The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Saturday - August 13, 2022

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SAR-1   08/13/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:234 :491 1:142 1:373   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M VERY BUSY 3 5 67 5 5 21(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 25% 3.10 1.65 W
BAIE LONGUE 4 1 23 2 11 12(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 11.50  
RECKONING FORCE 2 7 8 7 7 56 3(o'brien patrick)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.60 5.60 S
TORIGO 7 6 35 3 3 34 47 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 14.30  
FIRE BARON 8 8 56 4 4 45(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 15.50  
CALYCANTHUS 5 2 4 6 64 6610½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90 3.20  
FULL COVERAGE 1 4 77 8 87 711 715 (mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 4.10  
LORD OF THE NAVY 6 3 13 1 21 814 828¾ (maker j)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 29.50  
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN               (ward a)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
 
SAR-2   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
:224 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST N FEARIOUS 2 1 11 11   11(brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 16.20  
MOUNT ATHOS 1 6 54 5   35 2(brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 124 1.60 0.65 P
COLD AS HELL 5 2 21 21   23(lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 4.10  
GASLIGHT 6 7 3 4   56 410¾ (quick j)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00 24% 3.20 14.20  
1A  CHARGER 3 3 4 3   46 513 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30 5.50  
PICO D'ORO 4 5 64 6   69 614¼ (caramori caio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 31.00  
RESIST THE DEVIL 7 4 78 718½   725 731½ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 21% 3.70 9.80  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (pearce penny)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds j)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:22 :45 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 3 3 21   1½ 1(joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 7.20  
NO PAYNE 1 5 43 53   32 2(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5.10  
BLAZING STAR (GB) 2 2 21 32   42 3(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 2.25  
ULIKEAPPLES 8 1 11 11   2½ 4(rivelli larry)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
RIGBY 5 8 7 7   53 5(maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 17% 4.80 3.75  
TAKE THE BACKROADS 4 4 5 43   66(amoss m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 3.85  
IDAKA 7 6 6 65   77(barker r)LUZZI J 124 30.00 39.50  
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE 6 7 810 8   88 87 (brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 27.50  
SCR  CADENCIA               (morey e)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
SAR-4   08/13/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
:22 :45 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMON'S MOUND 2 4 42 2½   11(lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.40 20% 4.00 1.85 W
GULFPORT 4 3 31 31   32(asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.80 50% 1.00 0.45 P
SUPER CHOW 1 2 1½ 1½   2310¼ (delgado jorge)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.10 S
VALENZAN DAY 3 1 2½ 4   4421¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 15.50  
SCR  OWEN'S LEAP               (amoss m)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
:232 :464 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALLELUJAH 6 3 6 54   1½ 1(davis g)DAVIS A 120 15.00 24.50  
SWEET MYSTERY 2 4 2½ 21   32(quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 8% 11.90 2.10 P
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 1 7 1½ 11   2½ 32 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 56% 0.80 3.25 S
EARLY EDITION 5 5 4 4   57 4(mcmullin stacy)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 8.90  
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 2 31 3   45 5(atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.00  
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 7 1 76 67   669 (cash j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 11% 8.00 2.80  
SWEET MAEVE 4 6 5 7   715 724¼ (huertas nirka)CARDENAS LUIS 120 20.00 26.50  
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE               (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
:22 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEURO 3 2 7 6   11 1(ribaudo j)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 23% 3.40 1.25 W
TOMMY THE TORCH 6 6 42 4   42 2(tebbutt john)DAVIS A 124 20.00 7% 12.50 16.50 P
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 8 3 2½ 2½   31 3(dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 34.75  
TWO DOWN 2 8 88 8   64(englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.70  
GIRAMONTE 4 4 65 75   75(gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 14.00  
GOLDEN HORNET 5 5 1½ 1½   21 6(rivelli larry)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 10% 9.40 2.55  
ME 'N SAP 7 7 53 5   54 7(donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 122 12.00 12.30  
STREET CULTURE 1 1 31 32   8814 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 13.10  
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
:224 :462 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON BASH 1 1 1 1   17 18 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 41% 1.40 4.00 W
11  OHANA HONOR 9 7 8 7   410 28 (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 12.60  
GENERAL JIM 7 6 54 2   27 3(mcgaughey iii)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 3.55 S
SKELLIG 5 2 43 36   511 415 (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 10% 9.00 1.45  
WHAT A BLAST 6 8 66 5   310 517 (maker j)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 24.25  
SURPRISE PAYOFF 3 5 33 4   614 619½ (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 33.00  
READ ON 2 4 2 67   714¼ 719½ (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 16.60  
MARTY'S MAGIC 4 9 910¾ 913½   816¼ 824 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 13.00  
10  MR MCGREGOR 8 3 7 812½   917¼ 924½ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 8.60  
SCR  BLACK RAIN               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SCOOTSCOOT               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
 
