The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Friday - August 12, 2022

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SAR-1   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:05
:222 :452 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM JUST KIDDIN 1 3 4 4   211 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 119 1.40 30% 2.30 0.80 W
HIGHWAY HARMONY 5 1 1 12   121 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 2.90 P
THREE UNIONS 3 2 3 33   33(schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 15.80  
IRISH EMPRESS 2 5 6 6   64(lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 11.10  
NICE 'N SPICY 4 6 5 5   557 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 26% 2.80 6.60  
NEVER PERSONAL 6 4 2 22   46 6(levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 7.80  
SCR  AUGUST BLOOM               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
SCR  FRANKIE C               (trites lands)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
SCR  KINGSLEY CREEK               (kimmel c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MY GORGEOUS               (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
SCR  MY SWEET BANKER               (schettino a)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:244 :49 1:141     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN UP THE SCORE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 1(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 20% 4.00 0.80 W
AWESOME ALLY VEE 1 5 43 42 43 33 2(lauer michael)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.70  
HONEYCOMB 4 3 32 3 3 43(arnold r)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 58% 0.70 6.60 S
POUT 3 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 23 4(zito p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 11.20  
REGINA 6 4 53 52 5 55 59 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 3.30  
DOLCE SERA 5 6 6 64 66 69 630¼ (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 9.40  
 
SAR-3   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:223 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUDDA U THINK NOW 2 2 21 21   22 1(rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 25% 2.90 6.70 W
REGGAE MUSIC MAN 4 5 55 5   34 2(reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 23.20  
SAINT SELBY 1 3 11 11   12 3(atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 1.35 S
NY TRAFFIC 5 4 3 33   56 4(joseph a)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20 34% 1.90 1.10  
MY BOY TATE 3 1 43 43   45(nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 6.50  
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
:24 :492 1:14 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPPLE CIDER 4 7 63 63 63 31¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 6% 16.10 4.10 W
LATEST EDITION 1 6 4 4 4 11 2¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 4.00  
OAK LOVES A FIGHT 2 9 9 9 9 52 3(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.40 8.70 S
LOLLYGAG 3 2 5 52 3 42 4(lauer michael)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 5% 17.80 9.40  
QUEEN OF LIES 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 21 5(dutrow w)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 44% 1.30 1.85  
JANNIE MAE 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 667 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 19.80  
12  MUCHO MAMA MIA 10 10 10 10 10 76 77 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 22.70  
FALSE HOPE 6 8 8 8 8 8810¾ (schettino a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 21.80  
10  QUIET TYPE 9 3 7 73 74 10913¾ (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 9.40  
KAY TEE GAL 8 5 3 31 5 99 1017 (henry neville)DAVIS A 118 50.00 47.75  
SCR  CUPERE               (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  MONDEUSE               (englehart s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 5% 18.60    
 
SAR-5   08/12/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
:243 :494 1:143 1:401   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOQUIST 1 6 4 11 11 11 12 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 12.50  
KHAFRE 4 1 2 42 31 21 22 (jerkens a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 19% 4.30 2.20 P
I AM THE LAW 3 2 3 3 43 34 3(terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 17% 4.80 2.95 S
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 7 4 8 53 67 64(romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.00 37% 1.70 5.60  
RED REVOLUTION 2 3 1 21 21 5513½ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 9.70  
COMMANDER COMPTON 5 7 6 7 8 78 614¾ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.20  
ZUZUDINI 8 5 7 6 5 4716 (barker r)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 10.20  
EAGLE IN LOVE 6 8 53 85 79 820 858½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 14.90  
 
SAR-6   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
:23 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ON ANNA 4 2 2½ 21   12 1(serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 116 3.00 2.80  
SNICKET 1 6 4 3   32 2(duggan p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.10 6.60 P
SECRET LOVE 2 7 52 5   22 3(kimmel c)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 18% 4.60 2.70 S
MASHNEE GIRL 3 1 1½ 11   44(hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 39% 1.60 2.65  
ELOQUENT SPEAKER 6 4 31 4   5515¼ (lynch natalia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 11.00  
CHASING CARA 7 5 74 67   69 616¾ (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 6.20  
GRUDGE 5 3 6 7   714 730¼ (jones e)DAVIS A 114 20.00 8% 10.80 27.00  
 
