Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - August 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO'S TREASURE Jul23 Jul02 Jun02 May04 Apr08 (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★    
2  CLASSIC CREATION         (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
3  CHIRINGO         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 ★    
4  SCARPIA         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 6.00    
5  BLUE LIEUTENANT Jul26         (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 119 20.00 6% 16.80    
6  GILCREASE         (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
7  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jul03         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 9% 10.60    
8  TALKIN PHAROAH Apr20         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 60% 0.70    
SCR  SURPRISE PAYOFF         (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50    
 
SAR-2   08/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL THREAT Jun26 May30 Apr09 Mar12 Jan12 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Jun16 Mar31 Feb03     (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
3  BLUE JAYS Jun26 May28 Apr15 Feb25 Jan27 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 1.40 35% 1.90    
4  GOOD SKATE Jul04 May21 Apr08 Feb25 Jan27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 ★    
5  MAJESTIC TIGER Jul17 Jul04 May30 Apr30 Mar31 (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 ★    
6  THE BIG GREY Jul01 Jun23 May28 May07 Apr11 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 123 20.00    
SCR  ROAD TO SUCCESS Jul17 Jun04 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
SAR-3   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SARAH HARPER Jan22 Jan09       (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
2  GOODNIGHT OLIVE Jun23         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 37% 1.70    
3  DEALING JUSTICE May20 Apr22 Mar04 Feb04   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
4  DR B Jul02 Jun11       (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIBERTY M D Jun11 May14 Apr15 Mar03   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
6  FOUETTE May27 Jan22 Jan02     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
7  PIECE OF MY HEART Jul20 May20 Apr22 Feb24   (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
SAR-4   08/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPLE PICKER Jul02         (rodriguez rud)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  NAUGHTY GAL Jul04 Jun10       (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONWAY TWO STEP by SPANISH STEPS)
3  PROMISE OF HOPE Jul01         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HUDSON RIVER GAL by DYNAFORMER)
4  SABRA TUFF Jul04 Jun08       (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
5  JANIS JOPLIN Jul14 Jun29       (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
6  DAMASO Jul16 Jun08       (hamm timoth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by OUTWORK out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
 
SAR-5   08/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST AN ANGEL Jun17         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
2  MARIA FROM MIAMI Jul02         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
3  MIRUS         (catalano m)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
4  RAGING SEA         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 ★    
5  TRIBAL QUEEN Jul02         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 9% 10.50    
6  BISSET Jul01         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  WILL BE FAMOUS Jul14         (brown r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
8  PEACE CRUISER         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
9  RENEGADE REBEL         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
10  MO SHIRO         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
11  SENIOR PROM QUEEN         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  EMPRESS ISABEL Jul04         (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
2  STAY LOST         (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
3  GIFTED         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
4  PINK HUE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  LA GROTTE         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
6  INVEST WISELY         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★    
7  XIGERA         (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
8  SHAYMYNAME Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 May11   (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 50.00    
9  DELIGHT Apr29         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
10  LA MAZEL         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  CONSEILLANTE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/07/2022 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($700K) 3 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEAR'S EVE Jul09 May06 Mar12 Jan29   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AWESOME RAFAELA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  MCKULICK (GB) Jul09 Jun04 May06     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
3  WITH THE MOONLIGHT (IRE) Jul09         (appleby cha)BUICK T 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAND VIXEN by DUBAWI (IRE))
SCR  WALKATHON Jun04 May14 Apr22 Feb13 Jan09 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  CONTEMPORARY ART Jun17 May01       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of COVER SONG by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
6  OAKHURST Jun25 Apr14 Feb09     (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 ★    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
 
SAR-8   08/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED HOT Jul02 Jun03       (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 32% 2.20    
2  BOSS CARA Jun18 May27 Apr28 Mar31 Feb18 (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
3  TO A T Jul09 May07 Apr28 Mar31 Mar11 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 ★    
4  EMPIRE HOPE Jul01         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  COLORFUL MISCHIEF Jul01 Jun04 May06     (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ Jun26 Jun02       (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 ★    
7  ROOKERY Jul23 Jun23 May21 May05 Mar19 (catalano wayne )CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
8  PORTILLA Jun26         (stall al)SANTANA JR 124 4.50    
9  BIG CITY MOMMA         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
 
SAR-9   08/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE AND THUNDER (IRE) Jul03 May15       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  NAZUNA (IRE) Jul08 Jun04       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
3  STUNNING PRINCESS Apr02 Feb05       (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
4  PLUM ALI Jul02 May14 Apr16     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
5  JOUSTER Jul03 Jun10 Apr16 Mar05   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
6  OUR FLASH DRIVE Jul02 May14 Mar27     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 8% 12.00    
7  IN GOOD SPIRITS Jun04 May05       (stall albert )VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 6% 15.30    
8  ASSERTIVE STYLE Jun10 May14 Mar25 Feb14   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
SCR  BATTLE BLING Jul09 Jun08 May06 Apr10 Mar06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HALO CITY Jun23 May27 May06 Mar31   (lynch na)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL SOFTWARE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 48% 1.10    
2  SPLENDID SUMMER Jul10 Jun12 May22 Apr23   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
3  BLESS BLESS Jun18 May20       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 6% 17.00    
4  MALIBU TIME Jul03 Jun10 May13 Apr03 Mar06 (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
5  MASETA Jun24 May13 Apr23     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
6  DREAM OF A DAY Jul10 May20 Mar26 Feb05 Jan15 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
7  EL SEGUNDO Apr20 Mar24       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 30.00    
8  FIELDSTONE Jun09 Apr21       (sharp joe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 ★    
9  RESILIENT COURAGE Jul21 Jun19 May20 Apr22 Feb25 (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
10  MERCI Jun18 Apr16 Feb11     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
11  CASH IN A FLASH Jul21 Jun10 May13 Apr14   (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 8.00 9% 10.10    
12  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jul09 Jun17 May29 May01 Mar27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER Jul22 May05 Apr16 Feb25 Jan15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Jul02 May21 Apr23 Mar20 Feb24 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  FORTY COMETS Jun30 May05 Apr01 Feb26 Jan14 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JAMES Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 May08 Apr14 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.