Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Sunday - August 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:211 :441 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILCREASE 6 5 3 3   2½ 12 (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 26.00  
SCARPIA 4 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 22 (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 6.00 10.10  
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 7 7 54 45   32 33 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 9% 10.60 5.50 S
MO'S TREASURE 1 1 7 710   75 4 (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 9.80  
CLASSIC CREATION 2 6 810 812   6 54 (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 12.10  
CHIRINGO 3 8 6 68   5 6 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 5.30  
BLUE LIEUTENANT 5 4 43 5   85 78 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 119 20.00 6% 16.80 44.75  
TALKIN PHAROAH 8 3 1nk 1nk   43 812½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 60% 0.70 0.75  
SCR  SURPRISE PAYOFF               (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
 
SAR-2   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:144     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE JAYS 3 2 21 2 2½ 1nk 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.40 35% 1.90 1.90 W
GOOD SKATE 4 3 11 1 1½ 2nk 2½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 1.90 P
CRITICAL THREAT 1 1 31 3 32 34 35 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 29% 2.50 3.65 S
THE BIG GREY 6 5 6 6 5 512 414½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00 24.50  
MAJESTIC TIGER 5 4 4 42 44 410 517¼ (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 5.20  
CONVERTIBLE FREEZE 2 6 5 5 612 619 624½ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 10.00  
SCR  ROAD TO SUCCESS               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
SAR-3   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT OLIVE 1 1 42 3   1 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 37% 1.70 0.35 W
DR B 3 2 2nk 1½   2 2 (reid robert)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 18.70 P
PIECE OF MY HEART 6 5 5 55   35 3 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 18% 4.40 9.50 DQ↓6
LIBERTY M D 4 6 6 6   58 4 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 11% 8.50 4.90 S
FOUETTE 5 4 3½ 2½   45 5 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 9.30  
DEALING JUSTICE 2 3 1nk 4   69 616 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 14.50  
SCR  SARAH HARPER               (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY GAL 2 3 1½ 12   12 1 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 1.45  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONWAY TWO STEP by SPANISH STEPS)
JANIS JOPLIN 5 6 4 3   22 2 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 7.30  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
SABRA TUFF 4 2 63 4   33 3 (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 22% 3.50 4.60 S
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
APPLE PICKER 1 4 2½ 22   4 410½ (rodriguez rud)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 5.00  
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
DAMASO 6 1 5 55   513½ 526 (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 15% 5.60 14.30  
  (by OUTWORK out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
PROMISE OF HOPE 3 5 31 611   6100 6100 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 39% 1.60 2.75  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HUDSON RIVER GAL by DYNAFORMER)
 
SAR-5   08/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGING SEA 3 6 42 42   21 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 6.90  
PEACE CRUISER 7 1 31 31   11 2¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 19% 4.20 2.15 P
RENEGADE REBEL 8 2 52 6   32 3 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6.80  
WILL BE FAMOUS 6 10 8 86   43 412 (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.20  
10  MO SHIRO 9 8 7 7   6 513¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 15.90  
BISSET 5 3 2½ 2½   5 620 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 34% 1.90 6.80  
MARIA FROM MIAMI 1 4 6 52   86 720¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 12.00  
TRIBAL QUEEN 4 5 1½ 1½   7 829½ (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 9% 10.50 3.80  
MIRUS 2 9 9 99   914 932 (catalano m)LUZZI J 119 20.00 35.50  
11  SENIOR PROM QUEEN 10 7 1012¼ 1022   1037 1087 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 19.10  
SCR  JUST AN ANGEL               (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-6   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:123 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK HUE 3 1 43 5 52 2½ 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.80 W
XIGERA 6 4 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 2 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 6.20  
DELIGHT 8 6 6 6 6 3 3 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 50% 1.00 2.40 S
10  LA MAZEL 9 9 912 912¼ 9 67 4 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 8.60  
INVEST WISELY 5 8 75 7 7 57 5 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 7.10  
STAY LOST 1 3 5 4 4 4 6 (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 11.80  
GIFTED 2 7 810 8 8 915 717½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 7.40  
SHAYMYNAME 7 5 32 3½ 31 814½ 822¼ (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 50.00 34.75  
LA GROTTE 4 2 1 1nk 1nk 713 927¾ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 20.10  
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  CONSEILLANTE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL               (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/07/2022 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($700K) 3 F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:151 1:38   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) 3 3 2 21 2 11 1 (appleby cha)BUICK T 121 2.50 19% 4.20 1.15 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAND VIXEN by DUBAWI (IRE))
MCKULICK (GB) 2 4 33 3 33 32 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 34% 1.90 1.40 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
NEW YEAR'S EVE 1 5 4 44 43 42 32 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 19% 4.40 10.80 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AWESOME RAFAELA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
CONTEMPORARY ART 4 2 1 11 1 21 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 6.30  
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of COVER SONG by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
OAKHURST 5 1 5 54 54 5 5 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 10.00  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  WALKATHON               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-8   08/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORFUL MISCHIEF 5 2 31 42   32 1½ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.80 3.30 W
WICKED HOT 1 4 1nk 1½   1nk 2½ (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 32% 2.20 6.80 P
BIG CITY MOMMA 8 1 5 54   5 3 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 13.30  
EMPIRE HOPE 4 6 4 32   2nk 42 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 16% 5.20 3.00  
PORTILLA 7 3 2nk 2½   43 5 (stall al)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 1.65  
ROOKERY 6 8 8 7   67 6 (catalano wayne )CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 36.00  
TO A T 3 7 7 6   810 716 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 15.40  
BOSS CARA 2 5 63 87   7 818¾ (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 18.10  
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ               (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:131     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR FLASH DRIVE 6 4 42 4 31 1½ 11 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 8% 12.00 4.00 W
PLUM ALI 4 1 3 3 42 41 21 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 7.70  
LOVE AND THUNDER (IRE) 1 6 7 7 6 62 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 3.90 2.45 S
IN GOOD SPIRITS 7 3 11 1½ 1½ 3½ 4 (stall albert )VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 6% 15.30 9.00  
ASSERTIVE STYLE 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 11.90  
JOUSTER 5 5 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 63 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 12% 7.10 3.85  
NAZUNA (IRE) 2 2 53 52 7 73 76 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 9.20  
STUNNING PRINCESS 3 8 85 84 8 810 812¾ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 7.90  
SCR  BATTLE BLING               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch na)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:122 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL SOFTWARE 1 1 56 6 63 1nk 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 48% 1.10 2.75 W
SPLENDID SUMMER 2 3 9 9 10 5 2 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 20.40  
FIELDSTONE 8 7 8 76 7 6 3 (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 12.40 S
10  MERCI 10 9 6 54 21 31 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 16% 5.10 2.95  
MASETA 5 2 3 43 5 4 53 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 9.40  
DREAM OF A DAY 6 10 1011½ 109 85 8 6 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 25.50  
11  CASH IN A FLASH 11 5 1½ 1 11 2nk 7 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 8.00 9% 10.10 5.30  
MALIBU TIME 4 11 1112½ 1110 11 9 87 (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 57.75  
BLESS BLESS 3 12 1214½ 1211 12 10 9 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 6% 17.00 4.90  
12  KONG LOVES A FIGHT 12 8 7 87 9 11 1012½ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 30.00 39.50  
EL SEGUNDO 7 4 2½ 2 31 7 1113¼ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 30.00 43.75  
RESILIENT COURAGE 9 6 4 32 4 1216¾ 1245½ (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 30.75  
SCR  FORTY COMETS               (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.