The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Saratoga
Sunday - August 07, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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SAR-1   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:211 :441 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GILCREASE 6 5 32½ 33½   2½ 12 (stall m)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 26.00  
4  SCARPIA 4 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 22 (ward a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 6.00 10.10  
7  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 7 7 54 45   32 33 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 9% 10.60 5.50 S
1  MO'S TREASURE 1 1 76½ 710   75 43¾ (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★ 9.80  
2  CLASSIC CREATION 2 6 810 812   64½ 54 (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 12.10  
3  CHIRINGO 3 8 64½ 68   53½ 65½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 ★ 5.30  
5  BLUE LIEUTENANT 5 4 43 56½   85 78 (rohena jose)CRUZ JOEL 119 20.00 6% 16.80 44.75  
8  TALKIN PHAROAH 8 3 1nk 1nk   43 812½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 60% 0.70 0.75  
SCR  SURPRISE PAYOFF               (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
 
SAR-2   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:26 :504 1:144     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUE JAYS 3 2 21 21½ 2½ 1nk 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.40 35% 1.90 1.90 W
4  GOOD SKATE 4 3 11 11½ 1½ 2nk 2½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 ★ 1.90 P
1  CRITICAL THREAT 1 1 31 31½ 32 34 35 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 29% 2.50 3.65 S
6  THE BIG GREY 6 5 63¼ 64½ 59½ 512 414½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00 24.50  
5  MAJESTIC TIGER 5 4 42½ 42 44 410 517¼ (rodriguez gustavo)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 ★ 5.20  
2  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE 2 6 52¾ 53½ 612 619 624½ (kantarmaci mertkan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 10.00  
SCR  ROAD TO SUCCESS               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
SAR-3   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOODNIGHT OLIVE 1 1 42 31½   12½ 13¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 37% 1.70 0.35 W
4  DR B 3 2 2nk 1½   22½ 23¾ (reid e)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 18.70 P
7  PIECE OF MY HEART 6 5 54½ 55   35 34¼ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 18% 4.40 9.50 DQ↓6
5  LIBERTY M D 4 6 65½ 67½   58 48¼ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 11% 8.50 4.90 S
6  FOUETTE 5 4 3½ 2½   45 58½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 9.30  
3  DEALING JUSTICE 2 3 1nk 41½   69 616 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★ 14.50  
SCR  SARAH HARPER               (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 2:49
:222 :461 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NAUGHTY GAL 2 3 1½ 12   12 12½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 ★ 1.45  
5  JANIS JOPLIN 5 6 41½ 32½   22 22½ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 7.30  
4  SABRA TUFF 4 2 63 43½   33 32½ (stewart dallas)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 22% 3.50 4.60 S
1  APPLE PICKER 1 4 2½ 22   46½ 410½ (rodriguez r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 ★ 5.00  
6  DAMASO 6 1 52½ 55   513½ 526 (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 15% 5.60 14.30  
3  PROMISE OF HOPE 3 5 31 611   6100 6100 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 39% 1.60 2.75  
 
SAR-5   08/07/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
:224 :462 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAGING SEA 3 6 42 42   21 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 ★ 6.90  
8  PEACE CRUISER 7 1 31 31   11 2¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 19% 4.20 2.15 P
9  RENEGADE REBEL 8 2 52 62½   32 36½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6.80  
7  WILL BE FAMOUS 6 10 87¼ 86   43 412 (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.20  
10  MO SHIRO 9 8 75¼ 74½   64½ 513¼ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 15.90  
6  BISSET 5 3 2½ 2½   53½ 620 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 34% 1.90 6.80  
2  MARIA FROM MIAMI 1 4 62¼ 52   86 720¾ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 12.00  
5  TRIBAL QUEEN 4 5 1½ 1½   75½ 829½ (dutrow w)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 9% 10.50 3.80  
3  MIRUS 2 9 98¾ 99   914 932 (catalano m)LUZZI J 119 20.00 35.50  
11  SENIOR PROM QUEEN 10 7 1012¼ 1022   1037 1087 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 19.10  
SCR  JUST AN ANGEL               (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-6   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
:233 :481 1:123 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PINK HUE 3 1 43 51¾ 52 2½ 12¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 24% 3.20 2.80 W
7  XIGERA 6 4 21½ 2nk 2nk 1½ 22¾ (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 6.20  
9  DELIGHT 8 6 64½ 63¼ 62¼ 33½ 34¼ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 50% 1.00 2.40 S
