Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - July 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUANCY 2 5 1nk 1nk   1 1 (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.40 29% 2.50 0.75 W
PHOTON 6 2 3.2 2nk   2 2 (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 5.20 P
VOLEUSE 1 7 6 4   3 36 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.25 S
ROYAL CURRENCY 7 1 2nk 31   4 411¼ (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 23% 3.30 8.90  
EAU CLAIRE 3 4 4 5   512½ 515 (delacour arnaud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 10.20  
GLOCCA MORRA 4 3 5 7   723 629 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 36.25  
HONOR STAR 5 6 7 66   622½ 729 (ferraro ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 37.75  
 
SAR-2   07/31/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:141 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 4 8 7 6 53 1 1 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 8.90  
CALLIE'S GRIT 9 1 56 43 4 2 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 P
10  FREE LOOK 10 9 1010½ 107 8 6 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.55 S
FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 7 7 99 86 75 5 44 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 17.30  
CANDLE 1 4 1 1½ 1½ 4 5 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 5.10  
FOURWAY STOP 6 2 2 2½ 2½ 3 67 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 13.70  
TURF ACCOUNTANT 3 5 6 75 65 8 712 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 6.00  
TICKER TAPE HOME 8 3 33 3 31 7 812¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 26% 2.80 3.45  
MILIEU 5 10 8 9 9 9 913 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
GRACEFUL 2 6 45 53 10 1020¾ 1034¾ (friedman mitche)CARDENAS LUIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL               (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADE SECRET 8 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 11 (asmussen s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 18% 4.70 8.50 W
KNOWING GLANCE 3 3 5 53   2½ 21 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 4.80 P
TWEAQUED 1 6 4 4   3½ 32 (ribaudo rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 9% 10.40 10.60 S
CLASSINESS 4 8 8 8   5 4 (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 27.50  
LET'S BE CLEAR 2 7 6 65   43 5 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 41% 1.50 1.65  
DAWNLAND 6 5 3 31   6 610 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 8% 11.90 3.20  
AMERICA'S PRIDE 5 4 1nk 1nk   7 718¾ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8.70  
GUAJIRA 7 2 7 7   814¾ 834½ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.00  
 
SAR-4   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIQUE UNIONS 8 1 4¾ 2nk   11 11 (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.40 8.40 W
BOLD JOURNEY 1 8 8 8   33 21 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 11% 7.70 4.70 P
DR. BLUTE 3 4 2nk 1nk   21 3 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 2.75  
1A  G MUNNING 7 6 7 7   6 4 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 2.75  
COLORMEPAZZI 2 2 6 6   4 5 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 11.80  
TAP'N DE BANK 6 5 1nk 3½   5 66 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.30 2.25  
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 5 3 5 5   7 719¼ (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 12% 7.50 9.60  
STREET TSAR 4 7 3.2 4¾   8 829¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 24% 3.10 4.90  
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:26 :524 1:192 1:434 2:072 2:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) 5 8 85 86 74 4 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 33% 2.10 2.10 W
ICE PRINCESS 3 11 1 1½ 1½ 11 22 (gargan dan)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 7% 14.00 12.00 P
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 2 21 3 42 4 31 3 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 10.90  
COASTANA 6 5 64 64 63 5 4 (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 31% 2.20 5.00  
QUEEN BOURBON 1 6 53 3 3 21 5 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5.50  
CREATIVE CAIRO 4 7 7 75 86 6 6 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 8.10  
BABY BLYTHE 8 31 2 2½ 2½ 7 7 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 8% 11.50 5.10  
MEZCAL 7 42 43 5 52 8 814 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 7.30  
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING               (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRANK 6 1 11 1½   17 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 24% 3.20 0.55 W
ST. BENEDICTS PREP 4 8 6 4   3 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 22% 3.60 7.70  
MY BETSY 8 7 77 66   510½ 311¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 10.80  
MISINTENTION 3 6 87 7   410 415 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 11.50  
CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 1 9 911½ 912¼   714 516½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 11.00  
HIGH CLASS 7 2 21 2½   27 617 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 19% 4.20 10.90  
1A  O SHAUGHESEY 5 3 33 33   612 722½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 7.70  
SPLURGE 2 4 44 5   817 832¾ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 16% 5.40 18.20  
DAGMAR 9 5 5 8   926 953½ (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 16.50  
 
SAR-7   07/31/2022 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:112 1:343   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLDIER RISING (GB) 4 4 8 87 77 23 1nk (clement christop)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 5% 19.00 1.90 W
11  STREET READY 10 6 1½ 11 11 13 2nk (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 27.75  
VALUE ENGINEERING 1 2 6 54 5 33 32 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 9% 10.70 6.90 S
SANCTUARY CITY 2 3 9 98 9 6 44 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14.40  
KINENOS 5 10 1012½ 1011½ 1011¾ 9 55 (morley thom)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 29.50  
EVER DANGEROUS 8 9 75 7 8 8 6 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 15.10  
OCALA DREAM 3 1 32 3 33 4 7 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 6.90  
SPANISH KINGDOM 7 8 4 4 4 5 8 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 18.80  
10  FLOP SHOT (IRE) 9 7 53 64 6 7 97 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 14% 6.10 3.95  
HARD LOVE 6 5 2½ 21 21 1010¾ 1025¼ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5.50  
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT               (thomas jonathan)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  INTREPID HEART               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  T D DANCE               (barkley jason)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:161 1:403 2:041 2:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 5 5 4 42 4 21 1½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.45 W
ARKLOW 2 4 5 53 5 5 2½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 24% 3.20 3.05 P
L'IMPERATOR (FR) 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 11 31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 4.50 S
HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) 3 21 2½ 2½ 21 42 4 (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 20% 4.00 2.60  
CROSS BORDER 4 3 32 3 32 32 54 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 3.95  
SCR  CIBOLIAN               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:214 :443 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNITE 2 8 2½ 2nk   1½ 1¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 17% 4.90 7.40 W
ACCRETIVE 5 4 5 3   2½ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.80 2.95 P
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 6 6 8 7   3 3 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 56.25  
PAPPACAP 4 3 43 4   4 47 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 7.20  
MY PRANKSTER 8 1 7 8   67 5 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 6% 16.00 9.20  
HOIST THE GOLD 3 9 64 6   56 610¾ (stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 47.00  
SURFER DUDE 9 2 9 9   79 718½ (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 26.75  
PINEHURST (IRE) 1 7 1½ 1nk   810 825¼ (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 5.40  
CORNICHE 7 5 32 5   915 933¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.30 1.65  
 
SAR-10   07/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC JOHNSON 6 1 2nk 4   1½ 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 22% 3.60 5.20 W
SHARP SENSATION 7 2 1nk 1½   2½ 2 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
STEERAGE 2 12 6 6   43 34 (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 119 8.00 5.90  
12  BRENNAN'S WAR 12 11 4¾ 3½   3 4 (gyarmati leah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 6.80  
10  BOINTHEBACK 10 10 9 8   53 56 (diprima gregor)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 13.00  
MARTINEZ 5 9 7 73   7 6 (miceli michael)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.50  
DISENGAGE 4 5 83 9   8 7 (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 36.50  
UNCLE BRUCE 3 8 117 11   10 810¼ (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 41.50  
CHAPEL ROAD 9 4 5 52   6 912¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5% 19.00 7.30  
11  PERFECT BANKER 11 3 3½ 2½   9 1013 (albertrani)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 61.00  
SLUGO 1 6 105 10   117 1114 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 11.00  
ERIDROMOS 8 7 128 12   12 1214¼ (lugovich j)LUZZI J 119 20.00 58.50  
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS               (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.