The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Thursday - August 11, 2022

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SAR-1   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:23 :462 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHING CUPID 6 5 21 2½   12 1(baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 10% 9.40 2.20 W
COLD WALKER 2 1 11 1½   22 2(servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8% 11.50 10.60 P
DATESFREEDOM 8 4 5 7   410 3(delauro j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 47.25  
SENSIBLECONCLUSION 3 7 8 55   3410 (barker r)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 7.80  
PATRICK THE GREAT 4 6 44 3   511 518¼ (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 19% 4.20 2.45  
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 1 2 6 88   614 624 (summers chad)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00 37.00  
SIGHT UNSEEN 7 3 3 6   715½ 735¼ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 23.80  
SALT CAY 5 8 7 4   8100 8100 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 37% 1.70 2.25  
 
SAR-2   08/11/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:223 :452 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELINKA (FR) 2 2 21 2   21 1¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 37% 1.70 1.70 W
BAY JEWEL 5 7 76 77   54 2¼ (ferraro w)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 4.40 P
VIOLENT POINT 4 1 11 1   11 3½ (barrera s)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 6.00 3.10  
WEEKEND FUN 6 6 54 45   34(begg bentley)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6.00  
OLIVE KAT 3 4 3 33   45(gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 5.10  
JEN'S BATTLE 1 5 6 67   66 64 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 9% 9.90 18.20  
IT CAN 7 3 43 5   76 7(rohena jose)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00 22.00  
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  INVALUABLE               (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-3   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:242 :474 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME CINCO 4 2 2½ 2½ 12 11(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.20 37% 1.70 0.80 W
PREPOSTEROUS 2 3 31 32 3 22(arriaga antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 14% 5.90 3.25 P
BELARUS 1 1 1½ 1½ 22 32 36 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 2.65 S
INFRINGEMENT 5 5 4 4 411½ 415 426 (persaud randi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 21.80  
SWEET SENSATION 3 4 54 59 520½ 527 548¼ (albertrani thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 9.60  
SCR  CLARA BELLE               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN               (o'brien keith)DAVIS A 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
:242 :491 1:123     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST GIANT 1 5 6 7 45 31nk (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 6.40  
RUSE 3 1 22 21 21 21 2nk (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 2.50  
NOT PHAR NOW 8 3 12 11 11 11 3(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 10.70  
BARRAGE 2 4 44 3 33 44(handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.55  
WILD BANKER 5 7 77 6 6 56 5(dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 24.25  
STRAW INTO GOLD 7 6 5 54 7 664 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60 3.65  
QUIET OUT EAST 4 8 8 8 8 876 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 11.50  
COTTON 6 2 34 4 5 789 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 12.30  
SCR  DADDY KNOWS               (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  NICKY THE VEST               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:243 :474 1:13 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP ENVOY 2 3 24 27 2 1½ 1(gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 34.50  
ADDICTED TO YOU 3 7 46 3 33 2½ 2(sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 7.80  
THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK 1 9 57 510 54 41 3(summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6% 15.40 5.10 S
ON PALM SUNDAY 9 2 14 17 1 3½ 4(donk david)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 8.50  
10  MR. CONNECTICUT 10 1 8 813 9 652 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 62% 0.60 1.15  
PIVOTAL RUN 6 5 7 610½ 6 54 6(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 7.40  
WHISKY WARRIOR 4 4 35 4 44 77(kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 29.50  
SENSE A GIANT 7 10 910 1013½ 1011½ 88(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.40  
DRUID 5 6 1012 913 89 1011 916½ (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00 64.00  
SECRET SANCTUARY 8 8 67 711½ 78 91020¾ (klesaris p)SAMUEL L 118 30.00 50.75  
SCR  DISENGAGE               (parker joseph)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  DON BERNARDO               (rohena jose)CRUZ JOEL 118 50.00    
SCR  LOOKIN GRAND               (baker charlton)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  TOGA DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  URAGANO               (breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 6% 15.90    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
:222 :46 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL SURGES 5 4 6 5   2½ 1(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 9% 10.80 2.50 W
BLAME IT ON DADDY 4 5 7 7   42(albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 8.40  
MR. MARLIN 6 1 8 9   836 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 41.00 S
CURLY LARRY AND MO 3 3 1 1nk   1½ 46 (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 39% 1.60 3.15  
MAMA'S GOLD 8 7 2 2nk   35(maker j)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 4.90  
10  RAMBLIN' WRECK 9 9 9 8   5610 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 21.10  
STORM THE EMPIRE 1 6 5 4   6715½ (englehart s)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 21.60  
POP COYER 2 8 4 33   76 816 (schosberg richard)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 7.60  
IMPRESSOR 7 2 3 6   9919¾ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70 5.00  
SCR  MAX FOSTER               (englehart s)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/11/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:244 :492 1:131 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAYTNTHELIONHEART 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 14 (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 3.30  
AIR ATTACK 1 4 32 4 42 1½ 24 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 41% 1.40 2.55 P
WINTER POOL 5 3 42 31 3 33(casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 18% 4.60 2.15 S
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 4 5 5 5 5 54(baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 6.00  
TRUCULENT 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 45(maker j)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 3.40  
SCR  KERSHAW               (d'angelo francisco)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00    
SCR  MR. TIP               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:23 :461 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEN LO LADY 4 4 2 21   11 1(romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 10.10  
BACKYARD MONEY 3 1 1 11   21 2(lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 20% 3.90 3.50 P
MAYBE LATER 8 2 5 3   33(rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 9% 9.80 3.15 S
H. T. XENA 2 5 42 75   68 4(shirer a)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 4.30  
ECHO FOXTROT 1 3 32 4   457 (delacour arnaud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 30% 2.40 3.15  
CUPIDS GIRL 7 6 6 5   567 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 10.90  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 5 7 7 65   7710 (klesaris p)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 20% 4.00 9.50  
PONCHO SONG 6 8 813¼ 813   814 819 (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 28.25  
 
