Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPACE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
2  SWISS GUARD         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  TATUM Jul09         (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  TEAM LEADER         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★    
5  CAPTURE THE FLAG         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE         (wilkes r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICA'S GUEST         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
2  RARIFIED FLAIR Jul02         (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
3  DETERMINEDLY Jun30         (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
4  AMERICAN HUSTLE         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
5  OUR DREAM RYE'D Jun19         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  MONTEPULCIANO         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Jul01         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
9  GOOD RAPPORT         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SON OF A BIRCH Jul01         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSALOT Jun05 May04 Apr13 Mar12 Feb12 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
2  CRYO Jul16 Jul01 May30 Apr02   (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 8% 11.50    
3  ROYAL TRYST Jul14 Jun04 May08 Feb04 Jan13 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  FULL MOON FEVER Jun30 May30 May08 Apr10 Mar20 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
SCR  MISBEHAVED Jul01 Jun05       (pletcher)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
6  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Jul02 Jun19 May30 May12 Apr16 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
7  BOLD VICTORY Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
8  ENDOWED Jul02 Jun05       (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
9  WOLFE COUNTY Jun24 Jun09 Mar12 Feb12   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREEMORE Jul09 Jun09       (begg james )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
2  LADY FIREFOOT         (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
3  JABBERWOCK Jul01 May07 Apr15 Feb25   (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
4  TREVISE Jun18 Apr23 Mar13     (antonacc)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) Jun30 May15 Mar23 Mar01   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  QUEEN DE LA CREME Jul02 Jun09       (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 119 12.00 8% 11.70    
7  OUR SOUPER LOVE Jan09         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
8  DEVILLY Jun24 May27 Apr22 Mar16 Feb16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
9  UNION DOLLY Jun04 Apr09       (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
10  HOPE OVER FEAR Jun04         (abreu jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
11  SPARKLING WATER Jun14 May16 Apr18 Feb17   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  DOOZY BATZ Jun09 Apr27       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK ON SHEA Jul01 Apr29 Apr09 Feb12 Jan07 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  FLYING EMPEROR Jul04 May30 May10     (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 126 10.00 19% 4.40    
3  HOT ROD RUMBLE Apr24 Mar05 Jan22     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
4  AMUNDSON Jun16 Apr29 Feb27     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
5  BRONX BOMBER Jul04 Jun16 May14 Mar31 Mar19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
6  QUICKFLASH Jun11 May08 Mar20 Mar11 Feb06 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
7  BIG BOBBY Jun16 Jan01       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
8  MASKED MARAUDER Jul04 Jun16 May14 Apr01 Feb20 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
9  BIG ENGINE Jul04 May21 Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Jul04 May30 May02     (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVELOUS MAUDE Jun23 May22       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  BABY MAN Jul10 Jun10 May07 Mar27   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50    
2  MISSY GREER May20 Mar23 Feb13     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
3  FINEST WORK Jun24 May14       (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
4  LINNY KATE Jul02 Jun17 May15 Apr01 Mar06 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLISSFUL Jun22         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 ★    
6  WICKED GROOVE Jun14 Feb26 Jan28     (atras rob)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 ★    
7  LADY EMILY Jul08 Jun12 May26     (sweezey k)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00    
8  MALIBU CURL Jun12 May22 Apr03     (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
9  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Apr23         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 6% 15.80    
SCR  DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) Jul01 Apr09 Jan02     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  BIG CITY MOMMA         (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ Jun26 Jun02       (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar31 Feb12 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
2  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Jul09 Jun10 Apr28 Mar20 Feb04 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  HERONEANDONLY         (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
4  FEATHERS ROAD Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr03 Feb04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  MISTER CHAIRMAN May13         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  CENTRAL PRIDE May21 Apr28 Feb12 Jan22   (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
7  KIMBO DANCER Jul09 Jun02       (ferraro jame)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00    
8  FUOCO Jun10         (serpe m)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
9  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Jul09 May21       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
10  BUCKORTWO Jun19 May21 Apr28     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE         (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS May28 Apr06       (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  TOMMY GUN Jul14 Jun09 Apr23 Mar31   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Jul02 Jun11 Apr29 Mar19 Jan30 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 117 12.00 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MICHELLEINHEARTS by LION HEART)
2  WILLY BOI Jul02 May28 Apr08     (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SHINING MOMENT by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  NY TRAFFIC Jun17 Apr29 Mar05     (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 25% 2.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MAMIE REILLY by GRAEME HALL)
4  JACKIE'S WARRIOR Jun10 May07 Apr16     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 127 0.20 39% 1.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
5  LONG RANGE TODDY Jul02 Jun04 May07 Apr09 Jan15 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PLEASANT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  DOC AMSTER Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 Mar20 Feb27 (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 116 20.00 13% 6.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GABEIRA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-9   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WESTERN RIVER Jul29 Jun18 May14 Apr02 Feb26 (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of MORENA (PER) by PRIVATELY HELD)
2  EPICENTER May21 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 27% 2.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  TAWNY PORT Jun25 May07 Apr16 Apr02 Feb19 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
4  EARLY VOTING May21 Apr09 Feb05     (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AMOUR D'ETE by TIZNOW)
5  ZANDON May07 Apr09 Feb19     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
SAR-10   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY STREET MONEY Jul02 Jun16 May06 Apr09 Feb06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  HOMETOWN         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 ★    
2  C FALLS Jul02 May15 Apr29 Mar19 Feb26 (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00    
3  ORCHESTRATION         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  CAPONE Jul01 Jun02 May05 Feb03   (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
5  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Jul02 May06 Apr08     (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 125 12.00    
6  AIRMAN Mar12         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
7  EXULT         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00 8% 11.70    
8  RICOCHET Jul01 May28 Mar27 Mar04 Feb04 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
9  IRWIN (IRE) Jun03 May06       (antonacc)SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
10  COLOSSEO         (catalano wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
11  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) Jul02         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
12  CAPENSIS Jul02         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  THREE JOKERS Jun11 May15 Mar04 Feb05   (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 2.50    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr14 Mar04 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN Jul10 May29 Apr28 Mar26 Feb10 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
 
SAR-11   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAST ZIP Jul10 Feb24 Jan13     (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
2  BAD GUY Jun18 May06 Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
3  BIG AGENDA Jun25 Apr30 Apr14 Feb26 Jan30 (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  MO READY Jun25 May28 Feb05     (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 7% 13.50    
5  BARLEEWON Jun24 May01 Apr16 Feb26 Jan09 (camejo jose )CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
6  TROUBLING MOON Jul10 Jun03 Jan28     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
7  JACK THE CAT Jun25 May28 Apr16     (falcone robert)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  MAD MUNNYS Jun23         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
9  HEALING May20 Apr08 Feb12 Jan13   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAN LINCOLN Jul10 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar26 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Jun25 May28       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
12  HIEROGLYPHICS Jul09 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Apr14 (chatterpaul)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 30.00    
SCR  BALLAGH ROCKS Jun26 May20       (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  QUIET OUT EAST Jul15 Jun19 Jun02 May15   (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  OUTRAGEOUS BET Jul13 Jul03 May25 May07 Apr23 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Jun23 May05 Apr10 Mar12 Feb19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.