SAR-8   08/13/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 5:03
:241 :494 1:14     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTFOLIO COMPANY 1 6 65 74 43 32 1¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 75% 0.30 0.90 W
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 8 2 33 21 2½ 2nk 2¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 28.25  
PIQUA 5 8 87 85 8 64 31 (motion graham)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 14.30  
AL'S ROCKET 7 9 98 11 74 43 41 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.50  
CARPE'S DREAM 9 4 12 11 1½ 1nk 5(diprima gregory)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 36.75  
MARTINI'NMOONSHINE 6 3 22 4 32 56(amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 21.20  
11  DAUNT 11 10 10 10 107 87 7(ribaudo j)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 7.80  
OVERBORE 3 1 5 53 6 75 8(ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 15.00  
10  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 10 5 44 32 53 99(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 14.30  
CAPONE 4 11 1110½ 9 11 1010¼ 1014¼ (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 21.70  
MIDNIGHT WORKER 2 7 7 64 9 1110¾ 1115¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 16.60  
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE)               (maker j)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)RIDER TBA 122 5.00    
SCR  MACKILLOP               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
SCR  SEAL BEACH               (maker j)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:224 :453 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EXPRESSMAN 9 1 11 11   11(pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.95 W
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 1 6 3 3   22(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 1.95  
10  SOUTHERN FLAG 10 3 42 42   3311½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 6% 16.10 10.70 S
CITIZEN MACK 3 5 5 54   510 416¼ (mcgaughey iii)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 15.00  
HAPPY BOB 7 8 77 76   610 520¼ (schettino a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 11% 8.40 2.70  
FOR GOOD 4 4 21 21   48 620¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 28% 2.60 3.60  
LEADING CONTENDER 2 9 911½ 910½   712½ 721 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 9.70  
AWAY FROM HOME 5 2 8 8   814 822¾ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 40.25  
FINAL APPROACH 8 7 64 66   917 933 (lukas wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 11.70  
GIMME LOVE 6 10 1019 1025½   1030 1042½ (zito p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 36.75  
SCR  LUPO'S LEGACY               (englehart c)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/13/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
:24 :48 1:111     1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASA CREED 1 4 55 5 5 41 1(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40 4.20 W
REGAL GLORY 3 5 4 3 31 2½ 2(brown c)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 0.50 P
MASEN (GB) 4 1 22 21 21 3½ 32 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 25% 3.10 3.55 S
GET SMOKIN 5 2 12 11 11 1½ 4(casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 14% 6.40 12.00  
FRONT RUN THE FED 2 3 33 4 4 553 (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 117 10.00 17.20  
 
SAR-11   08/13/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
:25 :483 1:131 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLOWAY PEAK 9 7 65 55 53 31½ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 15% 5.80 6.10 W
THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 4 1 2 2 2½ 11 2½ (seyler j)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00 37.50  
GREG'S HONOR 7 4 1010 89 7 731 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 34% 1.90 2.40 S
GOOD SOLDIER 3 3 33 4 42 21 4(joseph a)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 18% 4.40 2.95  
LEFT ON BOYLSTON 5 2 5 6 63 43 5(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 9.70  
GROWTH MINDSET 1 9 99 1011 9 962 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6.10  
STRIKE PRICE 8 8 8 78 8 875 (morey e)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 22.80  
10  EMPIRE RIDGE 10 10 4 3 3 64 85 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8% 11.80 8.60  
UNION OF THOUGHTS 6 6 77 910½ 10 109(antonucci m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00 25.00  
SMART JOKER 2 5 1 1 1½ 53 1010¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 14.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.