The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Thursday - August 04, 2022
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SAR-1   08/04/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:05
:224 :472 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SICILIAN GRANDMA 5 4 43½ 44   15½ 18¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 1.05  
4  MAGGIE T 4 6 610 69½   25½ 28¾ (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 ★ 11.90 P
2  GIRL AFRAID 2 1 2½ 2nk   38 312¼ (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 42% 1.40 4.60 S
3  ACQUA BELLA 3 7 712 713½   614 416½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 30% 2.40 4.50  
6  OCEAN HONEY 6 3 32½ 32   410 519 (chapman k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 23.20  
1  LADY QUINN 1 2 1½ 1nk   513 626 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★ 4.20  
7  BENEVOLENTLY 7 5 57 59   716½ 726 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 24.50  
 
SAR-2   08/04/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
:214 :443 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 4 9 87½ 88½   64¼ 1½ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★ 4.20  
5  COWICHAN (IRE) 5 5 54 55   32 2½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70 1.80 P
2  PRIVATE CREDIT 2 3 31 31½   22 32¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 22% 3.60 4.30 S
1  PALLOTTA SISTERS 1 6 76 66½   42½ 42¾ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 14.60  
9  ILLICIT 8 1 1½ 1½   12 54¼ (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5.70  
3  GUSTIAMO 3 7 98 910½   85¾ 65¼ (donk david)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 11.70  
6  GORMLEYESQUE 6 4 41½ 42   54 79½ (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 21.20  
8  TATTERED HEART 7 8 66 77   98¾ 810¾ (barkley jason)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 26.00  
11  FACTOR THAT 9 2 2½ 2½   74¾ 912 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 10.30  
SCR  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE)               (delgado gustavo)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  MARIA FROM MIAMI               (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  PERSONAL PURSUIT               (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  STRUT               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:243 :482 1:122     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PLAYED HARD 3 1 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1hd (bauer a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.70 W
6  BOSTON POST ROAD 5 3 33 32 3½ 1nk 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 27% 2.70 2.05 P
2  W W FITZY 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 34 310¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.70 S
4  MILLEFEUILLE 4 5 54½ 52½ 45 411 420¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 ★ 4.40  
1  FLASHNDYNAMITE 1 4 43½ 42½ 56½ 515½ 528 (moore m)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 ★ 18.70  
SCR  FAMILY TIME               (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
:242 :482 1:142     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALPINE QUEEN 5 3 21 32 12½ 14½ 13¼ (arriaga antonio)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 ★ 2.75  
4  TACTICAL RANGE 3 2 53 43½ 22½ 24½ 23¼ (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00 10% 9.20 18.50 P
5  MY SWEET WIFE 4 1 43 66½ 55½ 49 39¼ (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 27% 2.70 1.70 S
7  RAFFINITY 6 6 31½ 21½ 33½ 37½ 410½ (giangiulio michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 22% 3.60 6.60  
2  STORMI CAT LADY 2 5 711 711½ 79 59½ 511 (rodriguez gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00 12.60  
8  EXFILTRATION 7 7 11 11½ 44 611 623¼ (pregman jr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00 13.80  
1  VOICE OF SPRING 1 4 65½ 56 67 711 724 (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 3.25  
SCR  VALLARAND               (baker charlton)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:244 :494 1:14 1:394   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ONE MORE BABY 8 2 21 21 2nk 15 110¾ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.90 W
2  MISTICAL CURLIN 2 5 74½ 65½ 46½ 411 210¾ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 19% 4.10 1.65 P
7  RIVER OF NO RETURN 7 1 11 11 1nk 25 311 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 ★ 10.30 S
6  NORDIC LIGHT 6 7 32½ 32 32 39½ 414¼ (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 ★ 7.90  
4  LEFTY'S WAR 4 6 64 76 710 518 522¾ (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 23.40  
5  NECCO 5 3 53 52½ 57 618½ 626 (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 8.60  
1  QUESTION MY SANITY 1 8 86½ 812 815½ 727½ 735¾ (romero jesus)HARKIE K 118 30.00 34.25  
3  SENSIBLE JIM 3 4 42½ 42½ 69½ 827½ 840¼ (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 24% 3.20 4.10  
 
