Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEBARAY 2 5 54½ 54 63½ 31 1¼ (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 6% 16.20 5.80 W
4  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 4 4 21 21 2½ 2½ 2¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 23% 3.40 1.40 P
6  STREET VENDOR 6 2 65 64¼ 53 53½ 3½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 47% 1.10 3.00 S
1  FAZARO 1 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 41½ (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 113 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
3  BILLY PRICE 3 3 32½ 32½ 32 43 52¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8.70  
5  MYPLAYALINDA 5 7 77 76¾ 75½ 76 66¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 26.50  
7  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN 7 6 43 42½ 42 65½ 78 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 ★ 5.80  
 
SAR-2   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPOOKY ROAD 3 1 41½ 41½ 41½ 11½ 18 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 19% 4.20 1.55 W
1  HOLIDAY JAZZ 1 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 21½ 28 (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 14% 6.00 1.50 P
3  GAGLIANO 2 5 56 54½ 53 53½ 39½ (barrera )DAVIS A 123 8.00 7.90  
5  STARSHIP PRECIOUS 4 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 43 410¾ (ferraro anth)COA J 118 5.00 25% 3.00 15.30  
6  U CANT HANDLE THIS 5 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 33 513¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 13% 6.50 3.25  
SCR  ICE KREEM SUNDAE               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  SIMPLE SUGAR               (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PEACEFUL WATERS 3 1 12½ 13½   15½ 112 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 16% 5.10 1.90 W
4  FAVORITE OUTLAW 4 3 22½ 23½   25½ 212 (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 36% 1.80 1.50 P
1  RISK PROFILE 1 5 65¼ 37½   310½ 315½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 ★ 10.50 S
6  MALIBU S S 6 6 42¾ 48   413 417¼ (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 15% 5.80 5.50  
2  RYAN'S CAT 2 7 75¾ 79½   513½ 518¼ (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★ 7.00  
5  STRIKING SPEED 5 4 32½ 59   615½ 626 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 20.00 31.00  
7  STEINBECK 7 2 53¼ 69½   717 728¾ (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 15.90  
 
SAR-4   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
See original race card.
:223 :46 :572     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO REMEMBER 1 5 44 42½   1½ 12¼ (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 1.95  
5  SHINFULL 4 2 32½ 31½   2½ 22¼ (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★ 2.30 P
4  ROYAL CURRENCY 3 1 66 64½   52½ 34¼ (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 46% 1.20 6.50 S
3  MY CARA MIA MINE 2 6 54½ 53   42½ 44½ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
7  BUNTY WINDERMERE 5 4 11 11   31 56¾ (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 7.50  
8  POMME SAUVAGE 6 3 21 21   63½ 69½ (gory mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
SCR  ARD MACHA               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 7% 12.70    
SCR  RENT CONTROL               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:13 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RARIFIED FLAIR 5 3 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 1nk (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 ★ 4.60  
2  CONVERSING 2 2 66½ 64½ 73½ 31½ 2nk (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 ★ 8.60 P
1  COACH PETRO 1 1 31 31½ 42 41½ 3¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.60 3.75 S
6  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 6 4 52½ 52½ 53 52 3¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 28% 2.60 1.20 S
7  WIDERIGHT 7 5 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 51½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 16.40  
4  TAKING CANDY 4 7 77½ 75 63½ 63½ 65¾ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 9.00  
8  J'ADORO 8 6 42½ 42½ 31½ 75½ 711¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 13.70  
3  PHILHARMONIC 3 8 87¾ 87½ 88 814½ 822¾ (zito nichola)SAMUEL L 119 30.00 42.50  
SCR  DESERT WOLF               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:121     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEST IDEA 6 6 74 74 43½ 22½ 1¼ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.00 54% 0.80 0.85 W
5  DR. BLUTE 5 1 11 1½ 12½ 12½ 2¼ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6% 16.60 8.40 P
4  WHITTINGTON PARK 4 5 42 41½ 22½ 45½ 35¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.95  
6  DANGEROUS EDGE 7 4 53½ 52 54 35½ 47½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 17% 4.70 7.40  
2  BLITZ TO WIN 2 7 63½ 63½ 66 58½ 515 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 ★ 13.50  
3  FOREVER WICKED 3 8 99½ 911 914½ 814¾ 620 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 125 20.00 44.75  
7  FORTY COMETS 8 3 21 31½ 78 712¼ 723¼ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 ★ 47.00  
8  RHYMES LIKE DIMES 9 9 84½ 84½ 811 915¼ 824¼ (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 7.70  
1  WIN FOR GOLD 1 2 31½ 2½ 32½ 68¾ 925½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.00 0.85  
 
