The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Sunday - July 31, 2022
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SAR-1   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:224 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRUANCY 2 5 1nk 1nk   12½ 13½ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.40 29% 2.50 0.75 W
6  PHOTON 6 2 3.2 2nk   22½ 23½ (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 ★ 5.20 P
1  VOLEUSE 1 7 62¾ 43½   34½ 36 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.25 S
7  ROYAL CURRENCY 7 1 2nk 31   45½ 411¼ (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 23% 3.30 8.90  
3  EAU CLAIRE 3 4 41¼ 54½   512½ 515 (delacour arnaud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★ 10.20  
4  GLOCCA MORRA 4 3 51¾ 76½   723 629 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 36.25  
5  HONOR STAR 5 6 73¼ 66   622½ 729 (ferraro w)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 37.75  
 
SAR-2   07/31/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:37
:241 :492 1:141 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 4 8 77½ 64½ 53 12½ 13¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 8.90  
9  CALLIE'S GRIT 9 1 56 43 42½ 22½ 23¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 P
10  FREE LOOK 10 9 1010½ 107 86½ 65¼ 33¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.55 S
7  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 7 7 99 86 75 53¾ 44 (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 17.30  
1  CANDLE 1 4 11½ 1½ 1½ 42¾ 56¾ (mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 5.10  
6  FOURWAY STOP 6 2 21½ 2½ 2½ 32½ 67 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 13.70  
3  TURF ACCOUNTANT 3 5 67½ 75 65 88¼ 712 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 6.00  
8  TICKER TAPE HOME 8 3 33 31½ 31 75¼ 812¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 26% 2.80 3.45  
5  MILIEU 5 10 88½ 96½ 96¾ 98¾ 913 (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
2  GRACEFUL 2 6 45 53 107¼ 1020¾ 1034¾ (friedman mitchell)CARDENAS LUIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL               (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:12
:222 :453 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TRADE SECRET 8 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 11 (asmussen m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 18% 4.70 8.50 W
3  KNOWING GLANCE 3 3 53¼ 53   2½ 21 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 ★ 4.80 P
1  TWEAQUED 1 6 41¾ 41½   3½ 32 (ribaudo j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 9% 10.40 10.60 S
4  CLASSINESS 4 8 87¼ 88½   53¼ 45¼ (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 27.50  
2  LET'S BE CLEAR 2 7 65¼ 65   43 59¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 41% 1.50 1.65  
6  DAWNLAND 6 5 31½ 31   63¾ 610 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 8% 11.90 3.20  
5  AMERICA'S PRIDE 5 4 1nk 1nk   76¾ 718¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8.70  
7  GUAJIRA 7 2 75¼ 75½   814¾ 834½ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.00  
 
SAR-4   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:221 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNIQUE UNIONS 8 1 4¾ 2nk   11 11 (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.40 8.40 W
2  BOLD JOURNEY 1 8 84¾ 84¾   33 21 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 11% 7.70 4.70 P
1  DR. BLUTE 3 4 2nk 1nk   21 31¼ (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 2.75  
1A  G MUNNING 7 6 73¼ 74¼   63¾ 41½ (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 2.75  
3  COLORMEPAZZI 2 2 62¾ 64¼   43½ 53¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 11.80  
7  TAP'N DE BANK 6 5 1nk 3½   53½ 66 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.30 2.25  
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 5 3 52¼ 53¾   77¾ 719¼ (baker charlton)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 12% 7.50 9.60  
5  STREET TSAR 4 7 3.2 4¾   88¾ 829¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 24% 3.10 4.90  
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:26 :524 1:192 1:434 2:072 2:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) 5 84¼ 85 86 74 41¼ 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 33% 2.10 2.10 W
3  ICE PRINCESS 3 11 11½ 1½ 1½ 11 22 (gargan danny)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 7% 14.00 12.00 P
2  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 2 21 32½ 42 41½ 31 32¼ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 10.90  
7  COASTANA 6 52¼ 64 64 63 51¼ 42¾ (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 31% 2.20 5.00  
1  QUEEN BOURBON 1 63¾ 53 31½ 31½ 21 52¾ (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5.50  
4  CREATIVE CAIRO 4 73¾ 74½ 75 86 62¼ 63¾ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 8.10  
9  BABY BLYTHE 8 31 21½ 2½ 2½ 73¾ 79¾ (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 8% 11.50 5.10  
8  MEZCAL 7 42 43 52½ 52 84¾ 814 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 7.30  
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING               (lukas wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (shirer a)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:49
:22 :451 :571     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRANK 6 1 11 1½   17 19¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 24% 3.20 0.55 W
1  ST. BENEDICTS PREP 4 8 65½ 44½   38½ 29¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 22% 3.60 7.70  
7  MY BETSY 8 7 77 66   510½ 311¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 10.80  
4  MISINTENTION 3 6 87 76¼   410 415 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 11.50  
2  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 1 9 911½ 912¼   714 516½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 11.00  
6  HIGH CLASS 7 2 21 2½   27 617 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 19% 4.20 10.90  
1A  O SHAUGHESEY 5 3 33 33   612 722½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 ★ 7.70  
3  SPLURGE 2 4 44 54½   817 832¾ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 16% 5.40 18.20  
8  DAGMAR 9 5 54½ 87¾   926 953½ (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★ 16.50  
 