SAR-6   08/04/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
:241 :494 1:151 1:383   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LACHAISE 7 1 33½ 45 31½ 2nk 11¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 34% 1.90 2.55 W
3  PROVISION 3 4 22 24 2½ 1nk 21¼ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 20.10  
2  SECRETARY OF WAR 2 3 43½ 35 42 31 32½ (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★ 11.30 S
5  FIRE KING 5 2 54½ 77 62½ 42 46¼ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 13.90 3.05  
1  WHO ME 1 5 12 14 1½ 52¼ 58¾ (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 7.30  
8  NEW YORK PANTHER 8 6 65 66½ 74 64¼ 69 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 38% 1.60 3.30  
4  EL QUEMADO 4 9 96¾ 99 96¼ 85¾ 79 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 58.25  
6  JACKSON HEIGHTS 6 10 108¼ 1010½ 106¾ 106¾ 810¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 27.00  
10  UNCLE MARTY 10 8 76 88½ 84¼ 95¾ 912¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 12.20  
9  TWIRLING CHARLIE 9 7 86½ 56 52½ 74¾ 1013¼ (velazquez daniel)ADORNO ABNER 119 12.00 15.60  
SCR  CAPTAIN PARTY               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  MASTER SERGEANT               (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/04/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
:22 :442 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPICY MARG 3 1 11 11   13 1½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 4.60  
7  ALWAYZ LATE 7 7 65½ 67½   45½ 2½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 8% 11.30 4.30 P
8  HIT THE WOAH 8 5 54 56   35½ 32¼ (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 8.50  
6  MAIL ORDER 6 4 21 21   23 42½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 2.30  
2  SECRET TIME (GER) 2 6 711 712   79½ 53¾ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 8.70  
5  MON PETIT CHOU 5 3 43½ 46   67 64½ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00 31.25  
4  ATHWAAQ 4 2 32 34½   56½ 75¼ (reynolds j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 ★ 24.25  
1  BYE BYE 1 8 816 818½   815½ 87½ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 37% 1.70 3.00  
SCR  BETSY BLUE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA               (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS               (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
 
SAR-8   08/04/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
:243 :491 1:134 1:383   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ART COLLECTOR 4 2 1½ 1½ 11 12½ 12 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.40 33% 2.00 0.80 W
6  MASQUEPARADE 5 4 2½ 2½ 21 22½ 22 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 21% 3.80 2.70 P
3  CHESS CHIEF 3 3 41½ 42 32 36 39½ (stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 ★ 29.25 S
1  MYSTIC NIGHT 1 5 53 52 52½ 46 49½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★ 2.80  
2  BAL HARBOUR 2 1 31 31½ 42½ 59 519 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 18% 4.40 12.20  
SCR  KING FURY               (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/04/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:234 :472 1:113     1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMARAATY (GB) 4 3 65½ 65½ 72¾ 32 1hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 18% 4.50 3.45 W
5  FLORIFORM 3 2 45 44½ 31½ 2½ 2hd (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 ★ 3.50 P
2  ATONE 9 9 99 99 94½ 63 3nk (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20 2.15 S
4  BYE BYE MELVIN 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 4.2 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 7.20  
9  BIG EVEREST (GB) 8 6 33½ 33½ 41½ 42 53½ (clement christophe)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 6.60  
6  BUY LAND AND SEE 5 5 2½ 21 2½ 52½ 65¼ (dutrow w)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 9% 9.70 7.60  
1A  WHISPER NOT (GB) 6 10 76½ 76½ 62¾ 73¼ 75½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 3.45  
8  FORTY UNDER 7 8 87 87½ 84¼ 94¾ 810½ (kantarmaci mertkan)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 28.50  
2B  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 10 7 55 55 52½ 83¾ 911 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 2.15  
3  CLEAR VISION 1 4 1011½ 1012 106½ 109¾ 1026¾ (o'connor brice)LEPAROUX R 124 30.00 30.50  
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT               (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
SAR-10   08/04/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:214 :45 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISS DOMINA 7 5 44 43   2½ 1½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 ★ 5.90  
1A  MISPELLED MOOON 9 4 21 2½   1½ 2½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.15 P
1  STUCK ON KITTEN 5 8 88 88¼   75½ 31¾ (d'angelo francisco)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 3.15  
4  FREEDOMOFTHEPRESS 3 3 55 55   32 41¾ (ferraro w)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 ★ 2.75  
3  R REPOSADO LOCA 2 6 77½ 66½   64 52¾ (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 4.10  
6  O'GOTTEN GIRL 6 1 33 33   53 63 (barrera s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 15.50  
2  MANDY GREEN 1 7 98½ 99¼   86½ 74¼ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 5.00  
5  MISSING LINK 4 10 109½ 109¼   97 86½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00 49.50  
8  FAST COREY 8 2 11 1½   42 98 (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
9  MERAVIGLIOSO 10 9 66½ 76¾   107½ 109 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 17.30  
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA               (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.