Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREENRIDGE THUNDER Jun11         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
MIZZEN MAN Jun18 Jun08 May21 Apr16 Mar26 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
INKOSI         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
HORSE DADDY May16 Mar10 Feb23 Jan07   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
FLAGSTONE         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
SOUTHERN SENSE Jun05 Apr20 Feb26 Jan16   (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 4.00 13% 6.60    
ON SPOT Jun18 Jun08       (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
 
CD-2   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKESIDE MUSIC         (spicer james )PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 6% 15.00    
MY BATON ROUGE Jun08         (ramos o)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00    
LITURGIA Jun02         (hernandez rey)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00    
SHE'LL NEVER KNOW         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
JANIS JOPLIN         (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00    
GONNA CUT IT Jun08         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
HOLY FOLEY         (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
CD-3   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S DREAM Jun09 May23 Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 (swingley duwayne)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00    
SCR  CARRY ON Jun05 May20 Apr14 Jan19   (sharp joe)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 15.00    
ANCIENT BROWN Apr27 Apr14 Feb20 Jan23 Jan01 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
JUMP INTO THE FIRE Jun05 May13 Apr22 Mar19 Feb16 (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 35% 1.80    
ABSOLUTE LOVE Jun05 Apr22 Jan28     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40 28% 2.60    
SCR  JAZZY LADY May13 Apr22 Apr08 Jan28   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-4   06/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY RADLER         (campbell michael)FELIX E 119 5.00    
LADAN         (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
BOSTON TO BOZEMAN         (beckman whi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
SHOPLIFTER Jun08         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 1.60 60% 0.70    
COTTON CANDY ANNIE Jun08         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
SIRIUS LIGHT         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
JORDAN         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
 
CD-5   06/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEADER OF MEN Jun08 May08 Apr09 Mar06 Jan29 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
FAMILY MAN May15 Apr14       (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
EXULTING Jun08 Apr24 Mar04 Jan22   (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
INDIAN GULCH Jun08 May08 Apr24 Mar17 Feb26 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 2.50    
BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN May08 Apr08 Mar06 Jan16 Jan06 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
ALL WEST Jun18 Apr16 Mar27 Mar12 Jan16 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
EAGLE PASS Jun18 Jun08 May27 May15 Apr23 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11% 8.00    
HOME RUN TRICK Jun08 May01 Mar17 Mar06 Jan22 (brennan terry)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
CD-6   06/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA LEVEL Jun11 May03       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
HOT ANNA May20 Apr21 Feb23     (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
H. T. XENA May21 Apr16 Feb22 Jan15   (tomlinson mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 13% 6.90    
TOO PRETTY May06 Apr08 Mar05 Jan14   (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
FABRICATE May21 Apr24 Mar06 Jan20   (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
PISTOL Jun02 Apr21 Mar16 Feb19 Jan09 (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00    
HONEY RUN Jun03 Apr28 Mar16 Feb14 Jan15 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE May31 Apr24       (sims a)LANERIE J 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
CD-7   06/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW ROO Jan15         (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 15.00    
LOVEMESOMEME May29         (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 35% 1.80    
TIPSY GAL May30         (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
TRAVEL COLUMN         (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20    
SCR  TEMPER TIME Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar12 Jan29 (romans dal)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 17.90    
THUNDERING CREED May27 Apr28 Mar19 Jan22   (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS OF CAIRO         (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 32% 2.20    
 
CD-8   06/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. NUSHI Jun09 May25 May05 Apr22   (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50    
CONTESSINA         (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
DOROTA Jun03         (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
LUNAR ICE May22 Apr29       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
COOL CAROL         (sanner e)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
RUFA RED KNOT Jun17 May20 Feb16     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 9% 10.30    
OPEN SAYS ME         (williamson brian)ROCCO S 124 12.00    
OAXACA Jun10 May30 Apr23 Mar23 Feb25 (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
LUNCH LADY May29         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.