The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 09, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ELP-1   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:23 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EAST OF INDIA 2 3 31½ 3½   1½ 14¼ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 120 2.50 11% 8.10 1.00 W
5  LAKE TAHOE 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 24¼ (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 2.00 32% 2.10 2.70 P
4  FULLY AWARE 4 2 2½ 2nk   33 38¼ (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 110 4.00 30% 2.40 13.90 S
3  KINFOLK 3 5 56½ 53¼   44 49 (moquett e)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 ★ 5.20  
1  GRAYWING 1 4 43½ 43   54½ 510¾ (hancock a)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 ★ 3.10  
 
ELP-2   07/09/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
:222 :452 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PONTIFFANY 8 1 33 33   21½ 1nk (barrett a)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 4.50 2.80  
8  MAYSVILLE MISS 5 6 54½ 43½   31½ 2nk (hamilton sarah)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 6.90  
1  MOUDARI 1 4 21 2nk   11½ 32 (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.90 S
5  QUEEN EKATI 3 5 64¾ 53¾   42½ 43 (martin dawn)HOLMES GAGE 117 3.50 ★ 6.60  
4  SHADOW BELLE 2 3 43 65¼   67 511¾ (jones s)LOPEZ E 119 20.00 17.90  
11  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC 7 8 76¼ 77¾   79 616½ (hancock a)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 28.90  
10  ISABIS 6 7 87¼ 88¾   810½ 718¼ (hill f)GILLIGAN JACK 124 20.00 59.30  
7  SIS BOOM BOB 4 2 11 1nk   55½ 819½ (gonzalez e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 ★ 1.90  
SCR  BOO'S GAL               (fosdick steve)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00    
SCR  HUSH HUSH               (williamson brian)EMIGH A 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  KENKEAD               (schlenk k)STILLION BROOKE 124 30.00    
SCR  M M M MY SHAROANA               (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
ELP-3   07/09/2022 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
:244 :491 1:13 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OPTIMUS KAT 5 4 32 42 2nk 1½ 11 (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 11% 8.40 0.50 W
5  BUREAU 2 3 42 31½ 42¾ 53½ 21 (moquett e)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 6.00  
2  EL AHIJADO 1 5 56 55½ 55¾ 43½ 31½ (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 S
1  PATH TO SUCCESS 3 2 11 11½ 1nk 2½ 41½ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00 6.10  
8  CHISHOLM TRAIL 4 1 21 21½ 3.2 33 52½ (hawley wesley)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 7.10  
SCR  FIELDSTONE               (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  FROOME (IRE)               (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 12.00    
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE               (mckeever andrew)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE               (rodriguez eduardo)HOLMES GAGE 111 10.00 ★    
SCR  STOCKPILER               (margolis r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
ELP-4   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
:223 :45 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KAELY'S SISTER 4 6 52¼ 22½   22½ 11 (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 54% 0.90 0.90 W
5  COPPELIA 5 1 42 32½   34 21 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 ★ 8.40 P
1  MADRILENA (ARG) 1 4 11 12½   12½ 31½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 10.50  
2  LADY LILLY 2 3 21 42¾   45 42¾ (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 ★ 13.20  
3  PINKY TOE 3 5 64¼ 65¼   56 54¾ (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 113 4.00 12% 7.20 4.40  
6  LADY ANNA 6 2 32 52¾   67½ 610¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.00 12% 7.00 2.90  
 
ELP-5   07/09/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:42
:223 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDOMETER 1 2 2½ 2nk   12½ 15 (asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50 35% 1.80 2.20 W
4  BLAZING SUMMER 3 1 1½ 1nk   22½ 25 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 32% 2.10 4.60 P
6  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR 5 5 55½ 57   47 37¾ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 6.30  
3  DEVINE CHARGER 2 4 31½ 31   34½ 48¼ (blair jordan)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 ★ 2.40  
5  SUNDAY GRACE 4 3 44 46½   510 518½ (hernandez rey)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 2.20  
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  TROBAIRITZ               (pessin l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★    
 
