Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAZARO Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 May22 May15 (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEBARAY Jul29 Jun12 Apr26 Mar22   (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 6% 16.20    
3  BILLY PRICE         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
4  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Jul24 Jun11 May08 Apr22   (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  MYPLAYALINDA Jul29         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
6  STREET VENDOR Jul24 Jul03       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Jul20         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY JAZZ Jul20 Jun18 May27 Apr29 Mar11 (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  ICE KREEM SUNDAE Aug01 Jul01 Apr10 Apr03 Feb26 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★    
3  GAGLIANO Jul04 Jun17 May29 Apr22 Mar04 (barrera )DAVIS A 123 8.00    
4  SPOOKY ROAD Jul27 Jun30 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  STARSHIP PRECIOUS Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May16 May02 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  U CANT HANDLE THIS Jul20 Jul01 Jun09 May13 Mar27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SIMPLE SUGAR Jul04 Jun17 May29 May13 Apr22 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK PROFILE Mar11 Feb12 Jan08     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 ★    
2  RYAN'S CAT Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Apr28 Feb12 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★    
3  PEACEFUL WATERS Jul23 Jun19 Feb19 Jan22   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 16% 5.10    
4  FAVORITE OUTLAW Jul23 Jun25 Jan29     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
5  STRIKING SPEED Jul01 Jun19 Jun10 May27 Apr28 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
6  MALIBU S S May31 May07 Mar26     (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  STEINBECK Aug08 Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 (cash l)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO REMEMBER Jul23 Jun26 May27     (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00    
SCR  RENT CONTROL Jul04 Jun17 May27     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
3  MY CARA MIA MINE Jul23 Feb05       (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  ROYAL CURRENCY Jul31 Jul09 May30 Apr23 Mar20 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
5  SHINFULL Jun19 Jun04 Apr29     (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  ARD MACHA Jun26 May30       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 7% 12.70    
7  BUNTY WINDERMERE Jul09 Jun12 May27 Apr22 Mar20 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
8  POMME SAUVAGE Jun24 May04       (gory mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH PETRO Jul23         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  CONVERSING         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 ★    
3  PHILHARMONIC         (zito nichola)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
4  TAKING CANDY         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
5  RARIFIED FLAIR Jul30 Jul02       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 ★    
6  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Jul23         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  WIDERIGHT Jul23         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
8  J'ADORO Jul24 Jul03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  DESERT WOLF         (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN Jul01         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR GOLD Jul08 Jun11 May12 Mar31   (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.00    
1A  BEST IDEA Jul18 May30 May01 Mar13 Feb12 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.00 54% 0.80    
2  BLITZ TO WIN         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 ★    
3  FOREVER WICKED Aug05 Jul15 Jul04 Jun16 May29 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 125 20.00    
4  WHITTINGTON PARK Jul08         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
5  DR. BLUTE Jul31 May12       (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6% 16.60    
6  DANGEROUS EDGE Jul28 Jul02 Jun16 May28 Apr07 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 17% 4.70    
7  FORTY COMETS Jun30 May05 Apr01 Feb26 Jan14 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 ★    
8  RHYMES LIKE DIMES Jul28 Apr10 Feb16 Jan09   (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
 
SAR-7   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECTED VALUE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  GOOD NEWS ROCKET         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 ★    
3  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Jul23 Jun19 May27     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  BAT FLIP Jul24         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★    
5  ECHO AGAIN         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  SPINZAR         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
7  GAME CHANGE         (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
8  CLASSIC LEGACY         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) Aug07 Jul09       (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAND VIXEN by DUBAWI (IRE))
2  SAIL BY May28 Apr24       (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
3  EMINENT VICTOR Jul22 Jun25       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MR. Z out of JULIET VICTOR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  CONSUMER SPENDING Jul09 Jun09 Apr24     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 7% 13.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
5  DOLCE ZEL (FR) Jul22 May06 Apr09 Mar12   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOLCE ATTESA by DR FONG)
6  HAUGHTY Jul09 Jun03       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SOARING EMOTIONS by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  CANISY Jul14 Jun16 May01     (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
SCR  KOALA PRINCESS Jul22         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 14.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KOALA QUEEN by LONHRO (AUS))
 
SAR-9   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE OF CONTROL Jul18 Jun11 May05 Apr16 Mar01 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 8% 11.80    
2  FOUETTE Aug07 May27 Jan22 Jan02   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
3  ROBIN SPARKLES Jul23 Jun25 May21     (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  SARAH HARPER Jan22 Jan09       (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
5  TOO SEXY May01         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
6  MISS J MCKAY Jul23 Jun10 May01 Mar12 Feb12 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
7  ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) Jun10 Apr08       (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
8  LADY EDITH Jul23 Jun10 Jan29     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
9  CARAVEL Jul23 Jun10 May06 Mar19   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  SPICY MARG Aug04 Apr30 Apr08     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/20/2022 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKRATCH KAT Jul01 May06 Apr08 Mar10 Feb10 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
2  GODDESS OF FIRE Jul14 May06 Apr02 Feb19 Jan15 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 ★    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FEEL THAT FIRE by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
3  GERRYMANDER Jun25 May06       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
4  NEST Jul23 Jun11 May06 Apr08 Feb12 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 0.50 50% 1.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
5  NOSTALGIC Jul23 May06 Apr09 Mar03 Feb05 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
6  SHE'S KEEN Jul28 Jun23 May27 May06 Apr08 (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SPELLING by ALPHABET SOUP)
7  SECRET OATH Jul23 May21 May06 Apr02 Feb26 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of ABSINTHE MINDED by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
SAR-11   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PURE Jul15 May21 Apr20 Mar12 Feb16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
2  THE BIG GREY Aug07 Jul01 Jun23 May28 May07 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 50.00    
3  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Jun19 Apr14 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 (englehar)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
4  WICKED FAST Aug06 Jun03 Apr02 Mar16 Feb18 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  EL MAYOR May05 Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Feb05 (toscano j)LEPAROUX R 125 20.00    
6  SARATOGA FLASH Jul15 Jun19 Apr30     (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00    
7  AVIANO Jul01 May06 Apr13 Feb27   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 12% 7.40    
8  BARNEGAT LIGHT Jul22 Jun13 May30     (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  CAUSE TO CRUISE Jun08 May17 Mar23 Feb28 Feb06 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
10  SONIC SPEED Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 Feb11 (russell britta)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 15.00    
11  GUSSY MAC (IRE) Jul22 Jun29 Jun03 Apr08   (saville nia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
12  BOX N SCORE Jul24 Jun10 Jun03 May01   (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  BRYCE CANYON Jul17 Jun16 Apr30 Mar27   (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
14  CHESS'S DREAM Jul22 Jun23 Mar27 Feb27 Feb12 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
SCR  AIR SHOW Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May08 Apr07 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  CORKMAN Jul15 May29 Apr30 Mar31 Feb20 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 9% 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.