The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 29, 2022
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CD-1   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:23 :463 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENRIDGE THUNDER 1 3 1½ 12   14 12½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 9% 9.80 11.30 W
6  SOUTHERN SENSE 6 4 41½ 32   24 22½ (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 4.00 13% 6.60 3.60 P
4  HORSE DADDY 4 7 75¼ 64¼   46 36¾ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 26% 2.90 3.00 S
2  MIZZEN MAN 2 2 31½ 42½   35 48¼ (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★ 6.90  
3  INKOSI 3 6 63¾ 54   58½ 511 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 1.80  
5  FLAGSTONE 5 5 53½ 75¼   713½ 619 (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17.20  
7  ON SPOT 7 1 2½ 22   612 720 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 6.10  
 
CD-2   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
:231 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKESIDE MUSIC 1 5 41½ 32   2nk 1¼ (spicer t)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 6% 15.00 11.30 W
3  LITURGIA 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (hernandez rey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 ★ 8.50 P
5  JANIS JOPLIN 5 7 67 69   54½ 31½ (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00 14.90  
4  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 4 4 53 55   66 43½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 18% 4.60 0.60  
2  MY BATON ROUGE 2 1 1½ 1nk   31½ 56¼ (ramos o)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 44.00  
6  GONNA CUT IT 6 2 31½ 42½   44 67¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50 22% 3.50 3.40  
7  HOLY FOLEY 7 6 79 711½   718 727¾ (asmussen m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.60 6.80  
 
CD-3   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
:241 :472 1:113 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ABSOLUTE LOVE 4 1 11 1nk 12½ 18 115¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 28% 2.60 1.80 W
4  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 3 4 31 2nk 22½ 28 215¼ (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 35% 1.80 0.40 P
1  CANDY'S DREAM 1 2 41½ 33 34 38 318 (swingley duwayne)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00 ★ 8.30 S
3  ANCIENT BROWN 2 3 21 45 416 428 461½ (humphries thomas)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 ★ 12.10  
SCR  CARRY ON               (sharp joe)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00    
SCR  JAZZY LADY               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-4   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:13
:23 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHOPLIFTER 4 1 11½ 1½   12 14¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 1.60 60% 0.70 0.70 W
1  LADY RADLER 1 5 21½ 2½   22 24¼ (campbell michael)FELIX E 119 5.00 ★ 5.30 P
5  COTTON CANDY ANNIE 5 2 75½ 64½   38 311¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★ 7.50 S
2  LADAN 2 6 51¾ 54   510 414 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 ★ 49.60  
7  JORDAN 7 4 41¾ 41½   611½ 519½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 3.50  
6  SIRIUS LIGHT 6 3 31½ 31½   48½ 621 (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.30 9.10  
3  BOSTON TO BOZEMAN 3 7 65¼ 75   713½ 730 (beckman whitworth)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 29.20  
 
CD-5   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
:233 :47 1:112 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAMILY MAN 2 2 21 22 2nk 12 12½ (medina robert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80 4.60 W
1  LEADER OF MEN 1 1 54 44½ 33 33½ 22½ (moquett e)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 ★ 10.70 P
6  ALL WEST 6 3 65½ 67½ 56¼ 45½ 33 (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 9.70  
4  INDIAN GULCH 4 8 813 812 67¼ 55½ 43¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 1.40  
3  EXULTING 3 4 32 33½ 43¼ 66 57½ (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00 6.00  
5  BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN 5 7 710½ 79½ 77¾ 78½ 68 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 10.00  
8  HOME RUN TRICK 8 6 11 12 1nk 22 714 (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 19% 4.30 4.60  
7  EAGLE PASS 7 5 44 55 810¼ 815½ 826¼ (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 8.00 30.30  
 
CD-6   06/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:23 :462 1:11 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HONEY RUN 7 8 74 62¼ 21 1nk 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.20  
6  PISTOL 6 3 2nk 2nk 11 2nk 2nk (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 14.30  
3  H. T. XENA 3 4 41 51¾ 52½ 33 32¾ (tomlinson a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 13% 6.90 11.10 S
5  FABRICATE 5 5 3½ 31 32 44 46¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 35% 1.80 1.50  
2  HOT ANNA 2 2 52 41¼ 64½ 511 520½ (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 8.00  
4  TOO PRETTY 4 1 1nk 1nk 42 612 624½ (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 12% 7.40 10.90  
1  SEA LEVEL 1 7 85 85¼ 89¼ 715 732¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★ 7.70  
8  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE 8 6 63 74¼ 79 823 8100 (sims a)LANERIE J 124 12.00 10% 9.30 15.00  
 
CD-7   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:224 :452 1:092     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRAVEL COLUMN 4 1 2½ 2½   12 12½ (mott i)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 1.50  
6  THUNDERING CREED 5 4 64 53½   22 22½ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 P
2  LOVEMESOMEME 2 2 1½ 1½   32 37¾ (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 35% 1.80 0.90 S
7  PRINCESS OF CAIRO 6 5 32 43½   47½ 412¼ (puhich mike)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 32% 2.20 13.50  
1  NEW ROO 1 6 42½ 64½   69¼ 513¾ (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 15.00 15.10  
3  TIPSY GAL 3 3 52½ 33   57¾ 614¾ (stewart dallas)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 ★ 18.00  
SCR  TEMPER TIME               (romans dale)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 17.90    
 
CD-8   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:213 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DOROTA 3 6 52½ 42   12 14 (wainwright john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 23.10  
2  CONTESSINA 2 4 74½ 75   53½ 24 (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9.30  
1  MRS. NUSHI 1 9 64 64   42½ 35½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★ 8.80 S
4  LUNAR ICE 4 7 86 86   75¾ 48¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.00 3.60  
8  OAXACA 8 1 2½ 52½   63¾ 59 (quartarolo t)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 11% 7.90 7.10  
6  RUFA RED KNOT 6 3 31½ 2½   22 69 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 9% 10.30 5.80  
7  OPEN SAYS ME 7 8 99 99   98¾ 712 (williamson brian)ROCCO S 124 12.00 14.30  
9  LUNCH LADY 9 2 1½ 1½   32½ 812½ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
5  COOL CAROL 5 5 42 31½   86¼ 913½ (sanner e)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 14.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.