Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAST OF INDIA 2 3 3 3½   1½ 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 2.50 11% 8.10 1.00 W
LAKE TAHOE 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 2.00 32% 2.10 2.70 P
FULLY AWARE 4 2 2½ 2nk   33 3 (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 110 4.00 30% 2.40 13.90 S
KINFOLK 3 5 5 5   44 49 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 5.20  
GRAYWING 1 4 4 43   5 510¾ (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 3.10  
 
ELP-2   07/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PONTIFFANY 8 1 33 33   2 1nk (barrett roddina)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 4.50 2.80  
MAYSVILLE MISS 5 6 5 4   3 2nk (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 6.90  
MOUDARI 1 4 21 2nk   1 32 (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.90 S
QUEEN EKATI 3 5 6 5   4 43 (martin dawn)HOLMES GAGE 117 3.50 6.60  
SHADOW BELLE 2 3 43 6   67 511¾ (jones s)LOPEZ E 119 20.00 17.90  
11  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC 7 8 7 7   79 616½ (hancock a)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 28.90  
10  ISABIS 6 7 8 8   810½ 718¼ (hill f)GILLIGAN JACK 124 20.00 59.30  
SIS BOOM BOB 4 2 11 1nk   5 819½ (gonzalez rei)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 1.90  
SCR  BOO'S GAL               (fosdick stev)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00    
SCR  HUSH HUSH               (williamson brian)EMIGH A 124 10.00    
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk jada )STILLION BROOKE 124 30.00    
SCR  M M M MY SHAROANA               (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
ELP-3   07/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:13 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMUS KAT 5 4 32 42 2nk 1½ 11 (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 11% 8.40 0.50 W
BUREAU 2 3 42 3 4 5 21 (moquett ronald )GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 6.00  
EL AHIJADO 1 5 56 5 5 4 3 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 S
PATH TO SUCCESS 3 2 11 1 1nk 2½ 4 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00 6.10  
CHISHOLM TRAIL 4 1 21 2 3.2 33 5 (hawley wesley)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 7.10  
SCR  FIELDSTONE               (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  FROOME (IRE)               (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 12.00    
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE               (mckeever andrew)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez eduardo)HOLMES GAGE 111 10.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER               (margolis ste)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
ELP-4   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAELY'S SISTER 4 6 5 2   2 11 (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 54% 0.90 0.90 W
COPPELIA 5 1 42 3   34 21 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.40 P
MADRILENA (ARG) 1 4 11 1   1 3 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 10.50  
LADY LILLY 2 3 21 4   45 4 (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 13.20  
PINKY TOE 3 5 6 6   56 5 (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 113 4.00 12% 7.20 4.40  
LADY ANNA 6 2 32 5   6 610¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.00 12% 7.00 2.90  
 
ELP-5   07/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:223 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDOMETER 1 2 2½ 2nk   1 15 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20 W
BLAZING SUMMER 3 1 1½ 1nk   2 25 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 32% 2.10 4.60 P
MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 5 5 5 57   47 3 (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 6.30  
DEVINE CHARGER 2 4 3 31   3 4 (blair jordan)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 2.40  
SUNDAY GRACE 4 3 44 4   510 518½ (hernandez re)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 2.20  
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  TROBAIRITZ               (pessin neil )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
 
ELP-6   07/09/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:231 :464       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP TO SOMETHING 7 6 7 5   5 1½ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5.10  
ADALINDA 2 8 6 1nk   1nk 2½ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.30 P
STAR POSE 3 2 1½ 4   42 31 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00 3.20  
LADY EVELYN CAN 4 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 42 (hancock l)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 20.00 37.40  
LIGHTER KNOT 5 5 32 3.2   3 52 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 19.60  
SICILIAN GRANDMA 1 3 54 6   6 66 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 26% 2.90 2.40  
10  SHE HAS THE LOOK 10 9 10 9   8 7 (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 29% 2.40 4.80  
UNLEASH THE SPIRIT 6 10 8 7   78 810 (bright derr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 49.80  
LADY EVA 8 7 9 109   912 912 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 7% 14.40 3.60  
BECKY THATCHER 9 4 44 8   1014 1019 (hancock a)HOLMES GAGE 112 10.00 51.40  
 
ELP-7   07/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:12 1:234   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVEN CENTRAL 5 5 1 1 1½ 1nk 1 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 1.60  
UNINVITED GUEST 1 4 4 2 2½ 2nk 2 (margolis st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 31% 2.30 3.90 P
REWARD NIGHT 4 3 2 42 32 3 310¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00 18% 4.50 3.10 S
MOMENTOUS 2 1 3 3 4 57 413 (pletcher a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 23% 3.30 2.20  
OF THE MOMENT 3 2 53 53 5 4 516¾ (williamson bria)CANNON DECLAN 123 8.00 10.80  
SCR  COOL RAGS               (foster eric)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUSLY               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00    
SCR  DEFIED               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 15.00    
SCR  DYNABLUE               (poulos dee)HOLMES GAGE 116 20.00    
SCR  FINDING FREEDOM               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-8   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING FIREFLIES 3 6 1nk 1nk   1 11 (ortiz alexan)HOLMES GAGE 113 3.50 16% 5.30 12.40 W
RUNNIN HAPPY 5 8 5 43   4 21 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 15% 5.50 9.40 P
QUEENS UP 2 5 6 5   5 3 (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
REAGAN'S DECISION 4 7 4 32   33 43 (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.40 33% 2.00 0.80  
ZMUDA 6 3 8 8   67 5 (hiles rick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 12.80  
SHES BOUT A MOVER 7 1 3½ 2nk   2 6 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 5.80  
CONSTITUTION LADY 8 2 7 7   7 710½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8% 11.10 5.60  
TACHLIS 1 4 2nk 66   816 857¾ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00 23.90  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP STATE 3 8 7 41 4 21 1¼ (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 2.50 39% 1.60 2.00 W
OLD HICKORY 2 1 4 3½ 1½ 11 2¼ (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 1.80  
HE'S A ANGEL 8 6 2nk 2nk 3½ 3 3 (macias adolfo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 15.60  
SHOGUN WARRIOR 1 2 53 6 52 42 4 (hughes byron )PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.00 28% 2.60 5.00  
MY ROMEO LIMA 7 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 54 512¼ (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8.90  
SCATTERSHACK 6 9 910¾ 910¾ 89 610 618½ (cano muno)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 6% 15.60 11.20  
11  MY GRASS IS BLUE 9 7 31 5 66 710 725½ (pitts )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00 40.40  
IMMINENT STORM 4 4 6 7 7 811½ 827¼ (mcgaughey claud)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 10.90  
LOLAS BEAU 5 5 8 8 910½ 912 932½ (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 113 30.00 57.20  
SCR  DOUBLE SPUN               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  FIELD MARSHAL               (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  FLYING FRED               (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
SCR  MY BROTHER CAM               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN               (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  SILVER BLUR               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SCR  URBAN RECOVERY               (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.