Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   08/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GAMBLING GIRL 3 6 52½ 21   14½ 110½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 57% 0.70 1.20 W
6  THE SPLENDID ONE 6 2 1½ 11   24½ 210½ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 18.40  
4  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 4 4 63½ 53½   38 312 (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 27.75  
1  SWEET BLUSH 1 7 77 76   59 414¼ (morey william )ORTIZ L 119 4.50 6% 17.20 3.70  
2  IN GOOD TROUBLE 2 5 2½ 31   49 517½ (diprima gregor)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 ★ 14.90  
5  MADDIE'S GRACE 5 3 41½ 65   721 636½ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 16% 5.40 6.40  
7  AUGUST BLOOM 7 1 31 41½   617 738½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 2.95  
 
SAR-3   08/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 1 1 11 1½   12½ 12½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 1.00 48% 1.10 2.55 W
11  KINGSTOWN 3 4 43½ 43   22½ 22½ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 4.90  
12  TOMMY GUN 4 3 21 2½   33 34¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 ★ 0.90 S
13  FULL COMPLEMENT 5 2 32 32½   47 411 (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 5.30  
10  MAGIC TRUCK 2 5 514½ 517   515 515¼ (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 14.10  
SCR  MY SLICK NICK               (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION               (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  FAIR TO MIDDLIN               (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  DRUID               (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY               (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  BRENNAN'S WAR               (gyarmati le)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  DISENGAGE               (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
 
SAR-4   08/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CATHEDRAL BEACH 3 4 31 31   33 1nk (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 2.05  
1  NEVER EARLY 2 3 1½ 11   11½ 2nk (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 57% 0.80 8.30 P
2  BRAWNDO 1 5 2½ 21   21½ 31¼ (gaudet lacey)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 7% 12.80 6.30 S
5  ZEN MASTER 5 7 73 44½   44 42¼ (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 7% 14.30 3.05  
6  SILIPO 7 2 62½ 55½   58 514¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★ 2.75  
4  COLE SPUR 4 6 41½ 67   619 632 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 6% 15.60 7.90  
1A  THE MET 6 1 52½ 710   724 740 (englehart)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 8.30  
 
SAR-5   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:123     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RODERICK 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 11½ 11¼ (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 23% 3.30 0.75 W
4  FORTY TWO ACE 5 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 21½ 21¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 ★ 4.90 P
1  CORKMAN 1 4 43½ 41½ 33 34½ 33½ (noda orlan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 ★ 4.50 S
3  GOOD CULTURE 4 5 66 64½ 43½ 46 46½ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 ★ 4.10  
2  AIR SHOW 3 6 54 53 65 58 511½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.10  
1A  AL'S PRINCE 2 2 32½ 31½ 54½ 614 626 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 4.50  
SCR  KINETIC SKY               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-6   08/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNDER OATH 2 1 13 13   15 12¼ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 0.65  
11  OVERBORE 4 4 48½ 48½   25 22¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 3.85  
13  RISK PROFILE 5 2 23 23   37 310 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 3.75  
9  HIS TIME 3 5 512½ 513½   515½ 414¼ (begg jam)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 14% 6.30 8.50  
1  BASSO 1 3 35 35½   411½ 515 (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00 11.20  
SCR  THIN WHITE DUKE               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  VOCALIZE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  KING ANGELO               (serpe m)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  GLORIOUS MOMENT (PER)               (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  GIANNI LAMBO               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  WINTER SON               (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  CALL ME HARRY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  CARPE'S DREAM               (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:123     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THE PRINCE'S SPUR 7 2 2½ 21 11 12½ 16¼ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 29% 2.40 1.20 W
6  GUT FEELING 5 4 41½ 31½ 41½ 22½ 26¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 20% 4.00 6.70 P
1  FREEZE POP 1 7 63½ 53 52 45 311½ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 20.00  
7  SECRET CARGO 6 6 52 41½ 21 35 411½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00 9.90  
2  MAD MAGIC 2 5 88½ 810 813¾ 713 514 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 12.60  
9  DRAKON 8 1 1½ 11 31 57½ 620¾ (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 12.80 7.80  
5  PROVEN HOPE 4 8 77½ 79 610 612½ 721½ (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 16% 5.40 2.85  
3  ISLANDMAN 3 3 31½ 64 710¼ 816 833½ (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00 44.50  
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN               (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
 
SAR-8   08/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOUNT TRAVERS 4 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★ 6.40  
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY 6 1 3.2 3½   1nk 2¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 ★ 1.10 P
3  BOLDISH 3 6 65¼ 63½   33 35¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 17% 4.80 3.75 S
2  CRYPTO CASH 2 4 42¼ 42   45 45¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 4.90  
5  LIL COMMISSIONER 5 3 52¾ 52½   58 511¼ (antonacc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 36% 1.70 4.70  
1  MUSICAL AMERICA 1 5 1nk 2nk   611½ 620 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 11% 7.70 28.75  
 
SAR-9   08/24/2022 8580ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:243 :504 1:16 1:41   2:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL DAD 1 33½ 35½ 24½ 1½ 2nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5.70  
2  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 2 57 57 46 2½ 1nk 2nk (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 ★ 4.20 P
3  TIDE OF THE SEA 3 12½ 14½ 14½ 31 32½ 36¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 72% 0.40 1.10 S
4  OCEANS MAP 4 22½ 24½ 35 410 415½ 421¼ (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★ 5.90  
5  SA'AD (FR) 5 44 45½ 56½ 518 531½ 560 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★ 3.25  
SCR  HIEROGLYPHICS               (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:12     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MARIAH'S FORTUNE 9 3 3.2 2nk 11½ 14 12¾ (rodriguez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 10.20  
13  CHAYSENBRYN 7 4 41¾ 42 54 24 22¾ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 4.40  
14  MAYBE LATER 8 5 2nk 3½ 32 34 36½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 ★ 1.10 S
4  LADY OF THOROTON 2 9 77¾ 78¼ 75½ 45 49¾ (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 12.30  
1  TEMPERMENTAL 3 6 64¾ 65¾ 64 55½ 510½ (rodriguez ru)SAMUEL L 118 20.00 10.20  
2  MIA AT MIDNIGHT 1 7 911¾ 914¾ 87½ 78 610¾ (walder r)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 11.40  
12  KERIK 6 8 89¾ 813¼ 98 99 712½ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 ★ 14.80  
9  SOLIB 5 1 1nk 1nk 21½ 66½ 819¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5.40  
6  MANDY GREEN 4 2 52¼ 52¼ 43½ 88½ 924½ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 12.40  
SCR  CONTROL FUNCTION               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  DREAMFUL               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  MISS DELICIOUS               (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00    
SCR  PEGS A. K. GIRL               (dini mike)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER               (camejo jose )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS               (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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