Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUNK Jul15 Jun12 May21 Apr27 Mar30 (rodriguez ange)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00 10% 8.60    
DUBROVNIK Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 Apr09 Mar11 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
DREAM ASTRAY Jul04 Jun17       (d'amodio char)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00    
LORD JAXSTON Jul04 Apr14 Feb19 Jan23   (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
SCR  MAKING IT Jul08 Apr22 Feb13     (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 0.40 60% 0.70    
AMERICAN ROCKY Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Mar27   (sim)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
KHOPILOT Jul15 Jun12 Apr07 Mar11 Feb25 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
DADASHEV Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May29 May14 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
 
MTH-2   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZZARINA Jan23         (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS GEORGIA Jul22 Jun18 Jun05 May14 Apr15 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
ABOVE PAR Jun05 Jan16       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
LADY ZETA Jul16 May28 May14 May01 Apr09 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 110 3.00    
ALTA VELOCITA Jun05 May14 Feb20     (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ A 120 1.50 43% 1.30    
RAY AREWETHEREYET Jan16         (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
 
MTH-3   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAUTY QUIST         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 3.00    
WOODS HOLE         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50    
MADAME ROSE Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May21 May07 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 123 12.00    
SILVER SPRINTER Jun19         (mazza w)MOYA F 118 8.00    
PONY GIRL Jun19 May29 Apr01 Feb20   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
KAMENSHEK Jul16 Jun25 May30     (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
POWER AND GLORY Jul02         (thompson glen)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00    
 
MTH-4   07/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND DANCER Feb24 Jan29       (hills timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
OCEANS MAP Jun18 May28 Apr23     (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00    
MO HAWK Jun18 May07 Feb24 Jan14   (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50    
WINFROMWITHIN Jul03 May28 Apr24 Mar11 Jan15 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
MT SURIBACHI Jun26 Jun14 May29     (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00    
CONFESSOR May28 Apr08 Mar11     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
INDIAN LAKE Jul07 Jun09 May25 May08   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
MTH-5   07/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KURT'S A KEEPER         (russo j)PARISH R 121 8.00    
CLASSY UNION Jun25 May08 Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.00 7% 12.90    
MOON SECRET Jul02 Jun03 Apr30 Jan16   (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
ANGELI BLU Jul22 Jul16 Jun12 May22 Apr07 (nunn douglas)CARDENAS LUIS 117 3.00 23% 3.40    
RIGHT ON Q Jun10 May21       (milne joa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00    
MISTER J T Jul04 Jun11 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
SHIMMERING LIGHT Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar20 Mar06 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
RICKYS REVENGE Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 Feb19 Jan09 (sim)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
 
MTH-6   07/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U KANT WHIP IT Jul04         (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
MACH ONE Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr28   (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
JAMA DILLON Jul09 Jun19 Jan21     (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
MEROKEE Jul09 Jun19 May30 Apr03 Jan30 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00    
CLASSIC ESCAPE Jul09 Jun26 Jun17 May30 May21 (carvajal luis )TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00    
KENTUCKY KNIGHT Jun26 Jun17 Jun02 May15 Apr21 (chichakly ami)CARDENAS LUIS 124 8.00    
CHIEF REIDER Jul09         (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
LITTLE RED BUTTON Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 May28 Apr30 (d'amodio char)PANAIJO JORGE 116 20.00    
SCR  ISLE OF SKYE Jul09 Jun03 Mar26 Mar05 Feb16 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00    
SCR  MUGSY MALONE Jul16 Jun24 May13 Apr15 Apr07 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00    
SCR  HOPE FOR GOLD Jul01 Jun16 May19     (follett no)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
 
MTH-7   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABUELO NUNO Jul17 Jul01 May05 Apr19 Mar16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
NICE OF ME Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 May21 (hernandez a)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00    
COACH ADAMS Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr10 Mar06 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.50 23% 3.30    
MR. ROUNDTREE Jul12 Jun25 Jun14 May24 May10 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
LOOK OUT LAMBO Jul02 Jun24 Jun12 May21   (sacco gregory)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00    
FLIPPING FISH Jul17 Jul04 May28 Apr21 Apr08 (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
EXCHEQUER Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr28 Mar29 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 10.00 16% 5.20    
INDIAN BUZZ Jun10 Apr24 Apr06 Mar16 Feb20 (nobles reynaldo )FERRER C 122 4.00    
 
MTH-8   07/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP EM Jul01         (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00    
BAYOU SHACK Jul04 Jun26 Jun11 Apr20 Mar25 (foglia anthon)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00    
TOTALLY PSYCHED         (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00    
SUIT OF ARMOR Jul04 Jun23 May29 May13 Apr25 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
WINE TIME Jun26 May30       (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
WHATA GUY Jun26 May14 Mar31 Jan28   (breen j)FERRER C 123 4.00    
BATTLE MAP May31 May11 Apr25 Feb27   (simmonds mich)KAY R 123 10.00    
BIG RED CARDINAL         (ryan s)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL TIME Jul17 May29 Apr29 Apr07 Feb24 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
SCR  THE EQUINEST Jul17 Jun29 Jun10 Jun02 May07 (forde jason)CARDENAS LUIS 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.