Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CATCHING CUPID 6 5 21 2½   12 15½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 10% 9.40 2.20 W
2  COLD WALKER 2 1 11 1½   22 25½ (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8% 11.50 10.60 P
8  DATESFREEDOM 8 4 54½ 75½   410 39¾ (delauro edw)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 47.25  
3  SENSIBLECONCLUSION 3 7 86½ 55   37½ 410 (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★ 7.80  
4  PATRICK THE GREAT 4 6 44 33½   511 518¼ (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 19% 4.20 2.45  
1  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 1 2 65½ 88   614 624 (summers chad)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00 37.00  
7  SIGHT UNSEEN 7 3 33½ 65½   715½ 735¼ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 23.80  
5  SALT CAY 5 8 75½ 44½   8100 8100 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 37% 1.70 2.25  
 
SAR-2   08/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ANGELINKA (FR) 2 2 21 21½   21 1¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 37% 1.70 1.70 W
5  BAY JEWEL 5 7 76 77   54 2¼ (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★ 4.40 P
4  VIOLENT POINT 4 1 11 11½   11 3½ (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 6.00 3.10  
6  WEEKEND FUN 6 6 54 45   32½ 41½ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6.00  
3  OLIVE KAT 3 4 32½ 33   43½ 53¼ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 5.10  
1  JEN'S BATTLE 1 5 64½ 67   66 64 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 9% 9.90 18.20  
7  IT CAN 7 3 43 55½   76 74¾ (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00 22.00  
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  INVALUABLE               (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-3   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DAME CINCO 4 2 2½ 2½ 12 11½ 12½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.20 37% 1.70 0.80 W
2  PREPOSTEROUS 2 3 31 32 32½ 21½ 22½ (arriaga anto)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 14% 5.90 3.25 P
1  BELARUS 1 1 1½ 1½ 22 32 36 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 ★ 2.65 S
7  INFRINGEMENT 5 5 43½ 47½ 411½ 415 426 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 21.80  
4  SWEET SENSATION 3 4 54 59 520½ 527 548¼ (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 9.60  
SCR  CLARA BELLE               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN               (o'brien )DAVIS A 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:123     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST GIANT 1 5 66½ 74¾ 45 33½ 1nk (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 ★ 6.40  
3  RUSE 3 1 22 21 21 21 2nk (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 2.50  
8  NOT PHAR NOW 8 3 12 11 11 11 31½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 10.70  
2  BARRAGE 2 4 44 32½ 33 43½ 42½ (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.55  
5  WILD BANKER 5 7 77 64¼ 66½ 56 53¾ (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 24.25  
7  STRAW INTO GOLD 7 6 55½ 54 76½ 66¼ 64 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60 3.65  
4  QUIET OUT EAST 4 8 88½ 86¼ 88½ 88¼ 76 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 11.50  
6  COTTON 6 2 34 42½ 55½ 77¾ 89 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 12.30  
SCR  DADDY KNOWS               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  NICKY THE VEST               (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:13 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOP ENVOY 2 3 24 27 22½ 1½ 11¼ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 34.50  
3  ADDICTED TO YOU 3 7 46 38½ 33 2½ 21¼ (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 7.80  
1  THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK 1 9 57 510 54 41 31½ (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6% 15.40 5.10 S
9  ON PALM SUNDAY 9 2 14 17 12½ 3½ 41¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 8.50  
10  MR. CONNECTICUT 10 1 89½ 813 99½ 64½ 52 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 62% 0.60 1.15  
6  PIVOTAL RUN 6 5 77½ 610½ 64½ 54 65¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 7.40  
4  WHISKY WARRIOR 4 4 35 49½ 44 76½ 77¼ (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 29.50  
7  SENSE A GIANT 7 10 910 1013½ 1011½ 88½ 88¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.40  
5  DRUID 5 6 1012 913 89 1011 916½ (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00 64.00  
8  SECRET SANCTUARY 8 8 67 711½ 78 99½ 1020¾ (klesaris rob)SAMUEL L 118 30.00 50.75  
SCR  DISENGAGE               (parker joseph)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  DON BERNARDO               (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 118 50.00    
SCR  LOOKIN GRAND               (baker charlto)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  TOGA DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  URAGANO               (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 6% 15.90    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :46 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DONEGAL SURGES 5 4 63¼ 53¼   2½ 15½ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 9% 10.80 2.50 W
