Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTER ME Jul16 Jun25 Jun03     (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 ★    
2  HOPE FOR GOLD Jul01 Jun16 May19     (follett no)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
3  GENERAL COMMAND Feb18 Jan29       (schistl ra)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 110 8.00    
4  MACH ONE Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr28 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 67% 0.50    
5  LUCAGO Jul31 Jun19 Jun03 Apr30 Apr15 (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50 ★    
6  ZEALIN IT Jun16         (clarke dylan)FERRER C 121 10.00 ★    
7  GRUNDER'S CALL Jul22 Jun15 May05     (cibelli jane)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 ★    
8  LAYNES KNIGHT Aug03 Jul01 Mar13 Jan16   (sanchez-pi)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 15.00    
 
MTH-2   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX O'CLOCK SARAH Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 May23 May08 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 115 2.50 ★    
2  LANFRANKOPHILE Jul31 Jun23 May30 May15 Apr21 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  PATTY CAKES Jul31 Jun12 May30 May08   (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 57% 0.70    
4  SISTER SUPREAM May25 May01 Apr14 Mar26 Feb18 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 115 3.50    
5  CALIENTE RUM Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 May14 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 115 10.00 ★    
6  ACACIAHELPME May30 Apr15 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 115 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-3   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLS AND HEELS Jul24 Jun25 Jun03     (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80 51% 0.90    
2  FOLK HERO Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 May15 Apr06 (delgado h)FERRER C 117 3.50 ★    
3  TASTY WAVE Jul16 Jun18 May21 Apr21 Mar19 (levine bruce)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00    
4  LEVIOSA Jul17 Jun28 May15 Mar19 Jan26 (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 3.00 12% 7.60    
5  WELL SHES HANDSOME Aug05         (mccarthy bren)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 8.00 6% 15.30    
6  TINDARI Aug07 Jul23 Jul05 Jun11 May30 (avila jua)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S BEST Jul23 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Feb13 (bennett geral)PANAIJO JORGE 117 8.00    
 
MTH-4   08/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLWHIP SKINNY         (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00 ★    
2  NETWORKING Jul15         (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  BRAMBLE BLAZE         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 8.00 ★    
SCR  BEAR'S CORRECT Jul15         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 10.00    
SCR  SHADOW CHASER Aug01 Jul08       (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00    
6  ARTICO         (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00    
7  TWO MINUTES APART Jul23 Jul01       (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
8  WORD FOR WORD Jul22         (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 117 12.00    
9  EASY AS A. B. C. Jul23         (breen kel)VARGAS A 117 4.00 61% 0.60    
10  MO ANGELL Jul02         (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 6.00 ★    
 
MTH-5   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE ASTRAY KISS Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 Jun26 Jun12 (foglia anthony )RIVERA JR 120 15.00    
2  KAZ SWEET HEIST Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 May22 May08 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  ON THE COME UP Jul31 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May08 (farro patricia)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50 10% 9.40    
4  YOUNG GUN Jul31 Jul01       (frangella james )FERRER C 119 5.00    
5  COUNTRY MILES Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 ★    
6  LUCKY LOVER BOY Aug07 Jul22 Jan09     (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHIELD OF FAITH Jul31 Jul15 Jul04 Jun04   (camejo m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
MTH-6   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTALLY PSYCHED Jul29         (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 20.00    
2  KINGDA KA Jul31 Jun30 Jun16 May26   (follett norma)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 7% 12.40    
3  ET'S MAGIC MAN Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 Jun04   (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00    
4  FIERY HEART Jul16 Jun12 Apr03 Mar06 Jan06 (hennig ma)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 12% 7.60    
5  THE EQUINEST Jul30 Jul17 Jun29 Jun10 Jun02 (forde )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 12.00    
6  COMMITTED Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 May22   (lucas bonnie)FERRER C 123 3.00 10% 9.10    
7  CURTEIS Jul17 Jul01 May26 Apr30 Apr14 (dunham bernard)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00 7% 12.40    
8  INAPPROPRIATE Jul17         (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00    
9  DREAM ASTRAY Jul29 Jul04 Jun17     (d'amodio char)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00    
10  STREAMING TAP Jul29 Jun18 Apr16 Apr03 Feb06 (serpe philip)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
11  URBAN BEACH Jul17 Jun25 May29 Apr29 Apr09 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  FACTUM LOVE STYLE Aug05 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 Jan26 (gonzalez-mil)BURKE JERMAINE 123 8.00    
 
