Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY QUINN         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★    
2  GIRL AFRAID Jul08 May13       (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  ACQUA BELLA         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  MAGGIE T         (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 ★    
5  SICILIAN GRANDMA Jul09         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
6  OCEAN HONEY Jul18         (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
7  BENEVOLENTLY Jul04         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALLOTTA SISTERS         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
2  PRIVATE CREDIT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  GUSTIAMO         (donk david)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
4  ALLURING ANGEL (GB)         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★    
5  COWICHAN (IRE) Jun30 May20       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  GORMLEYESQUE         (catalano m)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
SCR  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE)         (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
8  TATTERED HEART         (barkley )SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
9  ILLICIT         (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  PERSONAL PURSUIT Jul01         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
11  FACTOR THAT Jul21 Jun24       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  STRUT         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  MARIA FROM MIAMI Jul02         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 12% 7.10    
 
SAR-3   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHNDYNAMITE Jul12 Jul04 Jun06 Apr29 Apr14 (moore michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 ★    
2  W W FITZY Jun12 May06 Apr01 Feb27 Jan23 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  PLAYED HARD Jun30 May21       (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  MILLEFEUILLE Jul02 May03 Apr09 Feb12   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  FAMILY TIME Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar09 Jan29 (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
6  BOSTON POST ROAD Jun11 May08       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
SAR-4   08/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOICE OF SPRING Jul29 Jul02 May21 Mar11 Feb13 (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
2  STORMI CAT LADY Jun17 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Feb21 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00    
SCR  VALLARAND Jul15         (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  TACTICAL RANGE Jun23 May14 Apr02 Mar23 Mar02 (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
5  MY SWEET WIFE Jun26 Apr01 Jan28     (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  ALPINE QUEEN Jun03 May01 Mar18 Feb04 Jan06 (arriaga anton)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 ★    
7  RAFFINITY Jun24 Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 Feb12 (giangiulio mi)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 22% 3.60    
8  EXFILTRATION Feb11 Jan06       (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUESTION MY SANITY Jul10 Jun12 Apr14 Mar19 Feb05 (romero jesus)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
2  MISTICAL CURLIN Jul16 Jun26 Jan29     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 19% 4.10    
3  SENSIBLE JIM Jun08 Mar09       (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  LEFTY'S WAR Jul10 May15 Mar19     (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
5  NECCO Jun11 May01       (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
6  NORDIC LIGHT Jul01 May20       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 ★    
7  RIVER OF NO RETURN Jul01         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 ★    
8  ONE MORE BABY Jul01 Jun08 May03 Mar25 Feb20 (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
SAR-6   08/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO ME Jul08         (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
2  SECRETARY OF WAR         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
3  PROVISION         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
4  EL QUEMADO         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
5  FIRE KING         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 13.90    
6  JACKSON HEIGHTS Jul08         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
7  LACHAISE         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
8  NEW YORK PANTHER Jul08 Jun03       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
9  TWIRLING CHARLIE Jul08         (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 119 12.00    
10  UNCLE MARTY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  MASTER SERGEANT Jul15         (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN PARTY Jul08         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   08/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE Jul08 May13       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  SECRET TIME (GER) Jun04 Feb25       (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
3  SPICY MARG Apr30 Apr08       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
4  ATHWAAQ Jun25 Jun10 Apr16     (reynolds p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 ★    
5  MON PETIT CHOU Jun10 May21 Mar03 Jan29 Jan06 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00    
6  MAIL ORDER Jul02 Jun04       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
7  ALWAYZ LATE Jul08 May01       (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 8% 11.30    
8  HIT THE WOAH Feb19 Jan23       (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jun19 May07 Mar27 Feb25   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
SCR  BETSY BLUE Jul20 Jun23 May27 Mar31 Mar18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Jul20 May27 Apr16 Feb14 Jan15 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
 
SAR-8   08/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC NIGHT Apr15 Feb04       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 ★    
2  BAL HARBOUR         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 18% 4.40    
3  CHESS CHIEF Jun25 Mar26 Jan29     (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  KING FURY Apr02         (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
5  ART COLLECTOR         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
6  MASQUEPARADE Jun23 May13       (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
SAR-9   08/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMARAATY (GB) Jul03         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
1A  WHISPER NOT (GB) Jun12 Mar05       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
2  ATONE Jul15 May21 Apr15 Jan29   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
2B  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Jul04 May29 May12     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
3  CLEAR VISION Jul15 May21 Mar05 Feb05 Jan08 (o'connor )LEPAROUX R 124 30.00    
4  BYE BYE MELVIN         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
5  FLORIFORM Jul03 Jun04 Apr27 Feb05   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 ★    
6  BUY LAND AND SEE Jun03 May13 Apr14 Feb03   (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Feb04         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  FORTY UNDER Jul03 May05 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
9  BIG EVEREST (GB) Jul09 Jun02       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
 
SAR-10   08/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUCK ON KITTEN Jul08         (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
1A  MISPELLED MOOON Jun25 May15 Apr15     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  MANDY GREEN Jul08 May14 Mar12 Feb11 Jan23 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
3  R REPOSADO LOCA Jun30 May04       (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
4  FREEDOMOFTHEPRESS Jul08 Jun12 May14 Apr29 Apr16 (ferraro james)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 ★    
5  MISSING LINK Jul08 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Feb19 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
6  O'GOTTEN GIRL Jul27 Jul02       (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
7  MISS DOMINA Jun25         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 ★    
8  FAST COREY Jul14 Jun11 Apr16 Mar10   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MERAVIGLIOSO Jan22         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  SCOTT ALAIA Jun03 May01 Mar06 Feb12   (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.