Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE         (summers chad)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00    
2  COLD WALKER Jul14 Jun20       (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8% 11.50    
3  SENSIBLECONCLUSION Jul14 Jun18 May20 Apr24 Apr07 (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★    
4  PATRICK THE GREAT Jul10 May29 Apr30 Apr08   (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  SALT CAY Jul09 May06 Apr08     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  CATCHING CUPID Jul14 Jun09       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 10% 9.40    
7  SIGHT UNSEEN Jul03         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
8  DATESFREEDOM Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 May22   (delauro edw)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
 
SAR-2   08/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S BATTLE Jun26 Jun19 May12 Apr03 Jan27 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00 9% 9.90    
2  ANGELINKA (FR) Jul08 May14       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
3  OLIVE KAT Jul17 Jun22 May19 May06 Jan02 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80    
4  VIOLENT POINT Jul03 Jun19 May27 May12 Apr15 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 6.00    
5  BAY JEWEL Jul21 Jun26 Jun12     (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 ★    
6  WEEKEND FUN Jun26 Jun03 Apr16     (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
7  IT CAN Jul20 May24 Apr12 Mar21 Feb21 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jul15 Jun19 May13 Apr23 Mar26 (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  INVALUABLE Jul15 Jun17 May26 May01 Apr01 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-3   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELARUS Jun12 Apr14 Jan08     (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 ★    
2  PREPOSTEROUS Jul27 Jun25 Apr29     (arriaga anto)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  CLARA BELLE Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar09 Feb14 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
4  SWEET SENSATION Jul15 Jun09 May15 Apr01 Feb26 (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
5  DAME CINCO Apr28         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.20 37% 1.70    
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN May29 May08 Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 (o'brien )DAVIS A 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  INFRINGEMENT Jul20 Jun25 May06 Apr10 Mar20 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST GIANT Jul15 Jun16 May28 Apr15   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 ★    
2  BARRAGE Jul15 May28       (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  RUSE Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr07   (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
4  QUIET OUT EAST Jul15 Jun19 Jun02 May15   (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
5  WILD BANKER Jul07         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
6  COTTON Jul15 Jun18 May21     (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
7  STRAW INTO GOLD Jul15 May15 Apr16     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  NOT PHAR NOW Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May15   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  NICKY THE VEST         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS Aug03 Jul10 Jun21 Apr28 Apr01 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK Jul09 May28 May13 Apr23 Mar13 (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6% 15.40    
2  TOP ENVOY         (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
3  ADDICTED TO YOU Jul09 Jun17 May13 Apr22 Jan22 (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
4  WHISKY WARRIOR Jul09 Jun19       (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
5  DRUID Jul29 Jun17       (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
6  PIVOTAL RUN Jun19 May20       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
7  SENSE A GIANT Jun30         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  SECRET SANCTUARY Jul09 Jun19       (klesaris rob)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
9  ON PALM SUNDAY Jul29 Jun23 May13     (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
10  MR. CONNECTICUT Jul15 May30 Apr24     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  URAGANO Jul15 May30 May06 Apr08 Mar05 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  TOGA DANCER Jun23 Apr22       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  LOOKIN GRAND Jul09 May30       (baker charlto)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  DISENGAGE Jul31 Jun23 May22 May05 Mar31 (parker joseph)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  DON BERNARDO Jul09 Jun10       (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 118 50.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS Jun30         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM THE EMPIRE         (englehart jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  MAX FOSTER         (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
3  POP COYER         (schosberg ric)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
4  CURLY LARRY AND MO Jul17         (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  BLAME IT ON DADDY         (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
6  DONEGAL SURGES         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 9% 10.80    
7  MR. MARLIN         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 ★    
8  IMPRESSOR         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  MAMA'S GOLD         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★    
10  RAMBLIN' WRECK         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR ATTACK Jun18 Mar26 Feb10     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MR. TIP Jul02 May28 May06 Apr16   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT Jul28 Jul22 Jun18 Apr21 Mar20 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  KERSHAW Jul14 Jun16 May28 May08 Apr22 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 ★    
5  TRUCULENT Jun04 May08 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
6  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART Jun30 Jun05       (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 ★    
7  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jul21 Jun30       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50    
8  WINTER POOL Jun04 Apr13 Mar04 Jan09   (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO FOXTROT Jun23         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  H. T. XENA Jun29 May21 Apr16 Feb22 Jan15 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 124 4.50    
3  BACKYARD MONEY Jul27         (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  LEN LO LADY         (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
5  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Jul17 Jun12 May15 Apr28 Mar11 (klesaris rober)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  PONCHO SONG Jun25 Jun03 Apr30     (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
7  CUPIDS GIRL Jul16 Jun23 Jun05 May15 Apr09 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 ★    
8  MAYBE LATER Jul02 Jun12 May22 May08 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 9% 9.80    
 
SAR-9   08/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY FLOWER Jul15 Jun19 May19     (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 ★    
2  DELMONA (IRE) Jul16 May07 Mar26 Feb25   (begg bentle)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  BENBANG Jul16 Jun12 May15     (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
4  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE)         (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
5  HALF IS ENOUGH Jul09 Jun04 May01     (trombett)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
6  BREEZE EASY (GB) Jun25 May28       (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 11% 8.00    
7  EMPRESS TIGRESS Jul15 May22       (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  MAKIN MY MOVE Jul22 Jul02 May28     (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
9  ARTOS (IRE) Jul15 Jun19 May14 Mar26   (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
10  DERRYNANE Jul15 Jun19 May28 Apr15   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  FREEDOM SPEAKS Jun18 May12       (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  MYSTIC EYES Jul15 May14       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIST JUST RIGHT Mar20 Jan08       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul16 Jun04 Apr10     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
2  LEM ME DRINK Jun25         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
3  BERN ROSEY BERN Jun26 May30       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
4  POWER AND GLORY Jul29 Jul02       (thompson glen)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 50.00    
5  LA VICTORIA (FR)         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  ALESTE         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
7  CAN'T FOOL ME Apr24 Apr10 Feb05     (de h)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
8  CAPITAL GAL Jun24 May08 Apr23 Mar25   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
9  JOCOSITY Jul16         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 27% 2.80    
10  BAVARIAN CREME Jun24 May30 Apr23 Mar11 Jan13 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
11  SUCCULENT Jul16 Jun25 Apr14 Mar20   (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
12  SARATOGA CHROME Jul16 Jun04 Apr28     (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.