SAR-7   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ECHO AGAIN 5 1 11½ 11½   14 16¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 1.80 38% 1.60 0.60 W
3  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 3 5 21½ 32   24 26¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00 P
1  EXPECTED VALUE 1 7 55 54½   410 313½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 14% 6.10 6.30 S
4  BAT FLIP 4 4 32 21½   39 415½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 7.00  
8  CLASSIC LEGACY 7 3 65½ 44½   511 517 (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 27.00  
7  GAME CHANGE 6 2 75½ 715½   723½ 626 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 14.00  
2  GOOD NEWS ROCKET 2 6 44½ 65½   618 729½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 ★ 12.40  
SCR  SPINZAR               (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:123 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HAUGHTY 6 1 12 12½ 11½ 11½ 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★ 5.70  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SOARING EMOTIONS by KINGMAMBO)
1  WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) 1 5 54½ 55½ 53½ 31½ 2¾ (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 37% 1.70 1.25 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAND VIXEN by DUBAWI (IRE))
5  DOLCE ZEL (FR) 5 2 32½ 33½ 31½ 41¾ 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 7.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOLCE ATTESA by DR FONG)
4  CONSUMER SPENDING 4 3 43 44 42 21½ 44½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 7% 13.70 2.65  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
3  EMINENT VICTOR 3 4 67 69 65½ 64¾ 54¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 20% 4.10 4.90  
  (by MR. Z out of JULIET VICTOR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  SAIL BY 2 6 22 22½ 21½ 54¼ 69 (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 22.30  
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
SCR  CANISY               (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
SCR  KOALA PRINCESS               (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 14.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KOALA QUEEN by LONHRO (AUS))
 
SAR-9   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CARAVEL 9 1 31½ 2½   1½ 1½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.30 3.90 W
1  CHANGE OF CONTROL 1 6 65 64½   51½ 2½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 8% 11.80 5.50 P
7  ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) 7 5 54 53   2½ 3¾ (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7.30  
6  MISS J MCKAY 6 9 75½ 85¼   72¼ 41½ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 27% 2.80 2.45  
8  LADY EDITH 8 7 85½ 74¾   62 51½ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 7.70  
2  FOUETTE 2 2 43 42½   31 61¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 37.50  
5  TOO SEXY 5 8 97 97¾   84¾ 74¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70 11.80  
3  ROBIN SPARKLES 3 4 11 1½   41 810 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 19% 4.30 6.10  
4  SARAH HARPER 4 3 21 3½   96¼ 915½ (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 13.10  
SCR  SPICY MARG               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/20/2022 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:142 1:384   2:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NEST 4 31½ 2½ 2½ 11 14 14¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 0.50 50% 1.00 0.35 W
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
7  SECRET OATH 7 54½ 53½ 52 21 24 24¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 26% 2.90 4.80 P
  (by ARROGATE out of ABSINTHE MINDED by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  GODDESS OF FIRE 2 43 42 31½ 42 36½ 36¼ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 ★ 22.00 S
  (by MINESHAFT out of FEEL THAT FIRE by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
1  SKRATCH KAT 1 65½ 65 64 64½ 59½ 48¼ (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 37.50  
  (by ARROGATE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
3  GERRYMANDER 3 21 31½ 42 31½ 48½ 511¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 ★ 5.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
5  NOSTALGIC 5 76 75½ 74¼ 75 613 620¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 ★ 23.40  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
6  SHE'S KEEN 6 11 1½ 1½ 52½ 714 730¼ (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00 44.00  
  (by KEEN ICE out of SPELLING by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
SAR-11   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:124 1:363   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SARATOGA FLASH 6 10 97 105¾ 105¼ 51¾ 12½ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 3.70  
4  WICKED FAST 4 3 64 73½ 73½ 62¼ 22½ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.95 P
12  BOX N SCORE 11 8 74 53 52 21 32½ (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 11% 8.00 7.60 S
10  SONIC SPEED 9 6 32 42 42 41½ 44 (russell britta)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 15.00 11.80  
3  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO 3 7 1110 116¼ 115¾ 73¼ 54¼ (englehar)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 42.75  
8  BARNEGAT LIGHT 8 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 65¼ (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00 6% 16.80 11.60  
11  GUSSY MAC (IRE) 10 5 21 2½ 2½ 31 76 (saville nia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 23.70  
7  AVIANO 7 11 109½ 95½ 84 104¼ 88½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 12% 7.40 4.40  
1  AMERICAN PURE 1 4 53½ 63 63 93¾ 99¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 14.80  
14  CHESS'S DREAM 12 9 42½ 31 31½ 83¾ 109¾ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 6.00 10.60  
5  EL MAYOR 5 2 85½ 84 94¼ 117¼ 1112 (toscano j)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00 28.25  
2  THE BIG GREY 2 12 1213 129¼ 129¼ 129¼ 1216 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 50.00 40.25  
SCR  AIR SHOW               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  BRYCE CANYON               (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
SCR  CAUSE TO CRUISE               (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  CORKMAN               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 9% 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.