MTH-7   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNING BRIGHT         (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 ★    
2  MUSICAL AMERICA Jul16 Jun30 Jun18 May29 May21 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
3  SENIOR INVESTMENT Jul19         (lake a)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00 ★    
4  PHAT MAN Jul09 Jun18 May25 Jan08   (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  ANTIGRAVITY Jul23 Jun25 May28 Apr16 Feb25 (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 ★    
6  BOURBON FRONTIER Jun25 May28 May08 Apr22 Jan29 (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 ★    
 
MTH-8   08/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT BLOODED Jul18 Jun12 May21 Jan15   (david a)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  MOHS Jul23 Jun18 May28     (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
SCR  TWO EMMYS Jun25 Apr23 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  WINFROMWITHIN Jul29 Jul03 May28 Apr24 Mar11 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 118 4.00 25% 3.10    
5  MID DAY IMAGE Jul03 May28 Apr02 Feb27 Jan30 (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
6  BE HERE Jun04 May05 Apr27     (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00    
7  KURAMATA (IRE) Jul01 Apr14 Jan15     (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
MTH-9   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIOLENT PASS Aug04 Jul06 Jun18 May08 Apr30 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 15% 5.90    
2  RUNNING VIOLENCE Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May29 May21 (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 15.00 ★    
3  RICARDITO Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (alcala)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
4  LION CHARMER Jul16 Jun12 May21 May07 Apr10 (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 31% 2.30    
5  CHROME FINISH Jun26 May29 May06 Apr10 Mar13 (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
6  CURRENT HOPE Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun13 May25 (bullock jorda)RANGEL JOEZER 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  KIKKERLAND Aug01 Jun21 Jun13 May03 Apr05 (bravo-estrad)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
 
MTH-10   08/14/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELGRANO Jul23 Jun19 May22 Apr28 Mar19 (russo fra)VARGAS A 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  OUTADORE Aug13 Jul05       (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.00 57% 0.80    
3  MILTON THE MONSTER Jun04 Apr30 Apr08 Feb26 Jan17 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00 ★    
4  BREAKTHROUGH Jul23 Jul04 May22 Mar09 Feb12 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00    
5  MARVIN Aug08 Jul22 Jun26 May29 May08 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
6  FAIR CATCH Aug07 Jun12 May22 Apr23   (tessore bruno)FERRER C 118 30.00    
7  NOTHING BETTER Jun17 May22       (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00    
SCR  FEAST Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May15 Apr14 (bennett s)NO RIDER 118 8.00    
9  EXCULPATORY Jul10 Jun19       (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jul01 Jun10 Apr21 Mar27   (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 ★    
 
MTH-11   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUBROVNIK Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 25% 3.10    
2  HENRYTHETHIRD Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 Apr16 Mar19 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 ★    
3  WHATA GUY Jul29 Jun26 May14 Mar31 Jan28 (breen j)FERRER C 123 3.50 ★    
4  DESTINY JOY Jul31 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  SETTE STELLE Jul21 Mar30 Mar23 Mar06 Feb16 (caraballo wil)RANGEL JOEZER 123 12.00 11% 7.90    
6  PRINCIPE Jul31 Jul12 Jun25 May22 Apr29 (sanchez-pi)MELENDEZ Y 108 15.00    
SCR  DISENGAGE Jul31 Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31 (parker)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  KHOPILOT Jul29 Jul15 Jun12 Apr07 Mar11 (delgado jose )PANAIJO JORGE 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.