Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLEUSE Jul09 Jun04 Apr22     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  TRUANCY Jun16         (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.40 29% 2.50    
3  EAU CLAIRE Jun04 Apr28       (delacour arna)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★    
4  GLOCCA MORRA Jun25         (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
5  HONOR STAR         (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
6  PHOTON Jul09         (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 ★    
7  ROYAL CURRENCY Jul09 May30 Apr23 Mar20 Feb05 (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-2   07/31/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDLE         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
2  GRACEFUL Jul02         (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  TURF ACCOUNTANT         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
4  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
5  MILIEU         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FOURWAY STOP Jun30 Jun05       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
7  FREYDIS THE RED (FR)         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
8  TICKER TAPE HOME Jul02         (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
9  CALLIE'S GRIT         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FREE LOOK         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL Jul04         (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   07/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWEAQUED Jul14 Apr21 Apr01 Jan28   (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 9% 10.40    
2  LET'S BE CLEAR Jun12 May19 Apr02 Mar05   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
3  KNOWING GLANCE Jun24 Apr22 Feb06     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 ★    
4  CLASSINESS         (barkley jason)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
5  AMERICA'S PRIDE May19         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
6  DAWNLAND Jun23 May21 May01 Apr01   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
7  GUAJIRA Jan07         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
8  TRADE SECRET         (asmussen)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
SAR-4   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. BLUTE May12         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00    
1A  G MUNNING May30 Apr23 Mar13 Feb12 Jan09 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
2  BOLD JOURNEY Apr01 Mar05 Feb12     (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
3  COLORMEPAZZI Jul08 May31 May12 Apr15 Mar18 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Jul14 Apr30 Mar12     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
5  STREET TSAR Jul03         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jul03 May05 Mar06 Feb11 Jan09 (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 12% 7.50    
7  TAP'N DE BANK Jun11 Apr30       (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
8  UNIQUE UNIONS Jul08 Jun11 Apr23 Jan09   (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 13% 6.40    
 
SAR-5   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN BOURBON Jul10 May26 May07 Apr15 Feb26 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
2  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Jun17 May07       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
3  ICE PRINCESS Apr10 Feb18       (gargan d)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 7% 14.00    
4  CREATIVE CAIRO Jun25 May08       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING May19 Apr24 Mar12 Jan23   (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
6  CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) Jun12         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  COASTANA         (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
8  MEZCAL Mar05 Jan13       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
9  BABY BLYTHE Jun09 May14       (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  GOOD PENNY Jul07 Jun04 Apr09 Jan29   (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. BENEDICTS PREP         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
1A  O SHAUGHESEY Jun19         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 ★    
2  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
3  SPLURGE Jun24         (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
4  MISINTENTION         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
5  PRANK         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 24% 3.20    
6  HIGH CLASS         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 19% 4.20    
7  MY BETSY         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
8  DAGMAR         (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/31/2022 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD LOVE         (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT         (thomas jonathan)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
2  VALUE ENGINEERING         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
3  SANCTUARY CITY Jul15 Jun18 May30 May01 Apr09 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
4  OCALA DREAM Jul03 May30 Apr14     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 ★    
5  SOLDIER RISING (GB) Jul08 Jun03 May01     (clement christ)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  KINENOS Jul01 May05       (morley th)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
7  SPANISH KINGDOM Jun22 May05 Feb14     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
8  EVER DANGEROUS Jun18         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  T D DANCE Jun18 Apr20 Mar12 Feb14   (barkley jason)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
10  FLOP SHOT (IRE) Apr14 Feb27       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
11  STREET READY Jun22 May21 Apr20 Mar13   (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  INTREPID HEART Jun23 Apr30 Mar24 Mar01 Jan02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 53% 0.90    
 
SAR-8   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Jun11 May07 Feb05     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA JOIE by MONTJEU (IRE))
2  ARKLOW         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by ARCH out of UNBRIDLED EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) Jun11 May14 Apr14     (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of PINK SYMPHONY by MONTJEU (IRE))
4  CROSS BORDER May30 Apr02 Jan29     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CIBOLIAN Jul30 Jun10 May21 Apr22   (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of YADIRA by PULPIT)
6  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Jun11 May07       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of MOTIVATION by MUHTATHIR)
 
SAR-9   07/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINEHURST (IRE) Jan29         (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
  (by CLODOVIL out of GRAND OIR by GRAND SLAM)
2  GUNITE Jul03 Jun03       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
3  HOIST THE GOLD Jul03 Apr02 Mar09 Feb12   (stewart dal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
4  PAPPACAP Jun11 May07 Apr02 Feb19 Jan22 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
5  ACCRETIVE Jun26         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MALLORY STREET by STREET SENSE)
6  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Jul02 May15 Mar29 Mar05 Jan27 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
7  CORNICHE         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WASTED TEARS by NAJRAN)
8  MY PRANKSTER Jul03 May07 Apr08 Feb05   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 6% 16.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MY WANDY'S GIRL by FLOWER ALLEY)
9  SURFER DUDE Jun03 May07 Apr08 Jan22   (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
 
SAR-10   07/31/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLUGO Jul08 Feb21       (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
2  STEERAGE Jun19         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 119 8.00    
3  UNCLE BRUCE Jul09 May20 May06     (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
4  DISENGAGE Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31   (parker joseph)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
5  MARTINEZ Jul08 Jun19 May28 Apr16   (miceli michael)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  MAJESTIC JOHNSON Jul08         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  SHARP SENSATION Jul14 May28 Apr23 Mar23   (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  ERIDROMOS May28         (lugovich richard )LUZZI J 119 20.00    
9  CHAPEL ROAD Jul08 Jun19 Apr03 Mar05   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  BOINTHEBACK Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar31 (diprima greg)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
11  PERFECT BANKER Jun23 May22 Apr29     (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
12  BRENNAN'S WAR Jul08 Jun19 May28     (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS May28 Apr06       (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.