Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE THE FLAG 5 5 31 3.2   12 13 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 2.80  
TATUM 3 2 4 4   22 23 (velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 10% 9.40 3.55 P
SPACE 1 4 5 5   35 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 7.00  
TEAM LEADER 4 3 2½ 1nk   45 411½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 1.75  
SWISS GUARD 2 1 1½ 2nk   56 515½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20 3.35  
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE               (wilkes r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:123 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 10 1014 1013½ 8 1nk 1 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.80 W
DETERMINEDLY 3 7 6 66 7 5 2 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.30  
RARIFIED FLAIR 2 1 55 4 4 3 32 (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.30  
C'EST MAGNIFIQUE 6 5 7 7 6 2nk 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 29% 2.40 4.50  
AMERICA'S GUEST 1 8 8 8 9 7 5 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 18.80  
AMERICAN HUSTLE 4 6 45 5 5 6 6 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 11.40  
10  SON OF A BIRCH 10 3 33 31 2nk 4 79 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
GOOD RAPPORT 9 9 912½ 913 1010¾ 10 813¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) 8 4 2 2½ 3½ 84 913½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.40  
MONTEPULCIANO 7 2 1 1½ 1nk 9 1015½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 26% 2.90 2.60  
 
SAR-3   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:122 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSALOT 1 2 11 1½ 12 1 1 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 14.20  
CRYO 2 1 21 2½ 22 2 2 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 8% 11.50 13.00 P
BOLD VICTORY 6 3 8 75 7 37 3 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 13.60  
ENDOWED 7 4 3 3 43 4 4 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 26% 2.90 2.85  
WOLFE COUNTY 8 5 53 5 6 710 512 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 16% 5.20 1.40  
FULL MOON FEVER 4 6 43 4 32 69 612¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 11.50  
ROYAL TRYST 3 7 6 64 5 58 712½ (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 8% 11.80 9.70  
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 5 8 76 85 8 811½ 817 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 18% 4.40 6.20  
SCR  MISBEHAVED               (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION DOLLY 9 9 9 76   32 1 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 10.30  
DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) 5 1 1½ 1   12 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 14% 6.10 6.70 P
DEVILLY 8 5 3 42   22 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 30% 2.30 1.30 S
LADY FIREFOOT 2 11 10 9   7 4 (reynolds patri)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 5.40  
10  HOPE OVER FEAR 10 4 42 5   4 5 (abreu jorg)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 15.20  
TREVISE 4 10 117 11   8 6 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 124 6.00 10% 8.60 9.10  
OUR SOUPER LOVE 7 7 52 32   5 78 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 26.25  
11  SPARKLING WATER 11 8 8 8   9 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 31.75  
QUEEN DE LA CREME 6 2 2½ 2   6 915½ (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 119 12.00 8% 11.70 20.20  
CREEMORE 1 3 6 6   10 1015¾ (begg be)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 15.40  
JABBERWOCK 3 6 7 108   1116¼ 1128 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 16.40  
SCR  DOOZY BATZ               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUNDSON 4 3 2½ 11   13 13 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 6.20  
QUICKFLASH 6 2 52 32   23 23 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 16.80  
BIG BOBBY 7 5 75 7   67 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5.40  
BRONX BOMBER 5 1 63 54   34 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 11.60 4.20  
FLYING EMPEROR 2 7 4 64   5 5 (wright james)DE EMANUEL 126 10.00 19% 4.40 8.80  
MASKED MARAUDER 8 8 8 8   89 6 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 18.60  
HOT ROD RUMBLE 3 4 1½ 21   45 7 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 6.70  
BIG ENGINE 9 9 9 9   910 810½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 5% 19.00 6.70  
BANK ON SHEA 1 6 3 4   7 913¼ (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 38% 1.60 3.15  
SCR  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY               (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVELOUS MAUDE 1 6 65 6 64 21 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 67% 0.50 1.40 W
FINEST WORK 3 1 4 4 5 4 21 (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 7.80  
MISSY GREER 2 3 1 11 11 11 3 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 20.90  
WICKED GROOVE 6 5 54 53 4 3 42 (atras rob)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 6.00  
MALIBU CURL 8 7 32 32 32 6 5 (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00 20.30  
ENSEMBLE (IRE) 9 9 2 21 21 5 64 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 6% 15.80 6.40  
BLISSFUL 5 8 88 8 8 7 7 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 3.25  
LADY EMILY 7 2 7 7 75 8 8 (sweezey ken)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00 27.00  
LINNY KATE 4 4 911½ 9 98 910¼ 915 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
