Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEBARAY 2 5 5 54 6 31 1¼ (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 6% 16.20 5.80 W
FLOKI'S FLIGHT 4 4 21 21 2½ 2½ 2¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 23% 3.40 1.40 P
STREET VENDOR 6 2 65 6 53 5 3½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 47% 1.10 3.00 S
FAZARO 1 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 4 (williams o)CANCEL ERIC 113 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
BILLY PRICE 3 3 3 3 32 43 5 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8.70  
MYPLAYALINDA 5 7 77 7 7 76 6 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 26.50  
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN 7 6 43 4 42 6 78 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5.80  
 
SAR-2   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOKY ROAD 3 1 4 4 4 1 18 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 19% 4.20 1.55 W
HOLIDAY JAZZ 1 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 2 28 (russell brittany )CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 14% 6.00 1.50 P
GAGLIANO 2 5 56 5 53 5 3 (barrera os)DAVIS A 123 8.00 7.90  
STARSHIP PRECIOUS 4 2 3 3 3 43 410¾ (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 5.00 25% 3.00 15.30  
U CANT HANDLE THIS 5 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 33 513¼ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 13% 6.50 3.25  
SCR  ICE KREEM SUNDAE               (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SUGAR               (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEFUL WATERS 3 1 1 1   1 112 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 16% 5.10 1.90 W
FAVORITE OUTLAW 4 3 2 2   2 212 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 36% 1.80 1.50 P
RISK PROFILE 1 5 6 3   310½ 315½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 10.50 S
MALIBU S S 6 6 4 48   413 417¼ (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 15% 5.80 5.50  
RYAN'S CAT 2 7 7 7   513½ 518¼ (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 7.00  
STRIKING SPEED 5 4 3 59   615½ 626 (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 122 20.00 31.00  
STEINBECK 7 2 5 6   717 728¾ (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 15.90  
 
SAR-4   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
See original race card.
:223 :46 :572     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO REMEMBER 1 5 44 4   1½ 1 (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 1.95  
SHINFULL 4 2 3 3   2½ 2 (schosberg richa)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 2.30 P
ROYAL CURRENCY 3 1 66 6   5 3 (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 46% 1.20 6.50 S
MY CARA MIA MINE 2 6 5 53   4 4 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
BUNTY WINDERMERE 5 4 11 11   31 5 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 7.50  
POMME SAUVAGE 6 3 21 21   6 6 (gory mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
SCR  ARD MACHA               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 7% 12.70    
SCR  RENT CONTROL               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:13 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RARIFIED FLAIR 5 3 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 1nk (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 4.60  
CONVERSING 2 2 6 6 7 3 2nk (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 8.60 P
COACH PETRO 1 1 31 3 42 4 3¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.60 3.75 S
ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 6 4 5 5 53 52 3¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 28% 2.60 1.20 S
WIDERIGHT 7 5 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 5 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 16.40  
TAKING CANDY 4 7 7 75 6 6 6 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 9.00  
J'ADORO 8 6 4 4 3 7 711¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 13.70  
PHILHARMONIC 3 8 8 8 88 814½ 822¾ (zito nicholas )SAMUEL L 119 30.00 42.50  
SCR  DESERT WOLF               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:121     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEST IDEA 6 6 74 74 4 2 1¼ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.00 54% 0.80 0.85 W
DR. BLUTE 5 1 11 1½ 1 1 2¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6% 16.60 8.40 P
WHITTINGTON PARK 4 5 42 4 2 4 3 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.95  
DANGEROUS EDGE 7 4 5 52 54 3 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 17% 4.70 7.40  
BLITZ TO WIN 2 7 6 6 66 5 515 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 13.50  
FOREVER WICKED 3 8 9 911 914½ 814¾ 620 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 125 20.00 44.75  
FORTY COMETS 8 3 21 3 78 712¼ 723¼ (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 47.00  
RHYMES LIKE DIMES 9 9 8 8 811 915¼ 824¼ (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 7.70  
WIN FOR GOLD 1 2 3 2½ 3 6 925½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.00 0.85  
 
