Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/24/2022 12540ft TURF RC2 nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREDDY FLINTSHIRE Jul27 Apr30       (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 147 2.50 33% 2.10    
2  FAST VISION (FR) May14         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 150 8.00    
3  DECISIVE TRIUMPH Aug03 May14 Apr30     (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153 4.00 ★    
4  PERFECT TAPATINO (FR) Aug03 Apr30       (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 153 6.00 ★    
5  LYDFORD (GB) Aug03         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153 8.00    
6  THEOCRAT (IRE) Jul18         (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 159 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  SCORPION'S REVENGE (IRE) May14         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 153 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
SAR-2   08/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BLUSH         (morey william )ORTIZ L 119 4.50 6% 17.20    
2  IN GOOD TROUBLE         (diprima gregor)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 ★    
3  GAMBLING GIRL Jul27 Jun25       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 57% 0.70    
4  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Aug10 Jul20 Jul04     (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
5  MADDIE'S GRACE Jul15         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  THE SPLENDID ONE Jul15         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
7  AUGUST BLOOM         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-3   08/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Jul22 Jul08 May13 Jan16   (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  MY SLICK NICK Aug05         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  DRUID Aug11 Jul29 Jun17     (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
4  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Jul30 Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar31 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 1.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION Jul31 Jul14 May28 Apr23 Mar23 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  FAIR TO MIDDLIN Jul10 Jun18 May15     (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  DISENGAGE Jul31 Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31 (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
SCR  BRENNAN'S WAR Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May28   (gyarmati le)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS May28 Apr06       (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
10  MAGIC TRUCK         (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
11  KINGSTOWN Jun10 May15 Apr02     (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
12  TOMMY GUN Jul14 Jun09 Apr23 Mar31   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 ★    
13  FULL COMPLEMENT Jul28 Jul03 Jun10     (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00    
 
SAR-4   08/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER EARLY Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 May29 May08 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 57% 0.80    
1A  THE MET Aug02 May30 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 (englehart)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
2  BRAWNDO Jul17 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 Mar02 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 118 4.00 7% 12.80    
3  CATHEDRAL BEACH Aug03 Jun03 May07 Mar20 Mar05 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
4  COLE SPUR Jun05 May14 Apr07 Mar05 Feb20 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 6% 15.60    
5  ZEN MASTER Jul30 Jun30 May26 Apr09 Mar26 (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 7% 14.30    
6  SILIPO Aug03 May20 Apr14 Feb25 Feb09 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORKMAN Jul15 May29 Apr30 Mar31 Feb20 (noda orlan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 ★    
1A  AL'S PRINCE Jul21 Jul15 Jun05 Apr15 Mar05 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
2  AIR SHOW Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May08 Apr07 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
3  GOOD CULTURE Jul24 Jun11 Apr22 Mar20 Feb13 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 ★    
4  FORTY TWO ACE Jul28 Jun18 Mar19 Feb24 Feb04 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 ★    
5  RODERICK Jul28 Jul04 Jun17 May20 Apr20 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
SCR  KINETIC SKY Aug10         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-6   08/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASSO Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 May15 Apr22 (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS MOMENT (PER) Jul24         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00 13% 6.40    
3  UNDER OATH Jul23 Apr16 Mar12     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  VOCALIZE Aug10 Jun25 May22 Apr23 Feb26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  KING ANGELO Jul24 Jun04       (serpe m)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  THIN WHITE DUKE Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 Jun03 May06 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  GIANNI LAMBO         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  CALL ME HARRY Jul24 Jul04 Jun03     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 ★    
9  HIS TIME Jun12 May08       (begg jam)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  CARPE'S DREAM Aug13 Jun18 May29     (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
11  OVERBORE Aug13 Apr13       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  WINTER SON Jul14 Jun17 May21 May12 Apr10 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
13  RISK PROFILE Aug20 Mar11 Feb12 Jan08   (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
 
SAR-7   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEZE POP         (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
2  MAD MAGIC Jul29 Jul03       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
3  ISLANDMAN Jul10 Jun12 May01 Apr10   (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN May29 Apr10 Mar19 Mar05   (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
5  PROVEN HOPE Jun26 May29 Apr16 Mar12   (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
6  GUT FEELING Jul29 Jun03 May05 Feb26 Jan13 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  SECRET CARGO Jul08         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Jul22 Jun03       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
9  DRAKON Jul24 Jun11       (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 12.80    
 
SAR-8   08/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL AMERICA Aug14 Jul16 Jun30 Jun18 May29 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 11% 7.70    
2  CRYPTO CASH Jun30 Jun03 May07 Apr08 Mar25 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
3  BOLDISH Jan17         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  MOUNT TRAVERS Jul22 Jun30 May27 Apr30 Mar26 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 ★    
5  LIL COMMISSIONER Jul09 May07 Apr02 Jan13   (antonacc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 36% 1.70    
6  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Jul22 Jun18 Mar20 Mar06 Jan29 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/24/2022 8580ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL DAD Jul22 Jun23       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
2  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Jul27 Jul01       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 ★    
3  TIDE OF THE SEA Jul28 Jun03 May01 Apr02 Mar05 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00 72% 0.40    
4  OCEANS MAP Jul29 Jun18 May28 Apr23   (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★    
5  SA'AD (FR) Aug08 Jul18       (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  HIEROGLYPHICS Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 May28 (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   08/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPERMENTAL Aug12 Jul08 Jun12 May27 Apr22 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
1A  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jul20 Jun11 Apr29 Apr02 Feb18 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 20.00    
2  MIA AT MIDNIGHT Jun11 May15 Mar02 Jan26   (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
SCR  MISS DELICIOUS Jul02 Jun12 May14 Mar25 Jan26 (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00    
4  LADY OF THOROTON Jul29 Jul02 Jun11 May15 Apr16 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS Jul29 Jun26 May14 Apr16   (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 ★    
6  MANDY GREEN Aug04 Jul08 May14 Mar12 Feb11 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
SCR  PEGS A. K. GIRL Jul28         (dini mike)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  CONTROL FUNCTION Jan16         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
9  SOLIB Jul20 Jun30 Jun11 May06 Mar25 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER Aug05 Jul03 Jun10 May20 Mar04 (camejo jose )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  DREAMFUL May12 Apr20 Mar12 Jan29   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
12  KERIK Jun02 May01 Mar18 Feb12 Feb04 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 ★    
13  CHAYSENBRYN Jun02 Apr29 Mar18 Feb04   (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00    
14  MAYBE LATER Aug11 Jul02 Jun12 May22 May08 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.