Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH BOOLUM Jun19 May30 May08 Mar26 Jan22 (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  CASSATION Jun19 May22       (owens jr)TORRES JOMAR 118 1.50 19% 4.30    
3  WINSOR MANOR Jun19 May30       (leeson d)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 30.00 6% 14.60    
4  STEEL PIER Jun11 May22 Apr26     (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 10.00    
5  CHANGING THE KARMA Jul01 Jun19 May30 May08   (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★    
6  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jun11 May22 May08     (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
7  HELLO POP Jul01 Jun19       (huston k)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
MTH-2   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY LIKE JULIA Jul02 May30 Apr23 Apr15 Mar23 (russo victor)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 8% 11.00    
2  BALLET SCHOOL Apr01 Mar09 Feb16     (o'connor rober)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  UNIFIED RIDE Jun11 May07 Apr15     (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
4  MOUNTAIN LILLY Jun13 May23 Apr25 Mar16   (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  LA LUISA         (wilson faith)CARDENAS LUIS 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  ASYENA Jul02 Jun12 May28     (spina c)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
MTH-3   07/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY GIRL Jun18 Jun10 May28 May15 Apr13 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  BE LIKE BETH         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Jun20 May21 Mar22 Feb22   (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  NEVER WALK ALONE Jun25         (mazza jos)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 118 5.00 ★    
5  SEDONA ROCKS         (harris holly)CARDENAS LUIS 118 6.00    
6  WICKED SAUCY Jul02         (carvajal luis )TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50 ★    
 
MTH-4   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFULLY BUILT Jun18         (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
2  BREWMEISTER Jun03 Apr24 Mar12     (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
3  STRATOFORTRESS Jun18 May08 Apr08 Mar20 Feb12 (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  R RAJUN BULL         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
5  FEAST Jun18 May15 Apr14 Feb06 Jan21 (delgado h)FERRER C 122 3.50 ★    
6  OUR MAN LUKE Jun12 May15 Apr19     (carvajal lui)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00    
 
MTH-5   07/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRILOGY (GB) Jun29 Jun04 Feb03 Jan08   (abrams ronal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 4.50    
2  BABY BOOMER Jun05 May22 Apr20 Mar16 Mar05 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
3  MISSION WRAPITUP Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May21 Apr21 (jones)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50    
4  MINNESOTA LUCKY Apr09 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Jun11 May29 May08 Apr16 Apr01 (iordan leo)FERRER C 118 12.00    
SCR  CACTUS JACK Jun26 Jun04 Apr16     (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
7  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jun22 Jun09 May25     (borges israel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
8  DIESEL Jul04 Jun09 Apr20 Apr04 Mar15 (bedard alan)RIVERA D 120 12.00    
9  GRAN MALBEC May19 Apr24 Mar19 Mar06 Feb03 (navarro m)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 5% 17.60    
10  R BOY BODE Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr24 (thompson marcus )JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
 
MTH-6   07/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARVELLIAN QUEST Jun05 May14 Apr07     (trombetta michae)FERRER C 118 1.50 13% 6.60    
2  LOOSE GOOSE Apr09         (pletcher todd)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 ★    
3  CAPTAIN QUICK Jun26 Jun12       (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00 ★    
4  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Jun10 Apr09 Mar12     (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.00 63% 0.60    
5  BRING IT HOME Jun19         (milne joan)RENDON JAIRO 118 20.00    
6  STRASBOURG Apr29         (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00 ★    
 
MTH-7   07/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL PILLO Jun12 Mar26 Feb26 Jan23 Jan08 (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
2  HARD KNOCKING Jun18         (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 15.00    
3  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Jun12 Apr23 Apr09 Mar04 Feb12 (wilson tony)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
4  SMALL HOPE Jun08 Apr24 Feb26 Feb13   (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  SHENDAM (FR)         (voss eliz)VARGAS A 115 8.00    
6  PIRATE PARADE Jun12 May07 Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
7  LAVERY Jun12 May01 Apr17 Feb05 Jan16 (preciado guadal)CENTENO E 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  DAZZLING TRUTHS Jun12 Feb26 Jan22 Jan01   (rodriguez da)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
9  CALL BROS Jun05 Mar19 Feb06 Jan19   (carvajal lui)BATISTA A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ROAD TO MEATH Jun17 Mar26 Feb18     (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 6.00    
SCR  J P HELLISH Jun17 Jun03 Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 (russo )ROJAS EDUARDO 116 10.00    
 
MTH-8   07/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($78.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ROMANCE Jun11 May08 Apr09 Jan29   (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 7% 12.80    
2  BROTHER CHUB Jun19         (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  HIT ME I'M LUCKY Jun18 May29 May08     (huston ro)VARGAS A 122 6.00    
SCR  D' TIGER LILY Jun18 May14       (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 115 20.00    
5  DR. DOYLE Jun19         (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 10.00 ★    
6  SPEAKING Jun12 May15       (owens j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  LEMON CREEK LOUIE Jun04 May08 Apr06 Mar20   (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
 
MTH-9   07/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSPORT (URU) Jun20 May28       (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 15.00    
2  LEO MONTE Jun18 May28       (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
3  THERE ARE NO WORDS Jun18 May29 May08     (spina charles)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 5.00 ★    
4  OPTIC WAY Jun12 May15       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
5  STEFANO May15         (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 20.00 ★    
6  GOLDEN BROWN Jun19 Jun04 May15     (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.00 74% 0.40    
7  QUIBERON BAY Jun26         (milne joan)FERRER C 119 12.00    
8  OHANA EMPIRE Jun18 May30 Apr29 Apr16   (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
9  HE'SPUREGOLD May29         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 ★    
SCR  PRENDIMI Jun12         (carvajal )VARGAS A 119 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.