SAR-7   07/31/2022 6270ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:231 :474 1:112 1:343   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SOLDIER RISING (GB) 4 4 87½ 87 77 23 1nk (clement christophe)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 5% 19.00 1.90 W
11  STREET READY 10 6 1½ 11 11 13 2nk (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 27.75  
2  VALUE ENGINEERING 1 2 64½ 54 55½ 33 32 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 9% 10.70 6.90 S
3  SANCTUARY CITY 2 3 99½ 98 99¼ 65¼ 44 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14.40  
6  KINENOS 5 10 1012½ 1011½ 1011¾ 98¼ 55 (morley thomas)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 29.50  
8  EVER DANGEROUS 8 9 75 75½ 87¼ 87¾ 65¼ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 15.10  
4  OCALA DREAM 3 1 32 31½ 33 43¼ 75½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 ★ 6.90  
7  SPANISH KINGDOM 7 8 42½ 42½ 43½ 54¾ 86½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 18.80  
10  FLOP SHOT (IRE) 9 7 53 64 65½ 76¾ 97 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 14% 6.10 3.95  
1  HARD LOVE 6 5 2½ 21 21 1010¾ 1025¼ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5.50  
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT               (thomas jonathan)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  INTREPID HEART               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  T D DANCE               (barkley jason)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
:243 :501 1:161 1:403 2:041 2:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 5 53½ 42½ 42 42½ 21 1½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.45 W
2  ARKLOW 2 43½ 53½ 53 53½ 52½ 2½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 24% 3.20 3.05 P
1  L'IMPERATOR (FR) 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 11 31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★ 4.50 S
3  HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) 3 21 2½ 2½ 21 42 43¾ (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 20% 4.00 2.60  
4  CROSS BORDER 4 32½ 32 31½ 32 32 54 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 3.95  
SCR  CIBOLIAN               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   07/31/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:34
:214 :443 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GUNITE 2 8 2½ 2nk   1½ 1¼ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 17% 4.90 7.40 W
5  ACCRETIVE 5 4 53½ 32½   2½ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.80 2.95 P
6  RUNNINSONOFAGUN 6 6 85½ 74¼   32½ 34½ (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 56.25  
4  PAPPACAP 4 3 43 43½   43½ 47 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 ★ 7.20  
8  MY PRANKSTER 8 1 74½ 86¾   67 58¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 6% 16.00 9.20  
3  HOIST THE GOLD 3 9 64 64¼   56 610¾ (stewart dallas)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 47.00  
9  SURFER DUDE 9 2 96½ 98¾   79 718½ (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 26.75  
1  PINEHURST 1 7 1½ 1nk   810 825¼ (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 5.40  
7  CORNICHE 7 5 32 53¾   915 933¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.30 1.65  
 
SAR-10   07/31/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:222 :453 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAJESTIC JOHNSON 6 1 2nk 41½   1½ 13½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 22% 3.60 5.20 W
7  SHARP SENSATION 7 2 1nk 1½   2½ 23½ (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
2  STEERAGE 2 12 61¼ 62½   43 34 (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 119 8.00 5.90  
12  BRENNAN'S WAR 12 11 4¾ 3½   31½ 45¼ (gyarmati leah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 6.80  
10  BOINTHEBACK 10 10 93½ 83¼   53 56 (diprima gregory)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 13.00  
5  MARTINEZ 5 9 72¾ 73   74¾ 66½ (miceli michael)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.50  
4  DISENGAGE 4 5 83 93¾   84¾ 78¼ (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 36.50  
3  UNCLE BRUCE 3 8 117 118¼   106¾ 810¼ (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 41.50  
9  CHAPEL ROAD 9 4 51¼ 52   64½ 912¼ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5% 19.00 7.30  
11  PERFECT BANKER 11 3 3½ 2½   95¼ 1013 (albertrani thomas)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 61.00  
1  SLUGO 1 6 105 105¾   117 1114 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 11.00  
8  ERIDROMOS 8 7 128 128¾   129½ 1214¼ (lugovich j)LUZZI J 119 20.00 58.50  
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS               (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.