SAR-7   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3 F PT- 4:29
:244 :50 1:134     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAHAMIAN CLUB (IRE) 2 3 3 42 4 1nk 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5.40  
DIAMOND HANDS 4 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2hd (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7.50  
LINDA'S GIFT 6 8 9 9 8 65 3(weaver george)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 7.60  
GAL IN A RUSH 3 4 6 6 6 44(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 37% 1.70 2.40  
AL QAHIRA 5 2 4 21 2½ 32 5(mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 27% 2.80 3.35  
10  SPICER 9 7 5 5 53 54 6(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 7.90  
BRAVO KITTEN 1 6 8 8 75 77(joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 13.70  
STORM KISS 7 5 2 32 3 88(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 9% 10.70 17.40  
SWIFT ACTION 8 9 7 7 97 9911¾ (trombetta j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 19.40  
SCR  FRIPPET               (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:243 :48 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKIT 1 2 5 4 32 2nk 1hd (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80 59% 0.70 2.00 W
SEA FOAM 7 3 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 8% 11.30 4.60 P
BROOKLYN STRONG 2 5 43 32 5 43(barboza jr)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 22.40  
MARKET ALERT 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 31 4(ryerson t)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 9.50  
THREE JOKERS 3 7 7 7 78 65(terranova p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.90  
TIERGAN 5 6 6 6 45 5610¾ (morey e)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 1.90  
THERISASTORMBREWIN 4 1 31 5 6 714½ 743¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 15.20  
 
SAR-9   08/12/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
:222 :46 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 1 6 55 54   21½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 43% 1.30 3.90 W
ELI DANCER 4 1 22 21   12½ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 2.10 P
11  GALLEY HEAD 10 9 4 4   33(lerman s)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 16.30  
ACE UP HER SLEEVE 6 4 6 6   55 45 (klesaris steve)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 33.25  
COOLCATSNKITTENS 3 3 3 32   43 5(clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.25  
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 2 10 1011¼ 10   96(sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 12.80  
UNKOALAFIED 7 8 77 7   67(nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 8.60  
SARAH'S SPLENDOR 5 7 9 8   88 89 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8.70  
10  LOLA LOLA 9 2 12 11   7917 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 21.80  
ONE JOURNEY 8 5 8 9   1016½ 1032¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 39.75  
SCR  CHIARA               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD               (barker r)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL               (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
SCR  RENT CONTROL               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50    
SCR  ROAD TO REMEMBER               (lynch natalia)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/12/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
:242 :49 1:132     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEODORA GRACE 3 5 43 4 4 21 1nk (klesaris p)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 5% 18.70 13.80 W
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 8 8 96 86 85 92nk (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 5.50 P
WATERVILLE 7 6 54 5 5 42 3.2 (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11.80  
DUFRESNE 9 1 11 11 1½ 11 4½ (trombetta j)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 25.25  
FIST FULL OF DICE 2 11 7 6 63 52 51 (combs bentley)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00 17.90  
10  MASTEROF THE TUNES 10 7 6 75 7 86(lee joseph)ORTIZ L 125 15.00 28.25  
11  SHE'S A MIA 11 12 11 128 12 73 7(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.60  
LOOKIN TO FLY 1 4 12 11 9 108(sharp joe)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 28% 2.60 10.90  
SINFULLY SWEET 4 3 21 21 2½ 393 (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5.20  
CLASSIC LYNNE 6 2 32 3 3 610(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 4.10  
12  TEMPERMENTAL 12 9 8 9 118 1211(rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 51.00  
CANDY MONET 5 10 107 10 107 1112(persaud eddie)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00 27.50  
SCR  CARAMOCHA               (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50    
SCR  GALLINA               (bond james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE               (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.