Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - June 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   06/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ECLIPTICAL 1 6 5 41   1 1¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 9.40  
DRAMATIZED 4 1 4¾ 5   5 2¾ (bouchard lesl)RIVERA D 111 8.00 8.20  
BIGMANCAN 3 7 7 7   6 3 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 11% 8.10 2.30 S
PAPA TONY 5 4 6 6   7 43 (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 10.10  
INTERCEPT 2 2 1½ 1½   2 5 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 4.70  
HERE WEGO 6 3 3½ 3½   3 6 (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 115 8.00 2.70  
BREITHORN 7 5 2½ 2½   42 7 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 4.00 4.80  
SCR  CALCULATED THINKIN               (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  HEY CONGRATS               (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-2   06/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :45       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE INZANE 4 2 31 42   3 1½ (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 27% 2.70 1.80 W
CALL WIL 2 3 41 3   1½ 2½ (catalano m )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 33% 2.10 1.50 P
SPEEDY MOONLITE 3 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 3½ (albright amy)CORA D 120 8.00 11.10  
SPIN CYCLE 1 6 6 6   5 4 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 7.80  
TRILOGY (GB) 6 7 7 7   6 5 (abrams ronal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 8.00 9.90  
HYMN'S SYLVIA 7 5 2½ 2nk   4 6 (shea timothy )DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 12.70  
GET A VALENTINE 5 4 52 54   7 76 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 8.00 11% 8.10 9.00  
SCR  AMERICAN QUALITY               (guerrero guadal)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
SCR  BALISTICO               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
 
PEN-3   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF LOVE 2 1 2nk 1   12 11 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 26% 2.80 2.60 W
COOS BAY 3 4 4 42   22 21 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 1.40  
EXPENSIVE (CHI) 7 6 6 5   35 35 (krebs steve)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 5.00 4.60 S
AFLEET TRAXX 8 9 8 8   7 4 (miller marlin )CONNER TYLER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
MY MAGICAL MAN 4 2 3.2 3   4 5 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 3.00 35% 1.80 3.90  
OWIN 9 7 5 7   57 6 (shea h)CORA D 120 15.00 52.50  
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 5 3 1nk 2   67 78 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00 26.80  
GEM JUAN 6 5 7 64   88 8 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 62.00  
ECHOES OF DESTINY 1 8 911¾ 914¾   913 912¼ (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 6% 14.50 23.20  
 
PEN-4   06/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:221 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  UNCLE REMI 9 1 12 1   12 1½ (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 15.00 21.30  
DECLARATION TIME 1 3 35 3   4 2½ (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 29% 2.40 0.70 P
ROBBY'S RANSOM 3 6 56 6   3 3¾ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.60 4.70 S
SACHMO 5 5 6 5   5 4 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 6.20  
FREEAINTFREE 4 4 22 2   22 5 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 6.00 6.30  
ET'S MAGIC MAN 6 7 8 813   710½ 6 (chacon gustav)RIVERA D 121 12.00 21.20  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 2 9 9 712½   810¾ 78 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 24.20  
ON THE RIM 7 8 4 45   6 8 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 12.00 39.10  
MONEYONTHELINE 8 2 79 918   929¾ 931¼ (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 8.00 5% 19.00 24.60  
SCR  JUST CHECKING IN               (spina charles)CORA D 119 12.00    
SCR  LAST MINUTE MARIO               (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-5   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINER'S GEM 3 2 21 2½   2½ 1hd (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 115 2.00 1.40  
POSITIVE FORCE 1 3 11 1½   1½ 2hd (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 4.50 5.60 P
CUCKOO FORCONONUTS 2 4 4 41   31 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 30% 2.30 6.40 S
KAREN'S WAY 5 1 31 3½   42 4 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 29% 2.50 1.00  
MAD MARY 4 5 5 5   58 516 (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 10% 9.40 28.90  
SCR  A TOAST TO KAY               (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOEL 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   06/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:122 1:374   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUR MASH 4 1 12 1 14 13 14 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 26% 2.80 1.00 W
QUEEN ROSEMARY 5 4 6 63 24 23 24 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50 P
OUR BELLA NICOLE 1 6 53 53 4 38 3 (trombetta m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 2.10 S
WILL TAKE ROSES 6 3 4 4 5 48 48 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 26.50  
LADY FOX 3 5 22 32 67 511 513¾ (gonzalez claudio )CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 9% 10.10 6.60  
BEYOND A MILLION 2 2 3 2 35 611½ 616¾ (riviezzo ralp)RIVERA D 120 8.00 14.00  
SCR  MI CLEOPATRA AND I               (farrior anthony)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-7   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROSSELMOON 2 2 1½ 1   1 1 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 2.10  
RUN FAST 3 3 31 2   2 2 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 3.00 20% 4.10 5.30 P
SCREEN STAR 1 4 2½ 3   3 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 9% 10.10 12.00 S
ELUSIVE JESTER 4 5 4 46   4 410½ (miller ma)VARGAS L 122 12.00 23.70  
JUDICIAL MANDATE 5 1 5100 5100   5100 5100 (catalano m )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 113 1.40 43% 1.30 0.60  
SCR  GRANDFIRE               (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  PIGGYBANK               (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-8   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:213 :443 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON MUSIC 2 2 33 2nk   1 16 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 4.50 9% 10.00 3.80 W
UNCLE BUDDY 6 1 1 1nk   2 26 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 117 1.00 39% 1.60 0.10 P
PALACE SUPERNOVA 1 6 44 45   47 3 (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 21.90 S
SPOOKY ONE 4 5 56 58   58 413½ (albright r)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 42.80  
CAPTAIN CHAZZ 3 3 2 32   3 513¾ (taylor jose)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00 29% 2.50 13.40  
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 5 4 66 611   613 628 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 51.10  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 12.00    
SCR  DIXIE CANNONBALL               (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.