Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   05/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SMART TRIAL 2 1 11 1½   11½ 11¼ (hughes timothy)ORM CORY 121 10.00 ★ 13.00  
1  MINISTRY OF ART 1 5 31½ 33½   43 21¼ (candelas b)URDANETA J 121 3.50 ★ 2.30 P
6  RECKLESSNESS 5 3 43½ 43½   33 31¾ (mason ingrid)FELIX E 121 1.80 25% 3.00 1.10 S
3  IRISH TUFF 3 2 21 2½   21½ 41¾ (perez manny)MOJICA O 121 6.00 20% 4.00 2.90  
4  POWERFUL MAN 4 4 54½ 54½   55 53½ (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 8.00 7.40  
SCR  DARE GOES DA DEVIL               (perez manny)ORTEGA O 115 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
HAW-2   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :454       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY TOO SMARTE 1 4 64½ 63½   41½ 11½ (hughes timothy)ORM CORY 121 8.00 ★ 8.30  
4  LIPLINER 4 1 1½ 1½   11 21½ (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 ★ 4.10 P
3  LET'S SKEDADDLE 3 3 53 53   52½ 32 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 36% 1.80 6.60 S
6  OFF RAMP 6 6 3½ 3½   31 42½ (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 6.00 3.40  
5  CHROME ATTACK 5 2 2½ 2½   21 56½ (childers vance)MOJICA O 121 4.50 ★ 4.30  
2  DREAM MUSIC 2 5 41½ 42½   63½ 68 (amoss m)BAIRD T 115 3.00 33% 2.00 1.70  
 
HAW-3   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TALE OF THE NILE 4 3 53¾ 42¼   31½ 11½ (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 121 4.00 29% 2.40 5.20 W
1  SIRCORRI 1 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 21½ (bentler do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 ★ 1.60 P
5  OUR THOMAS 5 7 65¼ 65¾   52¼ 32¼ (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 5.00 36% 1.80 9.20 S
6  LONG STATION 6 5 75¾ 76¾   64¾ 45¼ (randazzo )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.00 10% 9.50 6.90  
7  W W KAN DO 7 6 3.2 3.2   21½ 56 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 2.50 ★ 1.90  
3  POWER CRY 3 4 41¼ 52¾   75¼ 610¾ (slager leo)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00 32.60  
2  WILLOW RIDGE 2 1 2nk 2nk   41¾ 713½ (hughes timothy)ORM CORY 121 8.00 13.30  
 
HAW-4   05/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:213 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STACK SHACK 2 3 31½ 2½   11½ 11¾ (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 20.00 15.30  
1  APRIL'S GEM 1 5 64½ 63   21½ 21¾ (reid r)LOPEZ A 121 10.00 4.90  
5  SUNDAY SCHEMING 4 6 54 41½   42½ 34¼ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 10.00 4.70  
4  RANK AND FILE 3 4 43½ 52   32 44¾ (lopez elias)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00 ★ 6.70  
8  HONEY MUG 6 2 2nk 1½   52½ 58 (hernandez arman)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 63% 0.60 1.10  
6  BLUES MARY 5 1 1nk 31½   64½ 69½ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 4.50 9% 10.30 3.80  
SCR  PRINCESS CORA               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINDY CITY GIRL               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   05/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOUPER HIGHVOLTAGE 2 3 1nk 12   1½ 13¼ (cristel j)LOPEZ E 121 4.00 41% 1.50 1.60 W
8  SMUGGLER'S GHOST 7 2 31 54   53½ 23¼ (wilson l)FELIX E 121 8.00 ★ 11.40 P
1  TWIRLING ROSES 1 6 51¼ 33½   32 34¾ (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50 ★ 1.50 S
5  HATCHET CREEK 5 1 2nk 22   2½ 45¾ (dizeo dino)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00 16.40  
3  NYOMAN 3 4 41¼ 43½   43 56 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 5.00 15% 5.90 10.50  
4  THE LAST OPTION 4 7 62¼ 65   66½ 68¾ (hernandez )URDANETA J 121 12.00 29.20  
7  DR. FORMAN 6 5 75¾ 79   78 715½ (cox e)LOPEZ A 121 6.00 4.70  
SCR  BIG SPORT               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-6   05/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EXPROMPT (FR) 6 6 43½ 42¼   3.2 12¾ (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 6.00 ★ 7.10  
5  CITY DRIFTER 4 1 21 2nk   1nk 22¾ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 3.00 12% 7.10 1.10 P
2  MERLIN'S SONG 2 4 56½ 55¼   54¼ 33½ (hernandez arman)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 13.40  
6  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) 5 2 31 3.2   4¼ 46¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 1.80 54% 0.90 1.10  
4  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 3 5 69 67¾   67¼ 57¼ (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 12.00 6% 16.40 26.00  
1  GREELEYS ICE 1 3 11 1nk   2nk 67¾ (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00 18.70  
SCR  FIGHT ON               (vanden be)ULLOA JOAN 121 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OEUVRE 5 6 31 2nk   11 15¾ (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 3.50 ★ 0.60  
7  STORMY EMPIRE 6 5 52¼ 33½   34 25¾ (kirby j)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 4.50 7% 14.40 4.30 P
2  LONG TALL WOMAN 1 1 11 1nk   21 36¼ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 2.50 38% 1.70 2.80 S
3  QUILTING PARTY 2 3 42 56½   45½ 48¾ (kirby j)EMIGH A 121 10.00 6% 15.10 26.80  
4  SHE'S A BIG STAR 3 4 64¾ 67   57 513¼ (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00 19.90  
5  I DON'T KNOW MARGO 4 2 21 46   67 623 (gorham m)FELIX E 115 15.00 17.80  
SCR  GHAALEB'S CITY               (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-8   05/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:131 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BIG IF TRUE 4 1 11 11½ 12 13 15¾ (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 30% 2.40 2.30 W
7  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM 7 3 31½ 31½ 22 23 25¾ (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 13% 6.90 2.20 P
5  MAYSTART 5 4 21 21½ 32½ 33 38½ (slager m)LOPEZ A 121 4.50 ★ 6.60 S
2  WILDWOOD MAGGIE 2 8 85½ 86 67½ 45 49¼ (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 6.00 8.30  
1  KIMBERLY FRANCES 1 6 42 42 45½ 56 511½ (sanchez oscar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 9% 10.60 15.50  
3  SEAWARD 3 5 53 52½ 55½ 67 614¼ (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 21% 3.70 5.50  
6  ZAZZY ZAZZY DAZZLE 6 7 75½ 75½ 78½ 78 715 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 114 5.00 8.60  
8  SUMMER BELLE 8 2 63½ 63½ 89 816 836½ (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 114 10.00 20.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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