Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM JUST KIDDIN 1 3 4 4   2 11 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 1.40 30% 2.30 0.80 W
HIGHWAY HARMONY 5 1 1 12   1 21 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 2.90 P
THREE UNIONS 3 2 3 33   3 3 (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 15.80  
IRISH EMPRESS 2 5 6 6   6 4 (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 11.10  
NICE 'N SPICY 4 6 5 5   5 57 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 26% 2.80 6.60  
NEVER PERSONAL 6 4 2 22   46 6 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 7.80  
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
SCR  FRANKIE C               (trites lan)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
SCR  KINGSLEY CREEK               (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MY GORGEOUS               (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
SCR  MY SWEET BANKER               (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:141     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN UP THE SCORE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 20% 4.00 0.80 W
AWESOME ALLY VEE 1 5 43 42 43 33 2 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.70  
HONEYCOMB 4 3 32 3 3 4 3 (arnold g)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 58% 0.70 6.60 S
POUT 3 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 23 4 (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 11.20  
REGINA 6 4 53 52 5 55 59 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 3.30  
DOLCE SERA 5 6 6 64 66 69 630¼ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 9.40  
 
SAR-3   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUDDA U THINK NOW 2 2 21 21   22 1 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 25% 2.90 6.70 W
REGGAE MUSIC MAN 4 5 55 5   34 2 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 23.20  
SAINT SELBY 1 3 11 11   12 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 1.35 S
NY TRAFFIC 5 4 3 33   56 4 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20 34% 1.90 1.10  
MY BOY TATE 3 1 43 43   4 5 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 6.50  
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:14 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPPLE CIDER 4 7 63 63 63 3 1¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 6% 16.10 4.10 W
LATEST EDITION 1 6 4 4 4 11 2¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 4.00  
OAK LOVES A FIGHT 2 9 9 9 9 52 3 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.40 8.70 S
LOLLYGAG 3 2 5 52 3 42 4 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 5% 17.80 9.40  
QUEEN OF LIES 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 21 5 (dutrow anthony)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 44% 1.30 1.85  
JANNIE MAE 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 6 67 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 19.80  
12  MUCHO MAMA MIA 10 10 10 10 10 76 77 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 22.70  
FALSE HOPE 6 8 8 8 8 8 810¾ (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 21.80  
10  QUIET TYPE 9 3 7 73 74 10 913¾ (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 9.40  
KAY TEE GAL 8 5 3 31 5 99 1017 (henry ne)DAVIS A 118 50.00 47.75  
SCR  CUPERE               (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  MONDEUSE               (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 5% 18.60    
 
SAR-5   08/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:143 1:401   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOQUIST 1 6 4 11 11 11 12 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 12.50  
KHAFRE 4 1 2 42 31 21 22 (jerkens ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 19% 4.30 2.20 P
I AM THE LAW 3 2 3 3 43 34 3 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 17% 4.80 2.95 S
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 7 4 8 53 67 6 4 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00 37% 1.70 5.60  
RED REVOLUTION 2 3 1 21 21 5 513½ (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 9.70  
COMMANDER COMPTON 5 7 6 7 8 78 614¾ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.20  
ZUZUDINI 8 5 7 6 5 4 716 (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 10.20  
EAGLE IN LOVE 6 8 53 85 79 820 858½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 14.90  
 
SAR-6   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ON ANNA 4 2 2½ 21   12 1 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 116 3.00 2.80  
SNICKET 1 6 4 3   32 2 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.10 6.60 P
SECRET LOVE (ARG) 2 7 52 5   22 3 (kimmel c)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 18% 4.60 2.70 S
MASHNEE GIRL 3 1 1½ 11   4 4 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 39% 1.60 2.65  
ELOQUENT SPEAKER 6 4 31 4   5 515¼ (lynch nata)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 11.00  
CHASING CARA 7 5 74 67   69 616¾ (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 6.20  
GRUDGE 5 3 6 7   714 730¼ (jones ed)DAVIS A 114 20.00 8% 10.80 27.00  
 
SAR-7   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:134     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAHAMIAN CLUB (IRE) 2 3 3 42 4 1nk 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5.40  
DIAMOND HANDS 4 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2hd (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7.50  
LINDA'S GIFT 6 8 9 9 8 65 3 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 7.60  
GAL IN A RUSH 3 4 6 6 6 4 4 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 37% 1.70 2.40  
AL QAHIRA (GER) 5 2 4 21 2½ 32 5 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 27% 2.80 3.35  
10  SPICER 9 7 5 5 53 54 6 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 7.90  
BRAVO KITTEN 1 6 8 8 75 7 7 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 13.70  
STORM KISS 7 5 2 32 3 8 8 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 9% 10.70 17.40  
SWIFT ACTION 8 9 7 7 97 9 911¾ (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 19.40  
SCR  FRIPPET               (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKIT 1 2 5 4 32 2nk 1hd (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80 59% 0.70 2.00 W
SEA FOAM 7 3 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 8% 11.30 4.60 P
BROOKLYN STRONG 2 5 43 32 5 4 3 (barboza victor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 22.40  
MARKET ALERT 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 31 4 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 122 8.00 9.50  
THREE JOKERS 3 7 7 7 78 6 5 (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.90  
TIERGAN 5 6 6 6 45 5 610¾ (morey william)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 1.90  
THERISASTORMBREWIN 4 1 31 5 6 714½ 743¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 15.20  
 
SAR-9   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:222 :46 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 1 6 55 54   2 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 43% 1.30 3.90 W
ELI DANCER 4 1 22 21   1 2½ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 2.10 P
11  GALLEY HEAD 10 9 4 4   3 3 (lerman r)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 16.30  
ACE UP HER SLEEVE 6 4 6 6   55 45 (klesaris st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 33.25  
COOLCATSNKITTENS 3 3 3 32   43 5 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.25  
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 2 10 1011¼ 10   9 6 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 12.80  
UNKOALAFIED 7 8 77 7   6 7 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 8.60  
SARAH'S SPLENDOR 5 7 9 8   88 89 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8.70  
10  LOLA LOLA 9 2 12 11   7 917 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 21.80  
ONE JOURNEY 8 5 8 9   1016½ 1032¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 39.75  
SCR  CHIARA (URU)               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD               (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL               (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
SCR  RENT CONTROL               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50    
SCR  ROAD TO REMEMBER               (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:132     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEODORA GRACE 3 5 43 4 4 21 1nk (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5% 18.70 13.80 W
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 8 8 96 86 85 9 2nk (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5.50 P
WATERVILLE 7 6 54 5 5 42 3.2 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11.80  
DUFRESNE 9 1 11 11 1½ 11 4½ (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 25.25  
FIST FULL OF DICE 2 11 7 6 63 52 51 (combs bentle)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00 17.90  
10  MASTEROF THE TUNES 10 7 6 75 7 8 6 (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 125 15.00 28.25  
11  SHE'S A MIA 11 12 11 128 12 73 7 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.60  
LOOKIN TO FLY 1 4 12 11 9 10 8 (sharp joe)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 28% 2.60 10.90  
SINFULLY SWEET 4 3 21 21 2½ 3 93 (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5.20  
CLASSIC LYNNE 6 2 32 3 3 6 10 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 4.10  
12  TEMPERMENTAL 12 9 8 9 118 12 11 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 51.00  
CANDY MONET 5 10 107 10 107 11 12 (persaud eddie)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 27.50  
SCR  CARAMOCHA               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50    
SCR  GALLINA               (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE               (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.