The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Saturday - July 30, 2022

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SAR-1   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:224 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE THE FLAG 5 5 31 3.2   12 13 (mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 2.80  
TATUM 3 2 4 4   22 23 (velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 10% 9.40 3.55 P
SPACE 1 4 5 5   35 3(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 7.00  
TEAM LEADER 4 3 2½ 1nk   45 411½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 1.75  
SWISS GUARD 2 1 1½ 2nk   56 515½ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20 3.35  
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE               (wilkes r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:36
:234 :481 1:123 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 10 1014 1013½ 8 1nk 1(wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.80 W
DETERMINEDLY 3 7 6 66 7 52(casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.30  
RARIFIED FLAIR 2 1 55 4 4 332 (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.30  
C'EST MAGNIFIQUE 6 5 7 7 6 2nk 4(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 29% 2.40 4.50  
AMERICA'S GUEST 1 8 8 8 9 75(gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 18.80  
AMERICAN HUSTLE 4 6 45 5 5 66(clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 11.40  
10  SON OF A BIRCH 10 3 33 31 2nk 479 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
GOOD RAPPORT 9 9 912½ 913 1010¾ 10813¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) 8 4 2 2½ 3½ 84 913½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.40  
MONTEPULCIANO 7 2 1 1½ 1nk 91015½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 26% 2.90 2.60  
 
SAR-3   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
:24 :481 1:122 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSALOT 1 2 11 1½ 12 11(joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 14.20  
CRYO 2 1 21 2½ 22 22(noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 8% 11.50 13.00 P
BOLD VICTORY 6 3 8 75 7 37 3(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 13.60  
ENDOWED 7 4 3 3 43 44(clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 26% 2.90 2.85  
WOLFE COUNTY 8 5 53 5 6 710 512 (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 16% 5.20 1.40  
FULL MOON FEVER 4 6 43 4 32 69 612¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 11.50  
ROYAL TRYST 3 7 6 64 5 58 712½ (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 8% 11.80 9.70  
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 5 8 76 85 8 811½ 817 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 18% 4.40 6.20  
SCR  MISBEHAVED               (pletcher a)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
:22 :452 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION DOLLY 9 9 9 76   32 1(handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 10.30  
DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) 5 1 1½ 1   12 2(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 14% 6.10 6.70 P
DEVILLY 8 5 3 42   22 3(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 30% 2.30 1.30 S
LADY FIREFOOT 2 11 10 9   74(reynolds j)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 5.40  
10  HOPE OVER FEAR 10 4 42 5   45(abreu r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 15.20  
TREVISE 4 10 117 11   86(antonacci philip)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 10% 8.60 9.10  
OUR SOUPER LOVE 7 7 52 32   578 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 26.25  
11  SPARKLING WATER 11 8 8 8   98(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 31.75  
QUEEN DE LA CREME 6 2 2½ 2   6915½ (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 119 12.00 8% 11.70 20.20  
CREEMORE 1 3 6 6   101015¾ (begg bentley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 15.40  
JABBERWOCK 3 6 7 108   1116¼ 1128 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 16.40  
SCR  DOOZY BATZ               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMUNDSON 4 3 2½ 11   13 13 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 6.20  
QUICKFLASH 6 2 52 32   23 23 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 16.80  
BIG BOBBY 7 5 75 7   67 3(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5.40  
BRONX BOMBER 5 1 63 54   34 4(rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 11.60 4.20  
FLYING EMPEROR 2 7 4 64   55(wright t)DE EMANUEL 126 10.00 19% 4.40 8.80  
MASKED MARAUDER 8 8 8 8   89 6(rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 18.60  
HOT ROD RUMBLE 3 4 1½ 21   45 7(asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 6.70  
BIG ENGINE 9 9 9 9   910 810½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 5% 19.00 6.70  
BANK ON SHEA 1 6 3 4   7913¼ (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 38% 1.60 3.15  
SCR  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY               (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
:25 :50 1:14 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVELOUS MAUDE 1 6 65 6 64 21 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 67% 0.50 1.40 W
FINEST WORK 3 1 4 4 5 421 (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 7.80  
MISSY GREER 2 3 1 11 11 11 3(gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 20.90  
WICKED GROOVE 6 5 54 53 4 342 (atras rob)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 6.00  
MALIBU CURL 8 7 32 32 32 65(albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00 20.30  
ENSEMBLE (IRE) 9 9 2 21 21 564 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 6% 15.80 6.40  
BLISSFUL 5 8 88 8 8 77(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 3.25  
LADY EMILY 7 2 7 7 75 88(sweezey kent)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00 27.00  
LINNY KATE 4 4 911½ 9 98 910¼ 915 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
SCR  BABY MAN               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50    
SCR  BIG CITY MOMMA               (mcgaughey iii)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ               (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
:213 :45 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER CHAIRMAN 5 5 6 6   31 1¼ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10 2.45 W
HEYMACKIT'SJACK 2 6 5 4   1nk 2¼ (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 16% 5.30 5.80 P
FEATHERS ROAD 4 10 9 9   431 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 17% 4.80 4.60 S
RIPE FOR MISCHIEF 9 8 43 53   645 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 7.50  
FUOCO 8 4 3½ 11   2nk 5(serpe m)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 14.70  
KIMBO DANCER 7 9 8 8   76(ferraro w)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00 33.00  
CENTRAL PRIDE 6 7 10 10   87(terranova p)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 14.50  
BUILT TO LAST 1 3 1½ 21   588 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 3.90  
10  BUCKORTWO 10 1 7 7   99(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
HERONEANDONLY 3 2 2½ 3   101015½ (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00 43.75  
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  TOMMY GUN               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
:222 :451 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S WARRIOR 4 4 2½ 11   112 (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 127 0.20 39% 1.60 0.25 W
KNEEDEEPINSNOW 1 6 65 44   222 (shirer a)SANTANA JR 117 12.00 22.40 P
WILLY BOI 2 3 32 33   335 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00 8.00 S
NY TRAFFIC 3 1 5 5   546 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 25% 2.90 5.40  
DOC AMSTER 6 5 1½ 21   45(delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 116 20.00 13% 6.70 22.60  
LONG RANGE TODDY 5 2 42 66   6613 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 117 15.00 21.50  
 
