Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENRIDGE THUNDER 1 3 1½ 12   14 12½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 9% 9.80 11.30 W
6  SOUTHERN SENSE 6 4 41½ 32   24 22½ (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 4.00 13% 6.60 3.60 P
4  HORSE DADDY 4 7 75¼ 64¼   46 36¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 26% 2.90 3.00 S
2  MIZZEN MAN 2 2 31½ 42½   35 48¼ (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★ 6.90  
3  INKOSI 3 6 63¾ 54   58½ 511 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 1.80  
5  FLAGSTONE 5 5 53½ 75¼   713½ 619 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17.20  
7  ON SPOT 7 1 2½ 22   612 720 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 6.10  
 
CD-2   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKESIDE MUSIC 1 5 41½ 32   2nk 1¼ (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 6% 15.00 11.30 W
3  LITURGIA 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (hernandez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 ★ 8.50 P
5  JANIS JOPLIN 5 7 67 69   54½ 31½ (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00 14.90  
4  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 4 4 53 55   66 43½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 18% 4.60 0.60  
2  MY BATON ROUGE 2 1 1½ 1nk   31½ 56¼ (ramos o)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 44.00  
6  GONNA CUT IT 6 2 31½ 42½   44 67¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 2.50 22% 3.50 3.40  
7  HOLY FOLEY 7 6 79 711½   718 727¾ (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.60 6.80  
 
CD-3   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ABSOLUTE LOVE 4 1 11 1nk 12½ 18 115¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 28% 2.60 1.80 W
4  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 3 4 31 2nk 22½ 28 215¼ (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 35% 1.80 0.40 P
1  CANDY'S DREAM 1 2 41½ 33 34 38 318 (swingley duwayne)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00 ★ 8.30 S
3  ANCIENT BROWN 2 3 21 45 416 428 461½ (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 ★ 12.10  
SCR  CARRY ON               (sharp joe)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00    
SCR  JAZZY LADY               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-4   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHOPLIFTER 4 1 11½ 1½   12 14¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 1.60 60% 0.70 0.70 W
1  LADY RADLER 1 5 21½ 2½   22 24¼ (campbell michael)FELIX E 119 5.00 ★ 5.30 P
5  COTTON CANDY ANNIE 5 2 75½ 64½   38 311¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★ 7.50 S
2  LADAN 2 6 51¾ 54   510 414 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 ★ 49.60  
7  JORDAN 7 4 41¾ 41½   611½ 519½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 3.50  
6  SIRIUS LIGHT 6 3 31½ 31½   48½ 621 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.30 9.10  
3  BOSTON TO BOZEMAN 3 7 65¼ 75   713½ 730 (beckman w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 29.20  
 
CD-5   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAMILY MAN 2 2 21 22 2nk 12 12½ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80 4.60 W
1  LEADER OF MEN 1 1 54 44½ 33 33½ 22½ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 ★ 10.70 P
6  ALL WEST 6 3 65½ 67½ 56¼ 45½ 33 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 9.70  
4  INDIAN GULCH 4 8 813 812 67¼ 55½ 43¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 1.40  
3  EXULTING 3 4 32 33½ 43¼ 66 57½ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00 6.00  
5  BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN 5 7 710½ 79½ 77¾ 78½ 68 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 10.00  
8  HOME RUN TRICK 8 6 11 12 1nk 22 714 (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 19% 4.30 4.60  
7  EAGLE PASS 7 5 44 55 810¼ 815½ 826¼ (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 8.00 30.30  
 
CD-6   06/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HONEY RUN 7 8 74 62¼ 21 1nk 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.20  
6  PISTOL 6 3 2nk 2nk 11 2nk 2nk (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 14.30  
3  H. T. XENA 3 4 41 51¾ 52½ 33 32¾ (tomlinson mi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 13% 6.90 11.10 S
5  FABRICATE 5 5 3½ 31 32 44 46¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 35% 1.80 1.50  
2  HOT ANNA 2 2 52 41¼ 64½ 511 520½ (baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 8.00  
4  TOO PRETTY 4 1 1nk 1nk 42 612 624½ (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 12% 7.40 10.90  
1  SEA LEVEL 1 7 85 85¼ 89¼ 715 732¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★ 7.70  
8  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE 8 6 63 74¼ 79 823 8100 (sims a)LANERIE J 124 12.00 10% 9.30 15.00  
 
CD-7   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:092     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRAVEL COLUMN 4 1 2½ 2½   12 12½ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 1.50  
6  THUNDERING CREED 5 4 64 53½   22 22½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 P
2  LOVEMESOMEME 2 2 1½ 1½   32 37¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 35% 1.80 0.90 S
7  PRINCESS OF CAIRO 6 5 32 43½   47½ 412¼ (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 32% 2.20 13.50  
1  NEW ROO 1 6 42½ 64½   69¼ 513¾ (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 15.00 15.10  
3  TIPSY GAL 3 3 52½ 33   57¾ 614¾ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 ★ 18.00  
SCR  TEMPER TIME               (romans d)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 17.90    
 
CD-8   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DOROTA 3 6 52½ 42   12 14 (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 23.10  
2  CONTESSINA 2 4 74½ 75   53½ 24 (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9.30  
1  MRS. NUSHI 1 9 64 64   42½ 35½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★ 8.80 S
4  LUNAR ICE 4 7 86 86   75¾ 48¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.00 3.60  
8  OAXACA 8 1 2½ 52½   63¾ 59 (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 11% 7.90 7.10  
6  RUFA RED KNOT 6 3 31½ 2½   22 69 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 9% 10.30 5.80  
7  OPEN SAYS ME 7 8 99 99   98¾ 712 (williamson bri)ROCCO S 124 12.00 14.30  
9  LUNCH LADY 9 2 1½ 1½   32½ 812½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
5  COOL CAROL 5 5 42 31½   86¼ 913½ (sanner daniel)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 14.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.