Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - May 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:263   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S DESTINY 3 4 43 42 32 1½ 1 (beattie sandee)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 1.90  
LANA 4 5 5 5 56 43 2 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 10.00 P
MIA ANGELINA 1 3 32 2 2nk 3½ 3 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 30% 2.40 1.90 S
WICKED SOLUTION 5 2 1 1 1nk 2½ 4 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 24% 3.10 2.70  
BEST CAUSE 2 1 2 32 45 5 510 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 2.50 18% 4.70 4.70  
 
PEN-2   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:22 :441 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENOMOUS STATE 3 2 1½ 11   1 1 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 1.70  
CALCULATED THINKIN 2 4 4 33   2 2 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 59% 0.70 1.10 P
READY AND RICH 1 5 32 4   33 3 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 12% 7.10 5.70 S
BIGMANCAN 5 6 5 55   5 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 5.60  
BREITHORN 4 3 2½ 21   43 57 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00 22.50  
A T M AWESOME 6 1 6 68   68 610 (zalalas micha)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 31.60  
 
PEN-3   05/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :462 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY WALLY 1 3 11 1   1 12 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 1.80  
I WANT MORE 4 4 47 4   3 22 (volpe joh)VARGAS L 124 15.00 6.40  
NOTORIOUS REY 2 1 3 3   2 33 (o'hearn h)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 1.90 S
PAULINO 6 5 512 5   58 4 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 35% 1.90 2.70  
HOPE FOR GOLD 3 2 21 2   44 5 (crane clovi)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 10.80  
GOLDEN ZAR 5 6 612½ 614   618½ 627 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 124 15.00 34.50  
SCR  FREEAINTFREE               (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
SCR  KATZ THA VALENTINE               (johnston rob)CORA D 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
 
PEN-4   05/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARGO SHIP 1 4 3.2 1nk   1 1 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 16% 5.20 1.70 W
ROCKET BLAST 3 3 4 3   2 2 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 34% 2.00 0.80 P
HERE'S WALDO 4 5 5 5   5 3 (sinnefia pa)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 6.90 S
GOTANDA 2 2 2nk 45   45 4 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 45.30  
BETTER BOOGIE 5 1 1nk 2nk   35 513½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 16% 5.10 5.50  
 
PEN-5   05/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:144 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN CROSS 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 43% 1.40 5.40 W
THROMBOCYTOPENIA 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 (velez irv)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 15% 5.50 0.30 P
TROPICALDEPRESSION 4 4 4 4 35 3 3 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 119 6.00 5.00  
BROOKLYN MOJO 1 1 32 32 5 511 417¼ (salinas jose)CORA D 119 8.00 20.10  
SMART TART 2 5 5 55 45 4 518 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 19% 4.40 11.60  
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND               (valdez moises)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50    
 
PEN-6   05/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :444 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMORY BOUQUET 5 1 12 1   13 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 32% 2.20 2.30 W
NEWSTOME 1 5 5 4   3 2 (trombetta m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 12% 7.10 5.40 P
OUR PHILLY SPECIAL 4 2 22 3   23 3 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.00 2.80 S
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 3 4 32 2   44 4 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 24% 3.20 3.20  
TRIBAL NOTION 2 6 6 6   56 54 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 8.00 10.40  
MEET ME AT MUNDIS 6 3 4 5   66 6 (simoff andrew)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5.00  
 
PEN-7   05/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144 1:41   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORITE DOLL 1 3 32 3 4 21 1¾ (ferreira f)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 1.40 20% 4.00 0.40 W
ARCTICA 3 2 1nk 21 2nk 11 2¾ (flores wa)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 9.10 P
HONESTA 5 1 4 43 31 36 311¾ (jacavone john )CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 3.20 S
SEEKING THE THRONE 4 4 2nk 11 1nk 46 415 (fenimore elbert)LLOYD W 120 2.50 33% 2.00 7.70  
PRESTO CHANGE O 2 5 5 512½ 525½ 544 567½ (wilhelm je)MELENDEZ Y 110 6.00 18% 4.50 20.10  
 
PEN-8   05/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIAMI MUMBLES 1 2 3 32 22 2nk 1¾ (johnston rob)CORA D 120 2.00 36% 1.80 3.00 W
OUR HOISTED MAST 5 6 11 1 12 1nk 2¾ (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 113 3.50 3.20 P
MOON MEISTER 2 4 4 54 5 33 3 (ferreira f)GILARDO COURTNEY 111 20.00 5% 19.00 13.00 S
DIGGERS DIAMOND 6 1 21 2 32 4 45 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 1.20  
SOUL FIGHT 4 5 68 67 6 5 5 (hillegass ale)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 25.70  
HOLD THE IRISH 3 3 53 4 44 6 6 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 29% 2.50 4.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.