Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREENRIDGE THUNDER 1 3 1½ 12   14 1 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 9% 9.80 11.30 W
SOUTHERN SENSE 6 4 4 32   24 2 (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 4.00 13% 6.60 3.60 P
HORSE DADDY 4 7 7 6   46 3 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 26% 2.90 3.00 S
MIZZEN MAN 2 2 3 4   35 4 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 6.90  
INKOSI 3 6 6 54   5 511 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 31% 2.20 1.80  
FLAGSTONE 5 5 5 7   713½ 619 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17.20  
ON SPOT 7 1 2½ 22   612 720 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 6.10  
 
CD-2   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKESIDE MUSIC 1 5 4 32   2nk 1¼ (spicer james )PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 6% 15.00 11.30 W
LITURGIA 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (hernandez rey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 8.50 P
JANIS JOPLIN 5 7 67 69   5 3 (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00 14.90  
SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 4 4 53 55   66 4 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 18% 4.60 0.60  
MY BATON ROUGE 2 1 1½ 1nk   3 5 (ramos o)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 44.00  
GONNA CUT IT 6 2 3 4   44 6 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50 22% 3.50 3.40  
HOLY FOLEY 7 6 79 711½   718 727¾ (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.60 6.80  
 
CD-3   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABSOLUTE LOVE 4 1 11 1nk 1 18 115¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 28% 2.60 1.80 W
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 3 4 31 2nk 2 28 215¼ (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 35% 1.80 0.40 P
CANDY'S DREAM 1 2 4 33 34 38 318 (swingley duwayne)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00 8.30 S
ANCIENT BROWN 2 3 21 45 416 428 461½ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 12.10  
SCR  CARRY ON               (sharp joe)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00    
SCR  JAZZY LADY               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-4   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOPLIFTER 4 1 1 1½   12 1 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 1.60 60% 0.70 0.70 W
LADY RADLER 1 5 2 2½   22 2 (campbell michael)FELIX E 119 5.00 5.30 P
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 5 2 7 6   38 311¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7.50 S
LADAN 2 6 5 54   510 414 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 49.60  
JORDAN 7 4 4 4   611½ 519½ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 3.50  
SIRIUS LIGHT 6 3 3 3   4 621 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.30 9.10  
BOSTON TO BOZEMAN 3 7 6 75   713½ 730 (beckman whi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 29.20  
 
CD-5   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY MAN 2 2 21 22 2nk 12 1 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80 4.60 W
LEADER OF MEN 1 1 54 4 33 3 2 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 10.70 P
ALL WEST 6 3 6 6 5 4 33 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 9.70  
INDIAN GULCH 4 8 813 812 6 5 4 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 1.40  
EXULTING 3 4 32 3 4 66 5 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00 6.00  
BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN 5 7 710½ 7 7 7 68 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 10.00  
HOME RUN TRICK 8 6 11 12 1nk 22 714 (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 19% 4.30 4.60  
EAGLE PASS 7 5 44 55 810¼ 815½ 826¼ (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 8.00 30.30  
 
CD-6   06/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY RUN 7 8 74 6 21 1nk 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.20  
PISTOL 6 3 2nk 2nk 11 2nk 2nk (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 14.30  
H. T. XENA 3 4 41 5 5 33 3 (tomlinson mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 13% 6.90 11.10 S
FABRICATE 5 5 3½ 31 32 44 4 (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 35% 1.80 1.50  
HOT ANNA 2 2 52 4 6 511 520½ (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 8.00  
TOO PRETTY 4 1 1nk 1nk 42 612 624½ (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 12% 7.40 10.90  
SEA LEVEL 1 7 85 8 8 715 732¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 7.70  
SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE 8 6 63 7 79 823 8100 (sims a)LANERIE J 124 12.00 10% 9.30 15.00  
 
CD-7   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:092     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVEL COLUMN 4 1 2½ 2½   12 1 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 1.50  
THUNDERING CREED 5 4 64 5   22 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 P
LOVEMESOMEME 2 2 1½ 1½   32 3 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 35% 1.80 0.90 S
PRINCESS OF CAIRO 6 5 32 4   4 412¼ (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 32% 2.20 13.50  
NEW ROO 1 6 4 6   6 513¾ (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 15.00 15.10  
TIPSY GAL 3 3 5 33   5 614¾ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 18.00  
SCR  TEMPER TIME               (romans dal)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 17.90    
 
CD-8   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOROTA 3 6 5 42   12 14 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 23.10  
CONTESSINA 2 4 7 75   5 24 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9.30  
MRS. NUSHI 1 9 64 64   4 3 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 8.80 S
LUNAR ICE 4 7 86 86   7 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.00 3.60  
OAXACA 8 1 2½ 5   6 59 (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 11% 7.90 7.10  
RUFA RED KNOT 6 3 3 2½   22 69 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 9% 10.30 5.80  
OPEN SAYS ME 7 8 99 99   9 712 (williamson brian)ROCCO S 124 12.00 14.30  
LUNCH LADY 9 2 1½ 1½   3 812½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
COOL CAROL 5 5 42 3   8 913½ (sanner e)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 14.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.