Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:233 :491 1:133 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL PIER 4 6 6 6 4 31 1 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 10.00 16.20  
CHANGING THE KARMA 5 2 5 32 6 5 2 (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00 23.00 P
WINSOR MANOR 3 3 1½ 11 1nk 1nk 3 (leeson d)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 30.00 6% 14.60 51.30 S
CASSATION 2 4 3 42 31 4 4 (owens jr)TORRES JOMAR 118 1.50 19% 4.30 0.60  
HELLO POP 7 1 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 54 (huston k)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 10% 9.40 3.90  
IRISH BOOLUM 1 5 4 53 5 6 6 (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50 38% 1.70 7.20  
FOREVER CHOCOLATE 6 7 7 74 7 7 716¾ (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 6.00 5.20  
 
MTH-2   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNTAIN LILLY 3 1 12 11   12 1 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.50 27% 2.70 0.20 W
BALLET SCHOOL 2 2 22 21   22 2 (o'connor rober)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 2.50 P
SASSY LIKE JULIA 1 3 36 39   314 335½ (russo victor)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 8% 11.00 5.90 S
SCR  ASYENA               (spina c)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LA LUISA               (wilson faith)CARDENAS LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  UNIFIED RIDE               (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
 
MTH-3   07/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE LIKE BETH 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.80 32% 2.10 0.90 W
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 3 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 26 (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 118 2.00 29% 2.50 1.70 P
ONLY GIRL 1 6 612½ 615¾   612½ 318 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 6.00 16% 5.30 19.60 S
SEDONA ROCKS 5 4 34 37   3 418½ (harris holly)CARDENAS LUIS 118 6.00 12.80  
NEVER WALK ALONE 4 5 5 5   511 525 (mazza jos)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 118 5.00 5.90  
WICKED SAUCY 6 2 4 4   410 627¾ (carvajal luis )TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50 12.20  
 
MTH-4   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEAST 5 1 11 1½   1nk 1 (delgado h)FERRER C 122 3.50 4.10  
STRATOFORTRESS 3 4 21 2½   2nk 2 (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.40 38% 1.60 0.90 P
BREWMEISTER 2 6 56 6   5 35 (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 4.60 S
R RAJUN BULL 4 5 44 43   3 45 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 30% 2.30 4.60  
POWERFULLY BUILT 1 3 31 3   4 5 (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 20.40  
OUR MAN LUKE 6 2 6 55   6 6 (carvajal lui)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00 10.50  
 
MTH-5   07/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BOOMER 2 4 53 44   22 1½ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 16% 5.30 2.10 W
10  R BOY BODE 9 1 11 1   12 2½ (thompson marcus )JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00 9% 10.20 16.20 P
TRILOGY (GB) 1 6 7 76   5 3½ (abrams ronal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 4.50 8.00  
GRAN MALBEC 8 8 3 3   4 41 (navarro m)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 5% 17.60 4.90  
MISSION WRAPITUP 3 2 65 55   64 51 (jones)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 4.40  
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 5 9 98 8   75 6 (iordan leo)FERRER C 118 12.00 18.40  
MINNESOTA LUCKY 4 3 21 2   32 7 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 3.00 39% 1.60 4.50  
DIESEL 7 7 8 9   97 8 (bedard alan)RIVERA D 120 12.00 8.50  
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 6 5 4 65   86 9 (borges israel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 26.60  
SCR  CACTUS JACK               (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
MTH-6   07/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:113 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDPERFORMANCE 4 4 3 4 21 12 1 (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.00 63% 0.60 0.40 W
LOOSE GOOSE 2 2 5 5 43 3 2 (pletcher todd)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 6.20 P
CARVELLIAN QUEST 1 1 11 1 11 22 3 (trombetta michae)FERRER C 118 1.50 13% 6.60 3.50 S
STRASBOURG 6 5 42 3 5 4 411¼ (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00 12.30  
CAPTAIN QUICK 3 3 21 2 33 510½ 518 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00 27.80  
BRING IT HOME 5 6 6 6 618¼ 625½ 632 (milne joan)RENDON JAIRO 118 20.00 34.80  
 
MTH-7   07/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:112 1:351   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM LINER (BRZ) 3 6 8 9 85 4 1nk (wilson tony)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 33% 2.00 3.90 W
PIRATE PARADE 6 2 11 11 11 11 2nk (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 10.20  
SMALL HOPE 4 7 74 7 74 5 3¼ (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 17% 4.90 7.10 S
HARD KNOCKING 2 4 3 3 3 21 4 (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 15.00 6.10  
10  ROAD TO MEATH 10 1 21 21 21 32 52 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 6.00 5.70  
DAZZLING TRUTHS 8 5 6 6 43 6 6 (rodriguez da)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.50 16% 5.40 9.40  
EL PILLO 1 9 53 53 5 7 7 (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 10.50  
SHENDAM (FR) 5 3 4 43 6 8 814 (voss eliz)VARGAS A 115 8.00 13.50  
LAVERY 7 8 95 8 97 9 916½ (preciado guadal)CENTENO E 121 4.50 5% 19.00 3.30  
CALL BROS 9 10 10 10 108 1010¾ 1016¾ (carvajal )MEZZATESTA ANDREA 117 15.00 5% 19.00 43.80  
SCR  J P HELLISH               (russo )ROJAS EDUARDO 116 10.00    
 
MTH-8   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($78.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:23 :453 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAKING 5 2 3½ 3.2   1 1 (owens j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 2.00 44% 1.30 0.50 W
BROTHER CHUB 2 3 2nk 2nk   2 2 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 22% 3.50 5.40 P
HIT ME I'M LUCKY 3 6 41 4   4 3 (huston ro)VARGAS A 122 6.00 12.40  
LAST ROMANCE 1 5 5 5   6 4 (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 7% 12.80 3.80  
LEMON CREEK LOUIE 6 4 6 6   5 5 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 14.20  
DR. DOYLE 4 1 1nk 1nk   3 69 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 10.00 25.10  
SCR  D' TIGER LILY               (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 115 20.00    
 
MTH-9   07/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:111 1:221   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'SPUREGOLD 9 5 4 3 2 11 1 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 0.70  
GOLDEN BROWN 6 7 8 8 6 45 2 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.00 74% 0.40 2.70 P
THERE ARE NO WORDS 3 3 1 13 1 21 3 (spina charles)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 5.00 6.90 S
STEFANO 5 1 5 5 5 5 4 (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 20.00 43.70  
LEO MONTE 2 4 3 23 3 35 57 (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 10.60  
PASSPORT (URU) 1 9 6 6 7 7 67 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 15.00 45.80  
OPTIC WAY 4 2 2 44 4 67 7 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 19.80  
OHANA EMPIRE 8 8 9 9 8 8 89 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00 60.60  
QUIBERON BAY 7 6 7 7 910¼ 913¼ 915½ (milne joan)FERRER C 119 12.00 33.30  
SCR  PRENDIMI               (carvajal )VARGAS A 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.