SAR-9   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 5:37
:241 :481 1:121 1:363   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICENTER 1 3 44 43 4 1nk 1(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 27% 2.80 1.10 W
ZANDON 4 4 22 2 21 3.2 2(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 2.70 P
TAWNY PORT 2 1 3 32 3 4¾ 32 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 19% 4.40 8.70 S
EARLY VOTING 3 2 12 1 11 2nk 4(brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 28% 2.60 1.85  
SCR  WESTERN RIVER               (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
SAR-10   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:24 :482 1:123 1:361   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICOCHET 6 4 3 3 32 3½ 11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 11.70  
ORCHESTRATION 2 10 8 8 8 721 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 22% 3.60 4.80 P
SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY 3 9 9 9 96 831 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 7.30  
C FALLS 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 4(casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00 44.50 DH
IRWIN (IRE) 7 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 4(antonacci philip)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 11.40 DH
12  CAPENSIS 11 8 76 7 75 66(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00  
BAY STREET MONEY 9 7 65 5 54 57(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 14.70  
EXULT 5 11 11 10 106 108(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00 8% 11.70 36.25  
11  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 10 1 10 11 117 114 9(asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00 31.50  
AIRMAN 4 6 55 6 6 910(morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00 49.75  
10  COLOSSEO 8 3 43 44 4 411(catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 10.20  
SCR  CAPONE               (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  HOMETOWN               (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  THREE JOKERS               (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 2.50    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
SAR-11   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
:232 :481 1:124     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD MUNNYS 8 2 1 1 12 11¾ (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 25.00  
BARLEEWON 5 5 3 34 32 22¾ (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 6.80  
THE LAST ZIP 1 4 68 6 65 36 3(sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 3.40  
JACK THE CAT 7 7 7 89 8 54(falcone n)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80 3.80  
HEALING 9 6 4 4 4 46 5(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50 4.00  
BIG AGENDA 3 3 811½ 7 7 76(englehart c)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 10% 9.00 4.70  
TROUBLING MOON 6 9 913½ 910½ 97 910½ 7(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00 38.50  
12  HIEROGLYPHICS 10 8 5 56 5 888 (chatterpaul naipaul)CASTILLO AMIN 123 30.00 33.50  
MO READY 4 1 2 2 22 67 9(rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 7% 13.50 6.40  
BAD GUY 2 10 1020½ 10100 10100 10100 10100 (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 30.25  
SCR  AMERICAN LINCOLN               (romero jesus)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS BRIDGE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  BALLAGH ROCKS               (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB)               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  OUTRAGEOUS BET               (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  QUIET OUT EAST               (brown r)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.