SAR-9   08/11/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:39
:221 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY FLOWER 1 3 8 7   611 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 4.20  
EMPRESS TIGRESS 6 2 2½ 2½   1nk 21 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.45 P
DELMONA (IRE) 2 1 1½ 1½   2nk 3(begg bentley)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 18.90  
MAKIN MY MOVE 7 8 32 32   44(kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 9.40  
HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) 3 4 4 42   31 5(delgado gustavo)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 9.10  
BREEZE EASY (GB) 5 5 6 5   56(clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 11% 8.00 6.90  
HALF IS ENOUGH 4 6 95 9   77(trombetta j)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 26.00  
10  DERRYNANE 9 9 74 6   88(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70 5.40  
ARTOS (IRE) 8 7 5 8   910¼ 913 (arnold r)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 28.50  
SCR  BENBANG               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS               (englehart c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  MYSTIC EYES               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:242 :484 1:124     1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SARATOGA CHROME 12 7 86 85 7 43 1½ (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 23% 3.40 9.20 W
11  SUCCULENT 11 12 1210 1210¼ 129 72½ (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 7.50  
LA VICTORIA 4 2 2 2½ 2nk 13¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.60 6.10 S
JOCOSITY 8 4 3 3 31 32 4(mott i)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 27% 2.80 2.85  
CAPITAL GAL 7 6 10 11 118 125(weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 23.70  
CAN'T FOOL ME 6 9 97 10 10 116(de horacio)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 28.00  
LEM ME DRINK 1 3 43 42 6 53 7(levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 7.30  
TWIST JUST RIGHT 9 10 118 97 9 108(abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 17.50 20.90  
BERN ROSEY BERN 2 1 1 1½ 1nk 29(giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 41.75  
POWER AND GLORY 3 8 75 75 8 910(thompson r)SAMUEL L 124 50.00 63.50  
ALESTE 5 5 54 5 5 64 11(bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 9.80  
10  BAVARIAN CREME 10 11 64 63 4 86 1214¾ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 8% 11.20 3.75  
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.