Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCAGO 5 1 1nk 1½   1 12 (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50 0.80  
FLATTER ME 1 4 33 33   2 22 (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 2.60 P
MACH ONE 4 7 6 6   47 3 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 67% 0.50 3.30 S
GRUNDER'S CALL 7 5 55 5   6 4 (cibelli jane)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 18.10  
ZEALIN IT 6 2 2nk 2½   3 511 (clarke dylan)FERRER C 121 10.00 36.20  
LAYNES KNIGHT 8 3 44 4   5 611¾ (sanchez-pi)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 15.00 79.30  
HOPE FOR GOLD 2 8 8 811   812½ 715½ (follett no)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 51.70  
GENERAL COMMAND 3 6 76 7   711½ 815½ (schistl ra)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 110 8.00 16.80  
 
MTH-2   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-12:43
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANFRANKOPHILE 2 5 32 31   2nk 1¾ (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00 19% 4.30 3.20 W
SISTER SUPREAM 4 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¾ (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 115 3.50 4.50  
PATTY CAKES 3 6 55 42   5 3 (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 57% 0.70 2.30 S
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH 1 3 1½ 1nk   3½ 42 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 115 2.50 2.00  
ACACIAHELPME 6 1 4 6   6 5 (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 115 4.00 8.40  
CALIENTE RUM 5 4 6 5   4 63 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 115 10.00 15.70  
 
MTH-3   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVIOSA 4 1 11 1   1 1 (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 3.00 12% 7.60 1.30 W
PEARLS AND HEELS 1 3 31 2   2 2 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 51% 0.90 2.40 P
TASTY WAVE 3 4 42 43   3 39 (levine bruce)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 3.80  
FOLK HERO 2 5 5 55   4 411 (delgado h)FERRER C 117 3.50 4.30  
WELL SHES HANDSOME 5 2 21 33   5 513½ (mccarthy bren)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 8.00 6% 15.30 20.30  
TINDARI 6 6 6 611   612½ 616 (avila jua)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
SCR  QUEEN'S BEST               (bennett geral)PANAIJO JORGE 117 8.00    
 
MTH-4   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:13 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAMBLE BLAZE 3 7 7 7 5 32 1¾ (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 8.00 10.10  
TWO MINUTES APART 5 3 3 31 2½ 1 2¾ (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 1.80  
ARTICO 4 6 6 6 7 5 3 (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00 17.40  
EASY AS A. B. C. 7 2 43 4 4 6 4 (breen kel)VARGAS A 117 4.00 61% 0.60 6.60  
10  MO ANGELL 8 4 21 21 3 44 5 (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 6.00 2.60  
NETWORKING 2 1 11 11 1½ 2 6 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 15% 5.50 3.00  
WORD FOR WORD 6 5 5 55 6 7 711½ (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 117 12.00 41.60  
BULLWHIP SKINNY 1 8 816½ 815½ 814¾ 818½ 830¼ (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00 31.70  
SCR  BEAR'S CORRECT               (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 10.00    
SCR  SHADOW CHASER               (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00    
 
MTH-5   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:221 :443 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE COME UP 3 5 12 11   1nk 1¼ (farro patricia)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50 10% 9.40 2.50 W
KAZ SWEET HEIST 2 7 7 5   4 2¼ (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 25% 3.00 2.80 P
SHIELD OF FAITH 7 1 22 21   2nk 32 (camejo m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 37% 1.70 2.90 S
YOUNG GUN 4 3 34 33   32 4 (frangella james )FERRER C 119 5.00 12.30  
COUNTRY MILES 5 6 56 46   54 5 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 2.70  
LUCKY LOVER BOY 6 2 6 6   66 6 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
GONE ASTRAY KISS 1 4 46 7   78 710¾ (foglia anthony )RIVERA JR 120 15.00 38.20  
 