10  LA MAZEL 9 9 912 912¼ 94¾ 67 48¼ (dutrow w)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★ 8.60  
6  INVEST WISELY 5 8 75 74¼ 73¼ 57 58¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★ 7.10  
2  STAY LOST 1 3 53½ 41½ 41½ 46½ 69½ (o'brien patrick)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 11.80  
3  GIFTED 2 7 810 87¾ 83¾ 915 717½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 7.40  
8  SHAYMYNAME 7 5 32 3½ 31 814½ 822¼ (chichakly amira)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 50.00 34.75  
5  LA GROTTE 4 2 11½ 1nk 1nk 713 927¾ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 20.10  
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  CONSEILLANTE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL               (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/07/2022 6270ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($700K) 3 F PT- 4:29
:25 :501 1:151 1:38   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) 3 3 21½ 21 21½ 11 11¾ (appleby charles)BUICK T 121 2.50 19% 4.20 1.15 W
2  MCKULICK (GB) 2 4 33 32½ 33 32 21¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 34% 1.90 1.40 P
1  NEW YEAR'S EVE 1 5 44½ 44 43 42 32 (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 19% 4.40 10.80 S
5  CONTEMPORARY ART 4 2 11½ 11 11½ 21 42¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 6.30  
6  OAKHURST 5 1 54½ 54 54 54½ 53¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 ★ 10.00  
SCR  WALKATHON               (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   08/07/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:231 :461 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLORFUL MISCHIEF 5 2 31 42   32 1½ (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.80 3.30 W
1  WICKED HOT 1 4 1nk 1½   1nk 2½ (motion graham)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 32% 2.20 6.80 P
9  BIG CITY MOMMA 8 1 52½ 54   54½ 31¼ (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 13.30  
4  EMPIRE HOPE 4 6 41½ 32   2nk 42 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 16% 5.20 3.00  
8  PORTILLA 7 3 2nk 2½   43 58½ (stall m)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 1.65  
7  ROOKERY 6 8 84¼ 75½   67 69½ (catalano m)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 36.00  
3  TO A T 3 7 73¼ 64½   810 716 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 ★ 15.40  
2  BOSS CARA 2 5 63 87   79½ 818¾ (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 18.10  
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ               (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
:242 :491 1:131     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUR FLASH DRIVE 6 4 42 41½ 31 1½ 11 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 8% 12.00 4.00 W
4  PLUM ALI 4 1 31½ 31½ 42 41 21 (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 7.70  
1  LOVE AND THUNDER (IRE) 1 6 74½ 73½ 63½ 62 31½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 3.90 2.45 S
7  IN GOOD SPIRITS 7 3 11 1½ 1½ 3½ 41½ (stall m)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 6% 15.30 9.00  
8  ASSERTIVE STYLE 8 7 63½ 62½ 52½ 51½ 51¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 11.90  
5  JOUSTER 5 5 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 63 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 12% 7.10 3.85  
2  NAZUNA (IRE) 2 2 53 52 73½ 73 76 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 9.20  
3  STUNNING PRINCESS 3 8 85 84 86½ 810 812¾ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 7.90  
SCR  BATTLE BLING               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch natalia)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:231 :474 1:122 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL SOFTWARE 1 1 56 65½ 63 1nk 11¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 48% 1.10 2.75 W
2  SPLENDID SUMMER 2 3 99½ 98½ 106¼ 51¾ 21¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 20.40  
8  FIELDSTONE 8 7 87½ 76 74½ 62¼ 32¾ (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 ★ 12.40 S
10  MERCI 10 9 66½ 54 21 31 42¾ (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 16% 5.10 2.95  
5  MASETA 5 2 33½ 43 52½ 41½ 53 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 9.40  
6  DREAM OF A DAY 6 10 1011½ 109 85 83¼ 64½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 25.50  
11  CASH IN A FLASH 11 5 1½ 11½ 11 2nk 75¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 8.00 9% 10.10 5.30  
4  MALIBU TIME 4 11 1112½ 1110 117¾ 96¼ 87 (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 57.75  
3  BLESS BLESS 3 12 1214½ 1211 128¼ 106¾ 97¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 6% 17.00 4.90  
12  KONG LOVES A FIGHT 12 8 77½ 87 95¼ 118¾ 1012½ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 30.00 39.50  
7  EL SEGUNDO 7 4 2½ 21½ 31 72¾ 1113¼ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 30.00 43.75  
9  RESILIENT COURAGE 9 6 44½ 32 41½ 1216¾ 1245½ (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 30.75  
SCR  FORTY COMETS               (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES               (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.