ELP-6   07/09/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:10
:231 :464       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UP TO SOMETHING 7 6 75¾ 54¼   53½ 1½ (oliver victoria)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 5.10  
2  ADALINDA 2 8 64¼ 1nk   1nk 2½ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.30 P
3  STAR POSE 3 2 1½ 42¼   42 31 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00 3.20  
4  LADY EVELYN CAN 4 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 42 (hancock l)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 20.00 37.40  
5  LIGHTER KNOT 5 5 32 3.2   31½ 52 (maker j)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 19.60  
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA 1 3 54 66¼   66½ 66 (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 26% 2.90 2.40  
10  SHE HAS THE LOOK 10 9 108½ 96½   89½ 79½ (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 29% 2.40 4.80  
6  UNLEASH THE SPIRIT 6 10 88¼ 76¼   78 810 (bright derrick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 49.80  
8  LADY EVA 8 7 98¼ 109   912 912 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 7% 14.40 3.60  
9  BECKY THATCHER 9 4 44 86½   1014 1019 (hancock a)HOLMES GAGE 112 10.00 51.40  
 
ELP-7   07/09/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:242 :48 1:12 1:234   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ELEVEN CENTRAL 5 5 11½ 11½ 1½ 1nk 11¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 1.60  
1  UNINVITED GUEST 1 4 42½ 21½ 2½ 2nk 21¼ (margolis r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 31% 2.30 3.90 P
7  REWARD NIGHT 4 3 21½ 42 32 33½ 310¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00 18% 4.50 3.10 S
3  MOMENTOUS 2 1 31½ 31½ 43½ 57 413 (pletcher a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 23% 3.30 2.20  
5  OF THE MOMENT 3 2 53 53 53½ 45½ 516¾ (williamson brian)CANNON DECLAN 123 8.00 10.80  
SCR  COOL RAGS               (foster eric)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUSLY               (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  DEFIED               (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 15.00    
SCR  DYNABLUE               (poulos dee)HOLMES GAGE 116 20.00    
SCR  FINDING FREEDOM               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-8   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:10
:222 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHASING FIREFLIES 3 6 1nk 1nk   12½ 11 (ortiz alexander)HOLMES GAGE 113 3.50 16% 5.30 12.40 W
5  RUNNIN HAPPY 5 8 53½ 43   43½ 21 (heitzman eric)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 15% 5.50 9.40 P
2  QUEENS UP 2 5 65½ 55½   54½ 32½ (divito p)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
4  REAGAN'S DECISION 4 7 42½ 32   33 43 (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.40 33% 2.00 0.80  
6  ZMUDA 6 3 88¼ 87¼   67 54½ (hiles rick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 12.80  
8  SHES BOUT A MOVER 7 1 3½ 2nk   22½ 66¾ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 5.80  
9  CONSTITUTION LADY 8 2 75¾ 76¼   77½ 710½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8% 11.10 5.60  
1  TACHLIS 1 4 2nk 66   816 857¾ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00 23.90  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/09/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
:232 :464 1:113 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEEP STATE 3 8 73¾ 41 41½ 21 1¼ (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 2.50 39% 1.60 2.00 W
2  OLD HICKORY 2 1 42½ 3½ 1½ 11 2¼ (flint s)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 1.80  
9  HE'S A ANGEL 8 6 2nk 2nk 3½ 31½ 34½ (macias adolfo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 15.60  
1  SHOGUN WARRIOR 1 2 53 62¾ 52 42 44½ (hughes g)PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.00 28% 2.60 5.00  
8  MY ROMEO LIMA 7 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 54 512¼ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8.90  
7  SCATTERSHACK 6 9 910¾ 910¾ 89 610 618½ (cano munoz)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 6% 15.60 11.20  
11  MY GRASS IS BLUE 9 7 31 52½ 66 710 725½ (pitts c)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00 40.40  
5  IMMINENT STORM 4 4 63¼ 74¾ 78½ 811½ 827¼ (mcgaughey iii)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 10.90  
6  LOLAS BEAU 5 5 87¼ 88¼ 910½ 912 932½ (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 113 30.00 57.20  
SCR  DOUBLE SPUN               (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  FIELD MARSHAL               (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  FLYING FRED               (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
SCR  MY BROTHER CAM               (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN               (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  SILVER BLUR               (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SCR  URBAN RECOVERY               (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.