Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:142 1:373   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  I'M VERY BUSY 3 5 67 55½ 53½ 21½ 13¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 25% 3.10 1.65 W
4  BAIE LONGUE 4 1 23 22½ 11 11½ 23¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 11.50  
2  RECKONING FORCE 2 7 89½ 77¼ 75½ 56 34½ (o'brien joseph)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.60 5.60 S
7  TORIGO 7 6 35 33½ 31½ 34 47 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 14.30  
8  FIRE BARON 8 8 56 43½ 41½ 44½ 57½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 15.50  
5  CALYCANTHUS 5 2 45½ 65¾ 64 68½ 610½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90 3.20  
1  FULL COVERAGE 1 4 77 87¾ 87 711 715 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 ★ 4.10  
6  LORD OF THE NAVY 6 3 13 12½ 21 814 828¾ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 29.50  
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN               (ward a)RIDER TBA 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FAST N FEARIOUS 2 1 11 11   12½ 13½ (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 ★ 16.20  
3  MOUNT ATHOS 1 6 54 55½   35 23½ (brisset )SANTANA JR 124 1.60 ★ 0.65 P
7  COLD AS HELL 5 2 21 21   22½ 34¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 4.10  
8  GASLIGHT 6 7 31½ 43½   56 410¾ (quick patrick)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00 24% 3.20 14.20  
1A  CHARGER 3 3 42½ 33½   46 513 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30 5.50  
6  PICO D'ORO 4 5 64 66½   69 614¼ (caramori ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 31.00  
9  RESIST THE DEVIL 7 4 78 718½   725 731½ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 21% 3.70 9.80  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (pearce penny)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  LEDDY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:22 :45 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 3 31½ 21   1½ 11¾ (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 7.20  
1  NO PAYNE 1 5 43 53   32 21¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5.10  
3  BLAZING STAR (GB) 2 2 21 32   42 32¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 2.25  
9  ULIKEAPPLES 8 1 11 11   2½ 43½ (rivelli )SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
6  RIGBY 5 8 76½ 75¼   53 53¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 17% 4.80 3.75  
5  TAKE THE BACKROADS 4 4 53½ 43   64½ 64¾ (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 ★ 3.85  
8  IDAKA 7 6 64½ 65   75½ 75½ (barker r)LUZZI J 124 30.00 39.50  
7  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE 6 7 810 88¾   88 87 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 27.50  
SCR  CADENCIA               (morey william )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
SAR-4   08/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DAMON'S MOUND 2 4 42 2½   12½ 13¼ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.40 20% 4.00 1.85 W
  (by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
4  GULFPORT 4 3 31 31   33½ 23¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.80 50% 1.00 0.45 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of FAME AND FORTUNE by WESTERN FAME)
1  SUPER CHOW 1 2 1½ 1½   22½ 310¼ (delgado jorge)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★ 8.10 S
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
3  VALENZAN DAY 3 1 2½ 44½   49½ 421¼ (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 ★ 15.50  
  (by KHOZAN out of RADICAL GRACE by UTOPIA)
SCR  OWEN'S LEAP               (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DEFY GRAVITY by NUREYEV)
 
SAR-5   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VALLELUJAH 6 3 65½ 54   1½ 11¾ (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 15.00 24.50  
2  SWEET MYSTERY 2 4 2½ 21   31½ 21¾ (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 8% 11.90 2.10 P
1  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 1 7 1½ 11   2½ 32 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 56% 0.80 3.25 S
5  EARLY EDITION 5 5 41½ 43½   57 48½ (mcmullin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 ★ 8.90  
3  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 2 31 31½   45 58¾ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.00  
8  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 7 1 76 67   67½ 69 (cash rus)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 11% 8.00 2.80  
4  SWEET MAEVE 4 6 53½ 77½   715 724¼ (huertas nirka)CARDENAS LUIS 120 20.00 26.50  
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE               (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEURO 3 2 75½ 64½   11 12¼ (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 23% 3.40 1.25 W
6  TOMMY THE TORCH 6 6 42 42½   42 22¼ (tebbutt )DAVIS A 124 20.00 7% 12.50 16.50 P
9  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 8 3 2½ 2½   31 32¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 34.75  
2  TWO DOWN 2 8 88 86½   64¼ 43½ (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.70  
4  GIRAMONTE 4 4 65 75   74¾ 54¼ (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 14.00  
5  GOLDEN HORNET 5 5 1½ 1½   21 64½ (rivelli )SANTANA JR 120 4.00 10% 9.40 2.55  
8  ME 'N SAP 7 7 53 53½   54 75¼ (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 122 12.00 12.30  
1  STREET CULTURE 1 1 31 32   85¾ 814 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 13.10  
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 ★    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON BASH 1 1 11½ 14½   17 18 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 41% 1.40 4.00 W
11  OHANA HONOR 9 7 87¼ 79½   410 28 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 12.60  
7  GENERAL JIM 7 6 54 24½   27 39¾ (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★ 3.55 S
5  SKELLIG 5 2 43 36   511 415 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 10% 9.00 1.45  
6  WHAT A BLAST 6 8 66 56½   310 517 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 24.25  
3  SURPRISE PAYOFF 3 5 33 46½   614 619½ (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 ★ 33.00  
2  READ ON 2 4 21½ 67   714¼ 719½ (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 16.60  
4  MARTY'S MAGIC 4 9 910¾ 913½   816¼ 824 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 13.00  
10  MR MCGREGOR 8 3 76¼ 812½   917¼ 924½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 8.60  
SCR  BLACK RAIN               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SCOOTSCOOT               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
 
