Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113 1:373   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD JAXSTON 4 2 21 21 2nk 1nk 11 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 4.10  
DREAM ASTRAY 3 1 3 32 31 2nk 21 (d'amodio char)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 7.00 P
DADASHEV 7 3 11 11 1nk 33 3 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 16.90  
KHOPILOT 6 4 66 6 6 6 411 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 9% 10.70 2.30  
DUBROVNIK 2 5 54 54 55 46 511¼ (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 2.80  
PLUNK 1 6 44 4 4 57 616½ (rodriguez ange)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00 10% 8.60 3.00  
AMERICAN ROCKY 5 7 77 79 711½ 714¼ 729½ (sim)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00 33.20  
SCR  MAKING IT               (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 0.40 60% 0.70    
 
MTH-2   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE PAR 2 2 11 11   1nk 1 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 4.80  
ALTA VELOCITA 4 4 32 3   2nk 2 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ A 120 1.50 43% 1.30 1.50 P
LADY ZETA 3 1 21 42   41 32 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 110 3.00 2.20 S
RAY AREWETHEREYET 5 3 42 21   3½ 42 (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 1.80 30% 2.40 2.30  
BAZZARINA 1 5 53 59   511 518 (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 28.20  
SCR  PRINCESS GEORGIA               (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
 
MTH-3   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:214 :444 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONY GIRL 4 2 4 2   2½ 15 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 33% 2.00 1.40 W
KAMENSHEK 5 1 12 1   1½ 25 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70 P
MADAME ROSE 2 3 22 44   3 3 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 123 12.00 8.00 S
WOODS HOLE 1 6 3 3   4 4 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 4.70  
POWER AND GLORY 6 4 69 58   56 59 (thompson glen)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00 32.70  
SILVER SPRINTER 3 5 5 68   67 611¼ (mazza w)MOYA F 118 8.00 7.10  
SCR  BEAUTY QUIST               (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 3.00    
 
MTH-4   07/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:092 1:334   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINFROMWITHIN 4 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 1 1¾ (delgado jorge)FERRER C 120 2.50 59% 0.70 0.90 W
OCEANS MAP 2 5 57 6 53 3 2¾ (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 3.50  
MT SURIBACHI 5 4 43 45 4 4 3 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00 11.60 S
INDIAN LAKE 7 3 3 3 31 2 4 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 14% 6.10 9.60  
SAND DANCER 1 6 6 56 64 5 5 (hills timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 10.30  
CONFESSOR 6 7 710 710¾ 713 711½ 614¾ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00 16.20  
MO HAWK 3 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 6 715¼ (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 5.70  
 
MTH-5   07/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103 1:37   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIMMERING LIGHT 6 6 3 34 2½ 1 12 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 124 5.00 16% 5.10 4.80 W
ANGELI BLU 3 3 69 5 34 3 22 (nunn douglas)CARDENAS LUIS 117 3.00 23% 3.40 3.30 P
MISTER J T 5 1 12 12 1½ 2 39 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 29% 2.50 2.60 S
CLASSY UNION 1 7 710 612 6 4 49 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.00 7% 12.90 2.00  
RICKYS REVENGE 7 5 22 22 45 5 515¼ (sim)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 27.60  
RIGHT ON Q 4 2 4 47 56 6 617¼ (milne joa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00 6.70  
MOON SECRET 2 4 5 713 711½ 714½ 730¾ (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00 24.70  
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER               (russo j)PARISH R 121 8.00    
 
MTH-6   07/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:204 :44       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U KANT WHIP IT 1 3 1nk 1nk   11 1hd (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 1.40  
JAMA DILLON 3 5 7 7   5 2hd (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 4.00 14% 6.00 11.10 P
MACH ONE 2 7 4 4   4 3 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 46% 1.20 3.80 S
LITTLE RED BUTTON 8 1 3.2 3.2   21 42 (d'amodio char)PANAIJO JORGE 116 20.00 19.40  
CLASSIC ESCAPE 5 8 88 8   8 53 (carvajal luis )TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00 8.40  
MEROKEE 4 6 5 5   64 6 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00 10.80  
KENTUCKY KNIGHT 6 4 6 64   7 7 (chichakly ami)CARDENAS LUIS 124 8.00 24.50  
CHIEF REIDER 7 2 2nk 2nk   3 8 (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 121 3.50 16% 5.20 3.20  
SCR  HOPE FOR GOLD               (follett no)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
SCR  ISLE OF SKYE               (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00    
SCR  MUGSY MALONE               (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00    
 
MTH-7   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:11 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH ADAMS 3 7 6 6 5 31 11 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.50 23% 3.30 1.10 W
ABUELO NUNO 1 1 1 11 1nk 11 21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 17% 4.90 7.60 P
FLIPPING FISH 6 8 53 5 3 5 3 (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 14.70 S
MR. ROUNDTREE 4 4 3 21 4 4 4 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00 13% 6.80 7.00  
LOOK OUT LAMBO 5 5 7 7 6 6 5 (sacco gregory)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00 24.10  
NICE OF ME 2 2 2 31 2nk 21 6 (hernandez a)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00 15.10  
INDIAN BUZZ 8 3 42 4 7 7 710¾ (nobles reynaldo )FERRER C 122 4.00 4.20  
EXCHEQUER 7 6 8 8 8 8 811¾ (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 10.00 16% 5.20 6.10  
 
MTH-8   07/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:212 :44       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP EM 1 5 12 13   1 11 (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00 9.60  
SUIT OF ARMOR 4 3 22 33   2 21 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 37% 1.70 1.10 P
BIG RED CARDINAL 8 6 7 711¼   511½ 311¼ (ryan s)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00 7.60 S
BAYOU SHACK 2 7 32 23   3 411½ (foglia anthon)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00 9.00  
WHATA GUY 6 4 4 4   4 512¼ (breen j)FERRER C 123 4.00 9.40  
TOTALLY PSYCHED 3 2 6 611   611½ 616¾ (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 20.10  
BATTLE MAP 7 1 5 5   712½ 717½ (simmonds mich)KAY R 123 10.00 32.50  
WINE TIME 5 8 811¾ 816¼   817½ 827 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.70  
SCR  ROYAL TIME               (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
SCR  THE EQUINEST               (forde jason)CARDENAS LUIS 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.