MTH-6   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ET'S MAGIC MAN 3 4 4 3½ 1nk 13 1 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00 12.60  
DREAM ASTRAY 9 3 31 4¾ 2nk 23 2 (d'amodio char)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00 13.60  
10  STREAMING TAP 10 6 6 6 6 47 39 (serpe philip)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 33% 2.00 3.30 S
11  URBAN BEACH 11 5 5 5 42 36 4 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 31.60  
CURTEIS 7 9 1112¾ 1111¼ 1010¼ 813 511½ (dunham bernard)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00 7% 12.40 5.10  
THE EQUINEST 5 8 8 7 54 610 611¾ (forde )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 12.00 29.30  
FIERY HEART 4 7 7 8 7 711 714 (hennig ma)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 12% 7.60 3.60  
INAPPROPRIATE 8 2 2nk 1nk 31 58 814 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00 6.90  
KINGDA KA 2 11 9 9 910¼ 1016 916 (follett norma)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 7% 12.40 48.10  
COMMITTED 6 10 10 10 8 914 1017¼ (lucas bonnie)FERRER C 123 3.00 10% 9.10 3.40  
TOTALLY PSYCHED 1 1 1nk 2nk 1120¼ 11100 11100 (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 20.00 40.00  
SCR  FACTUM LOVE STYLE               (gonzalez-mil)BURKE JERMAINE 123 8.00    
 
MTH-7   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103 1:37   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIGRAVITY 5 2 3 3 21 1nk 1½ (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 1.20  
BURNING BRIGHT 1 3 1½ 1½ 11 3.2 2½ (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 3.30 P
PHAT MAN 4 6 6 6 32 2nk 3 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 55% 0.80 5.20 S
SENIOR INVESTMENT 3 5 54 54 42 4 4 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 3.20  
MUSICAL AMERICA 2 4 2½ 2½ 55 5 521¾ (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 26.90  
BOURBON FRONTIER 6 1 43 44 68 619¼ 663¼ (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 9.80  
 
MTH-8   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:093 1:342   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KURAMATA (IRE) 6 6 31 3 42 11 1 (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 15% 5.80 2.30 W
MOHS 2 5 5 55 53 32 2 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 2.40  
HOT BLOODED 1 4 42 44 3 42 3 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00 10% 8.80 4.70 S
WINFROMWITHIN 3 2 1nk 21 2½ 21 4 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 118 4.00 25% 3.10 2.50  
BE HERE 5 1 64 67 66 56 56 (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 10.50  
MID DAY IMAGE 4 3 2nk 11 1½ 6 613¾ (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 11.90  
SCR  TWO EMMYS               (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
MTH-9   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:22 :444 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURRENT HOPE 5 3 54 43   1nk 1 (bullock jorda)RANGEL JOEZER 121 3.00 21% 3.70 1.70 W
CHROME FINISH 4 1 21 21   2nk 2 (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50 9% 10.00 2.00 P
LION CHARMER 3 4 31 3   4 3 (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 31% 2.30 5.20 S
KIKKERLAND 6 2 11 11   3.2 43 (bravo-estrad)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00 5.90  
RICARDITO 2 6 6 55   5 5 (alcala)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 5.20  
RUNNING VIOLENCE 1 5 4 67   6 612½ (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 15.00 20.30  
SCR  VIOLENT PASS               (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 15% 5.90    
 
MTH-10   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :442 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTHING BETTER 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 12 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00 8.60  
BELGRANO 1 6 5 5   44 22 (russo fra)VARGAS A 124 2.50 17% 5.00 0.80 P
BREAKTHROUGH 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 33 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 2.50  
MILTON THE MONSTER 2 7 79 6   5 4 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00 4.80  
MARVIN 4 5 33 3   33 5 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00 33.10  
FAIR CATCH 5 3 67 710½   712½ 612½ (tessore bruno)FERRER C 118 30.00 27.60  
EXCULPATORY 7 4 45 45   6 714 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 17.80  
SCR  FEAST               (bennett s)TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  OUTADORE               (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF               (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50    
 
MTH-11   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:122 1:40   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRYTHETHIRD 2 3 4 47 3.2 12 1 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 1.00  
DESTINY JOY 4 1 12 1nk 1nk 22 2 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.10  
SETTE STELLE 5 5 5 510 5 4 3 (caraballo wil)RANGEL JOEZER 123 12.00 11% 7.90 15.90 S
WHATA GUY 3 2 22 2nk 2nk 36 4 (breen j)FERRER C 123 3.50 2.70  
DUBROVNIK 1 4 3 31 4 510½ 519¼ (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 25% 3.10 2.80  
PRINCIPE 6 6 6 614 617¾ 620½ 622¼ (sanchez-pi)MELENDEZ Y 108 15.00 23.60  
SCR  DISENGAGE               (parker)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  KHOPILOT               (delgado jose )PANAIJO JORGE 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.