Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDFROMTHEBAR Jun25         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
2  INDEFATIGABLE Jul01 May28 Apr08 Mar08   (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 4.00 ★    
3  BRACES Jul16 Jun30       (boniface c)AVILES YAN 113 3.50 59% 0.70    
4  WASPIRANT Jul18         (bourke m)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00    
5  TRIPLE TITOS Jun23 Jun11 May29 May08 Apr01 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 ★    
6  TRIPLE AMERICANO Apr16 Mar11 Feb24 Jan21   (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 122 20.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  DUDE AND JUMPER Jul12 Jun24 May06 Apr02 Feb03 (hunt ja)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 6.00 ★    
8  BUSHIDO'S WAY Jul07 Mar24 Mar17 Mar04 Jan22 (calhoun ama)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 8.00    
 
CNL-2   07/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIGGING Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 May21 Apr22 (cash norm)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
2  SOROS Jul03 Jun19 May29 Apr16   (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 10.00    
3  THE POSER Jul04 Jun12 May21 Jan29   (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 ★    
4  EASTSIDE COOL Jun05 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Feb19 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.50 ★    
5  MEDICINE TAIL Jun10 May26 May04 Mar19 Feb12 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  MONEY RIDE Jun26 May08 Apr21 Mar26 Mar13 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
CNL-3   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANIAH Jun17 Jan20 Jan01     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 6.00 ★    
2  HOUSE WRECKER Jul01 Jun09 May08 Mar23 Mar05 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  BEDTIMEBOURBON May20 Apr08       (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00    
4  RIDE THE PLAN Jun03 Mar19 Feb18     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
5  JOYA DEL SUR Jul11         (munoz carl)URDANETA J 122 15.00 ★    
6  CANADIAN GINGER Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Jan30   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
7  ALWAYS SOMETHING Jul01 May14 Apr24 Mar19 Feb19 (testerman valora)AVILES YAN 115 15.00    
 
CNL-4   07/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST BOB Jun20 May11 Apr20 Apr12 Mar08 (moore mic)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
SCR  BREWMEISTER Jul10 Jun03 Apr24 Mar12   (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
3  SPANKHURST Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 May05 Apr22 (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  BASQUIAT Apr16 Feb19       (lewis l)REYES LEONEL 122 8.00 ★    
5  BUBBA GRUMP Jun16 Mar19 Feb17     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  KADRI Jul03 Jun25 Jun11 May22 May13 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 10.00 19% 4.20    
7  JALEN JOURNEY Jul02 Jun04 May08 Mar25   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
CNL-5   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE YOU MUCH Jul03 May20       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
2  EQUULEUS Jun03 Apr08 Feb04     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
3  PALIO (IRE) Jun01         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
4  HARRY'S ONTHELOOSE Mar25 Feb02       (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
5  STRIKE ME DOWN May30 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 6.00    
6  TRUST OUR JOURNEY         (david car)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00 15% 5.50    
7  TAPE TO TAPE Jul03 May28 Apr30 Mar18 Feb18 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 122 4.00    
8  BLESSED ARION Jul03 Jun11       (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
9  CLINT MAROON (GB)         (bourke m)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00    
10  REED KAN Jun30 May27 Apr30 Apr09   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 12.00 9% 10.10    
11  LONGSHADOW         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR Jul05 Jun19 May22 Mar25 Feb19 (hoffman ma)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
CNL-6   07/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLSAR Jul01 Jun03 Mar03 Feb03 Jan07 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 6.00 ★    
2  ITS MR POPPI TO U Jul12 Jun23       (calhoun ama)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 20.00    
3  SMALL FIELD Jul12 Apr28       (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 117 10.00 ★    
4  CANYOUHEARMENOW Jul13 Jun11 May28 Apr28 Apr03 (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 117 15.00    
5  CIVICS CLASS May28 Apr09       (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50    
6  RONSTADT Jun24         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jul15 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar20 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 12.00 34% 1.90    
8  B G LEE Jul11 Jun08       (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 118 4.50 ★    
9  DIVINAS CONNECTION May07 Feb03       (locklear jam)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
10  SKY STYLISH         (voss elizabet)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00    
 
CNL-7   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROBAIRITZ May14 Apr09 Mar04 Jan08   (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
2  MOM'S RED LIPSTICK Jun24 May20 Apr30 Mar13 Feb13 (block chris)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
3  GERRI B Jul09 Jun11 May14     (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  STOP WAR Jun25 Jun10 Apr16     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00    
5  QUEENGOL Jun25 Jan02       (danner kelsey)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
SCR  SLOT QUEEN Jun18 May20 Apr15 Mar27   (proctor t)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
SCR  FLY ME HOME Jun19 May15 Apr15 Mar23   (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  STONY POINT Jul02 Jun04 Apr15 Mar13   (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 125 3.50 55% 0.80    
9  OEUVRE Jun24 Jun11 May15     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Jul18 May20 Apr30 Feb18 Jan12 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYNE Jun26 Jun04 May20 Apr29 Jan15 (dickinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 10.00    
2  SNAP DECISION May14         (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 ★    
3  ALWAYS ABOVE Jun18 May30 Apr22 Mar12 Feb12 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
4  RED KNIGHT         (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  NATHAN DETROIT Jul16 Jul04 Jun29 Jun04 May21 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
6  BAKERS BAY Apr02 Jan29       (mcgaughey c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
7  ANOTHER MYSTERY Jun03 May21 Apr23 Mar26 Jan30 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 6.00 21% 3.70    
8  CELLIST May21 Apr27 Feb05     (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 126 3.00 29% 2.50    
9  THE HAPPY GIANT Jul11 Jun07 Feb13     (fulmer all)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00    
10  LA LUNE (GB) May28 Apr29       (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 6.00    
11  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Jul01         (maker mic)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
 
CNL-9   07/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Jul12 Jun18       (locklear jam)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
2  SHEZ FIRED UP         (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00    
3  LA SOBRINA         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 119 1.60 23% 3.40    
4  BABY LUCK Feb19 Jan08       (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00    
5  ABSTRACT MOMENT Jun18         (payne beale)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
6  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Jun30 May21       (castillo rich)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  EXAGGERATED HUMOR Jun19         (russo jr)LOPEZ E 119 20.00    
8  SONGTELLER Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr10 Mar17 (duffy sean)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00 11% 8.30    
9  BLACK CURRENCY Jul12         (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  AMBLE Jun24 Feb13       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.