SAR-7   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO AGAIN 5 1 1 1   14 1 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 1.80 38% 1.60 0.60 W
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 3 5 2 32   24 2 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00 P
EXPECTED VALUE 1 7 55 5   410 313½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 14% 6.10 6.30 S
BAT FLIP 4 4 32 2   39 415½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 7.00  
CLASSIC LEGACY 7 3 6 4   511 517 (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 27.00  
GAME CHANGE 6 2 7 715½   723½ 626 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 14.00  
GOOD NEWS ROCKET 2 6 4 6   618 729½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 12.40  
SCR  SPINZAR               (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:123 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAUGHTY 6 1 12 1 1 1 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 5.70  
WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) 1 5 5 5 5 3 2¾ (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 37% 1.70 1.25 P
DOLCE ZEL (FR) 5 2 3 3 3 4 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 7.60  
CONSUMER SPENDING 4 3 43 44 42 2 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 7% 13.70 2.65  
EMINENT VICTOR 3 4 67 69 6 6 5 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 20% 4.10 4.90  
SAIL BY 2 6 22 2 2 5 69 (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 22.30  
SCR  CANISY               (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  KOALA PRINCESS               (delacour arna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 14.20    
 
SAR-9   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAVEL 9 1 3 2½   1½ 1½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.30 3.90 W
CHANGE OF CONTROL 1 6 65 6   5 2½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 8% 11.80 5.50 P
ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) 7 5 54 53   2½ 3¾ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7.30  
MISS J MCKAY 6 9 7 8   7 4 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 27% 2.80 2.45  
LADY EDITH 8 7 8 7   62 5 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7.70  
FOUETTE 2 2 43 4   31 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 37.50  
TOO SEXY 5 8 97 9   8 7 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70 11.80  
ROBIN SPARKLES 3 4 11 1½   41 810 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 19% 4.30 6.10  
SARAH HARPER 4 3 21 3½   9 915½ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 13.10  
SCR  SPICY MARG               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/20/2022 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:142 1:384   2:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST 4 3 2½ 2½ 11 14 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 0.50 50% 1.00 0.35 W
SECRET OATH 7 5 5 52 21 24 2 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 26% 2.90 4.80 P
GODDESS OF FIRE 2 43 42 3 42 3 3 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 22.00 S
SKRATCH KAT 1 6 65 64 6 5 4 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 37.50  
GERRYMANDER 3 21 3 42 3 4 511¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 5.00  
NOSTALGIC 5 76 7 7 75 613 620¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 23.40  
SHE'S KEEN 6 11 1½ 1½ 5 714 730¼ (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00 44.00  
 
SAR-11   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:124 1:363   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA FLASH 6 10 97 10 10 5 1 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 3.70  
WICKED FAST 4 3 64 7 7 6 2 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.95 P
12  BOX N SCORE 11 8 74 53 52 21 3 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 11% 8.00 7.60 S
10  SONIC SPEED 9 6 32 42 42 4 44 (russell brittany)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 15.00 11.80  
K P ALL SYSTEMS GO 3 7 1110 11 11 7 5 (englehart )SANTANA JR 123 20.00 42.75  
BARNEGAT LIGHT 8 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 6 (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00 6% 16.80 11.60  
11  GUSSY MAC (IRE) 10 5 21 2½ 2½ 31 76 (saville niall)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 23.70  
AVIANO 7 11 10 9 84 10 8 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 12% 7.40 4.40  
AMERICAN PURE 1 4 5 63 63 9 9 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 14.80  
14  CHESS'S DREAM 12 9 4 31 3 8 10 (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 10.60  
EL MAYOR 5 2 8 84 9 11 1112 (toscano joh)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 28.25  
THE BIG GREY 2 12 1213 12 12 12 1216 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 50.00 40.25  
SCR  AIR SHOW               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  BRYCE CANYON               (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
SCR  CAUSE TO CRUISE               (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  CORKMAN               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 9% 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.