 1½ 2nk 63½ 97 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 6.00 12.40  
8  CELLIST 8 1½ 2nk 2½ 1nk 53 107½ (arnold r)LEPAROUX R 126 3.00 29% 2.50 1.50  
5  NATHAN DETROIT 5 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 11100 (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00 82.70  
 
CNL-9   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
:22 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AMBLE 9 3 54 51¾   32 1¼ (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 22% 3.50 1.30 W
8  SONGTELLER 7 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00 11% 8.30 32.60 P
4  BABY LUCK 4 9 74¼ 73¼   53¼ 3½ (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00 14.10  
6  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE 6 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 41½ (castillo e)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 18% 4.50 7.70  
5  ABSTRACT MOMENT 5 6 43½ 3½   42¼ 53¼ (payne beale)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00 13.50  
3  LA SOBRINA 3 7 84¼ 84¾   64¾ 64¾ (mcgaughey iii)BOYCE FOREST 119 1.60 23% 3.40 1.60  
9  BLACK CURRENCY 8 4 64 61¾   76¾ 77¾ (huffman g)AVILES YAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
1  KIMSFAVORITESTORM 1 5 32½ 4¾   88¼ 814 (locklear james)BATISTA A 119 20.00 68.80  
2  SHEZ FIRED UP 2 8 9100 9100   9100 9100 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 14.00  
SCR  EXAGGERATED HUMOR               (russo jr)LOPEZ E 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.