5  BLAME IT ON DADDY 4 5 73¾ 74½   43½ 25½ (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 8.40  
7  MR. MARLIN 6 1 84¼ 99½   86½ 36 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 ★ 41.00 S
4  CURLY LARRY AND MO 3 3 11½ 1nk   1½ 46 (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 39% 1.60 3.15  
9  MAMA'S GOLD 8 7 21½ 2nk   31½ 59½ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★ 4.90  
10  RAMBLIN' WRECK 9 9 95¼ 86½   55½ 610 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 21.10  
1  STORM THE EMPIRE 1 6 51¾ 43¼   65½ 715½ (englehart jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 21.60  
3  POP COYER 2 8 41¾ 33   76 816 (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 7.60  
8  IMPRESSOR 7 2 31½ 63½   97½ 919¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 5.00  
SCR  MAX FOSTER               (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:131 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 14 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 ★ 3.30  
1  AIR ATTACK 1 4 32 41½ 42 1½ 24 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 41% 1.40 2.55 P
8  WINTER POOL 5 3 42 31 31½ 32½ 34¾ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 18% 4.60 2.15 S
7  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 4 5 53½ 52½ 53½ 53½ 44¾ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 6.00  
5  TRUCULENT 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 42½ 58½ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 6.00 3.40  
SCR  KERSHAW               (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 ★    
SCR  MR. TIP               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LEN LO LADY 4 4 21½ 21   11 14¼ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 10.10  
3  BACKYARD MONEY 3 1 11½ 11   21 24¼ (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 20% 3.90 3.50 P
8  MAYBE LATER 8 2 52¼ 31½   34½ 35½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 9% 9.80 3.15 S
2  H. T. XENA 2 5 42 75   68 46¼ (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 4.30  
1  ECHO FOXTROT 1 3 32 42½   45½ 57 (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 30% 2.40 3.15  
7  CUPIDS GIRL 7 6 64¼ 53½   56½ 67 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 ★ 10.90  
5  BELLA PRINCIPESSA 5 7 75¼ 65   78½ 710 (klesaris rober)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 20% 4.00 9.50  
6  PONCHO SONG 6 8 813¼ 813   814 819 (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 28.25  
 
SAR-9   08/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:221 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY FLOWER 1 3 84½ 74¾   62¾ 11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 ★ 4.20  
7  EMPRESS TIGRESS 6 2 2½ 2½   1nk 21 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.45 P
2  DELMONA (IRE) 2 1 1½ 1½   2nk 31½ (begg bentle)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 18.90  
8  MAKIN MY MOVE 7 8 32 32   41¼ 42½ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 9.40  
4  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) 3 4 42½ 42   31 52½ (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 9.10  
6  BREEZE EASY (GB) 5 5 63½ 53½   51¾ 63¾ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 11% 8.00 6.90  
5  HALF IS ENOUGH 4 6 95 95¾   75¾ 74¼ (trombett)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 26.00  
10  DERRYNANE 9 9 74 64½   86¼ 86½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70 5.40  
9  ARTOS (IRE) 8 7 53½ 84¾   910¼ 913 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 28.50  
SCR  BENBANG               (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS               (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  MYSTIC EYES               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:124     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SARATOGA CHROME 12 7 86 85 75¼ 43 1½ (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 23% 3.40 9.20 W
11  SUCCULENT 11 12 1210 1210¼ 129 75½ 2½ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 7.50  
5  LA VICTORIA (FR) 4 2 21½ 2½ 2nk 11½ 3¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.60 6.10 S
9  JOCOSITY 8 4 32½ 31½ 31 32 44½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 27% 2.80 2.85  
8  CAPITAL GAL 7 6 107½ 119¼ 118 129¼ 55¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 23.70  
7  CAN'T FOOL ME 6 9 97 107¼ 107¾ 119¼ 65¼ (de h)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 28.00  
2  LEM ME DRINK 1 3 43 42 62¾ 53 75½ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 7.30  
1  TWIST JUST RIGHT 9 10 118 97 97¼ 107¼ 86½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 17.50 20.90  
3  BERN ROSEY BERN 2 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 21½ 96½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 41.75  
4  POWER AND GLORY 3 8 75 75 86¼ 96¼ 107½ (thompson gle)SAMUEL L 124 50.00 63.50  
6  ALESTE 5 5 54 52½ 52¾ 64 117¾ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 9.80  
10  BAVARIAN CREME 10 11 64 63 42½ 86 1214¾ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 8% 11.20 3.75  
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.