Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYWING Jun05 Apr20 Jan01     (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 ★    
2  EAST OF INDIA Jun18 May26       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 2.50 11% 8.10    
3  KINFOLK May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb13   (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 ★    
4  FULLY AWARE Jun25 Jun03 May07 Apr03 Mar18 (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 110 4.00 30% 2.40    
5  LAKE TAHOE May26 May01 Apr10 Feb21 Jan08 (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 113 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
ELP-2   07/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUDARI Jun24 May15       (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  M M M MY SHAROANA May19 Apr10 Mar20     (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  HUSH HUSH Jun24 May04 Mar19 Jan06   (williamson brian)EMIGH A 124 10.00 ★    
4  SHADOW BELLE Apr02 Mar10 Feb18     (jones s)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
5  QUEEN EKATI Jun18 May27       (martin dawn)HOLMES GAGE 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  KENKEAD May31 May06 Mar17 Feb21   (schlenk jad)STILLION BROOKE 124 30.00    
7  SIS BOOM BOB Jun17 May06 Apr15 Mar10 Feb16 (gonzalez r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 ★    
8  MAYSVILLE MISS Jun17         (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
SCR  BOO'S GAL Jun07 May19 Apr26     (fosdick st)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00    
10  ISABIS         (hill f)GILLIGAN JACK 124 20.00    
11  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Jun22 May27       (hancock john)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00    
12  PONTIFFANY May30 May12 Apr15 Mar13 Jan17 (barrett roddi)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 4.50    
 
ELP-3   07/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO SUCCESS Jun25 Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 10.00    
SCR  IRONMAN RICHIE Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr17 Apr03 (rodriguez eduar)HOLMES GAGE 111 10.00 ★    
2  EL AHIJADO Jun09 May22 Apr21 Apr02 Mar09 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FROOME (IRE) Jun18 Jun04 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (poulos dee)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 12.00    
SCR  STOCKPILER Jun10 May19 Mar23 Feb28 Feb10 (margolis s)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
5  BUREAU Jun18 May14 Apr27 Apr01 Feb11 (moquett ronal)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00    
SCR  FIELDSTONE Jun09 Apr21       (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE Jun20 May15       (mckeever andr)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  CHISHOLM TRAIL May27 Apr03 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (hawley wesley)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00    
9  OPTIMUS KAT May13 Apr21 Mar06     (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
 
ELP-4   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADRILENA (ARG)         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
2  LADY LILLY         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 ★    
3  PINKY TOE May19 May01 Apr07     (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 113 4.00 12% 7.20    
4  KAELY'S SISTER Jun11 Apr20       (cox h)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
5  COPPELIA Feb19         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 ★    
6  LADY ANNA Jun11         (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.00 12% 7.00    
 
ELP-5   07/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDOMETER May13 Mar03 Jan21     (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO Jun12 May26 Apr07 Feb26 Jan23 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
3  DEVINE CHARGER May14 Apr10 Feb23 Jan15   (blair jordan)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 ★    
4  BLAZING SUMMER Jun11 May15       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
5  SUNDAY GRACE May14 May04 Mar05     (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
6  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Jun18 May13 Apr08 Feb11   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  TROBAIRITZ May14 Apr09 Mar04 Jan08   (pessin nei)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★    
 
ELP-6   07/09/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA         (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  ADALINDA         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAR POSE Jun19         (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00    
4  LADY EVELYN CAN Apr21         (hancock jack )BAILEY CHEL-C 112 20.00    
5  LIGHTER KNOT         (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
6  UNLEASH THE SPIRIT         (bright de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  UP TO SOMETHING         (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
8  LADY EVA         (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 7% 14.40    
9  BECKY THATCHER Apr14         (hancock a)HOLMES GAGE 112 10.00    
10  SHE HAS THE LOOK         (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
ELP-7   07/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNINVITED GUEST Jun09 May13 Mar23 Feb26 Jan13 (margolis )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  DYNABLUE Jun18 May27 May06 Apr16 Apr02 (poulos dee)HOLMES GAGE 116 20.00    
3  MOMENTOUS May29 Apr23 Feb19     (pletcher todd )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  COOL RAGS Apr24 Apr13 Mar17 Feb23 Jan15 (foster eric)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00    
5  OF THE MOMENT May13 Apr21 Apr08 Feb17 Jan22 (williamson br)CANNON DECLAN 123 8.00    
SCR  FINDING FREEDOM         (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  REWARD NIGHT         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00 18% 4.50    
8  ELEVEN CENTRAL May28 May07 Mar25     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00    
SCR  DEFIED Jun22 Jun03 May05 Feb20   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 15.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUSLY Jun09 May13 Apr13 Mar20 Feb19 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 4.00 ★    
 
ELP-8   07/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACHLIS Jun10 May05 Apr02 Mar05   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00    
2  QUEENS UP         (divito james)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHASING FIREFLIES Jun09         (ortiz alex)HOLMES GAGE 113 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  REAGAN'S DECISION May06 Apr10 Feb26     (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.40 33% 2.00    
5  RUNNIN HAPPY Jun12 May21 Apr13 Feb06   (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  ZMUDA Jun24 May30 May13 Apr01 Mar12 (hiles ric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
SCR  MONOCACY Jun17 May27 May05 Apr02   (king l)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
8  SHES BOUT A MOVER Feb06 Jan16       (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00    
9  CONSTITUTION LADY         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
 
ELP-9   07/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOGUN WARRIOR May30 May07       (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  OLD HICKORY Jun26 Jun05 May15 Mar27 Mar11 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00    
SCR  MY BROTHER CAM May26 May07 Jan07     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
4  DEEP STATE May21 Apr03 Mar09 Feb06 Jan09 (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  IMMINENT STORM         (mcgaughey cla)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
6  LOLAS BEAU Jun22 May13 Apr29 Apr02 Feb16 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 113 30.00    
7  SCATTERSHACK Jun19 May26 May03 Apr22 Mar12 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 6% 15.60    
8  MY ROMEO LIMA May28 Apr02 Mar04 Feb05   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
9  HE'S A ANGEL         (macias adol)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN Jun18 May30 May05 Mar18 Feb20 (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
11  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jun19 May22       (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00    
SCR  FIELD MARSHAL May05 Feb12 Jan02     (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  SILVER BLUR Jun17 May22       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SCR  URBAN RECOVERY May05 Mar26       (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  FLYING FRED Apr29 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE SPUN Jun12 Apr29       (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.