SCR  BABY MAN               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50    
SCR  BIG CITY MOMMA               (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ               (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER CHAIRMAN 5 5 6 6   31 1¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10 2.45 W
HEYMACKIT'SJACK 2 6 5 4   1nk 2¼ (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 16% 5.30 5.80 P
FEATHERS ROAD 4 10 9 9   4 31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 17% 4.80 4.60 S
RIPE FOR MISCHIEF 9 8 43 53   6 45 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 7.50  
FUOCO 8 4 3½ 11   2nk 5 (serpe m)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 14.70  
KIMBO DANCER 7 9 8 8   7 6 (ferraro james )BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00 33.00  
CENTRAL PRIDE 6 7 10 10   8 7 (terranova john )FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 14.50  
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 1 3 1½ 21   5 88 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 3.90  
10  BUCKORTWO 10 1 7 7   9 9 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
HERONEANDONLY 3 2 2½ 3   10 1015½ (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00 43.75  
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  TOMMY GUN               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S WARRIOR 4 4 2½ 11   1 12 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 127 0.20 39% 1.60 0.25 W
KNEEDEEPINSNOW 1 6 65 44   2 22 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 117 12.00 22.40 P
WILLY BOI 2 3 32 33   3 35 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00 8.00 S
NY TRAFFIC 3 1 5 5   5 46 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 25% 2.90 5.40  
DOC AMSTER 6 5 1½ 21   4 5 (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 116 20.00 13% 6.70 22.60  
LONG RANGE TODDY 5 2 42 66   6 613 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 117 15.00 21.50  
 
SAR-9   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:121 1:363   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICENTER 1 3 44 43 4 1nk 1 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 27% 2.80 1.10 W
ZANDON 4 4 22 2 21 3.2 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 2.70 P
TAWNY PORT 2 1 3 32 3 4¾ 32 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 19% 4.40 8.70 S
EARLY VOTING 3 2 12 1 11 2nk 4 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 28% 2.60 1.85  
SCR  WESTERN RIVER               (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:123 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICOCHET 6 4 3 3 32 3½ 11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 11.70  
ORCHESTRATION 2 10 8 8 8 7 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 22% 3.60 4.80 P
SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY 3 9 9 9 96 8 31 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 7.30  
C FALLS 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 44.50 DH
IRWIN (IRE) 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 4 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 125 10.00 11.40 DH
12  CAPENSIS 11 8 76 7 75 6 6 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00  
BAY STREET MONEY 9 7 65 5 54 5 7 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 14.70  
EXULT 5 11 11 10 106 10 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00 8% 11.70 36.25  
11  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 10 1 10 11 117 114 9 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 31.50  
AIRMAN 4 6 55 6 6 9 10 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00 49.75  
10  COLOSSEO 8 3 43 44 4 4 11 (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 10.20  
SCR  CAPONE               (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  HOMETOWN               (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  THREE JOKERS               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 2.50    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
SAR-11   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:124     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD MUNNYS 8 2 1 1 12 1 1¾ (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 25.00  
BARLEEWON 5 5 3 34 32 2 2¾ (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 6.80  
THE LAST ZIP 1 4 68 6 65 36 3 (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 3.40  
JACK THE CAT 7 7 7 89 8 5 4 (falcone n)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
HEALING 9 6 4 4 4 46 5 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50 4.00  
BIG AGENDA 3 3 811½ 7 7 7 6 (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 10% 9.00 4.70  
TROUBLING MOON 6 9 913½ 910½ 97 910½ 7 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00 38.50  
12  HIEROGLYPHICS 10 8 5 56 5 8 88 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 123 30.00 33.50  
MO READY 4 1 2 2 22 67 9 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 7% 13.50 6.40  
BAD GUY 2 10 1020½ 10100 10100 10100 10100 (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 30.25  
SCR  AMERICAN LINCOLN               (romero jes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS BRIDGE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  BALLAGH ROCKS               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB)               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  OUTRAGEOUS BET               (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  QUIET OUT EAST               (brown r)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.