Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPACE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
2  SWISS GUARD         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  TATUM Jul09         (velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  TEAM LEADER         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★    
5  CAPTURE THE FLAG         (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE         (wilkes r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICA'S GUEST         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
2  RARIFIED FLAIR Jul02         (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
3  DETERMINEDLY Jun30         (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
4  AMERICAN HUSTLE         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
5  OUR DREAM RYE'D Jun19         (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  MONTEPULCIANO         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Jul01         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
9  GOOD RAPPORT         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SON OF A BIRCH Jul01         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSALOT Jun05 May04 Apr13 Mar12 Feb12 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
2  CRYO Jul16 Jul01 May30 Apr02   (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 8% 11.50    
3  ROYAL TRYST Jul14 Jun04 May08 Feb04 Jan13 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  FULL MOON FEVER Jun30 May30 May08 Apr10 Mar20 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
SCR  MISBEHAVED Jul01 Jun05       (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
6  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Jul02 Jun19 May30 May12 Apr16 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
7  BOLD VICTORY Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
8  ENDOWED Jul02 Jun05       (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
9  WOLFE COUNTY Jun24 Jun09 Mar12 Feb12   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREEMORE Jul09 Jun09       (begg be)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
2  LADY FIREFOOT         (reynolds patri)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
3  JABBERWOCK Jul01 May07 Apr15 Feb25   (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
4  TREVISE Jun18 Apr23 Mar13     (antonacci )SANTANA JR 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) Jun30 May15 Mar23 Mar01   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  QUEEN DE LA CREME Jul02 Jun09       (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 119 12.00 8% 11.70    
7  OUR SOUPER LOVE Jan09         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
8  DEVILLY Jun24 May27 Apr22 Mar16 Feb16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
9  UNION DOLLY Jun04 Apr09       (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
10  HOPE OVER FEAR Jun04         (abreu jorg)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
11  SPARKLING WATER Jun14 May16 Apr18 Feb17   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  DOOZY BATZ Jun09 Apr27       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.20 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK ON SHEA Jul01 Apr29 Apr09 Feb12 Jan07 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  FLYING EMPEROR Jul04 May30 May10     (wright james)DE EMANUEL 126 10.00 19% 4.40    
3  HOT ROD RUMBLE Apr24 Mar05 Jan22     (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
4  AMUNDSON Jun16 Apr29 Feb27     (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
5  BRONX BOMBER Jul04 Jun16 May14 Mar31 Mar19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
6  QUICKFLASH Jun11 May08 Mar20 Mar11 Feb06 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
7  BIG BOBBY Jun16 Jan01       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
8  MASKED MARAUDER Jul04 Jun16 May14 Apr01 Feb20 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
9  BIG ENGINE Jul04 May21 Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Jul04 May30 May02     (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVELOUS MAUDE Jun23 May22       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  BABY MAN Jul10 Jun10 May07 Mar27   (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50    
2  MISSY GREER May20 Mar23 Feb13     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
3  FINEST WORK Jun24 May14       (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
4  LINNY KATE Jul02 Jun17 May15 Apr01 Mar06 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLISSFUL Jun22         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 ★    
6  WICKED GROOVE Jun14 Feb26 Jan28     (atras rob)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 ★    
7  LADY EMILY Jul08 Jun12 May26     (sweezey ken)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00    
8  MALIBU CURL Jun12 May22 Apr03     (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
9  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Apr23         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 6% 15.80    
SCR  DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) Jul01 Apr09 Jan02     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
SCR  BIG CITY MOMMA         (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ Jun26 Jun02       (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 123 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar31 Feb12 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
2  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Jul09 Jun10 Apr28 Mar20 Feb04 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  HERONEANDONLY         (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
4  FEATHERS ROAD Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr03 Feb04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  MISTER CHAIRMAN May13         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  CENTRAL PRIDE May21 Apr28 Feb12 Jan22   (terranova john )FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
7  KIMBO DANCER Jul09 Jun02       (ferraro james )BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00    
8  FUOCO Jun10         (serpe m)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
9  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Jul09 May21       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
10  BUCKORTWO Jun19 May21 Apr28     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE         (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS May28 Apr06       (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 8.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  TOMMY GUN Jul14 Jun09 Apr23 Mar31   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Jul02 Jun11 Apr29 Mar19 Jan30 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 117 12.00 ★    
2  WILLY BOI Jul02 May28 Apr08     (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00 ★    
3  NY TRAFFIC Jun17 Apr29 Mar05     (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 25% 2.90    
4  JACKIE'S WARRIOR Jun10 May07 Apr16     (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 127 0.20 39% 1.60    
5  LONG RANGE TODDY Jul02 Jun04 May07 Apr09 Jan15 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
6  DOC AMSTER Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 Mar20 Feb27 (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 116 20.00 13% 6.70    
 
SAR-9   07/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 5:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WESTERN RIVER Jul29 Jun18 May14 Apr02 Feb26 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 ★    
2  EPICENTER May21 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.50 27% 2.80    
3  TAWNY PORT Jun25 May07 Apr16 Apr02 Feb19 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
4  EARLY VOTING May21 Apr09 Feb05     (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  ZANDON May07 Apr09 Feb19     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 ★    
 
SAR-10   07/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY STREET MONEY Jul02 Jun16 May06 Apr09 Feb06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  HOMETOWN         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 ★    
2  C FALLS Jul02 May15 Apr29 Mar19 Feb26 (casse w)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00    
3  ORCHESTRATION         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  CAPONE Jul01 Jun02 May05 Feb03   (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
5  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Jul02 May06 Apr08     (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00    
6  AIRMAN Mar12         (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
7  EXULT         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00 8% 11.70    
8  RICOCHET Jul01 May28 Mar27 Mar04 Feb04 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
9  IRWIN (IRE) Jun03 May06       (antonacci )SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
10  COLOSSEO         (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
11  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) Jul02         (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
12  CAPENSIS Jul02         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  THREE JOKERS Jun11 May15 Mar04 Feb05   (terranova p)RIDER TBA 125 2.50    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr14 Mar04 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN Jul10 May29 Apr28 Mar26 Feb10 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
 
SAR-11   07/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAST ZIP Jul10 Feb24 Jan13     (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
2  BAD GUY Jun18 May06 Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
3  BIG AGENDA Jun25 Apr30 Apr14 Feb26 Jan30 (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  MO READY Jun25 May28 Feb05     (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 7% 13.50    
5  BARLEEWON Jun24 May01 Apr16 Feb26 Jan09 (camejo m)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
6  TROUBLING MOON Jul10 Jun03 Jan28     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
7  JACK THE CAT Jun25 May28 Apr16     (falcone n)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  MAD MUNNYS Jun23         (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
9  HEALING May20 Apr08 Feb12 Jan13   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAN LINCOLN Jul10 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar26 (romero jes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Jun25 May28       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
12  HIEROGLYPHICS Jul09 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Apr14 (chatterpaul n)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 30.00    
SCR  BALLAGH ROCKS Jun26 May20       (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  QUIET OUT EAST Jul15 Jun19 Jun02 May15   (brown r)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  OUTRAGEOUS BET Jul13 Jul03 May25 May07 Apr23 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Jun23 May05 Apr10 Mar12 Feb19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.