Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL COVERAGE         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 ★    
2  RECKONING FORCE Jul23         (o'brien joseph)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  I'M VERY BUSY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  BAIE LONGUE Jul23         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
5  CALYCANTHUS         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  LORD OF THE NAVY         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
7  TORIGO         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
8  FIRE BARON         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  FUNTASTIC AGAIN Jul01         (ward a)RIDER TBA 119 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHARGER Jul29 Jul01 Apr07 Mar20 Feb13 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LEDDY Aug03         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jul03 Jun05 May19 Apr07 Mar13 (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
3  MOUNT ATHOS Jul04 May30 May12 Apr15   (brisset )SANTANA JR 124 1.60 ★    
4  FAST N FEARIOUS Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 May27 Apr24 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Jun30 Jun04 May12 Apr15 Mar18 (pearce penny)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
6  PICO D'ORO Jul24 Jun26 Jun08 May16   (caramori ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
7  COLD AS HELL Jul14 Jul04 Mar05 Feb13 Jan29 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
8  GASLIGHT Jul01 Jun05 May19     (quick patrick)CARDENAS LUIS 124 15.00 24% 3.20    
9  RESIST THE DEVIL Jul26         (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 21% 3.70    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PAYNE Jun11 Apr14       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  CADENCIA Jun04 Apr15 Mar11 Feb10   (morey william )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  BLAZING STAR (GB) Jul24 May29 May03     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
4  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS Jul14 Jun17       (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
5  TAKE THE BACKROADS Jul04 May14 Mar04     (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 ★    
6  RIGBY Jul14 Jun17 May14 Jan19   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Jul16 Jun17 Apr24     (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
8  IDAKA Jun04 May22 Mar20 Mar09 Jan19 (barker r)LUZZI J 124 30.00    
9  ULIKEAPPLES Jun17 Jun03 May06 Apr16   (rivelli )SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOMMASGOTTARUN Jul17 Jun11 May12 Apr16 Mar04 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 12% 7.40    
 
SAR-4   08/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CHOW Jul02         (delgado jorge)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  DAMON'S MOUND Jul02         (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 1.40 20% 4.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
3  VALENZAN DAY Jul16 Jun09 May12     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 ★    
  (by KHOZAN out of RADICAL GRACE by UTOPIA)
4  GULFPORT Jul04 Jun10       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.80 50% 1.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FAME AND FORTUNE by WESTERN FAME)
SCR  OWEN'S LEAP Jul04 May27       (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DEFY GRAVITY by NUREYEV)
 
SAR-5   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Jul20 Jun20 Jun01 May09   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
2  SWEET MYSTERY Jul09 Jun16       (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
3  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jun24 May27 Apr30 Feb05 Jan06 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
4  SWEET MAEVE Jul25 Jul18 Jun26 May30 May12 (huertas )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 20.00    
5  EARLY EDITION Jul23 Jul03 May30 Mar04 Feb04 (mcmullin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE Jun24 Jan06       (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 ★    
7  VALLELUJAH Jul17 Jun11 May08 Apr14   (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
8  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Jul21 Jul03 May30 May14 Mar27 (cash rus)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET CULTURE Apr16 Mar13 Feb27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
2  TWO DOWN Jul17 May28 May13     (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
3  NEURO Jul17         (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  GIRAMONTE Jul09 Jun18 May27     (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00    
5  GOLDEN HORNET Jul19         (rivelli )SANTANA JR 120 4.00 10% 9.40    
6  TOMMY THE TORCH Jul26 Jul11 Jun29     (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Jul17 Jul09 May21     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
8  ME 'N SAP Jul23 Jul14 Jun16 Feb26   (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 122 12.00    
9  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May13 May02 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 15.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Jul14 Apr30 Mar12     (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON BASH Jul24         (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 41% 1.40    
2  READ ON         (romans dale)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
3  SURPRISE PAYOFF         (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 ★    
4  MARTY'S MAGIC         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
5  SKELLIG         (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 10% 9.00    
6  WHAT A BLAST         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
7  GENERAL JIM         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  SCOOTSCOOT         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  BLACK RAIN         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
10  MR MCGREGOR         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
11  OHANA HONOR         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
 
SAR-8   08/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORTFOLIO COMPANY Jun26 May07       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 75% 0.30    
2  MIDNIGHT WORKER         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
3  OVERBORE Apr13         (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00 ★    
4  CAPONE Jul01 Jun02 May05 Feb03   (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
5  PIQUA Jul01         (motion gr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
6  MARTINI'NMOONSHINE         (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
7  AL'S ROCKET Jun11 May07 Apr09     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
8  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE Jun26 Jun03 May05 Apr23 Feb11 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00    
9  CARPE'S DREAM Jun18 May29       (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
10  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Jul16 Jun03 Apr02 Feb05 Jan02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
11  DAUNT Jul16 Jun04 May05     (ribaudo robert)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  SEAL BEACH Jul03 Jun12       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  MACKILLOP May05 Mar27       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE) Jul24 Jul02 May29     (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jul02 Jun03 May07 Apr08 Feb05 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
SCR  ICARUS Jun18 Apr29 Mar05 Feb10   (cox h)RIDER TBA 122 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
1A  EXPRESSMAN         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  LEADING CONTENDER         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
3  CITIZEN MACK Jul21         (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
4  FOR GOOD Jun02         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  AWAY FROM HOME Mar26         (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
6  GIMME LOVE         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
7  HAPPY BOB Jun26         (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 11% 8.40    
8  FINAL APPROACH         (lukas wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  LUPO'S LEGACY         (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
10  SOUTHERN FLAG Jun26         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 6% 16.10    
 
SAR-10   08/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASA CREED Jun11         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ACHALAYA by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  FRONT RUN THE FED Jul18         (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 117 10.00 ★    
  (by FED BIZ out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
3  REGAL GLORY Jun11 Apr16 Jan29     (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 ★    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MARY'S FOLLIES by MORE THAN READY)
4  MASEN (GB) Jun18 May22 Apr15     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 25% 3.10    
  (by KINGMAN out of CONTINENTAL DRIFT by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
5  GET SMOKIN Jul15 Jun04 Feb05     (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
  (by GET STORMY out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
SAR-11   08/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROWTH MINDSET         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
2  SMART JOKER Jul10 Jun12 May08 Apr10   (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
3  GOOD SOLDIER Jul14 May21       (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
4  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 May22 Apr24 (seyler dougla)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00    
5  LEFT ON BOYLSTON Jul10 Jun18 Apr15 Mar19   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 ★    
6  UNION OF THOUGHTS Jul10 Jun17 May27 Apr23   (antonucc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00    
7  GREG'S HONOR Jul10 May20 Apr09 Mar04 Feb06 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  STRIKE PRICE Jun12 May15 Apr15     (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
9  CALLOWAY PEAK Jul10 Jul02 Apr10 Mar26   (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 15% 5.80    
10  EMPIRE RIDGE Jul04 May22 Jan19     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8% 11.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.