SAR-8   08/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:14     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORTFOLIO COMPANY 1 6 65 74 43 32 1¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 75% 0.30 0.90 W
8  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 8 2 33 21 2½ 2nk 2¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 28.25  
5  PIQUA 5 8 87 85 84½ 64 31 (motion gr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 14.30  
7  AL'S ROCKET 7 9 98 116¼ 74 43 41 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.50  
9  CARPE'S DREAM 9 4 12 11 1½ 1nk 51¼ (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 36.75  
6  MARTINI'NMOONSHINE 6 3 22 42½ 32 53½ 63¾ (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 21.20  
11  DAUNT 11 10 109½ 105¾ 107 87 76¼ (ribaudo robert)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 7.80  
3  OVERBORE 3 1 54½ 53 63½ 75 86¾ (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 ★ 15.00  
10  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 10 5 44 32 53 97¼ 99½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 14.30  
4  CAPONE 4 11 1110½ 95½ 117½ 1010¼ 1014¼ (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 21.70  
2  MIDNIGHT WORKER 2 7 75½ 64 96½ 1110¾ 1115¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 16.60  
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE)               (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  ICARUS               (cox h)RIDER TBA 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  MACKILLOP               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  SEAL BEACH               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EXPRESSMAN 9 1 11 11   13½ 17¼ (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.95 W
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 1 6 31½ 31½   23½ 27¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 1.95  
10  SOUTHERN FLAG 10 3 42 42   36½ 311½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 6% 16.10 10.70 S
3  CITIZEN MACK 3 5 52½ 54   510 416¼ (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 15.00  
7  HAPPY BOB 7 8 77 76   610 520¼ (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 11% 8.40 2.70  
4  FOR GOOD 4 4 21 21   48 620¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 28% 2.60 3.60  
2  LEADING CONTENDER 2 9 911½ 910½   712½ 721 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 9.70  
5  AWAY FROM HOME 5 2 87½ 88½   814 822¾ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 40.25  
8  FINAL APPROACH 8 7 64 66   917 933 (lukas wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★ 11.70  
6  GIMME LOVE 6 10 1019 1025½   1030 1042½ (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 36.75  
SCR  LUPO'S LEGACY               (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:111     1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASA CREED 1 4 55 53½ 52¼ 41 11½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40 4.20 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ACHALAYA by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  REGAL GLORY 3 5 43½ 31½ 31 2½ 21½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 ★ 0.50 P
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MARY'S FOLLIES by MORE THAN READY)
4  MASEN (GB) 4 1 22 21 21 3½ 32 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 25% 3.10 3.55 S
  (by KINGMAN out of CONTINENTAL DRIFT by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
5  GET SMOKIN 5 2 12 11 11 1½ 42¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 14% 6.40 12.00  
  (by GET STORMY out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
2  FRONT RUN THE FED 2 3 33 42½ 41¼ 51½ 53 (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 117 10.00 ★ 17.20  
  (by FED BIZ out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
 
SAR-11   08/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:131 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CALLOWAY PEAK 9 7 65 55 53 32½ 1½ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 15% 5.80 6.10 W
4  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 4 1 21½ 21½ 2½ 11 2½ (seyler dougla)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00 37.50  
7  GREG'S HONOR 7 4 1010 89 74½ 74¼ 31 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 34% 1.90 2.40 S
3  GOOD SOLDIER 3 3 33 42½ 42 21 41¼ (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 18% 4.40 2.95  
5  LEFT ON BOYLSTON 5 2 54½ 65½ 63 43 51½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 ★ 9.70  
1  GROWTH MINDSET 1 9 99 1011 96¾ 95¾ 62 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6.10  
8  STRIKE PRICE 8 8 88½ 78 84¾ 85¼ 75 (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 22.80  
10  EMPIRE RIDGE 10 10 43½ 32½ 31½ 64 85 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8% 11.80 8.60  
6  UNION OF THOUGHTS 6 6 77 910½ 108¾ 109¾ 99¼ (antonucc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00 25.00  
2  SMART JOKER 2 5 11½ 11½ 1½ 53 1010¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 14.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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